Agents
Algorithmic and Human Teaching of Sequential Decision Tasks
Cakmak, Maya (Georgia Institute of Technology) | Lopes, Manuel (INRIA)
A helpful teacher can significantly improve the learning rate of a learning agent. Teaching algorithms have been formally studied within the field of Algorithmic Teaching. These give important insights into how a teacher can select the most informative examples while teachinga new concept. However the field has so far focused purely on classification tasks. In this paper we introducea novel method for optimally teaching sequential decision tasks. We present an algorithm that automatically selects the set of most informative demonstrations andevaluate it on several navigation tasks. Next, we explore the idea of using this algorithm to produce instructions for humans on how to choose examples when teaching sequential decision tasks. We present a user study that demonstrates the utility of such instructions.
Finding Optimal Abstract Strategies in Extensive-Form Games
Johanson, Michael (University of Alberta) | Bard, Nolan (University of Alberta) | Burch, Neil (University of Alberta) | Bowling, Michael (University of Alberta)
Extensive-form games are a powerful model for representing interactions between agents. Nash equilibrium strategies are a common solution concept for extensive-form games and, in two-player zero-sum games, there are efficient algorithms for calculating such strategies. In large games, this computation may require too much memory and time to be tractable. A standard approach in such cases is to apply a lossy state-space abstraction technique to produce a smaller abstract game that can be tractably solved, while hoping that the resulting abstract game equilibrium is close to an equilibrium strategy in the unabstracted game. Recent work has shown that this assumption is unreliable, and an arbitrary Nash equilibrium in the abstract game is unlikely to be even near the least suboptimal strategy that can be represented in that space. In this work, we present for the first time an algorithm which efficiently finds optimal abstract strategies --- strategies with minimal exploitability in the unabstracted game. We use this technique to find the least exploitable strategy ever reported for two-player limit Texas hold'em.
Bayes-Adaptive Interactive POMDPs
Ng, Brenda (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) | Boakye, Kofi (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) | Meyers, Carol (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) | Wang, Andrew (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
We introduce the Bayes-Adaptive Interactive Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (BA-IPOMDP), the first multiagent decision model that explicitly incorporates model learning. As in I-POMDPs, the BA-IPOMDP agent maintains beliefs over interactive states, which include the physical states as well as the other agentsโ models. The BA-IPOMDP assumes that the state transition and observation probabilities are unknown, and augments the interactive states to include these parameters. Beliefs are maintained over this augmented interactive state space. This (necessary) state expansion exacerbates the curse of dimensionality, especially since each I-POMDP belief update is already a recursive procedure (because an agent invokes belief updates from other agentsโ perspectives as part of its own belief update, in order to anticipate other agentsโ actions). We extend the interactive particle filter to perform approximate belief update on BA-IPOMDPs. We present our findings on the multiagent Tiger problem.
Competing with Humans at Fantasy Football: Team Formation in Large Partially-Observable Domains
Matthews, Tim (University of Southampton) | Ramchurn, Sarvapali D. (University of Southampton) | Chalkiadakis, Georgios (Technical University of Crete)
We present the first real-world benchmark for sequentially-optimal team formation, working within the framework of a class of online football prediction games known as Fantasy Football. We model the problem as a Bayesian reinforcement learning one, where the action space is exponential in the number of players and where the decision maker's beliefs are over multiple characteristics of each footballer. We then exploit domain knowledge to construct computationally tractable solution techniques in order to build a competitive automated Fantasy Football manager. Thus, we are able to establish the baseline performance in this domain, even without complete information on footballers' performances (accessible to human managers), showing that our agent is able to rank at around the top percentile when pitched against 2.5M human players.
The Deployment-to-Saturation Ratio in Security Games
Jain, Manish (University of Southern California) | Leyton-Brown, Kevin (University of British Columbia) | Tambe, Milind (University of Southern California)
Stackelberg security games form the backbone of systems like ARMOR, IRIS and PROTECT, which are in regular use by the Los Angeles International Police, US Federal Air Marshal Service and the US Coast Guard respectively. An understanding of the runtime required by algorithms that power such systems is critical to furthering the application of game theory to other real-world domains. This paper identifies the concept of the deployment-to-saturation ratio in random Stackelberg security games, and shows that problem instances for which this ratio is 0.5 are computationally harder than instances with other deployment-to-saturation ratios for a wide range of different equilibrium computation methods, including (i) previously published different MIP algorithms, and (ii) different underlying solvers and solution mechanisms. This finding has at least two important implications. First, it is important for new algorithms to be evaluated on the hardest problem instances. We show that this has often not been done in the past, and introduce a publicly available benchmark suite to facilitate such comparisons. Second, we provide evidence that this computationally hard region is also one where optimization would be of most benefit to security agencies, and thus requires significant attention from researchers in this area. Furthermore, we use the concept of phase transitions to better understand this computationally hard region. We define a decision problem related to security games, and show that the probability that this problem has a solution exhibits a phase transition as the deployment-to-saturation ratio crosses 0.5. We also demonstrate that this phase transition is invariant to changes both in the domain and the domain representation, and that the phase transition point corresponds to the computationally hardest instances.
A Market-Based Coordination Mechanism for Resource Planning Under Uncertainty
Hosseini, Hadi (University of Waterloo) | Hoey, Jesse (University of Waterloo) | Cohen, Robin (University of Waterloo)
Multiagent Resource Allocation (MARA) distributes a set of resources among a set of intelligent agents in order to respect the preferences of the agents and to maximize some measure of global utility, which may include minimizing total costs or maximizing total return. We are interested in MARA solutions that provide optimal or close-to-optimal allocation of resources in terms of maximizing a global welfare function with low communication and computation cost, with respect to the priority of agents, and temporal dependencies between resources. We propose an MDP approach for resource planning in multiagent environments. Our approach formulates internal preference modeling and success of each individual agent as a single MDP and then to optimize global utility, we apply a market-based solution to coordinate these decentralized MDPs.
Conflict-Based Search For Optimal Multi-Agent Path Finding
Sharon, Guni (Ben-Gurion University) | Stern, Roni (Ben-Gurion University) | Felner, Ariel (Ben-Gurion University) | Sturtevant, Nathan (University of Denver)
In the multi agent path finding problem (MAPF) paths should be found for several agents, each with a different start and goal position such that agents do not collide. Previous optimal solvers applied global A*-based searches. We present a new search algorithm called Conflict Based Search (CBS). CBS is a two-level algorithm. At the high level, a search is performed on a tree based on conflicts between agents. At the low level, a search is performed only for a single agent at a time. In many cases this reformulation enables CBS to examine fewer states than A* while still maintaining optimality. We analyze CBS and show its benefits and drawbacks. Experimental results on various problems shows a speedup of up to a full order of magnitude over previous approaches.
Characterizing Multi-Agent Team Behavior from Partial Team Tracings: Evidence from the English Premier League
Lucey, Patrick (Disney Research Pittsburgh) | Bialkowski, Alina (Queensland University of Technology and Disney Research Pittsburgh) | Carr, Peter (Disney Research Pittsburgh) | Foote, Eric (Disney Research Pittsburgh) | Matthews, Iain (Disney Research Pittsburgh)
Real-world AI systems have been recently deployed which can automatically analyze the plan and tactics of tennis players. As the game-state is updated regularly at short intervals (i.e. point-level), a library of successful and unsuccessful plans of a player can be learnt over time. Given the relative strengths and weaknesses of a playerโs plans, a set of proven plans or tactics from the library that characterize a player can be identified. For low-scoring, continuous team sports like soccer, such analysis for multi-agent teams does not exist as the game is not segmented into โdiscretizedโ plays (i.e. plans), making it difficult to obtain a library that characterizes a teamโs behavior. Additionally, as player tracking data is costly and difficult to obtain, we only have partial team tracings in the form of ball actions which makes this problem even more difficult. In this paper, we propose a method to overcome these issues by representing team behavior via play-segments, which are spatio-temporal descriptions of ball movement over fixed windows of time. Using these representations we can characterize team behavior from entropy maps, which give a measure of predictability of team behaviors across the field. We show the efficacy and applicability of our method on the 2010-2011 English Premier League soccer data.
Probabilistic Alternating-Time Temporal Logic of Incomplete Information and Synchronous Perfect Recall
Huang, Xiaowei (The University of New South Wales) | Su, Kaile (Griffith University, Brisbane) | Zhang, Chenyi (University of Queensland)
A probabilistic variant of ATL* logic is proposed to work with multi-player games of incomplete information and synchronous perfect recall. The semantics of the logic is settled over probabilistic interpreted system and partially observed probabilistic concurrent game structure. While unexpectedly, the model checking problem is in general undecidable even for single-group fragment, we find a fragment whose complexity is in 2-EXPTIME. The usefulness of this fragment is shown over a land search scenario.
Possible Winners in Noisy Elections
Wojtas, Krzysztof (AGH University of Science and Technology) | Faliszewski, Piotr (AGH Univesity of Science and Technology)
We consider the problem of predicting winners in elections given complete knowledge about all possible candidates, all possible voters (together with their preferences), but in the case where it is uncertain either which candidates exactly register for the election or which voters cast their votes. Under reasonable assumptions our problems reduce to counting variants of election control problems. We either give polynomial-time algorithms or prove #P-completeness results for counting variants of control by adding/deleting candidates/voters for Plurality, k -Approval, Approval, Condorcet, and Maximin voting rules.