During the past two decades, methods for identifying groups with different trends in longitudinal data have become of increasing interest across many areas of research. To support researchers, we summarize the guidance from the literature regarding longitudinal clustering. Moreover, we present a selection of methods for longitudinal clustering, including group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM), growth mixture modeling (GMM), and longitudinal k-means (KML). The methods are introduced at a basic level, and strengths, limitations, and model extensions are listed. Following the recent developments in data collection, attention is given to the applicability of these methods to intensive longitudinal data (ILD). We demonstrate the application of the methods on a synthetic dataset using packages available in R.

We study active sampling algorithms for linear regression, which aim to query only a small number of entries of a target vector $b\in\mathbb{R}^n$ and output a near minimizer to $\min_{x\in\mathbb{R}^d}\|Ax-b\|$, where $A\in\mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ is a design matrix and $\|\cdot\|$ is some loss function. For $\ell_p$ norm regression for any $0

University campuses are essentially a microcosm of a city. They comprise diverse facilities such as residences, sport centres, lecture theatres, parking spaces, and public transport stops. Universities are under constant pressure to improve efficiencies while offering a better experience to various stakeholders including students, staff, and visitors. Nonetheless, anecdotal evidence indicates that campus assets are not being utilised efficiently, often due to the lack of data collection and analysis, thereby limiting the ability to make informed decisions on the allocation and management of resources. Advances in the Internet of Things (IoT) technologies that can sense and communicate data from the physical world, coupled with data analytics and Artificial intelligence (AI) that can predict usage patterns, have opened up new opportunities for organisations to lower cost and improve user experience. This thesis explores this opportunity via theory and experimentation using UNSW Sydney as a living laboratory.

We apply augmentations to our dataset to enhance the quality of our predictions and make our final models more resilient to noisy data and domain drifts. Yet the question remains, how are these augmentations going to perform with different hyper-parameters? In this study we evaluate the sensitivity of augmentations with regards to the model's hyper parameters along with their consistency and influence by performing a Local Surrogate (LIME) interpretation on the impact of hyper-parameters when different augmentations are applied to a machine learning model. We have utilized Linear regression coefficients for weighing each augmentation. Our research has proved that there are some augmentations which are highly sensitive to hyper-parameters and others which are more resilient and reliable.

We develop machinery to design efficiently computable and consistent estimators, achieving estimation error approaching zero as the number of observations grows, when facing an oblivious adversary that may corrupt responses in all but an $\alpha$ fraction of the samples. As concrete examples, we investigate two problems: sparse regression and principal component analysis (PCA). For sparse regression, we achieve consistency for optimal sample size $n\gtrsim (k\log d)/\alpha^2$ and optimal error rate $O(\sqrt{(k\log d)/(n\cdot \alpha^2)})$ where $n$ is the number of observations, $d$ is the number of dimensions and $k$ is the sparsity of the parameter vector, allowing the fraction of inliers to be inverse-polynomial in the number of samples. Prior to this work, no estimator was known to be consistent when the fraction of inliers $\alpha$ is $o(1/\log \log n)$, even for (non-spherical) Gaussian design matrices. Results holding under weak design assumptions and in the presence of such general noise have only been shown in dense setting (i.e., general linear regression) very recently by d'Orsi et al. [dNS21]. In the context of PCA, we attain optimal error guarantees under broad spikiness assumptions on the parameter matrix (usually used in matrix completion). Previous works could obtain non-trivial guarantees only under the assumptions that the measurement noise corresponding to the inliers is polynomially small in $n$ (e.g., Gaussian with variance $1/n^2$). To devise our estimators, we equip the Huber loss with non-smooth regularizers such as the $\ell_1$ norm or the nuclear norm, and extend d'Orsi et al.'s approach [dNS21] in a novel way to analyze the loss function. Our machinery appears to be easily applicable to a wide range of estimation problems.

Covariate shift generalization, a typical case in out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, requires a good performance on the unknown testing distribution, which varies from the accessible training distribution in the form of covariate shift. Recently, stable learning algorithms have shown empirical effectiveness to deal with covariate shift generalization on several learning models involving regression algorithms and deep neural networks. However, the theoretical explanations for such effectiveness are still missing. In this paper, we take a step further towards the theoretical analysis of stable learning algorithms by explaining them as feature selection processes. We first specify a set of variables, named minimal stable variable set, that is minimal and optimal to deal with covariate shift generalization for common loss functions, including the mean squared loss and binary cross entropy loss. Then we prove that under ideal conditions, stable learning algorithms could identify the variables in this set. Further analysis on asymptotic properties and error propagation are also provided. These theories shed light on why stable learning works for covariate shift generalization.

Battery performance datasets are typically non-normal and multicollinear. Extrapolating such datasets for model predictions needs attention to such characteristics. This study explores the impact of data normality in building machine learning models. In this work, tree-based regression models and multiple linear regressions models are each built from a highly skewed non-normal dataset with multicollinearity and compared. Several techniques are necessary, such as data transformation, to achieve a good multiple linear regression model with this dataset; the most useful techniques are discussed. With these techniques, the best multiple linear regression model achieved an R^2 = 81.23% and exhibited no multicollinearity effect for the dataset used in this study. Tree-based models perform better on this dataset, as they are non-parametric, capable of handling complex relationships among variables and not affected by multicollinearity. We show that bagging, in the use of Random Forests, reduces overfitting. Our best tree-based model achieved accuracy of R^2 = 97.73%. This study explains why tree-based regressions promise as a machine learning model for non-normally distributed, multicollinear data.

Attentional blink (AB) is a biological effect, showing that for 200 to 500ms after paying attention to one visual target, it is difficult to notice another target that appears next, and attentional blink magnitude (ABM) is a indicating parameter to measure the degree of this effect. Researchers have shown that different categories of images can access the consciousness of human mind differently, and produce different ranges of ABM values. So in this paper, we compare two different types of images, categorized as animal and object, by predicting ABM values directly from image features extracted from convolutional neural network (CNN), and indirectly from functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data. First, for two sets of images, we separately extract their average features from layers of Alexnet, a classic model of CNN, then input the features into a trained linear regression model to predict ABM values, and we find higher-level instead of lower-level image features determine the categorical difference in AB effect, and mid-level image features predict ABM values more correctly than low-level and high-level image features. Then we employ fMRI data from different brain regions collected when the subjects viewed 50 test images to predict ABM values, and conclude that brain regions covering relatively broader areas, like LVC, HVC and VC, perform better than other smaller brain regions, which means AB effect is more related to synthetic impact of several visual brain regions than only one particular visual regions.

In the analysis of data sets consisting of (X, Y)-pairs, a tacit assumption is that each pair corresponds to the same observation unit. If, however, such pairs are obtained via record linkage of two files, this assumption can be violated as a result of mismatch error rooting, for example, in the lack of reliable identifiers in the two files. Recently, there has been a surge of interest in this setting under the term "Shuffled data" in which the underlying correct pairing of (X, Y)-pairs is represented via an unknown index permutation. Explicit modeling of the permutation tends to be associated with substantial overfitting, prompting the need for suitable methods of regularization. In this paper, we propose a flexible exponential family prior on the permutation group for this purpose that can be used to integrate various structures such as sparse and locally constrained shuffling. This prior turns out to be conjugate for canonical shuffled data problems in which the likelihood conditional on a fixed permutation can be expressed as product over the corresponding (X,Y)-pairs. Inference is based on the EM algorithm in which the intractable E-step is approximated by the Fisher-Yates algorithm. The M-step is shown to admit a significant reduction from $n^2$ to $n$ terms if the likelihood of (X,Y)-pairs has exponential family form as in the case of generalized linear models. Comparisons on synthetic and real data show that the proposed approach compares favorably to competing methods.

In the current era of digitization, online payment systems are attracting considerable interest. Improving the efficiency of a payment system is important since it has a substantial impact on revenues for businesses. A gateway is an integral component of a payment system through which every transaction is routed. In an online payment system, payment processors integrate with these gateways by means of various configurations such as pricing, methods, risk checks, etc. These configurations are called terminals. Each gateway can have multiple terminals associated with it. Routing a payment transaction through the best terminal is crucial to increase the probability of a payment transaction being successful. Machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques can be used to accurately predict the best terminals based on their previous performance and various payment-related attributes. We have devised a pipeline consisting of static and dynamic modules. The static module does the initial filtering of the terminals using static rules and a logistic regression model that predicts gateway downtimes. Subsequently, the dynamic module computes a lot of novel features based on success rate, payment attributes, time lag, etc. to model the terminal behaviour accurately. These features are updated using an adaptive time decay rate algorithm in real-time using a feedback loop and passed to a random forest classifier to predict the success probabilities for every terminal. This pipeline is currently in production at Razorpay routing millions of transactions through it in real-time and has given a 4-6\% improvement in success rate across all payment methods (credit card, debit card, UPI, net banking). This has made our payment system more resilient to performance drops, which has improved the user experience, instilled more trust in the merchants, and boosted the revenue of the business.