Regression
Statistical Consistency of Finite-dimensional Unregularized Linear Classification
This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through feature maps; in this way, in addition to treating the consistency of logistic regression, this analysis also handles boosting over a finite weak learning class with, for instance, the exponential, logistic, and hinge losses. In this finite-dimensional setting, it is still possible to fit arbitrary decision boundaries: scaling the complexity of the weak learning class with the sample size leads to the optimal classification risk almost surely.
The Generalization Ability of Online Algorithms for Dependent Data
Agarwal, Alekh, Duchi, John C.
We study the generalization performance of online learning algorithms trained on samples coming from a dependent source of data. We show that the generalization error of any stable online algorithm concentrates around its regret--an easily computable statistic of the online performance of the algorithm--when the underlying ergodic process is $\beta$- or $\phi$-mixing. We show high probability error bounds assuming the loss function is convex, and we also establish sharp convergence rates and deviation bounds for strongly convex losses and several linear prediction problems such as linear and logistic regression, least-squares SVM, and boosting on dependent data. In addition, our results have straightforward applications to stochastic optimization with dependent data, and our analysis requires only martingale convergence arguments; we need not rely on more powerful statistical tools such as empirical process theory.
Kullback-Leibler aggregation and misspecified generalized linear models
In a regression setup with deterministic design, we study the pure aggregation problem and introduce a natural extension from the Gaussian distribution to distributions in the exponential family. While this extension bears strong connections with generalized linear models, it does not require identifiability of the parameter or even that the model on the systematic component is true. It is shown that this problem can be solved by constrained and/or penalized likelihood maximization and we derive sharp oracle inequalities that hold both in expectation and with high probability. Finally all the bounds are proved to be optimal in a minimax sense.
Sparse Approximation via Penalty Decomposition Methods
In this paper we consider sparse approximation problems, that is, general $l_0$ minimization problems with the $l_0$-"norm" of a vector being a part of constraints or objective function. In particular, we first study the first-order optimality conditions for these problems. We then propose penalty decomposition (PD) methods for solving them in which a sequence of penalty subproblems are solved by a block coordinate descent (BCD) method. Under some suitable assumptions, we establish that any accumulation point of the sequence generated by the PD methods satisfies the first-order optimality conditions of the problems. Furthermore, for the problems in which the $l_0$ part is the only nonconvex part, we show that such an accumulation point is a local minimizer of the problems. In addition, we show that any accumulation point of the sequence generated by the BCD method is a saddle point of the penalty subproblem. Moreover, for the problems in which the $l_0$ part is the only nonconvex part, we establish that such an accumulation point is a local minimizer of the penalty subproblem. Finally, we test the performance of our PD methods by applying them to sparse logistic regression, sparse inverse covariance selection, and compressed sensing problems. The computational results demonstrate that our methods generally outperform the existing methods in terms of solution quality and/or speed.
Language-Constraint Reachability Learning in Probabilistic Graphs
Taranto, Claudio, Di Mauro, Nicola, Esposito, Floriana
The probabilistic graphs framework models the uncertainty inherent in real-world domains by means of probabilistic edges whose value quantifies the likelihood of the edge existence or the strength of the link it represents. The goal of this paper is to provide a learning method to compute the most likely relationship between two nodes in a framework based on probabilistic graphs. In particular, given a probabilistic graph we adopted the language-constraint reachability method to compute the probability of possible interconnections that may exists between two nodes. Each of these connections may be viewed as feature, or a factor, between the two nodes and the corresponding probability as its weight. Each observed link is considered as a positive instance for its corresponding link label. Given the training set of observed links a L2-regularized Logistic Regression has been adopted to learn a model able to predict unobserved link labels. The experiments on a real world collaborative filtering problem proved that the proposed approach achieves better results than that obtained adopting classical methods.
Variance function estimation in high-dimensions
Kolar, Mladen, Sharpnack, James
We consider the high-dimensional heteroscedastic regression model, where the mean and the log variance are modeled as a linear combination of input variables. Existing literature on high-dimensional linear regres- sion models has largely ignored non-constant error variances, even though they commonly occur in a variety of applications ranging from biostatis- tics to finance. In this paper we study a class of non-convex penalized pseudolikelihood estimators for both the mean and variance parameters. We show that the Heteroscedastic Iterative Penalized Pseudolikelihood Optimizer (HIPPO) achieves the oracle property, that is, we prove that the rates of convergence are the same as if the true model was known. We demonstrate numerical properties of the procedure on a simulation study and real world data.
Emotion Expression 3-D Synthesis From Predicted Emotion Magnitudes
Calix, Ricardo A. (Purdue University Calumet)
Many studies have been conducted on how to detect emotion classes or magnitudes from multimedia information such as text, audio, and images. However, the methods that can use predicted emotion classes and magnitudes to render emotion expressions in Embodied Conversational Agents (ECA) are still unclear. This paper proposes a computer graphics methodology that uses predicted non-linear regression values to render facial expressions using mesh morphing techniques. Results of the rendering technique are presented and discussed.
Syntagmatic, Paradigmatic, and Automatic N-Gram Approaches to Assessing Essay Quality
Crossley, Scott (Georgia State University) | Cai, Zhiqiang (University of Memphis) | McNamara, Danielle S. (Arizona State University)
Computational indices related to n-gram production were developed in order to assess the potential for n-gram indices to predict human scores of essay quality. A regression analyses was conducted on a corpus of 313 argumentative essays. The analyses demonstrated that a variety of n-gram indices were highly correlated to essay quality, but were also highly correlated to the number of words in the text (although many of the n-gram indices were stronger predictors of writing quality than the number of words in a text). A second regression analysis was conducted on a corpus of 88 argumentative essays that were controlled for text length differences. This analysis demonstrated that n-gram indices were still strong predictors of essay quality when text length was not a factor.
A Comparative Study of Collaborative Filtering Algorithms
Lee, Joonseok, Sun, Mingxuan, Lebanon, Guy
Collaborative filtering is a rapidly advancing research area. Every year several new techniques are proposed and yet it is not clear which of the techniques work best and under what conditions. In this paper we conduct a study comparing several collaborative filtering techniques -- both classic and recent state-of-the-art -- in a variety of experimental contexts. Specifically, we report conclusions controlling for number of items, number of users, sparsity level, performance criteria, and computational complexity. Our conclusions identify what algorithms work well and in what conditions, and contribute to both industrial deployment collaborative filtering algorithms and to the research community.
Herding Dynamic Weights for Partially Observed Random Field Models
Learning the parameters of a (potentially partially observable) random field model is intractable in general. Instead of focussing on a single optimal parameter value we propose to treat parameters as dynamical quantities. We introduce an algorithm to generate complex dynamics for parameters and (both visible and hidden) state vectors. We show that under certain conditions averages computed over trajectories of the proposed dynamical system converge to averages computed over the data. Our "herding dynamics" does not require expensive operations such as exponentiation and is fully deterministic.