Finally, a comprehensive hands-on machine learning course with specific focus on classification based models for the investment community and passionate investors. In the past few years, there has been a massive adoption and growth in the use of data science, artificial intelligence and machine learning to find alpha. However, information on and application of machine learning to investment are scarce. This course has been designed to address that. It is meant to spark your creative juices and get you started in this space.

Stochastic principal component analysis (SPCA) has become a popular dimensionality reduction strategy for large, high-dimensional datasets. We derive a simplified algorithm, called Lazy SPCA, which has reduced computational complexity and is better suited for large-scale distributed computation. We prove that SPCA and Lazy SPCA find the same approximations to the principal subspace, and that the pairwise distances between samples in the lower-dimensional space is invariant to whether SPCA is executed lazily or not. Empirical studies find downstream predictive performance to be identical for both methods, and superior to random projections, across a range of predictive models (linear regression, logistic lasso, and random forests). In our largest experiment with 4.6 million samples, Lazy SPCA reduced 43.7 hours of computation to 9.9 hours. Overall, Lazy SPCA relies exclusively on matrix multiplications, besides an operation on a small square matrix whose size depends only on the target dimensionality.

This course is a lead-in to deep learning and neural networks - it covers a popular and fundamental technique used in machine learning, data science and statistics: logistic regression. We cover the theory from the ground up: derivation of the solution, and applications to real-world problems. We show you how one might code their own logistic regression module in Python. This course does not require any external materials. Everything needed (Python, and some Python libraries) can be obtained for free.

When buying any of my courses, I also give you free coupons to the rest of my courses. Just send me a message after enrolling. Pay one course, get 5!! Linear regression is the primary workhorse in statistics and data science. Its high degree of flexibility allows it to model very different problems. We will review the theory, and we will concentrate on the R applications using real world data (R is a free statistical software used heavily in the industry and academia).

Motivated by the reconstruction and the prediction of electricity consumption, we extend Nonnegative Matrix Factorization~(NMF) to take into account side information (column or row features). We consider general linear measurement settings, and propose a framework which models non-linear relationships between features and the response variables. We extend previous theoretical results to obtain a sufficient condition on the identifiability of the NMF in this setting. Based the classical Hierarchical Alternating Least Squares~(HALS) algorithm, we propose a new algorithm (HALSX, or Hierarchical Alternating Least Squares with eXogeneous variables) which estimates the factorization model. The algorithm is validated on both simulated and real electricity consumption datasets as well as a recommendation dataset, to show its performance in matrix recovery and prediction for new rows and columns.

We use different equations depending on the number of output classes. With 2 classes, we will use binomial cross entropy for loss and more than 2 classes involves using the cross-entropy with softmax. Example of how to calculate the cross-entropy loss for a 3 class problem. With the multinomial cross entropy, you can see that we only keep the loss contribution from the correct class. Usually, with neural nets, this will be case if our ouputs are sparse (just 1 true class).

We consider the problem of nonparametric regression under shape constraints. The main examples include isotonic regression (with respect to any partial order), unimodal/convex regression, additive shape-restricted regression, and constrained single index model. We review some of the theoretical properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) in these problems, emphasizing on the adaptive nature of the LSE. In particular, we study the risk behavior of the LSE, and its pointwise limiting distribution theory, with special emphasis to isotonic regression. We survey various methods for constructing pointwise confidence intervals around these shape-restricted functions. We also briefly discuss the computation of the LSE and indicate some open research problems and future directions.

Differential privacy (DP), ever since its advent, has been a controversial object. On the one hand, it provides strong provable protection of individuals in a data set, on the other hand, it has been heavily criticized for being not practical, partially due to its complete independence to the actual data set it tries to protect. In this paper, we address this issue by a new and more fine-grained notion of differential privacy --- per instance differential privacy (pDP), which captures the privacy of a specific individual with respect to a fixed data set. We show that this is a strict generalization of the standard DP and inherits all its desirable properties, e.g., composition, invariance to side information and closedness to postprocessing, except that they all hold for every instance separately. When the data is drawn from a distribution, we show that per-instance DP implies generalization. Moreover, we provide explicit calculations of the per-instance DP for the output perturbation on a class of smooth learning problems. The result reveals an interesting and intuitive fact that an individual has stronger privacy if he/she has small "leverage score" with respect to the data set and if he/she can be predicted more accurately using the leave-one-out data set. Using the developed techniques, we provide a novel analysis of the One-Posterior-Sample (OPS) estimator and show that when the data set is well-conditioned it provides $(\epsilon,\delta)$-pDP for any target individuals and matches the exact lower bound up to a $1+\tilde{O}(n^{-1}\epsilon^{-2})$ multiplicative factor. We also propose AdaOPS which uses adaptive regularization to achieve the same results with $(\epsilon,\delta)$-DP. Simulation shows several orders-of-magnitude more favorable privacy and utility trade-off when we consider the privacy of only the users in the data set.

In many datasets, different parts of the data may have their own patterns of correlation, a structure that can be modeled as a mixture of local linear correlation models. The task of finding these mixtures is known as correlation clustering. In this work, we propose a linear correlation clustering method for datasets whose features are pre-divided into two views. The method, called Canonical Least Squares (CLS) clustering, is inspired by multi-output regression and Canonical Correlation Analysis. CLS clusters can be interpreted as variations in the regression relationship between the two views. The method is useful for data mining and data interpretation. Its utility is demonstrated on a synthetic dataset and stock market dataset.

We consider a graphical model where a multivariate normal vector is associated with each node of the underlying graph and estimate the graphical structure. We minimize a loss function obtained by regressing the vector at each node on those at the remaining ones under a group penalty. We show that the proposed estimator can be computed by a fast convex optimization algorithm. We show that as the sample size increases, the estimated regression coefficients and the correct graphical structure are correctly estimated with probability tending to one. By extensive simulations, we show the superiority of the proposed method over comparable procedures. We apply the technique on two real datasets. The first one is to identify gene and protein networks showing up in cancer cell lines, and the second one is to reveal the connections among different industries in the US. 1 2 Introduction