Regression
Improving Nonparametric Classification via Local Radial Regression with an Application to Stock Prediction
Cao, Ruixing, Okuno, Akifumi, Nakagawa, Kei, Shimodaira, Hidetoshi
For supervised classification problems, this paper considers estimating the query's label probability through local regression using observed covariates. Well-known nonparametric kernel smoother and $k$-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) estimator, which take label average over a ball around the query, are consistent but asymptotically biased particularly for a large radius of the ball. To eradicate such bias, local polynomial regression (LPoR) and multiscale $k$-NN (MS-$k$-NN) learn the bias term by local regression around the query and extrapolate it to the query itself. However, their theoretical optimality has been shown for the limit of the infinite number of training samples. For correcting the asymptotic bias with fewer observations, this paper proposes a local radial regression (LRR) and its logistic regression variant called local radial logistic regression (LRLR), by combining the advantages of LPoR and MS-$k$-NN. The idea is simple: we fit the local regression to observed labels by taking the radial distance as the explanatory variable and then extrapolate the estimated label probability to zero distance. Our numerical experiments, including real-world datasets of daily stock indices, demonstrate that LRLR outperforms LPoR and MS-$k$-NN.
#003A Logistic Regression – Cost Function Optimization - Master Data Science
First, to train parameters \(w \) and \(b \) of a logistic regression model we need to define a cost function. Given a training set of \(m\) training examples, we want to find parameters \(w\) and \(b \), so that \(\hat{y}\) is as close to \(y \) (ground truth). Here, we will use \((i) \) superscript to index different training examples. Henceforth, we will use loss (error) function \(\mathcal{L}\) to measure how well our algorithm is doing. In logistic regression squared error loss function is not an optimal choice.
[100%OFF] Machine Learning & Deep Learning in Python & R
Learn how to solve real life problem using the Machine learning techniques Machine Learning models such as Linear Regression, Logistic Regression, KNN etc. Advanced Machine Learning models such as Decision trees, XGBoost, Random Forest, SVM etc. Understanding of basics of statistics and concepts of Machine Learning How to do basic statistical operations and run ML models in Python Indepth knowledge of data collection and data preprocessing for Machine Learning problem How to convert business problem into a Machine learning problem Can I get a certificate after completing the course? Are there any other coupons available for this course? Note: 100% OFF Udemy coupon codes are valid for maximum 3 days only. Look for "ENROLL NOW" button at the end of the post. Disclosure: This post may contain affiliate links and we may get small commission if you make a purchase.
10 Best Statistics Courses on Coursera
This specialization program is especially dedicated to statistics. In this program, you will learn basic and intermediate concepts of statistical analysis using the Python programming language. In this program, you will learn the following topics- where data come from, what types of data can be collected, study data design, data management, and how to effectively carry out data exploration and visualization. Along with that, you will work on a variety of assignments that will help you to check your knowledge and ability. This specialization program is a 3-course series. Let's see the details of the courses-
#006A Fast Logistic Regression - Master Data Science
When we are programming Logistic Regression or Neural Networks we should avoid explicit \(for \) loops. It's not always possible, but when we can, we should use built-in functions or find some other ways to compute it. Vectorizing the implementation of Logistic Regression makes the code highly efficient. In this post we will see how we can use this technique to compute gradient descent without using even a single \(for \) loop. This code was non-vectorized and highly inefficent so we need to transform it.
Toward Explainable AI for Regression Models
In addition to the impressive predictive power of machine learning (ML) models, more recently, explanation methods have emerged that enable an interpretation of complex non-linear learning models such as deep neural networks. Gaining a better understanding is especially important e.g. for safety-critical ML applications or medical diagnostics etc. While such Explainable AI (XAI) techniques have reached significant popularity for classifiers, so far little attention has been devoted to XAI for regression models (XAIR). In this review, we clarify the fundamental conceptual differences of XAI for regression and classification tasks, establish novel theoretical insights and analysis for XAIR, provide demonstrations of XAIR on genuine practical regression problems, and finally discuss the challenges remaining for the field.
Artificial intelligence in clinical research of cancers
As a result, AI excels at handling large volumes and complex data, and identifying characteristic from the data, which the human brain cannot recognize. Although AI has been rapidly incorporated into oncologic research, the development of AI solutions is still in its infancy. Only a few AI-based applications have been approved for use in practice, e.g.
Doubly-Valid/Doubly-Sharp Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Inference with Unmeasured Confounding
Dorn, Jacob, Guo, Kevin, Kallus, Nathan
We study the problem of constructing bounds on the average treatment effect in the presence of unobserved confounding under the marginal sensitivity model of Tan (2006). Combining an existing characterization involving adversarial propensity scores with a new distributionally robust characterization of the problem, we propose novel estimators of these bounds that we call "doubly-valid/doubly-sharp" (DVDS) estimators. Double sharpness corresponds to the fact that DVDS estimators consistently estimate the tightest possible (i.e., sharp) bounds implied by the sensitivity model even when one of two nuisance parameters is misspecified and achieve semiparametric efficiency when all nuisance parameters are suitably consistent. Double validity is an entirely new property for partial identification: DVDS estimators still provide valid, though not sharp, bounds even when most nuisance parameters are misspecified. In fact, even in cases when DVDS point estimates fail to be asymptotically normal, standard Wald confidence intervals may remain valid. In the case of binary outcomes, the DVDS estimators are particularly convenient and possesses a closed-form expression in terms of the outcome regression and propensity score. We demonstrate the DVDS estimators in a simulation study as well as a case study of right heart catheterization.
Preserving gauge invariance in neural networks
Favoni, Matteo, Ipp, Andreas, Müller, David I., Schuh, Daniel
In these proceedings we present lattice gauge equivariant convolutional neural networks (L-CNNs) which are able to process data from lattice gauge theory simulations while exactly preserving gauge symmetry. We review aspects of the architecture and show how L-CNNs can represent a large class of gauge invariant and equivariant functions on the lattice. We compare the performance of L-CNNs and non-equivariant networks using a non-linear regression problem and demonstrate how gauge invariance is broken for non-equivariant models.
Data blurring: sample splitting a single sample
Leiner, James, Duan, Boyan, Wasserman, Larry, Ramdas, Aaditya
Suppose we observe a random vector $X$ from some distribution $P$ in a known family with unknown parameters. We ask the following question: when is it possible to split $X$ into two parts $f(X)$ and $g(X)$ such that neither part is sufficient to reconstruct $X$ by itself, but both together can recover $X$ fully, and the joint distribution of $(f(X),g(X))$ is tractable? As one example, if $X=(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ and $P$ is a product distribution, then for any $m