In this paper, we propose a deep, globally normalized topic model that incorporates structural relationships connecting documents in socially generated corpora, such as online forums. Our model (1) captures discursive interactions along observed reply links in addition to traditional topic information, and (2) incorporates latent distributed representations arranged in a deep architecture, which enables a GPU-based mean-field inference procedure that scales efficiently to large data. We apply our model to a new social media dataset consisting of 13M comments mined from the popular internet forum Reddit, a domain that poses significant challenges to models that do not account for relationships connecting user comments. We evaluate against existing methods across multiple metrics including perplexity and metadata prediction, and qualitatively analyze the learned interaction patterns.

Regression-via-Classification (RvC) is the process of converting a regression problem to a classification one. Current approaches for RvC use ad-hoc discretization strategies and are suboptimal. We propose a neural regression tree model for RvC. In this model, we employ a joint optimization framework where we learn optimal discretization thresholds while simultaneously optimizing the features for each node in the tree. We empirically show the validity of our model by testing it on two challenging regression tasks where we establish the state of the art.

This article was posted by Sunil Ray. Sunil is a Business Analytics and Intelligence professional with deep experience in the Indian Insurance industry. Linear and Logistic regressions are usually the first algorithms people learn in predictive modeling. Due to their popularity, a lot of analysts even end up thinking that they are the only form of regressions. The ones who are slightly more involved think that they are the most important amongst all forms of regression analysis.

Modern massive datasets pose an enormous computational burden to practitioners. Distributed computation has emerged as a universal approach to ease the burden: Datasets are partitioned over machines, which compute locally, and communicate short messages. Distributed data also arises due to privacy reasons, such as in medicine. It is important to study how to do statistical inference and machine learning in a distributed setting. In this paper, we study one-step parameter averaging in statistical linear models under data parallelism. We do linear regression on each machine, and take a weighted average of the parameters. How much do we lose compared to doing linear regression on the full data? Here we study the performance loss in estimation error, test error, and confidence interval length in high dimensions, where the number of parameters is comparable to the training data size. We discover several key phenomena. First, averaging is not optimal, and we find the exact performance loss. Our results are simple to use in practice. Second, different problems are affected differently by the distributed framework. Estimation error and confidence interval length increases a lot, while prediction error increases much less. These results match simulations and a data analysis example. We rely on recent results from random matrix theory, where we develop a new calculus of deterministic equivalents as a tool of broader interest.

Hyper-kernels endowed by hyper-Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (hyper-RKHS) formulate the kernel learning task as learning on the space of kernels itself, which provides significant model flexibility for kernel learning with outstanding performance in real-world applications. However, the convergence behavior of these learning algorithms in hyper-RKHS has not been investigated in learning theory. In this paper, we conduct approximation analysis of kernel ridge regression (KRR) and support vector regression (SVR) in this space. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to study the approximation performance of regression in hyper-RKHS. For applications, we propose a general kernel learning framework conducted by the introduced two regression models to deal with the out-of-sample extensions problem, i.e., to learn a underlying general kernel from the pre-given kernel/similarity matrix in hyper-RKHS. Experimental results on several benchmark datasets suggest that our methods are able to learn a general kernel function from an arbitrary given kernel matrix.

The advanced feats we've seen machines do thus far have basically been examples of clever optimization techniques). So what does this learning process look like? First, weight and bias values are propagated forward through the model to arrive at a predicted output. At each neuron/node, the linear combination of the inputs is then multiplied by an activation function as described above-- the sigmoid function in our example. This process by which weights and biases are propagated from inputs to output is called forward propagation. After arriving at the predicted output, the loss for the training example is calculated.

Question: Why do you square the error in a regression machine learning task? Ans: "Why, of course, it turns out all the errors (residuals) into positive quantities!" Question: "OK, why not use a simpler absolute value function x to make all the errors positive?" Ans: "Aha, you are trying to trick me. Absolute value function is not differentiable everywhere!" Question: "That should not matter much for numerical algorithms. LASSO regression uses a term with absolute value and it can be handled.

Machine learning algorithms aim at minimizing the number of false decisions and increasing the accuracy of predictions. However, the high predictive power of advanced algorithms comes at the costs of transparency. State-of-the-art methods, such as neural networks and ensemble methods, often result in highly complex models that offer little transparency. We propose shallow model trees as a way to combine simple and highly transparent predictive models for higher predictive power without losing the transparency of the original models. We present a novel split criterion for model trees that allows for significantly higher predictive power than state-of-the-art model trees while maintaining the same level of simplicity. This novel approach finds split points which allow the underlying simple models to make better predictions on the corresponding data. In addition, we introduce multiple mechanisms to increase the transparency of the resulting trees.

In clinical practice and biomedical research, measurements are often collected sparsely and irregularly in time while the data acquisition is expensive and inconvenient. Examples include measurements of spine bone mineral density, cancer growth through mammography or biopsy, a progression of defect of vision, or assessment of gait in patients with neurological disorders. Since the data collection is often costly and inconvenient, estimation of progression from sparse observations is of great interest for practitioners. From the statistical standpoint, such data is often analyzed in the context of a mixed-effect model where time is treated as both random and fixed effect. Alternatively, researchers analyze Gaussian processes or functional data where observations are assumed to be drawn from a certain distribution of processes. These models are flexible but rely on probabilistic assumptions and require very careful implementation. In this study, we propose an alternative elementary framework for analyzing longitudinal data, relying on matrix completion. Our method yields point estimates of progression curves by iterative application of the SVD. Our framework covers multivariate longitudinal data, regression and can be easily extended to other settings. We apply our methods to understand trends of progression of motor impairment in children with Cerebral Palsy. Our model approximates individual progression curves and explains 30% of the variability. Low-rank representation of progression trends enables discovering that subtypes of Cerebral Palsy exhibit different progression trends.

Modern enterprise data science teams are technically diverse. The members of these teams differ in their education levels (bachelors, masters, PhD), majors (CS, statistics, natural sciences), prior work experiences (advertising, actuaries, finance, experimental physics) and used tools (Excel, SAS, R, Python, Java). One is more likely to find biology or computational neuroscience majors in data science teams today than in actuarial or financial firms of the past. But there is a more subtle difference than the ones listed above: team members with quantitative backgrounds may differ in exposure to the same set of concepts. Take the example of regression. Both engineering and statistics departments devote a portion of their curriculum to teaching line fitting.