Diagnosis
Federated Boosted Decision Trees with Differential Privacy
Maddock, Samuel, Cormode, Graham, Wang, Tianhao, Maple, Carsten, Jha, Somesh
There is great demand for scalable, secure, and efficient privacy-preserving machine learning models that can be trained over distributed data. While deep learning models typically achieve the best results in a centralized non-secure setting, different models can excel when privacy and communication constraints are imposed. Instead, tree-based approaches such as XGBoost have attracted much attention for their high performance and ease of use; in particular, they often achieve state-of-the-art results on tabular data. Consequently, several recent works have focused on translating Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) models like XGBoost into federated settings, via cryptographic mechanisms such as Homomorphic Encryption (HE) and Secure Multi-Party Computation (MPC). However, these do not always provide formal privacy guarantees, or consider the full range of hyperparameters and implementation settings. In this work, we implement the GBDT model under Differential Privacy (DP). We propose a general framework that captures and extends existing approaches for differentially private decision trees. Our framework of methods is tailored to the federated setting, and we show that with a careful choice of techniques it is possible to achieve very high utility while maintaining strong levels of privacy.
Your Out-of-Distribution Detection Method is Not Robust!
Azizmalayeri, Mohammad, Moakhar, Arshia Soltani, Zarei, Arman, Zohrabi, Reihaneh, Manzuri, Mohammad Taghi, Rohban, Mohammad Hossein
Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection has recently gained substantial attention due to the importance of identifying out-of-domain samples in reliability and safety. Although OOD detection methods have advanced by a great deal, they are still susceptible to adversarial examples, which is a violation of their purpose. To mitigate this issue, several defenses have recently been proposed. Nevertheless, these efforts remained ineffective, as their evaluations are based on either small perturbation sizes, or weak attacks. In this work, we re-examine these defenses against an end-to-end PGD attack on in/out data with larger perturbation sizes, e.g. up to commonly used $\epsilon=8/255$ for the CIFAR-10 dataset. Surprisingly, almost all of these defenses perform worse than a random detection under the adversarial setting. Next, we aim to provide a robust OOD detection method. In an ideal defense, the training should expose the model to almost all possible adversarial perturbations, which can be achieved through adversarial training. That is, such training perturbations should based on both in- and out-of-distribution samples. Therefore, unlike OOD detection in the standard setting, access to OOD, as well as in-distribution, samples sounds necessary in the adversarial training setup. These tips lead us to adopt generative OOD detection methods, such as OpenGAN, as a baseline. We subsequently propose the Adversarially Trained Discriminator (ATD), which utilizes a pre-trained robust model to extract robust features, and a generator model to create OOD samples. Using ATD with CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 as the in-distribution data, we could significantly outperform all previous methods in the robust AUROC while maintaining high standard AUROC and classification accuracy. The code repository is available at https://github.com/rohban-lab/ATD .
On Tackling Explanation Redundancy in Decision Trees
Izza, Yacine, Ignatiev, Alexey, Marques-Silva, Joao
Decision trees (DTs) epitomize the ideal of interpretability of machine learning (ML) models. The interpretability of decision trees motivates explainability approaches by so-called intrinsic interpretability, and it is at the core of recent proposals for applying interpretable ML models in high-risk applications. The belief in DT interpretability is justified by the fact that explanations for DT predictions are generally expected to be succinct. Indeed, in the case of DTs, explanations correspond to DT paths. Since decision trees are ideally shallow, and so paths contain far fewer features than the total number of features, explanations in DTs are expected to be succinct, and hence interpretable. This paper offers both theoretical and experimental arguments demonstrating that, as long as interpretability of decision trees equates with succinctness of explanations, then decision trees ought not be deemed interpretable. The paper introduces logically rigorous path explanations and path explanation redundancy, and proves that there exist functions for which decision trees must exhibit paths with arbitrarily large explanation redundancy. The paper also proves that only a very restricted class of functions can be represented with DTs that exhibit no explanation redundancy. In addition, the paper includes experimental results substantiating that path explanation redundancy is observed ubiquitously in decision trees, including those obtained using different tree learning algorithms, but also in a wide range of publicly available decision trees. The paper also proposes polynomial-time algorithms for eliminating path explanation redundancy, which in practice require negligible time to compute. Thus, these algorithms serve to indirectly attain irreducible, and so succinct, explanations for decision trees.
POETREE: Interpretable Policy Learning with Adaptive Decision Trees
Pace, Alizรฉe, Chan, Alex J., van der Schaar, Mihaela
Building models of human decision-making from observed behaviour is critical to better understand, diagnose and support real-world policies such as clinical care. As established policy learning approaches remain focused on imitation performance, they fall short of explaining the demonstrated decision-making process. Policy Extraction through decision Trees (POETREE) is a novel framework for interpretable policy learning, compatible with fully-offline and partially-observable clinical decision environments -- and builds probabilistic tree policies determining physician actions based on patients' observations and medical history. Fully-differentiable tree architectures are grown incrementally during optimization to adapt their complexity to the modelling task, and learn a representation of patient history through recurrence, resulting in decision tree policies that adapt over time with patient information. This policy learning method outperforms the state-of-the-art on real and synthetic medical datasets, both in terms of understanding, quantifying and evaluating observed behaviour as well as in accurately replicating it -- with potential to improve future decision support systems.
Causal Inference via Nonlinear Variable Decorrelation for Healthcare Applications
Wang, Junda, Li, Weijian, Wang, Han, Lyu, Hanjia, Thirukumaran, Caroline, Mesfin, Addisu, Luo, Jiebo
Features Explanation Heart Disease age middle Patients between the ages of 40 and 60 #major vessels0 The number of major vessels (0-3) colored by flourosopy is 0 fixed defect Thalium stress test result is fixed defect pressure normal Blood pressure within the normal range ST-T wave abnormality Resting electrocardiography result is ST-T wave abnormality cholesterol edge Serum cholesterol is in range (200, 220] mg/dl lower than 120mg/ml Fasting blood sugar is lower than 120mg/ml non-anginal pain Chest pain type is non-angina cholesterol high Serum cholesterol is higher than 220 mg/dl no exercise induced angina not Exercise induced angina downsloping Slope of peak exercise ST segment is downsloping heart disease It refers to the presence of heart disease in the patient Esophageal Cancer Modified Ryan Score 2.0 (near complete response): single cells or rare small groups of cancer cells Esophagectomy Procedure 4 Complete MIS/Robotic McKeown (Three-Hole) esophagectomy tobacco use Use tobacco Alcohol Use Use Alcohol Neoadjuvant Radiation Patient underwent neoadjuvant radiation Histological Grade 2 How differentiated the tumor is: Moderately Differentiated Final Histology 1 History: Adenocarcinoma Histological Grade 3 How differentiated the tumor is: Poorly Differentiated clinical m Stage 1 Details any spread (metastasis) to other sites of the body: M0 esoph tumor location 4 Lower Thoracic, including GE junction Esophagectomy Procedure 5 Hybrid (Laparoscopy + Thoracotomy) McKeown (Three-Hole) esophagectomy recurrence Details whether the patient experience recurrence of their cancer Cauda Equina Syndrome elixsum
On Tackling Explanation Redundancy in Decision Trees
Izza, Yacine, Ignatiev, Alexey, Marques-Silva, Joao
Decision trees (DTs) epitomize the ideal of interpretability of machine learning (ML) models. The interpretability of decision trees motivates explainability approaches by so-called intrinsic interpretability, and it is at the core of recent proposals for applying interpretable ML models in high-risk applications. The belief in DT interpretability is justified by the fact that explanations for DT predictions are generally expected to be succinct. Indeed, in the case of DTs, explanations correspond to DT paths. Since decision trees are ideally shallow, and so paths contain far fewer features than the total number of features, explanations in DTs are expected to be succinct, and hence interpretable. This paper offers both theoretical and experimental arguments demonstrating that, as long as interpretability of decision trees equates with succinctness of explanations, then decision trees ought not be deemed interpretable. The paper introduces logically rigorous path explanations and path explanation redundancy, and proves that there exist functions for which decision trees must exhibit paths with explanation redundancy that is arbitrarily larger than the actual path explanation. The paper also proves that only a very restricted class of functions can be represented with DTs that exhibit no explanation redundancy. In addition, the paper includes experimental results substantiating that path explanation redundancy is observed ubiquitously in decision trees, including those obtained using different tree learning algorithms, but also in a wide range of publicly available decision trees. The paper also proposes polynomial-time algorithms for eliminating path explanation redundancy, which in practice require negligible time to compute. Thus, these algorithms serve to indirectly attain irreducible, and so succinct, explanations for decision trees. Furthermore, the paper includes novel results related with duality and enumeration of explanations, based on using SAT solvers as witness-producing NP-oracles.
Towards Explaining Autonomy with Verbalised Decision Tree States
Gavriilidis, Konstantinos, Munafo, Andrea, Hastie, Helen, Cesar, Conlan, DeFilippo, Michael, Benjamin, Michael R.
The development of new AUV technology increased the range of tasks that AUVs can tackle and the length of their operations. As a result, AUVs are capable of handling highly complex operations. However, these missions do not fit easily into the traditional method of defining a mission as a series of pre-planned waypoints because it is not possible to know, in advance, everything that might occur during the mission. This results in a gap between the operator's expectations and actual operational performance. Consequently, this can create a diminished level of trust between the operators and AUVs, resulting in unnecessary mission interruptions. To bridge this gap between in-mission robotic behaviours and operators' expectations, this work aims to provide a framework to explain decisions and actions taken by an autonomous vehicle during the mission, in an easy-to-understand manner. Additionally, the objective is to have an autonomy-agnostic system that can be added as an additional layer on top of any autonomy architecture. To make the approach applicable across different autonomous systems equipped with different autonomies, this work decouples the inner workings of the autonomy from the decision points and the resulting executed actions applying Knowledge Distillation. Finally, to present the explanations to the operators in a more natural way, the output of the distilled decision tree is combined with natural language explanations and reported to the operators as sentences. For this reason, an additional step known as Concept2Text Generation is added at the end of the explanation pipeline.
Review for AI-based Open-Circuit Faults Diagnosis Methods in Power Electronics Converters
Liu, Chuang, Kou, Lei, Cai, Guowei, Zhao, Zihan, Zhang, Zhe
Power electronics converters have been widely used in aerospace system, DC transmission, distributed energy, smart grid and so forth, and the reliability of power electronics converters has been a hotspot in academia and industry. It is of great significance to carry out power electronics converters open-circuit faults monitoring and intelligent fault diagnosis to avoid secondary faults, reduce time and cost of operation and maintenance, and improve the reliability of power electronics system. Firstly, the faults features of power electronic converters are analyzed and summarized. Secondly, some AI-based fault diagnosis methods and application examples in power electronics converters are reviewed, and a fault diagnosis method based on the combination of random forests and transient fault features is proposed for three-phase power electronics converters. Finally, the future research challenges and directions of AI-based fault diagnosis methods are pointed out.
Toward Intention Discovery for Early Malice Detection in Bitcoin
Cheng, Ling, Zhu, Feida, Wang, Yong, Liu, Huiwen
Bitcoin has been subject to illicit activities more often than probably any other financial assets, due to the pseudo-anonymous nature of its transacting entities. An ideal detection model is expected to achieve all the three properties of (I) early detection, (II) good interpretability, and (III) versatility for various illicit activities. However, existing solutions cannot meet all these requirements, as most of them heavily rely on deep learning without satisfying interpretability and are only available for retrospective analysis of a specific illicit type. First, we present asset transfer paths, which aim to describe addresses' early characteristics. Next, with a decision tree based strategy for feature selection and segmentation, we split the entire observation period into different segments and encode each as a segment vector. After clustering all these segment vectors, we get the global status vectors, essentially the basic unit to describe the whole intention. Finally, a hierarchical self-attention predictor predicts the label for the given address in real time. A survival module tells the predictor when to stop and proposes the status sequence, namely intention. % With the type-dependent selection strategy and global status vectors, our model can be applied to detect various illicit activities with strong interpretability. The well-designed predictor and particular loss functions strengthen the model's prediction speed and interpretability one step further. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets show that our proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art methods. Besides, additional case studies justify our model can not only explain existing illicit patterns but can also find new suspicious characters.
Efficient Model Based Diagnosis
In this paper an efficient model based diagnostic process is described for systems whose components possess a causal relation between their inputs and their outputs. In this diagnostic process, firstly, a set of focuses on likely broken components is determined. Secondly, for each focus the most informative probing point within the focus can be determined. Both these steps of the diagnostic process have a worst case time complexity of ${\cal O}(n^2)$ where $n$ is the number of components. If the connectivity of the components is low, however, the diagnostic process shows a linear time complexity. It is also shown how the diagnostic process described can be applied in dynamic systems and systems containing loops. When diagnosing dynamic systems it is possible to choose between detecting intermitting faults or to improve the diagnostic precision by assuming non-intermittency.