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 Regression


Gaussian Processes in Reinforcement Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

We exploit some useful properties of Gaussian process (GP) regression models for reinforcement learning in continuous state spaces and discrete time.We demonstrate how the GP model allows evaluation of the value function in closed form. The resulting policy iteration algorithm is demonstrated on a simple problem with a two dimensional state space. Further, we speculate that the intrinsic ability of GP models to characterise distributionsof functions would allow the method to capture entire distributions over future values instead of merely their expectation, which has traditionally been the focus of much of reinforcement learning.



Evolutionary design of photometric systems and its application to Gaia

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Designing a photometric system to best fulfil a set of scientific goals is a complex task, demanding a compromise between conflicting requirements and subject to various constraints. A specific example is the determination of stellar astrophysical parameters (APs) - effective temperature, metallicity etc. - across a wide range of stellar types. I present a novel approach to this problem which makes minimal assumptions about the required filter system. By considering a filter system as a set of free parameters it may be designed by optimizing some figure-of-merit (FoM) with respect to these parameters. In the example considered, the FoM is a measure of how well the filter system can `separate' stars with different APs. This separation is vectorial in nature, in the sense that the local directions of AP variance are preferably mutually orthogonal to avoid AP degeneracy. The optimization is carried out with an evolutionary algorithm, which uses principles of evolutionary biology to search the parameter space. This model, HFD (Heuristic Filter Design), is applied to the design of photometric systems for the Gaia space astrometry mission. The optimized systems show a number of interesting features, not least the persistence of broad, overlapping filters. These HFD systems perform as least as well as other proposed systems for Gaia, although inadequacies remain in all. The principles underlying HFD are quite generic and may be applied to filter design for numerous other projects, such as the search for specific types of objects or photometric redshift determination.


Shape Recipes: Scene Representations that Refer to the Image

Neural Information Processing Systems

The goal of low-level vision is to estimate an underlying scene, given an observed image. Real-world scenes (eg, albedos or shapes) can be very complex, conventionally requiring high dimensional representations which are hard to estimate and store. We propose a low-dimensional representation, called a scene recipe, that relies on the image itself to describe the complex scene configurations. Shape recipes are an example: these are the regression coefficients that predict the bandpassed shape from image data. We describe the benefits of this representation, and show two uses illustrating their properties: (1) we improve stereo shape estimates by learning shape recipes at low resolution and applying them at full resolution; (2) Shape recipes implicitly contain information about lighting and materials and we use them for material segmentation.


Spikernels: Embedding Spiking Neurons in Inner-Product Spaces

Neural Information Processing Systems

Inner-product operators, often referred to as kernels in statistical learning, define a mapping from some input space into a feature space. The focus of this paper is the construction of biologically-motivated kernels for cortical activities. The kernels we derive, termed Spikernels, map spike count sequences into an abstract vector space in which we can perform various prediction tasks. We discuss in detail the derivation of Spikernels and describe an efficient algorithm for computing their value on any two sequences of neural population spike counts. We demonstrate the merits of our modeling approach using the Spikernel and various standard kernels for the task of predicting hand movement velocities from cortical recordings. In all of our experiments all the kernels we tested outperform the standard scalar product used in regression with the Spikernel consistently achieving the best performance.



A Formulation for Minimax Probability Machine Regression

Neural Information Processing Systems

We formulate the regression problem as one of maximizing the minimum probability, symbolized by Ω, that future predicted outputs of the regression model will be within some ε bound of the true regression function. Our formulation is unique in that we obtain a direct estimate of this lower probability bound Ω. The proposed framework, minimax probability machine regression (MPMR), is based on the recently described minimax probability machine classification algorithm [Lanckriet et al.] and uses Mercer Kernels to obtain nonlinear regression models. MPMR is tested on both toy and real world data, verifying the accuracy of the Ω bound, and the efficacy of the regression models.


Learning to Detect Natural Image Boundaries Using Brightness and Texture

Neural Information Processing Systems

The goal of this work is to accurately detect and localize boundaries in natural scenes using local image measurements. We formulate features that respond to characteristic changes in brightness and texture associated with natural boundaries. In order to combine the information from these features in an optimal way, a classifier is trained using human labeled images as ground truth. We present precision-recall curves showing that the resulting detector outperforms existing approaches.


A Formulation for Minimax Probability Machine Regression

Neural Information Processing Systems

We formulate the regression problem as one of maximizing the minimum probability, symbolized by Ω, that future predicted outputs of the regression model will be within some ε bound of the true regression function. Our formulation is unique in that we obtain a direct estimate of this lower probability bound Ω. The proposed framework, minimax probability machine regression (MPMR), is based on the recently described minimax probability machine classification algorithm [Lanckriet et al.] and uses Mercer Kernels to obtain nonlinear regression models. MPMR is tested on both toy and real world data, verifying the accuracy of the Ω bound, and the efficacy of the regression models.