The article describes the approaches for forming different predictive features of tweet data sets and using them in the predictive analysis for decision-making support. The graph theory as well as frequent itemsets and association rules theory is used for forming and retrieving different features from these datasests. The use of these approaches makes it possible to reveal a semantic structure in tweets related to a specified entity. It is shown that quantitative characteristics of semantic frequent itemsets can be used in predictive regression models with specified target variables.

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach makes it possible to estimate an uncertainty of time series prediction and calculate value at risk characteristics. A hierarchical model for time series using Bayesian regression has been considered. In this approach, one set of parameters is the same for all data samples, other parameters can be different for different groups of data samples. Such an approach allows using this model in the case of short historical data for specified time series, e.g. in the case of new stores or new products in the sales prediction problem. In the study of predictive models stacking, the models ARIMA, Neural Network, Random Forest, Extra Tree were used for the prediction on the first level of model ensemble. On the second level, time series predictions of these models on the validation set were used for stacking by Bayesian regression. This approach gives distributions for regression coefficients of these models. It makes it possible to estimate the uncertainty contributed by each model to stacking result. The information about these distributions allows us to select an optimal set of stacking models, taking into account the domain knowledge. The probabilistic approach for stacking predictive models allows us to make risk assessment for the predictions that are important in a decision-making process.

Panel data models are a standard empirical tool in statistics, economics, marketing, and financial research. The conventional modeling approach is to assume that all individual heterogeneity can be summarized by an individual specific intercept, often known as the fixed effects, while assuming all covariates have a common effect among all the individuals, such that information can be pooled across individuals to gain efficiency of these common parameters. However, heterogeneous responses towards observed control variables are often better supported by empirical evidence, especially as detailed individual level data becomes more available. An increasingly popular approach to model unobserved heterogeneity in the effects of covariates on individual responses is to assume the existence of a finite number of homogeneous groups.

Depth estimation is solved as a regression or classification problem in existing learning-based multi-view stereo methods. Although these two representations have recently demonstrated their excellent performance, they still have apparent shortcomings, e.g., regression methods tend to overfit due to the indirect learning cost volume, and classification methods cannot directly infer the exact depth due to its discrete prediction. In this paper, we propose a novel representation, termed Unification, to unify the advantages of regression and classification. It can directly constrain the cost volume like classification methods, but also realize the sub-pixel depth prediction like regression methods. To excavate the potential of unification, we design a new loss function named Unified Focal Loss, which is more uniform and reasonable to combat the challenge of sample imbalance. Combining these two unburdened modules, we present a coarse-to-fine framework, that we call UniMVSNet. The results of ranking first on both DTU and Tanks and Temples benchmarks verify that our model not only performs the best but also has the best generalization ability.

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a part of everyday conversation and our lives. It is considered as the new electricity that is revolutionizing the world. AI is heavily invested in both industry and academy. However, there is also a lot of hype in the current AI debate. AI based on so-called deep learning has achieved impressive results in many problems, but its limits are already visible. AI has been under research since the 1940s, and the industry has seen many ups and downs due to over-expectations and related disappointments that have followed. The purpose of this book is to give a realistic picture of AI, its history, its potential and limitations. We believe that AI is a helper, not a ruler of humans. We begin by describing what AI is and how it has evolved over the decades. After fundamentals, we explain the importance of massive data for the current mainstream of artificial intelligence. The most common representations for AI, methods, and machine learning are covered. In addition, the main application areas are introduced. Computer vision has been central to the development of AI. The book provides a general introduction to computer vision, and includes an exposure to the results and applications of our own research. Emotions are central to human intelligence, but little use has been made in AI. We present the basics of emotional intelligence and our own research on the topic. We discuss super-intelligence that transcends human understanding, explaining why such achievement seems impossible on the basis of present knowledge,and how AI could be improved. Finally, a summary is made of the current state of AI and what to do in the future. In the appendix, we look at the development of AI education, especially from the perspective of contents at our own university.

Linear Regression is a supervised machine learning algorithm that is used to model a linear relationship between the dependent and independent variables. In other words, it best fits the linear line between the independent and dependent variables. A Linear Regression model main aims to find the best fit linear line and minimize the error by finding the optimal values of intercept and coefficient. Error is the difference between the actual value and the predicted value. Error is the difference between the actual value and the predicted value.

Fusing regression coefficients into homogenous groups can unveil those coefficients that share a common value within each group. Such groupwise homogeneity reduces the intrinsic dimension of the parameter space and unleashes sharper statistical accuracy. We propose and investigate a new combinatorial grouping approach called $L_0$-Fusion that is amenable to mixed integer optimization (MIO). On the statistical aspect, we identify a fundamental quantity called grouping sensitivity that underpins the difficulty of recovering the true groups. We show that $L_0$-Fusion achieves grouping consistency under the weakest possible requirement of the grouping sensitivity: if this requirement is violated, then the minimax risk of group misspecification will fail to converge to zero. Moreover, we show that in the high-dimensional regime, one can apply $L_0$-Fusion coupled with a sure screening set of features without any essential loss of statistical efficiency, while reducing the computational cost substantially. On the algorithmic aspect, we provide a MIO formulation for $L_0$-Fusion along with a warm start strategy. Simulation and real data analysis demonstrate that $L_0$-Fusion exhibits superiority over its competitors in terms of grouping accuracy.

As machine learning powered decision making is playing an increasingly important role in our daily lives, it is imperative to strive for fairness of the underlying data processing and algorithms. We propose a pre-processing algorithm for fair data representation via which L2- objective supervised learning algorithms result in an estimation of the Pareto frontier between prediction error and statistical disparity. In particular, the present work applies the optimal positive definite affine transport maps to approach the post-processing Wasserstein barycenter characterization of the optimal fair L2-objective supervised learning via a pre-processing data deformation. We call the resulting data Wasserstein pseudo-barycenter. Furthermore, we show that the Wasserstein geodesics from the learning outcome marginals to the barycenter characterizes the Pareto frontier between L2-loss and total Wasserstein distance among learning outcome marginals. Thereby, an application of McCann interpolation generalizes the pseudo-barycenter to a family of data representations via which L2-objective supervised learning algorithms result in the Pareto frontier. Numerical simulations underscore the advantages of the proposed data representation: (1) the pre-processing step is compositive with arbitrary L2-objective supervised learning methods and unseen data; (2) the fair representation protects data privacy by preventing the training machine from direct or indirect access to the sensitive information of the data; (3) the optimal affine map results in efficient computation of fair supervised learning on high-dimensional data; (4) experimental results shed light on the fairness of L2-objective unsupervised learning via the proposed fair data representation.

In this article, we aim to provide a general and complete understanding of semi-supervised (SS) causal inference for treatment effects. Specifically, we consider two such estimands: (a) the average treatment effect and (b) the quantile treatment effect, as prototype cases, in an SS setting, characterized by two available data sets: (i) a labeled data set of size $n$, providing observations for a response and a set of high dimensional covariates, as well as a binary treatment indicator; and (ii) an unlabeled data set of size $N$, much larger than $n$, but without the response observed. Using these two data sets, we develop a family of SS estimators which are ensured to be: (1) more robust and (2) more efficient than their supervised counterparts based on the labeled data set only. Beyond the 'standard' double robustness results (in terms of consistency) that can be achieved by supervised methods as well, we further establish root-n consistency and asymptotic normality of our SS estimators whenever the propensity score in the model is correctly specified, without requiring specific forms of the nuisance functions involved. Such an improvement of robustness arises from the use of the massive unlabeled data, so it is generally not attainable in a purely supervised setting. In addition, our estimators are shown to be semi-parametrically efficient as long as all the nuisance functions are correctly specified. Moreover, as an illustration of the nuisance estimators, we consider inverse-probability-weighting type kernel smoothing estimators involving unknown covariate transformation mechanisms, and establish in high dimensional scenarios novel results on their uniform convergence rates, which should be of independent interest. Numerical results on both simulated and real data validate the advantage of our methods over their supervised counterparts with respect to both robustness and efficiency.

Active Learning is one of the teaching strategies which engage learners (e.g. Compared to the traditional learning process, learners do not just sit and listen but work together with teachers interactively. Progress of learning can be adjusted according to the feedback from learners. Therefore, the cycle of active learning is very important. If you are not familiar with active learning, you may visit this post.