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 Regression


Retrieval of Experiments with Sequential Dirichlet Process Mixtures in Model Space

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We address the problem of retrieving relevant experiments given a query experiment, motivated by the public databases of datasets in molecular biology and other experimental sciences, and the need of scientists to relate to earlier work on the level of actual measurement data. Since experiments are inherently noisy and databases ever accumulating, we argue that a retrieval engine should possess two particular characteristics. First, it should compare models learnt from the experiments rather than the raw measurements themselves: this allows incorporating experiment-specific prior knowledge to suppress noise effects and focus on what is important. Second, it should be updated sequentially from newly published experiments, without explicitly storing either the measurements or the models, which is critical for saving storage space and protecting data privacy: this promotes life long learning. We formulate the retrieval as a ``supermodelling'' problem, of sequentially learning a model of the set of posterior distributions, represented as sets of MCMC samples, and suggest the use of Particle-Learning-based sequential Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) for this purpose. The relevance measure for retrieval is derived from the supermodel through the mixture representation. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed retrieval method on simulated data and molecular biological experiments.


Multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression for action recognition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the rapid development of social media sharing, people often need to manage the growing volume of multimedia data such as large scale video classification and annotation, especially to organize those videos containing human activities. Recently, manifold regularized semi-supervised learning (SSL), which explores the intrinsic data probability distribution and then improves the generalization ability with only a small number of labeled data, has emerged as a promising paradigm for semiautomatic video classification. In addition, human action videos often have multi-modal content and different representations. To tackle the above problems, in this paper we propose multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression (mHLR) for human action recognition. Compared with existing work, the advantages of mHLR lie in three folds: (1) mHLR combines multiple Hessian regularization, each of which obtained from a particular representation of instance, to leverage the exploring of local geometry; (2) mHLR naturally handle multi-view instances with multiple representations; (3) mHLR employs a smooth loss function and then can be effectively optimized. We carefully conduct extensive experiments on the unstructured social activity attribute (USAA) dataset and the experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression for human action recognition.


Exact Post Model Selection Inference for Marginal Screening

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop a framework for post model selection inference, via marginal screening, in linear regression. At the core of this framework is a result that characterizes the exact distribution of linear functions of the response $y$, conditional on the model being selected (``condition on selection" framework). This allows us to construct valid confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for regression coefficients that account for the selection procedure. In contrast to recent work in high-dimensional statistics, our results are exact (non-asymptotic) and require no eigenvalue-like assumptions on the design matrix $X$. Furthermore, the computational cost of marginal regression, constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis testing is negligible compared to the cost of linear regression, thus making our methods particularly suitable for extremely large datasets. Although we focus on marginal screening to illustrate the applicability of the condition on selection framework, this framework is much more broadly applicable. We show how to apply the proposed framework to several other selection procedures including orthogonal matching pursuit, non-negative least squares, and marginal screening+Lasso.


Regularization of $\ell_1$ minimization for dealing with outliers and noise in Statistics and Signal Recovery

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the robustness properties of $\ell_1$ norm minimization for the classical linear regression problem with a given design matrix and contamination restricted to the dependent variable. We perform a fine error analysis of the $\ell_1$ estimator for measurements errors consisting of outliers coupled with noise. We introduce a new estimation technique resulting from a regularization of $\ell_1$ minimization by inf-convolution with the $\ell_2$ norm. Concerning robustness to large outliers, the proposed estimator keeps the breakdown point of the $\ell_1$ estimator, and reduces to least squares when there are not outliers. We present a globally convergent forward-backward algorithm for computing our estimator and some numerical experiments confirming its theoretical properties.


Path Thresholding: Asymptotically Tuning-Free High-Dimensional Sparse Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we address the challenging problem of selecting tuning parameters for high-dimensional sparse regression. We propose a simple and computationally efficient method, called path thresholding (PaTh), that transforms any tuning parameter-dependent sparse regression algorithm into an asymptotically tuning-free sparse regression algorithm. More specifically, we prove that, as the problem size becomes large (in the number of variables and in the number of observations), PaTh performs accurate sparse regression, under appropriate conditions, without specifying a tuning parameter. In finite-dimensional settings, we demonstrate that PaTh can alleviate the computational burden of model selection algorithms by significantly reducing the search space of tuning parameters.


Swapping Variables for High-Dimensional Sparse Regression with Correlated Measurements

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the high-dimensional sparse linear regression problem of accurately estimating a sparse vector using a small number of linear measurements that are contaminated by noise. It is well known that the standard cadre of computationally tractable sparse regression algorithms---such as the Lasso, Orthogonal Matching Pursuit (OMP), and their extensions---perform poorly when the measurement matrix contains highly correlated columns. To address this shortcoming, we develop a simple greedy algorithm, called SWAP, that iteratively swaps variables until convergence. SWAP is surprisingly effective in handling measurement matrices with high correlations. In fact, we prove that SWAP outputs the true support, the locations of the non-zero entries in the sparse vector, under a relatively mild condition on the measurement matrix. Furthermore, we show that SWAP can be used to boost the performance of any sparse regression algorithm. We empirically demonstrate the advantages of SWAP by comparing it with several state-of-the-art sparse regression algorithms.


Important Molecular Descriptors Selection Using Self Tuned Reweighted Sampling Method for Prediction of Antituberculosis Activity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, a new descriptor selection method for selecting an optimal combination of important descriptors of sulfonamide derivatives data, named self tuned reweighted sampling (STRS), is developed. descriptors are defined as the descriptors with large absolute coefficients in a multivariate linear regression model such as partial least squares(PLS). In this study, the absolute values of regression coefficients of PLS model are used as an index for evaluating the importance of each descriptor Then, based on the importance level of each descriptor, STRS sequentially selects N subsets of descriptors from N Monte Carlo (MC) sampling runs in an iterative and competitive manner. In each sampling run, a fixed ratio (e.g. 80%) of samples is first randomly selected to establish a regresson model. Next, based on the regression coefficients, a two-step procedure including rapidly decreasing function (RDF) based enforced descriptor selection and self tuned sampling (STS) based competitive descriptor selection is adopted to select the important descriptorss. After running the loops, a number of subsets of descriptors are obtained and root mean squared error of cross validation (RMSECV) of PLS models established with subsets of descriptors is computed. The subset of descriptors with the lowest RMSECV is considered as the optimal descriptor subset. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated by sulfanomide derivative dataset. The results reveal an good characteristic of STRS that it can usually locate an optimal combination of some important descriptors which are interpretable to the biologically of interest. Additionally, our study shows that better prediction is obtained by STRS when compared to full descriptor set PLS modeling, Monte Carlo uninformative variable elimination (MC-UVE).


Prediction with Missing Data via Bayesian Additive Regression Trees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This article addresses prediction problems where covariate information is missing during model construction and is also missing in future observations for which we are obligated to generate a forecast. Our aim is to innovate a nonparametric statistical learning extension which incorporates missingness into both the training and the forecasting phases. In the spirit of nonparametric learning, we wish to incorporate the missingness in both phases automatically, without the need for pre-specified modeling. We limit our focus to tree-based statistical learning, which has demonstrated strong predictive performance and has consequently received considerable attention in recent years. State-of-the-art algorithms include Random Forests (RF, Breiman, 2001b), stochastic gradient boosting (Friedman, 2002), and Bayesian Additive and Regression Trees (BART, Chipman et al., 2010), the algorithm of interest in this study.


Non-negative least squares for high-dimensional linear models: consistency and sparse recovery without regularization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Least squares fitting is in general not useful for high-dimensional linear models, in which the number of predictors is of the same or even larger order of magnitude than the number of samples. Theory developed in recent years has coined a paradigm according to which sparsity-promoting regularization is regarded as a necessity in such setting. Deviating from this paradigm, we show that non-negativity constraints on the regression coefficients may be similarly effective as explicit regularization if the design matrix has additional properties, which are met in several applications of non-negative least squares (NNLS). We show that for these designs, the performance of NNLS with regard to prediction and estimation is comparable to that of the lasso. We argue further that in specific cases, NNLS may have a better $\ell_{\infty}$-rate in estimation and hence also advantages with respect to support recovery when combined with thresholding. From a practical point of view, NNLS does not depend on a regularization parameter and is hence easier to use.


Online Nonparametric Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition analogous to the i.i.d./statistical learning case, studied in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tsybakov 2013). In the frequently encountered situation when sequential entropy and i.i.d. empirical entropy match, our results point to the interesting phenomenon that the rates for statistical learning with squared loss and online nonparametric regression are the same. In addition to a non-algorithmic study of minimax regret, we exhibit a generic forecaster that enjoys the established optimal rates. We also provide a recipe for designing online regression algorithms that can be computationally efficient. We illustrate the techniques by deriving existing and new forecasters for the case of finite experts and for online linear regression.