We propose a computationally efficient estimator, formulated as a convex program, for a broad class of non-linear regression problems that involve difference of convex (DC) non-linearities. The proposed method can be viewed as a significant extension of the "anchored regression" method formulated and analyzed in [9] for regression with convex non-linearities. Our main assumption, in addition to other mild statistical and computational assumptions, is availability of a certain approximation oracle for the average of the gradients of the observation functions at a ground truth. Under this assumption and using a PAC-Bayesian analysis we show that the proposed estimator produces an accurate estimate with high probability. As a concrete example, we study the proposed framework in the bilinear regression problem with Gaussian factors and quantify a sufficient sample complexity for exact recovery. Furthermore, we describe a computationally tractable scheme that provably produces the required approximation oracle in the considered bilinear regression problem.

Assume we are given a set of items from a general metric space, but we neither have access to the representation of the data nor to the distances between data points. Instead, suppose that we can actively choose a triplet of items (A,B,C) and ask an oracle whether item A is closer to item B or to item C. In this paper, we propose a novel random forest algorithm for regression and classification that relies only on such triplet comparisons. In the theory part of this paper, we establish sufficient conditions for the consistency of such a forest. In a set of comprehensive experiments, we then demonstrate that the proposed random forest is efficient both for classification and regression. In particular, it is even competitive with other methods that have direct access to the metric representation of the data.

We describe a new software framework for fast training of generalized linear models. The framework, named Snap Machine Learning (Snap ML), combines recent advances in machine learning systems and algorithms in a nested manner to reflect the hierarchical architecture of modern computing systems. We prove theoretically that such a hierarchical system can accelerate training in distributed environments where intra-node communication is cheaper than inter-node communication. Additionally, we provide a review of the implementation of Snap ML in terms of GPU acceleration, pipelining, communication patterns and software architecture, highlighting aspects that were critical for achieving high performance. We evaluate the performance of Snap ML in both single-node and multi-node environments, quantifying the benefit of the hierarchical scheme and the data streaming functionality, and comparing with other widely-used machine learning software frameworks. Finally, we present a logistic regression benchmark on the Criteo Terabyte Click Logs dataset and show that Snap ML achieves the same test loss an order of magnitude faster than any of the previously reported results.

Explaining the behavior of a black box machine learning model at the instance level is useful for building trust. However, it is also important to understand how the model behaves globally. Such an understanding provides insight into both the data on which the model was trained and the patterns that it learned. We present here an approach that learns if-then rules to globally explain the behavior of black box machine learning models that have been used to solve classification problems. The approach works by first extracting conditions that were important at the instance level and then evolving rules through a genetic algorithm with an appropriate fitness function. Collectively, these rules represent the patterns followed by the model for decisioning and are useful for understanding its behavior. We demonstrate the validity and usefulness of the approach by interpreting black box models created using publicly available data sets as well as a private digital marketing data set.

South African-based data scientists at Principa are at it again; this time using predictive analytics and machine learning to foretell the results of the 2018 Football World Cup. The 2018 FIFA World Cup kicks off tomorrow in Russia with the host nation taking on Saudi Arabia in Group A. Principa has already predicted the results for all the first games in the first round of matches. The company's data scientists use different algorithms to develop models that can predict the outcome of the matches. Principa notes that as the objective of machine learning is to develop models that can retrain themselves to adapt when exposed to new data, the algorithms will be re-trained with the results of each match to improve the accuracy of the following round's generated prediction. It points out that the purpose is to see how well different predictive analytics techniques used successfully in other areas can outperform the best human-made predictions.

This paper develops a computationally efficient posterior sampling algorithm for Bayesian linear regression models with Gaussian errors. Our new approach is motivated by the fact that existing software implementations for Bayesian linear regression do not readily handle problems with large number of observations (hundreds of thousands) and predictors (thousands). Moreover, existing sampling algorithms for popular shrinkage priors are bespoke Gibbs samplers based on case-specific latent variable representations. By contrast, the new algorithm does not rely on case-specific auxiliary variable representations, which allows for rapid prototyping of novel shrinkage priors outside the conditionally Gaussian framework. Specifically, we propose a slice-within-Gibbs sampler based on the elliptical slice sampler of Murray et al. [2010].

The implementation of optimal power flow (OPF) methods to perform voltage and power flow regulation in electric networks is generally believed to require communication. We consider distribution systems with multiple controllable Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) and present a data-driven approach to learn control policies for each DER to reconstruct and mimic the solution to a centralized OPF problem from solely locally available information. Collectively, all local controllers closely match the centralized OPF solution, providing near-optimal performance and satisfaction of system constraints. A rate distortion framework facilitates the analysis of how well the resulting fully decentralized control policies are able to reconstruct the OPF solution. Our methodology provides a natural extension to decide what buses a DER should communicate with to improve the reconstruction of its individual policy. The method is applied on both single- and three-phase test feeder networks using data from real loads and distributed generators. It provides a framework for Distribution System Operators to efficiently plan and operate the contributions of DERs to active distribution networks.

Get your team access to Udemy's top 2,500 courses anytime, anywhere. This course is a workshop on logistic regression using R.

Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in improved credit worthiness scores). Machine Learning technologies provide very good performance with minimal analyst intervention, making them well suited to a high volume analytic environment, but the majority are black box tools that provide very limited insight or interpretability into key drivers of model performance or predicted model output values. This paper presents a methodology that blends one of the most popular predictive statistical modeling methods for binary classification with a core model enhancement strategy found in machine learning. The resulting prediction methodology provides solid performance, from minimal analyst effort, while providing the interpretability and rationality required in regulated industries, as well as in other environments where interpretation of model parameters is required (e.g. businesses that require interpretation of models, to take action on them).

This paper proposes an inexpensive way to learn an effective dissimilarity function to be used for $k$-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) classification. Unlike Mahalanobis metric learning methods that map both query (unlabeled) objects and labeled objects to new coordinates by a single transformation, our method learns a transformation of labeled objects to new points in the feature space whereas query objects are kept in their original coordinates. This method has several advantages over existing distance metric learning methods: (i) In experiments with large document and image datasets, it achieves $k$-NN classification accuracy better than or at least comparable to the state-of-the-art metric learning methods. (ii) The transformation can be learned efficiently by solving a standard ridge regression problem. For document and image datasets, training is often more than two orders of magnitude faster than the fastest metric learning methods tested. This speed-up is also due to the fact that the proposed method eliminates the optimization over "negative" object pairs, i.e., objects whose class labels are different. (iii) The formulation has a theoretical justification in terms of reducing hubness in data.