Regression
On Information Regularization
Corduneanu, Adrian, Jaakkola, Tommi S.
We formulate a principle for classification with the knowledge of the marginal distribution over the data points (unlabeled data). The principle is cast in terms of Tikhonov style regularization where the regularization penalty articulates the way in which the marginal density should constrain otherwise unrestricted conditional distributions. Specifically, the regularization penalty penalizes any information introduced between the examples and labels beyond what is provided by the available labeled examples. The work extends Szummer and Jaakkola's information regularization (NIPS 2002) to multiple dimensions, providing a regularizer independent of the covering of the space used in the derivation. We show in addition how the information regularizer can be used as a measure of complexity of the classification task with unlabeled data and prove a relevant sample-complexity bound. We illustrate the regularization principle in practice by restricting the class of conditional distributions to be logistic regression models and constructing the regularization penalty from a finite set of unlabeled examples.
Mixture model for designs in high dimensional regression and the LASSO
The LASSO is a recent technique for variable selection in the regression model \bean y & = & X\beta +\epsilon, \eean where $X\in \R^{n\times p}$ and $\epsilon$ is a centered gaussian i.i.d. noise vector $\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2I)$. The LASSO has been proved to perform exact support recovery for regression vectors when the design matrix satisfies certain algebraic conditions and $\beta$ is sufficiently sparse. Estimation of the vector $X\beta$ has also extensively been studied for the purpose of prediction under the same algebraic conditions on $X$ and under sufficient sparsity of $\beta$. Among many other, the coherence is an index which can be used to study these nice properties of the LASSO. More precisely, a small coherence implies that most sparse vectors, with less nonzero components than the order $n/\log(p)$, can be recovered with high probability if its nonzero components are larger than the order $\sigma \sqrt{\log(p)}$. However, many matrices occuring in practice do not have a small coherence and thus, most results which have appeared in the litterature cannot be applied. The goal of this paper is to study a model for which precise results can be obtained. In the proposed model, the columns of the design matrix are drawn from a Gaussian mixture model and the coherence condition is imposed on the much smaller matrix whose columns are the mixture's centers, instead of on $X$ itself. Our main theorem states that $X\beta$ is as well estimated as in the case of small coherence up to a correction parametrized by the maximal variance in the mixture model.
Sample-efficient Nonstationary Policy Evaluation for Contextual Bandits
Dudik, Miroslav, Erhan, Dumitru, Langford, John, Li, Lihong
We present and prove properties of a new offline policy evaluator for an exploration learning setting which is superior to previous evaluators. In particular, it simultaneously and correctly incorporates techniques from importance weighting, doubly robust evaluation, and nonstationary policy evaluation approaches. In addition, our approach allows generating longer histories by careful control of a bias-variance tradeoff, and further decreases variance by incorporating information about randomness of the target policy. Empirical evidence from synthetic and realworld exploration learning problems shows the new evaluator successfully unifies previous approaches and uses information an order of magnitude more efficiently.
Local optima networks and the performance of iterated local search
Daolio, Fabio, Verel, Sรฉbastien, Ochoa, Gabriela, Tomassini, Marco
Local Optima Networks (LONs) have been recently proposed as an alternative model of combinatorial fitness landscapes. The model compresses the information given by the whole search space into a smaller mathematical object that is the graph having as vertices the local optima and as edges the possible weighted transitions between them. A new set of metrics can be derived from this model that capture the distribution and connectivity of the local optima in the underlying configuration space. This paper departs from the descriptive analysis of local optima networks, and actively studies the correlation between network features and the performance of a local search heuristic. The NK family of landscapes and the Iterated Local Search metaheuristic are considered. With a statistically-sound approach based on multiple linear regression, it is shown that some LONs' features strongly influence and can even partly predict the performance of a heuristic search algorithm. This study validates the expressive power of LONs as a model of combinatorial fitness landscapes.
Group Model Selection Using Marginal Correlations: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
Bajwa, Waheed U., Mixon, Dustin G.
Group model selection is the problem of determining a small subset of groups of predictors (e.g., the expression data of genes) that are responsible for majority of the variation in a response variable (e.g., the malignancy of a tumor). This paper focuses on group model selection in high-dimensional linear models, in which the number of predictors far exceeds the number of samples of the response variable. Existing works on high-dimensional group model selection either require the number of samples of the response variable to be significantly larger than the total number of predictors contributing to the response or impose restrictive statistical priors on the predictors and/or nonzero regression coefficients. This paper provides comprehensive understanding of a low-complexity approach to group model selection that avoids some of these limitations. The proposed approach, termed Group Thresholding (GroTh), is based on thresholding of marginal correlations of groups of predictors with the response variable and is reminiscent of existing thresholding-based approaches in the literature. The most important contribution of the paper in this regard is relating the performance of GroTh to a polynomial-time verifiable property of the predictors for the general case of arbitrary (random or deterministic) predictors and arbitrary nonzero regression coefficients.
Feature Subset Selection for Software Cost Modelling and Estimation
Papatheocharous, Efi, Papadopoulos, Harris, Andreou, Andreas S.
Feature selection has been recently used in the area of software engineering for improving the accuracy and robustness of software cost models. The idea behind selecting the most informative subset of features from a pool of available cost drivers stems from the hypothesis that reducing the dimensionality of datasets will significantly minimise the complexity and time required to reach to an estimation using a particular modelling technique. This work investigates the appropriateness of attributes, obtained from empirical project databases and aims to reduce the cost drivers used while preserving performance. Finding suitable subset selections that may cater improved predictions may be considered as a pre-processing step of a particular technique employed for cost estimation (filter or wrapper) or an internal (embedded) step to minimise the fitting error. This paper compares nine relatively popular feature selection methods and uses the empirical values of selected attributes recorded in the ISBSG and Desharnais datasets to estimate software development effort.
Smooth Sparse Coding via Marginal Regression for Learning Sparse Representations
Balasubramanian, Krishnakumar, Yu, Kai, Lebanon, Guy
We propose and analyze a novel framework for learning sparse representations, based on two statistical techniques: kernel smoothing and marginal regression. The proposed approach provides a flexible framework for incorporating feature similarity or temporal information present in data sets, via non-parametric kernel smoothing. We provide generalization bounds for dictionary learning using smooth sparse coding and show how the sample complexity depends on the L1 norm of kernel function used. Furthermore, we propose using marginal regression for obtaining sparse codes, which significantly improves the speed and allows one to scale to large dictionary sizes easily. We demonstrate the advantages of the proposed approach, both in terms of accuracy and speed by extensive experimentation on several real data sets. In addition, we demonstrate how the proposed approach could be used for improving semi-supervised sparse coding.
Robust Parametric Classification and Variable Selection by a Minimum Distance Criterion
We investigate a robust penalized logistic regression algorithm based on a minimum distance criterion. Influential outliers are often associated with the explosion of parameter vector estimates, but in the context of standard logistic regression, the bias due to outliers always causes the parameter vector to implode, that is shrink towards the zero vector. Thus, using LASSO-like penalties to perform variable selection in the presence of outliers can result in missed detections of relevant covariates. We show that by choosing a minimum distance criterion together with an Elastic Net penalty, we can simultaneously find a parsimonious model and avoid estimation implosion even in the presence of many outliers in the important small $n$ large $p$ situation. Implementation using an MM algorithm is described and performance evaluated.
Partial Gaussian Graphical Model Estimation
This paper studies the partial estimation of Gaussian graphical models from high-dimensional empirical observations. We derive a convex formulation for this problem using $\ell_1$-regularized maximum-likelihood estimation, which can be solved via a block coordinate descent algorithm. Statistical estimation performance can be established for our method. The proposed approach has competitive empirical performance compared to existing methods, as demonstrated by various experiments on synthetic and real datasets.
Tree-guided group lasso for multi-response regression with structured sparsity, with an application to eQTL mapping
We consider the problem of estimating a sparse multi-response regression function, with an application to expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) mapping, where the goal is to discover genetic variations that influence gene-expression levels. In particular, we investigate a shrinkage technique capable of capturing a given hierarchical structure over the responses, such as a hierarchical clustering tree with leaf nodes for responses and internal nodes for clusters of related responses at multiple granularity, and we seek to leverage this structure to recover covariates relevant to each hierarchically-defined cluster of responses. We propose a tree-guided group lasso, or tree lasso, for estimating such structured sparsity under multi-response regression by employing a novel penalty function constructed from the tree. We describe a systematic weighting scheme for the overlapping groups in the tree-penalty such that each regression coefficient is penalized in a balanced manner despite the inhomogeneous multiplicity of group memberships of the regression coefficients due to overlaps among groups. For efficient optimization, we employ a smoothing proximal gradient method that was originally developed for a general class of structured-sparsity-inducing penalties. Using simulated and yeast data sets, we demonstrate that our method shows a superior performance in terms of both prediction errors and recovery of true sparsity patterns, compared to other methods for learning a multivariate-response regression.