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A Systematic Mapping Study of Digital Twins for Diagnosis in Transportation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, digital twins have been proposed and implemented in various fields with potential applications ranging from prototyping to maintenance. Going forward, they are to enable numerous efficient and sustainable technologies, among them autonomous cars. However, despite a large body of research in many fields, academics have yet to agree on what exactly a digital twin is -- and as a result, what its capabilities and limitations might be. To further our understanding, we explore the capabilities of digital twins concerning diagnosis in the field of transportation. We conduct a systematic mapping study including digital twins of vehicles and their components, as well as transportation infrastructure. We discovered that few papers on digital twins describe any diagnostic process. Furthermore, most existing approaches appear limited to system monitoring or fault detection. These findings suggest that we need more research for diagnostic reasoning utilizing digital twins.


Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning with centralized training and decentralized execution for transportation infrastructure management

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimal management of cross-asset infrastructure is a complex problem that requires adept inspection and maintenance policies addressing stochastic degradation impacts. According to the 2021 ASCE infrastructure report card [1], the US infrastructure is in fair to poor condition, earning a cumulative grade of C-, with components nearing the end of their useful lives and at high risk of failure. Pavements and bridges are indicative examples of inadequate infrastructure. One in every five miles of pavements is in poor condition, and 7.5% of bridges are structurally deficient. Economic analyses indicate that the US Department of Transportation fell 50% short of the funds required to sustain the national transportation system [1], which is also reflected in the available resources at individual State transportation agencies. The Virginia Department of Transportation, for example, reported that 50% of the State's bridges have exceeded their useful lives, and the required funds to replace them are five times greater than the estimated available funds over the next fifty years [2]. Inspection and Maintenance (I&M) policies are therefore indispensable towards efficiently distributing available economic and environmental resources for transportation systems. Making optimal decisions in complex and uncertain environments presents a variety of difficulties, including heterogeneity of asset classes, a high number of components resulting in vast state and action spaces, unreliable observations, limited availability of resources, and several related risks. Optimal solutions that define inspection and maintenance policies should thus incorporate concepts such as (i) online and offline data learning, (ii) imperfect information support, (iii) stochastic action outcomes considerations, and (iv) optimization of long-term goals under multiple constraints (e.g., safety targets or resource constraints).


Towards a prioritised use of transportation infrastructures: the case of vehicle-specific dynamic access restrictions to city centres

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the main problems that local authorities of large cities have to face is the regulation of urban mobility. They need to provide the means to allow for the efficient movement of people and distribution of goods. However, the provisioning of transportation services needs to take into account general global objectives, like reducing emissions and having more healthy living environments, which may not always be aligned with individual interests. Urban mobility is usually provided through a transport infrastructure that includes all the elements that support mobility. On many occasions, the capacity of the elements of this infrastructure is lower than the actual demand and thus different transportation activities compete for their use. In this paper, we argue that scarce transport infrastructure elements should be assigned dynamically and in a prioritised manner to transport activities that have a higher utility from the point of view of society; for example, activities that produce less pollution and provide more value to society. In this paper, we define a general model for prioritizing the use of a particular type of transportation infrastructure element called time-unlimited elements, whose usage time is unknown a priori, and illustrate its dynamics through two use cases: vehicle-specific dynamic access restriction in city centres (i) based on the usage levels of available parking spaces and (ii) to assure sustained admissible air quality levels in the city centre. We carry out several experiments using the SUMO traffic simulation tool to evaluate our proposal.


Streamlining Advanced Taxi Assignment Strategies based on Legal Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years many novel applications have appeared that promote the provision of services and activities in a collaborative manner. The key idea behind such systems is to take advantage of idle or underused capacities of existing resources, in order to provide improved services that assist people in their daily tasks, with additional functionality, enhanced efficiency, and/or reduced cost. Particularly in the domain of urban transportation, many researchers have put forward novel ideas, which are then implemented and evaluated through prototypes that usually draw upon AI methods and tools. However, such proposals also bring up multiple non-technical issues that need to be identified and addressed adequately if such systems are ever meant to be applied to the real world. While, in practice, legal and ethical aspects related to such AI-based systems are seldomly considered in the beginning of the research and development process, we argue that they not only restrict design decisions, but can also help guiding them. In this manuscript, we set out from a prototype of a taxi coordination service that mediates between individual (and autonomous) taxis and potential customers. After representing key aspects of its operation in a semi-structured manner, we analyse its viability from the viewpoint of current legal restrictions and constraints, so as to identify additional non-functional requirements as well as options to address them. Then, we go one step ahead, and actually modify the existing prototype to incorporate the previously identified recommendations. Performing experiments with this improved system helps us identify the most adequate option among several legally admissible alternatives.


Smart Recommendations for Renting Bikes in Bike Sharing Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vehicle-sharing systems -- such as bike-, car-, or motorcycle-sharing systems -- have become increasingly popular in big cities in recent years. On the one hand, they provide a cheaper and environmentally friendlier means of transportation than private cars, and on the other hand, they satisfy the individual mobility demands of citizens better than traditional public transport systems. One of their advantages in this regard is their availability, e.g., the possibility of taking (or leaving) a vehicle almost anywhere in a city. This availability obviously depends on different strategic and operational management decisions and policies, such as the dimension of the fleet or the (re)distribution of vehicles. Agglutination problems -- where, due to usage patterns, available vehicles are concentrated in certain areas, whereas no vehicles are available in others -- are quite common in such systems, and need to be dealt with. Research has been dedicated to this problem, specifying different techniques to reduce imbalanced situations. In this paper, we present and compare strategies for recommending stations to users who wish to rent or return bikes in station-based bike-sharing systems. Our first contribution is a novel recommendation strategy based on queuing theory that recommends stations based on their utility to the user in terms of lower distance and higher probability of finding a bike or slot. Then, we go one step further, defining a strategy that recommends stations by combining the utility of a particular user with the utility of the global system, measured in terms of the improvement in the distribution of bikes and slots with respect to the expected future demand, with the aim of implicitly avoiding or alleviating balancing problems. We present several experiments to evaluate our proposal with real data from the bike sharing system BiciMAD in Madrid.


Multi-Agent Dynamic Relational Reasoning for Social Robot Navigation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Social robot navigation can be helpful in various contexts of daily life but requires safe human-robot interactions and efficient trajectory planning. While modeling pairwise relations has been widely studied in multi-agent interacting systems, the ability to capture larger-scale group-wise activities is limited. In this paper, we propose a systematic relational reasoning approach with explicit inference of the underlying dynamically evolving relational structures, and we demonstrate its effectiveness for multi-agent trajectory prediction and social robot navigation. In addition to the edges between pairs of nodes (i.e., agents), we propose to infer hyperedges that adaptively connect multiple nodes to enable group-wise reasoning in an unsupervised manner. Our approach infers dynamically evolving relation graphs and hypergraphs to capture the evolution of relations, which the trajectory predictor employs to generate future states. Meanwhile, we propose to regularize the sharpness and sparsity of the learned relations and the smoothness of the relation evolution, which proves to enhance training stability and model performance. The proposed approach is validated on synthetic crowd simulations and real-world benchmark datasets. Experiments demonstrate that the approach infers reasonable relations and achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance. In addition, we present a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for social robot navigation, which incorporates relational reasoning and trajectory prediction systematically. In a group-based crowd simulation, our method outperforms the strongest baseline by a significant margin in terms of safety, efficiency, and social compliance in dense, interactive scenarios.


Natural Strategic Ability in Stochastic Multi-Agent Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Strategies synthesized using formal methods can be complex and often require infinite memory, which does not correspond to the expected behavior when trying to model Multi-Agent Systems (MAS). To capture such behaviors, natural strategies are a recently proposed framework striking a balance between the ability of agents to strategize with memory and the model-checking complexity, but until now has been restricted to fully deterministic settings. For the first time, we consider the probabilistic temporal logics PATL and PATL* under natural strategies (NatPATL and NatPATL*, resp.). As main result we show that, in stochastic MAS, NatPATL model-checking is NP-complete when the active coalition is restricted to deterministic strategies. We also give a 2NEXPTIME complexity result for NatPATL* with the same restriction. In the unrestricted case, we give an EXPSPACE complexity for NatPATL and 3EXPSPACE complexity for NatPATL*.


Transcending To Notions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Social identities play an important role in the dynamics of human societies, and it can be argued that some sense of identification with a larger cause or idea plays a critical role in making humans act responsibly. Often social activists strive to get populations to identify with some cause or notion -- like green energy, diversity, etc. in order to bring about desired social changes. We explore the problem of designing computational models for social identities in the context of autonomous AI agents. For this, we propose an agent model that enables agents to identify with certain notions and show how this affects collective outcomes. We also contrast between associations of identity with rational preferences. The proposed model is simulated in an application context of urban mobility, where we show how changes in social identity affect mobility patterns and collective outcomes.


On-Time Delivery in Crowdshipping Systems: An Agent-Based Approach Using Streaming Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In parcel delivery, the "last mile" from the parcel hub to the customer is costly, especially for time-sensitive delivery tasks that have to be completed within hours after arrival. Recently, crowdshipping has attracted increased attention as a new alternative to traditional delivery modes. In crowdshipping, private citizens ("the crowd") perform short detours in their daily lives to contribute to parcel delivery in exchange for small incentives. However, achieving desirable crowd behavior is challenging as the crowd is highly dynamic and consists of autonomous, self-interested individuals. Leveraging crowdshipping for time-sensitive deliveries remains an open challenge. In this paper, we present an agent-based approach to on-time parcel delivery with crowds. Our system performs data stream processing on the couriers' smartphone sensor data to predict delivery delays. Whenever a delay is predicted, the system attempts to forge an agreement for transferring the parcel from the current deliverer to a more promising courier nearby. Our experiments show that through accurate delay predictions and purposeful task transfers many delays can be prevented that would occur without our approach.


The Effect of Predictive Formal Modelling at Runtime on Performance in Human-Swarm Interaction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Formal Modelling is often used as part of the design and testing process of software development to ensure that components operate within suitable bounds even in unexpected circumstances. In this paper, we use predictive formal modelling (PFM) at runtime in a human-swarm mission and show that this integration can be used to improve the performance of human-swarm teams. We recruited 60 participants to operate a simulated aerial swarm to deliver parcels to target locations. In the PFM condition, operators were informed of the estimated completion times given the number of drones deployed, whereas in the No-PFM condition, operators did not have this information. The operators could control the mission by adding or removing drones from the mission and thereby, increasing or decreasing the overall mission cost. The evaluation of human-swarm performance relied on four key metrics: the time taken to complete tasks, the number of agents involved, the total number of tasks accomplished, and the overall cost associated with the human-swarm task. Our results show that PFM modelling at runtime improves mission performance without significantly affecting the operator's workload or the system's usability.