Regression
Simulating Human Ratings on Word Concreteness
Feng, Shi (University of Memphis) | Cai, Zhiqiang (University of Memphis) | Crossley, Scott (Georgia State University) | McNamara, Danielle S ( University of Memphis )
However, word concreteness is not an attribute that a A single word in the human language has many complex computer can directly compute. One means of assessing dimensions such as semantics, parts of speech, lexical type, the characteristics of words is by having humans rate them imagability, concreteness, familiarity, etc. It is important to on the dimensions of interest. Humans are proficient in know the dimensions of words in languages so that we can categorizing words into linguistic dimensions, but it is develop a better theoretical understanding of language and impractical to have humans rating tens of thousands of also to build tools that simulate human intelligence and words that we would need for psycholinguistic research.
Automated Assessment of Paragraph Quality: Introduction, Body, and Conclusion Paragraphs
Roscoe, Rod (University of Memphis) | Crossley, Scott (Georgia State University) | Weston, Jennifer (University of Memphis) | McNamara, Danielle (University of Memphis)
Natural language processing and statistical methods were used to identify linguistic features associated with the quality of student-generated paragraphs. Linguistic features were assessed using Coh-Metrix. The resulting computational models demonstrated small to medium effect sizes for predicting paragraph quality: introduction quality r2 = .25, body quality r2 = .10, and conclusion quality r2 = .11. Although the variance explained was somewhat low, the linguistic features identified were consistent with the rhetorical goals of paragraph types. Avenues for bolstering this approach by considering individual writing styles and techniques are considered.
Regression Conformal Prediction with Nearest Neighbours
Papadopoulos, H., Vovk, V., Gammerman, A.
In this paper we apply Conformal Prediction (CP) to the k-Nearest Neighbours Regression (k-NNR) algorithm and propose ways of extending the typical nonconformity measure used for regression so far. Unlike traditional regression methods which produce point predictions, Conformal Predictors output predictive regions that satisfy a given confidence level. The regions produced by any Conformal Predictor are automatically valid, however their tightness and therefore usefulness depends on the nonconformity measure used by each CP. In effect a nonconformity measure evaluates how strange a given example is compared to a set of other examples based on some traditional machine learning algorithm. We define six novel nonconformity measures based on the k-Nearest Neighbours Regression algorithm and develop the corresponding CPs following both the original (transductive) and the inductive CP approaches. A comparison of the predictive regions produced by our measures with those of the typical regression measure suggests that a major improvement in terms of predictive region tightness is achieved by the new measures.
Efficient Learning of Generalized Linear and Single Index Models with Isotonic Regression
Kakade, Sham, Kalai, Adam Tauman, Kanade, Varun, Shamir, Ohad
Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) and Single Index Models (SIMs) provide powerful generalizations of linear regression, where the target variable is assumed to be a (possibly unknown) 1-dimensional function of a linear predictor. In general, these problems entail non-convex estimation procedures, and, in practice, iterative local search heuristics are often used. Kalai and Sastry (2009) recently provided the first provably efficient method for learning SIMs and GLMs, under the assumptions that the data are in fact generated under a GLM and under certain monotonicity and Lipschitz constraints. However, to obtain provable performance, the method requires a fresh sample every iteration. In this paper, we provide algorithms for learning GLMs and SIMs, which are both computationally and statistically efficient. We also provide an empirical study, demonstrating their feasibility in practice.
Robust Nonparametric Regression via Sparsity Control with Application to Load Curve Data Cleansing
Mateos, Gonzalo, Giannakis, Georgios B.
Nonparametric methods are widely applicable to statistical inference problems, since they rely on a few modeling assumptions. In this context, the fresh look advocated here permeates benefits from variable selection and compressive sampling, to robustify nonparametric regression against outliers - that is, data markedly deviating from the postulated models. A variational counterpart to least-trimmed squares regression is shown closely related to an L0-(pseudo)norm-regularized estimator, that encourages sparsity in a vector explicitly modeling the outliers. This connection suggests efficient solvers based on convex relaxation, which lead naturally to a variational M-type estimator equivalent to the least-absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso). Outliers are identified by judiciously tuning regularization parameters, which amounts to controlling the sparsity of the outlier vector along the whole robustification path of Lasso solutions. Reduced bias and enhanced generalization capability are attractive features of an improved estimator obtained after replacing the L0-(pseudo)norm with a nonconvex surrogate. The novel robust spline-based smoother is adopted to cleanse load curve data, a key task aiding operational decisions in the envisioned smart grid system. Computer simulations and tests on real load curve data corroborate the effectiveness of the novel sparsity-controlling robust estimators.
Regularizers for Structured Sparsity
Micchelli, Charles A., Morales, Jean M., Pontil, Massimiliano
We study the problem of learning a sparse linear regression vector under additional conditions on the structure of its sparsity pattern. This problem is relevant in machine learning, statistics and signal processing. It is well known that a linear regression can benefit from knowledge that the underlying regression vector is sparse. The combinatorial problem of selecting the nonzero components of this vector can be "relaxed" by regularizing the squared error with a convex penalty function like the $\ell_1$ norm. However, in many applications, additional conditions on the structure of the regression vector and its sparsity pattern are available. Incorporating this information into the learning method may lead to a significant decrease of the estimation error. In this paper, we present a family of convex penalty functions, which encode prior knowledge on the structure of the vector formed by the absolute values of the regression coefficients. This family subsumes the $\ell_1$ norm and is flexible enough to include different models of sparsity patterns, which are of practical and theoretical importance. We establish the basic properties of these penalty functions and discuss some examples where they can be computed explicitly. Moreover, we present a convergent optimization algorithm for solving regularized least squares with these penalty functions. Numerical simulations highlight the benefit of structured sparsity and the advantage offered by our approach over the Lasso method and other related methods.
From Sparse Signals to Sparse Residuals for Robust Sensing
Kekatos, Vassilis, Giannakis, Georgios B.
One of the key challenges in sensor networks is the extraction of information by fusing data from a multitude of distinct, but possibly unreliable sensors. Recovering information from the maximum number of dependable sensors while specifying the unreliable ones is critical for robust sensing. This sensing task is formulated here as that of finding the maximum number of feasible subsystems of linear equations, and proved to be NP-hard. Useful links are established with compressive sampling, which aims at recovering vectors that are sparse. In contrast, the signals here are not sparse, but give rise to sparse residuals. Capitalizing on this form of sparsity, four sensing schemes with complementary strengths are developed. The first scheme is a convex relaxation of the original problem expressed as a second-order cone program (SOCP). It is shown that when the involved sensing matrices are Gaussian and the reliable measurements are sufficiently many, the SOCP can recover the optimal solution with overwhelming probability. The second scheme is obtained by replacing the initial objective function with a concave one. The third and fourth schemes are tailored for noisy sensor data. The noisy case is cast as a combinatorial problem that is subsequently surrogated by a (weighted) SOCP. Interestingly, the derived cost functions fall into the framework of robust multivariate linear regression, while an efficient block-coordinate descent algorithm is developed for their minimization. The robust sensing capabilities of all schemes are verified by simulated tests.
Clustered regression with unknown clusters
We consider a collection of prediction experiments, which are clustered in the sense that groups of experiments ex- hibit similar relationship between the predictor and response variables. The experiment clusters as well as the regres- sion relationships are unknown. The regression relation- ships define the experiment clusters, and in general, the predictor and response variables may not exhibit any clus- tering. We call this prediction problem clustered regres- sion with unknown clusters (CRUC) and in this paper we focus on linear regression. We study and compare several methods for CRUC, demonstrate their applicability to the Yahoo Learning-to-rank Challenge (YLRC) dataset, and in- vestigate an associated mathematical model. CRUC is at the crossroads of many prior works and we study several prediction algorithms with diverse origins: an adaptation of the expectation-maximization algorithm, an approach in- spired by K-means clustering, the singular value threshold- ing approach to matrix rank minimization under quadratic constraints, an adaptation of the Curds and Whey method in multiple regression, and a local regression (LoR) scheme reminiscent of neighborhood methods in collaborative filter- ing. Based on empirical evaluation on the YLRC dataset as well as simulated data, we identify the LoR method as a good practical choice: it yields best or near-best prediction performance at a reasonable computational load, and it is less sensitive to the choice of the algorithm parameter. We also provide some analysis of the LoR method for an asso- ciated mathematical model, which sheds light on optimal parameter choice and prediction performance.
Support union recovery in high-dimensional multivariate regression
Obozinski, Guillaume, Wainwright, Martin J., Jordan, Michael I.
In multivariate regression, a $K$-dimensional response vector is regressed upon a common set of $p$ covariates, with a matrix $B^*\in\mathbb{R}^{p\times K}$ of regression coefficients. We study the behavior of the multivariate group Lasso, in which block regularization based on the $\ell_1/\ell_2$ norm is used for support union recovery, or recovery of the set of $s$ rows for which $B^*$ is nonzero. Under high-dimensional scaling, we show that the multivariate group Lasso exhibits a threshold for the recovery of the exact row pattern with high probability over the random design and noise that is specified by the sample complexity parameter $\theta(n,p,s):=n/[2\psi(B^*)\log(p-s)]$. Here $n$ is the sample size, and $\psi(B^*)$ is a sparsity-overlap function measuring a combination of the sparsities and overlaps of the $K$-regression coefficient vectors that constitute the model. We prove that the multivariate group Lasso succeeds for problem sequences $(n,p,s)$ such that $\theta(n,p,s)$ exceeds a critical level $\theta_u$, and fails for sequences such that $\theta(n,p,s)$ lies below a critical level $\theta_{\ell}$. For the special case of the standard Gaussian ensemble, we show that $\theta_{\ell}=\theta_u$ so that the characterization is sharp. The sparsity-overlap function $\psi(B^*)$ reveals that, if the design is uncorrelated on the active rows, $\ell_1/\ell_2$ regularization for multivariate regression never harms performance relative to an ordinary Lasso approach and can yield substantial improvements in sample complexity (up to a factor of $K$) when the coefficient vectors are suitably orthogonal. For more general designs, it is possible for the ordinary Lasso to outperform the multivariate group Lasso. We complement our analysis with simulations that demonstrate the sharpness of our theoretical results, even for relatively small problems.
Stochastic Stepwise Ensembles for Variable Selection
In this article, we advocate the ensemble approach for variable selection. We point out that the stochastic mechanism used to generate the variable-selection ensemble (VSE) must be picked with care. We construct a VSE using a stochastic stepwise algorithm, and compare its performance with numerous state-of-the-art algorithms.