Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a framework for black-box optimization that is especially suitable for expensive cost functions. Among the main parts of a BO algorithm, the acquisition function is of fundamental importance, since it guides the optimization algorithm by translating the uncertainty of the regression model in a utility measure for each point to be evaluated. Considering such aspect, selection and design of acquisition functions are one of the most popular research topics in BO. Since no single acquisition function was proved to have better performance in all tasks, a well-established approach consists of selecting different acquisition functions along the iterations of a BO execution. In such an approach, the GP-Hedge algorithm is a widely used option given its simplicity and good performance. Despite its success in various applications, GP-Hedge shows an undesirable characteristic of accounting on all past performance measures of each acquisition function to select the next function to be used. In this case, good or bad values obtained in an initial iteration may impact the choice of the acquisition function for the rest of the algorithm. This fact may induce a dominant behavior of an acquisition function and impact the final performance of the method. Aiming to overcome such limitation, in this work we propose a variant of GP-Hedge, named No-PASt-BO, that reduce the influence of far past evaluations. Moreover, our method presents a built-in normalization that avoids the functions in the portfolio to have similar probabilities, thus improving the exploration. The obtained results on both synthetic and real-world optimization tasks indicate that No-PASt-BO presents competitive performance and always outperforms GP-Hedge.

The recent decades have seen a surge of interests in distributed computing. Existing work focus primarily on either distributed computing platforms, data query tools, or, algorithms to divide big data and conquer at individual machines etc. It is, however, increasingly often that the data of interest are inherently distributed, i.e., data are stored at multiple distributed sites due to diverse collection channels, business operations etc. We propose to enable learning and inference in such a setting via a general framework based on the distortion minimizing local transformations. This framework only requires a small amount of local signatures to be shared among distributed sites, eliminating the need of having to transmitting big data. Computation can be done very efficiently via parallel local computation. The error incurred due to distributed computing vanishes when increasing the size of local signatures. As the shared data need not be in their original form, data privacy may also be preserved. Experiments on linear (logistic) regression and Random Forests have shown promise of this approach. This framework is expected to apply to a general class of tools in learning and inference with the continuity property.

In this post, I'll take a look at how you can compare regression models. Comparing regression models is perhaps one of the trickiest tasks to complete in the "comparing models" arena; The reason is that there are literally dozens of statistics you can calculate to compare regression models, including: This list isn't exhaustive--there are many other tools, tests and plots at your disposal. Rather than discuss the statistics in detail, I chose to focus this post on comparing a few of the most popular regression model evaluation techniques and discuss when you might want to use them (or when you might not want to). The techniques listed below tend to be on the "easier to use and understand" end of the spectrum, so if you're new to model comparison it's a good place to start. The first question you should be asking is: How well do I know my data?

Pricing a rental property on Airbnb is a challenging task for the owner as it determines the number of customers for the place. On the other hand, customers have to evaluate an offered price with minimal knowledge of an optimal value for the property. This paper aims to develop a reliable price prediction model using machine learning, deep learning, and natural language processing techniques to aid both the property owners and the customers with price evaluation given minimal available information about the property. Features of the rentals, owner characteristics, and the customer reviews will comprise the predictors, and a range of methods from linear regression to tree-based models, support-vector regression (SVR), K-means Clustering (KMC), and neural networks (NNs) will be used for creating the prediction model.

Many real-world datasets are labeled with natural orders, i.e., ordinal labels. Ordinal regression is a method to predict ordinal labels that finds a wide range of applications in data-rich science domains, such as medical, social and economic sciences. Most existing approaches work well for a single ordinal regression task. However, they ignore the task relatedness when there are multiple related tasks. Multi-task learning (MTL) provides a framework to encode task relatedness, to bridge data from all tasks, and to simultaneously learn multiple related tasks to improve the generalization performance. Even though MTL methods have been extensively studied, there is barely existing work investigating MTL for data with ordinal labels. We tackle multiple ordinal regression problems via sparse and deep multi-task approaches, i.e., two regularized multi-task ordinal regression (RMTOR) models for small datasets and two deep neural networks based multi-task ordinal regression (DMTOR) models for large-scale datasets. The performance of the proposed multi-task ordinal regression models (MTOR) is demonstrated on three real-world medical datasets for multi-stage disease diagnosis. Our experimental results indicate that our proposed MTOR models markedly improve the prediction performance comparing with single-task learning (STL) ordinal regression models.

Welcome to the video series on Introduction to Machine Learning with Scikit-Learn. This video contains Chapter - 6.1. In this chapter, I've explained our first Machine Learning algorithm called Linear Regression using just five data points for easy understanding This video describes what is Linear Regression and how we can use the same using Scikit-learn. In context of this algorithm, I've also explained the unified machine learning algorithm and how generic interface can be used for almost all ML algorithms using scikit-Learn Feel free to connect with me @ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/CodesBay

These days the concept of Machine Learning is evolving rapidly. The understanding of it is so vast and open that everyone is having their independent thoughts about it. Here I am putting mine. This blog is my experience with the learning algorithms. In this blog, we will get to know the basic difference between Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning.

Several multi-target regression methods were devel-oped in the last years aiming at improving predictive performanceby exploring inter-target correlation within the problem. However, none of these methods outperforms the others for all problems. This motivates the development of automatic approachesto recommend the most suitable multi-target regression method. In this paper, we propose a meta-learning system to recommend the best predictive method for a given multi-target regression problem. We performed experiments with a meta-dataset generated by a total of 648 synthetic datasets. These datasets were created to explore distinct inter-targets characteristics toward recommending the most promising method. In experiments, we evaluated four different algorithms with different biases as meta-learners. Our meta-dataset is composed of 58 meta-features, based on: statistical information, correlation characteristics, linear landmarking, from the distribution and smoothness of the data, and has four different meta-labels. Results showed that induced meta-models were able to recommend the best methodfor different base level datasets with a balanced accuracy superior to 70% using a Random Forest meta-model, which statistically outperformed the meta-learning baselines.

--The location-based social network, FourSquare, helps us to understand a city's mass human mobility. It provides data that characterises the volume of movements across regions and Places of Interests (POIs) to explore the crime dynamics of a city. T o fully exploit human movement into crime analysis, we propose the region risk factor which combines monthly aggregated crime and human movement of a region across different time intervals. We then derive a number of features using the region risk factor and conduct extensive experiments with real world data in multiple cities that verify the effectiveness of these features. One of the basic demands for every person in society is a safe and secure living space.

Decentralized consensus-based optimization is a general computational framework where a network of nodes cooperatively minimizes a sum of locally available cost functions via only local computation and communication. In this article, we survey recent advances on this topic, particularly focusing on decentralized, consensus-based, first-order gradient methods for large-scale stochastic optimization. The class of consensus-based stochastic optimization algorithms is communication-efficient, able to exploit data parallelism, robust in random and adversarial environments, and simple to implement, thus providing scalable solutions to a wide range of large-scale machine learning problems. We review different state-of-the-art decentralized stochastic optimization formulations, different variants of consensus-based procedures, and demonstrate how to obtain decentralized counterparts of centralized stochastic first-order methods. We provide several intuitive illustrations of the main technical ideas as well as applications of the algorithms in the context of decentralized training of machine learning models.