Diagnosis
New UCI center seeks to empower patients, providers through use of AI in healthcare
Physicians at the University of California, Irvine and UCI Health System have launched the UCI Center for Artificial Intelligence in Diagnostic Medicine, which seeks to advance patient care, improve health outcomes and lower costs by leveraging machine learning technology in all areas of healthcare. Led by Peter D. Chang, MD, and Daniel S. Chow, MD, neuroradiologists in the Department of Radiological Sciences, UCI School of Medicine, the center is a cross-specialty initiative with a specific focus on developing and applying deep learning neural networks to healthcare applications, such as diagnostics, disease prediction and therapy planning. "Our goal is to empower health care providers, researchers and patients through the use of artificial intelligence in healthcare," said Chang. The Center for Artificial Intelligence in Diagnostic Medicine will provide a central research core that enables all UCI faculty, physicians and researchers, to collaborate on translating AI-based concepts into clinical tools to improve individual and population health. "The center will develop machine learning tools that can be implemented for routine clinical use today," said Chow.
The Marriage of Artificial Intelligence and Patient Care - IEEE Transmitter
When something is wrong we go to the doctor and we begin what is ideally a two-step process: diagnosis and therapy. Artificial intelligence (AI) will transform both aspects of health care by adding powerful new tools to the doctor's bag. A range of diverse, compelling research projects around AI-driven diagnoses are underway. For example, an international community (including Google's Brain project) competes in an annual challenge to correctly diagnose breast cancer in 400 expert-labeled microscopic images of biopsy samples. About 99 percent of the slides were identified correctly by a project from Harvard and Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
From Deterministic ODEs to Dynamic Structural Causal Models
Rubenstein, Paul K., Bongers, Stephan, Schoelkopf, Bernhard, Mooij, Joris M.
Structural Causal Models are widely used in causal modelling, but how they relate to other modelling tools is poorly understood. In this paper we provide a novel perspective on the relationship between Ordinary Differential Equations and Structural Causal Models. We show how, under certain conditions, the asymptotic behaviour of an Ordinary Differential Equation under non-constant interventions can be modelled using Dynamic Structural Causal Models. In contrast to earlier work, we study not only the effect of interventions on equilibrium states; rather, we model asymptotic behaviour that is dynamic under interventions that vary in time, and include as a special case the study of static equilibria.
Evaluating Active Learning Heuristics for Sequential Diagnosis
Rodler, Patrick, Schmid, Wolfgang
Given a malfunctioning system, sequential diagnosis aims at identifying the root cause of the failure in terms of abnormally behaving system components. As initial system observations usually do not suffice to deterministically pin down just one explanation of the system's misbehavior, additional system measurements can help to differentiate between possible explanations. The goal is to restrict the space of explanations until there is only one (highly probable) explanation left. To achieve this with a minimal-cost set of measurements, various (active learning) heuristics for selecting the best next measurement have been proposed. We report preliminary results of extensive ongoing experiments with a set of selection heuristics on real-world diagnosis cases. In particular, we try to answer questions such as "Is some heuristic always superior to all others?", "On which factors does the (relative) performance of the particular heuristics depend?" or "Under which circumstances should I use which heuristic?"
Constraint-based Causal Discovery for Non-Linear Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Confounders
Forrรฉ, Patrick, Mooij, Joris M.
We address the problem of causal discovery from data, making use of the recently proposed causal modeling framework of modular structural causal models (mSCM) to handle cycles, latent confounders and non-linearities. We introduce {\sigma}-connection graphs ({\sigma}-CG), a new class of mixed graphs (containing undirected, bidirected and directed edges) with additional structure, and extend the concept of {\sigma}-separation, the appropriate generalization of the well-known notion of d-separation in this setting, to apply to {\sigma}-CGs. We prove the closedness of {\sigma}-separation under marginalisation and conditioning and exploit this to implement a test of {\sigma}-separation on a {\sigma}-CG. This then leads us to the first causal discovery algorithm that can handle non-linear functional relations, latent confounders, cyclic causal relationships, and data from different (stochastic) perfect interventions. As a proof of concept, we show on synthetic data how well the algorithm recovers features of the causal graph of modular structural causal models.
Synthetic Sampling for Multi-Class Malignancy Prediction
Yung, Matthew, Brown, Eli T., Rasin, Alexander, Furst, Jacob D., Raicu, Daniela S.
We explore several oversampling techniques for an imbalanced multi-label classification problem, a setting often encountered when developing models for Computer-Aided Diagnosis (CADx) systems. While most CADx systems aim to optimize classifiers for overall accuracy without considering the relative distribution of each class, we look into using synthetic sampling to increase per-class performance when predicting the degree of malignancy. Using low-level image features and a random forest classifier, we show that using synthetic oversampling techniques increases the sensitivity of the minority classes by an average of 7.22% points, with as much as a 19.88% point increase in sensitivity for a particular minority class. Furthermore, the analysis of low-level image feature distributions for the synthetic nodules reveals that these nodules can provide insights on how to preprocess image data for better classification performance or how to supplement the original datasets when more data acquisition is feasible.
Feature Selection for Unsupervised Domain Adaptation using Optimal Transport
Gautheron, Lรฉo, Redko, Ievgen, Lartizien, Carole
In this paper, we propose a new feature selection method for unsupervised domain adaptation based on the emerging optimal transportation theory. We build upon a recent theoretical analysis of optimal transport in domain adaptation and show that it can directly suggest a feature selection procedure leveraging the shift between the domains. Based on this, we propose a novel algorithm that aims to sort features by their similarity across the source and target domains, where the order is obtained by analyzing the coupling matrix representing the solution of the proposed optimal transportation problem. We evaluate our method on a well-known benchmark data set and illustrate its capability of selecting correlated features leading to better classification performances. Furthermore, we show that the proposed algorithm can be used as a pre-processing step for existing domain adaptation techniques ensuring an important speed-up in terms of the computational time while maintaining comparable results. Finally, we validate our algorithm on clinical imaging databases for computer-aided diagnosis task with promising results.
A comparative study of artificial intelligence and human doctors for the purpose of triage and diagnosis
Razzaki, Salman, Baker, Adam, Perov, Yura, Middleton, Katherine, Baxter, Janie, Mullarkey, Daniel, Sangar, Davinder, Taliercio, Michael, Butt, Mobasher, Majeed, Azeem, DoRosario, Arnold, Mahoney, Megan, Johri, Saurabh
Online symptom checkers have significant potential to improve patient care, however their reliability and accuracy remain variable. We hypothesised that an artificial intelligence (AI) powered triage and diagnostic system would compare favourably with human doctors with respect to triage and diagnostic accuracy. We performed a prospective validation study of the accuracy and safety of an AI powered triage and diagnostic system. Identical cases were evaluated by both an AI system and human doctors. Differential diagnoses and triage outcomes were evaluated by an independent judge, who was blinded from knowing the source (AI system or human doctor) of the outcomes. Independently of these cases, vignettes from publicly available resources were also assessed to provide a benchmark to previous studies and the diagnostic component of the MRCGP exam. Overall we found that the Babylon AI powered Triage and Diagnostic System was able to identify the condition modelled by a clinical vignette with accuracy comparable to human doctors (in terms of precision and recall). In addition, we found that the triage advice recommended by the AI System was, on average, safer than that of human doctors, when compared to the ranges of acceptable triage provided by independent expert judges, with only a minimal reduction in appropriateness.
$1B Radar System to Detect Missile Threats Planned for Oahu
Agency officials say the radar will have a block-like shape with a face estimated to be up to 80 feet (24 meters) tall and up to 50 feet (15 meters) wide. The radar will identify, track and classify long-range missile threats in the midcourse of flight. Maintenance and support facilities are also planned for the site.
2018 World Cup Predictions using decision trees
In this study, we predict the outcome of the football matches in the FIFA World Cup 2018 to be held in Russia this summer. We do this using classification models over a dataset of historic football results that includes attributes from the playing teams by rating them in attack, midfield, defence, aggression, pressure, chance creation and building ability. This last training data was a result of merging international matches results with AE games ratings of the teams considering the timeline of the matches with their respective statistics. Final predictions show the four countries with the most chances of getting to the semifinals as France, Brazil, Spain and Germany while giving Spain as the winner. The objective of this study is to build a predictive model that will allow us to make good predictions for the coming World Cup 2018 so we looked for dataset with historic data for match results, for this purpose we chose a dataset from Kaggle with data of almost 40,000 international matches played between 1872 and 2018.