Trajectory prediction is an important task that involves modeling the indeterminate nature of traffic actors to forecast future trajectories given the observed trajectory sequences. However, current methods confine themselves to presumed data manifolds, assuming that trajectories strictly adhere to these manifolds, resulting in overly simplified predictions. To this end, we propose a novel approach called SSWNP (Self-Supervised Waypoint Noise Prediction). In our approach, we first create clean and noise-augmented views of past observed trajectories across the spatial domain of waypoints. We then compel the trajectory prediction model to maintain spatial consistency between predictions from these two views, in addition to the trajectory prediction task. Introducing the noise-augmented view mitigates the model's reliance on a narrow interpretation of the data manifold, enabling it to learn more plausible and diverse representations. We also predict the noise present in the two views of past observed trajectories as an auxiliary self-supervised task, enhancing the model's understanding of the underlying representation and future predictions. Empirical evidence demonstrates that the incorporation of SSWNP into the model learning process significantly improves performance, even in noisy environments, when compared to baseline methods. Our approach can complement existing trajectory prediction methods. To showcase the effectiveness of our approach, we conducted extensive experiments on three datasets: NBA Sports VU, ETH-UCY, and TrajNet++, with experimental results highlighting the substantial improvement achieved in trajectory prediction tasks.

Abstract--Multi-Agent Combinatorial Path Finding (MCPF) seeks collision-free paths for multiple agents from their initial locations to destinations, visiting a set of intermediate target locations in the middle of the paths, while minimizing the sum of arrival times. While a few approaches have been developed to handle MCPF, most of them simply direct the agent to visit the targets without considering the task duration, i.e., the amount of time needed for an agent to execute the task (such as picking an item) at a target location. MCPF is NP-hard to solve to optimality, and the inclusion of task duration further complicates the problem. This paper investigates heterogeneous task duration, where the duration can be different with respect to both the agents and targets. We develop two methods, where the first method post-processes the paths planned by any MCPF planner to include the task duration and has no solution optimality guarantee; and the second method considers task duration during planning and is able to ensure solution optimality. The numerical and simulation results show that our methods can handle up to 20 agents and 50 targets in the presence of task duration, and can execute the paths subject to robot motion disturbance.

The inherently diverse and uncertain nature of trajectories presents a formidable challenge in accurately modeling them. Motion prediction systems must effectively learn spatial and temporal information from the past to forecast the future trajectories of the agent. Many existing methods learn temporal motion via separate components within stacked models to capture temporal features. Furthermore, prediction methods often operate under the assumption that observed trajectory waypoint sequences are complete, disregarding scenarios where missing values may occur, which can influence their performance. Moreover, these models may be biased toward particular waypoint sequences when making predictions. We propose a novel approach called Temporal Waypoint Dropping (TWD) that explicitly incorporates temporal dependencies during the training of a trajectory prediction model. By stochastically dropping waypoints from past observed trajectories, the model is forced to learn the underlying temporal representation from the remaining waypoints, resulting in an improved model. Incorporating stochastic temporal waypoint dropping into the model learning process significantly enhances its performance in scenarios with missing values. Experimental results demonstrate our approach's substantial improvement in trajectory prediction capabilities. Our approach can complement existing trajectory prediction methods to improve their prediction accuracy. We evaluate our proposed approach on three datasets: NBA Sports VU, ETH-UCY, and TrajNet++.

"social sciences" for agent community may also be derived. Similarity is established with the human social sciences serving as the baseline. Since there exist inherent differences in the way agents and human act, the "social sciences" for agent society may also be Similar to the common methodology in human social different from that for human society.

Countries with access to large bodies of water often aim to protect their maritime transport by employing maritime surveillance systems. However, the number of available sensors (e.g., cameras) is typically small compared to the to-be-monitored targets, and their Field of View (FOV) and range are often limited. This makes improving the situational awareness of maritime transports challenging. To this end, we propose a method that not only distributes multiple sensors but also plans paths for them to observe multiple targets, while minimizing the time needed to achieve situational awareness. In particular, we provide a formulation of this sensor allocation and path planning problem which considers the partial awareness of the targets' state, as well as the unawareness of the targets' trajectories. To solve the problem we present two algorithms: 1) a greedy algorithm for assigning sensors to targets, and 2) a distributed multi-agent path planning algorithm based on regret-matching learning. Because a quick convergence is a requirement for algorithms developed for high mobility environments, we employ a forgetting factor to quickly converge to correlated equilibrium solutions. Experimental results show that our combined approach achieves situational awareness more quickly than related work.

In this study, we present a novel paradigm for industrial robotic embodied agents, encapsulating an 'agent as cerebrum, controller as cerebellum' architecture. Our approach harnesses the power of Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) within an agent framework known as AeroAgent, tailored for drone technology in industrial settings. To facilitate seamless integration with robotic systems, we introduce ROSchain, a bespoke linkage framework connecting LMM-based agents to the Robot Operating System (ROS). We report findings from extensive empirical research, including simulated experiments on the Airgen and real-world case study, particularly in individual search and rescue operations. The results demonstrate AeroAgent's superior performance in comparison to existing Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL)-based agents, highlighting the advantages of the embodied LMM in complex, real-world scenarios.

We present a hydrodynamic simulation system using the GPU compute shaders of DirectX for simulating virtual agent behaviors and navigation inside a smoothed particle hydrodynamical (SPH) fluid environment with real-time water mesh surface reconstruction. The current SPH literature includes interactions between SPH and heterogeneous meshes but seldom involves interactions between SPH and virtual boid agents. The contribution of the system lies in the combination of the parallel smoothed particle hydrodynamics model with the distributed boid model of virtual agents to enable agents to interact with fluids. The agents based on the boid algorithm influence the motion of SPH fluid particles, and the forces from the SPH algorithm affect the movement of the boids. To enable realistic fluid rendering and simulation in a particle-based system, it is essential to construct a mesh from the particle attributes. Our system also contributes to the surface reconstruction aspect of the pipeline, in which we performed a set of experiments with the parallel marching cubes algorithm per frame for constructing the mesh from the fluid particles in a real-time compute and memory-intensive application, producing a wide range of triangle configurations. We also demonstrate that our system is versatile enough for reinforced robotic agents instead of boid agents to interact with the fluid environment for underwater navigation and remote control engineering purposes.

Equipping drones with target search capabilities is highly desirable for applications in disaster rescue and smart warehouse delivery systems. Multiple intelligent drones that can collaborate with each other and maneuver among obstacles show more effectiveness in accomplishing tasks in a shorter amount of time. However, carrying out collaborative target search (CTS) without prior target information is extremely challenging, especially with a visual drone swarm. In this work, we propose a novel data-efficient deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approach called adaptive curriculum embedded multistage learning (ACEMSL) to address these challenges, mainly 3-D sparse reward space exploration with limited visual perception and collaborative behavior requirements. Specifically, we decompose the CTS task into several subtasks including individual obstacle avoidance, target search, and inter-agent collaboration, and progressively train the agents with multistage learning. Meanwhile, an adaptive embedded curriculum (AEC) is designed, where the task difficulty level (TDL) can be adaptively adjusted based on the success rate (SR) achieved in training. ACEMSL allows data-efficient training and individual-team reward allocation for the visual drone swarm. Furthermore, we deploy the trained model over a real visual drone swarm and perform CTS operations without fine-tuning. Extensive simulations and real-world flight tests validate the effectiveness and generalizability of ACEMSL. The project is available at https://github.com/NTU-UAVG/CTS-visual-drone-swarm.git.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is one of the most transformative technologies of the 21st century. The extent and scope of future AI capabilities remain a key uncertainty, with widespread disagreement on timelines and potential impacts. As nations and technology companies race toward greater complexity and autonomy in AI systems, there are concerns over the extent of integration and oversight of opaque AI decision processes. This is especially true in the subfield of machine learning (ML), where systems learn to optimize objectives without human assistance. Objectives can be imperfectly specified or executed in an unexpected or potentially harmful way. This becomes more concerning as systems increase in power and autonomy, where an abrupt capability jump could result in unexpected shifts in power dynamics or even catastrophic failures. This study presents a hierarchical complex systems framework to model AI risk and provide a template for alternative futures analysis. Survey data were collected from domain experts in the public and private sectors to classify AI impact and likelihood. The results show increased uncertainty over the powerful AI agent scenario, confidence in multiagent environments, and increased concern over AI alignment failures and influence-seeking behavior.

Information exchange in multi-agent systems improves the cooperation among agents, especially in partially observable settings. In the real world, communication is often carried out over imperfect channels. This requires agents to handle uncertainty due to potential information loss. In this paper, we consider a cooperative multi-agent system where the agents act and exchange information in a decentralized manner using a limited and unreliable channel. To cope with such channel constraints, we propose a novel communication approach based on independent Q-learning. Our method allows agents to dynamically adapt how much information to share by sending messages of different sizes, depending on their local observations and the channel's properties. In addition to this message size selection, agents learn to encode and decode messages to improve their jointly trained policies. We show that our approach outperforms approaches without adaptive capabilities in a novel cooperative digit-prediction environment and discuss its limitations in the traffic junction environment.