A logistic regression model is said to be statistically significant only when the p-Values are less than the pre-determined statistical significance level, which is ideally 0.05. The p-value for each coefficient is represented as a probability Pr( z). We see here that both the coefficients have a very low p-value which means that both the coefficients are essential in computing the response variable. The stars corresponding to the p-values indicate the significance of that respective variable. Since in our model, both the p values have a 3 star, this indicates that both the variables are extremely significant in predicting the response variable.

To keep things simple, we will start with running example in which we consider the problem of estimating the price of a house (e.g. in dollars) based on area (e.g. in square feet) and age (e.g. in years). In economics papers, it is common for authors to write out linear models in this format with a gigantic equation that spans multiple lines containing terms for every single feature. For the high-dimensional data that we often address in machine learning, writing out the entire model can be tedious. In these cases, we will find it more convenient to use linear algebra notation. Above, the vector \(\mathbf{x}\) corresponds to a single data point.

We present a detailed analysis of the class of regression decision tree algorithms which employ a regulized piecewise-linear node-splitting criterion and have regularized linear models at the leaves. From a theoretic standpoint, based on Rademacher complexity framework, we present new high-probability upper bounds for the generalization error for the proposed classes of regularized regression decision tree algorithms, including LASSO-type, and $\ell_{2}$ regularization for linear models at the leaves. Theoretical result are further extended by considering a general type of variable selection procedure. Furthermore, in our work we demonstrate that the class of piecewise-linear regression trees is not only numerically stable but can be made tractable via an algorithmic implementation, presented herein, as well as with the help of modern GPU technology. Empirically, we present results on multiple datasets which highlight the strengths and potential pitfalls, of the proposed tree algorithms compared to baselines which grow trees based on piecewise constant models.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) study and use is on the rise. Tools to enable AI are becoming more readily available, simpler to use and easier to implement. What's more is that the definition of AI itself has been broken down into ingredients that, when later applied into a recipe (or process), can provide multiple desired outcomes. One of the more important ingredients used in most recipes is Machine Learning. Machine Learning in essence is a way of teaching computers to provide more accurate predictions on provided data.

With the deluge of digitized information in the Big Data era, massive datasets are becoming increasingly available for learning predictive models. However, in many situations, the poor control of data acquisition processes may naturally jeopardize the outputs of machine-learning algorithms and selection bias issues are now the subject of much attention in the literature. It is precisely the purpose of the present article to investigate how to extend Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM), the main paradigm of statistical learning, when the training observations are generated from biased models, i.e. from distributions that are different from that of the data in the test/prediction stage. Precisely, we show how to build a "nearly debiased" training statistical population from biased samples and the related biasing functions following in the footsteps of the approach originally proposed in Vardi et al. (1985) and study, from a non asymptotic perspective, the performance of minimizers of an empirical version of the risk computed from the statistical population thus constructed. Remarkably, the learning rate achieved by this procedure is of the same order as that attained in absence of any selection bias phenomenon. Beyond these theoretical guarantees, illustrative experimental results supporting the relevance of the algorithmic approach promoted in this paper are also displayed.

I argue that regularizing terms in standard regression methods not only help against overfitting finite data, but sometimes also yield better causal models in the infinite sample regime. I first consider a multi-dimensional variable linearly influencing a target variable with some multi-dimensional unobserved common cause, where the confounding effect can be decreased by keeping the penalizing term in Ridge and Lasso regression even in the population limit. Choosing the size of the penalizing term, is however challenging, because cross validation is pointless. Here it is done by first estimating the strength of confounding via a method proposed earlier, which yielded some reasonable results for simulated and real data. Further, I prove a `causal generalization bound' which states (subject to a particular model of confounding) that the error made by interpreting any non-linear regression as causal model can be bounded from above whenever functions are taken from a not too rich class. In other words, the bound guarantees "generalization" from observational to interventional distributions, which is usually not subject of statistical learning theory (and is only possible due to the underlying symmetries of the confounder model).

Physical modeling of robotic system behavior is the foundation for controlling many robotic mechanisms to a satisfactory degree. Mechanisms are also typically designed in a way that good model accuracy can be achieved with relatively simple models and model identification strategies. If the modeling accuracy using physically based models is not enough or too complex, model-free methods based on machine learning techniques can help. Of particular interest to us was therefore the question to what degree semi-parametric modeling techniques, meaning combinations of physical models with machine learning, increase the modeling accuracy of inverse dynamics models which are typically used in robot control. To this end, we evaluated semi-parametric Gaussian process regression and a novel model-based neural network architecture, and compared their modeling accuracy to a series of naive semi-parametric, parametric-only and non-parametric-only regression methods. The comparison has been carried out on three test scenarios, one involving a real test-bed and two involving simulated scenarios, with the most complex scenario targeting the modeling a simulated robot's inverse dynamics model. We found that in all but one case, semi-parametric Gaussian process regression yields the most accurate models, also with little tuning required for the training procedure.

Fairness has emerged as a key issue in machine learning as it is increasingly used in areas like hiring [Dastin, 2018], healthcare[Gupta and Mohammad, 2017], and criminal justice [Equivant, 2019]. In particular, models' predictions should not lead to decisions that discriminate on the basis of a legally protected attribute, such as race or gender. Among the proposals to address this issue, a growing body of work focuses on learning et al., 2017, del Barrio et al., 2018, Feldmanfair representations of data for downstream modeling [Calmon 2015, Johndrow and Lum, 2019, Kamiran and Calders, 2012]. Most of these approaches are modelet al., agnostic, which provides flexibility when working with the learned representations, but comes at the cost of potentially suboptimal results in terms of both fairness and accuracy. In this work, we present a new approach for fair representation learning that takes into account the target hypothesis class of models that will be learned from the representation. Specifically, we show how to leverage information about the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) to learn a fair representation for kernel-based models with provable fairness and accuracy guarantees. Our approach builds on the classic Sufficient Dimension Reduction (SDR) framework [Li, 1991, Cook 1991, Cook, 1998, Fukumizu et al., 2004, 2009, Wu et al., 2009, Cook and Forzani, 2009]and Weisberg, which is used to compute a low-dimensional projection of the feature vector X that captures all information related to the response Y. Our key insight is that we can instead perform SDR with respect to the protected attributes S, and then take the orthogonal complement of the resulting projection to obtain a fair subspace of the RKHS that captures information in X unrelated to S. We show that functions in the fair subspace 2.2), and we leverage this fact to prove that our approachwill be independent of S under mild conditions (§

Integer-valued and count data are ubiquitous in many fields, including epidemiology (Osthus et al., 2018; Kowal, 2019), ecology (Dorazio et al., 2005), and insurance (Bening and Korolev, 2012), among others (Cameron and Trivedi, 2013). Count data also serve as an indicator of demand, such as the demand for medical services (Deb and Trivedi, 1997), emergency medical services (Matteson et al., 2011), and call center access (Shen and Huang, 2008). In these applications and many others, integer-valued data are frequently observed jointly with predictors, over time intervals, or across spatial locations. Integer-valued data also exhibit a variety of distributional features, including zero-inflation, skewness, over-or underdispersion, and in some cases may be bounded or censored. Flexible and interpretable models for integervalued processes are therefore highly useful in practice. The most widely-used models for count data build upon the Poisson distribution. However, the limitations of the Poisson distribution are well-known: the distribution is not sufficiently flexible in practice and cannot account for zero-inflation or over-and underdispersion. A common strategy is to generalize the Poisson model by introducing additional parameters.

We consider the problem of learning the link parameters as well as the structure of a binary-valued pairwise Markov model. We propose a method based on $l_1$- regularized logistic regression, which estimate globally the whole set of edges and link parameters. Unlike the more recent methods discussed in literature that learn the edges and the corresponding link parameters one node at a time, in this work we propose a method that learns all the edges and corresponding link parameters simultaneously for all nodes, in a global manner. The idea behind this proposal is to exploit the reciprocal information of the nodes between each other during the estimation process. Detailed numerical experiments highlight the advantage of this technique and confirm the intuition behind it.