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 Regression


Linear Regression using Scikit-learn and Tensorflow.

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Linear Regression is a supervised machine learning algorithm that is used to model a linear relationship between the dependent and independent variables. In other words, it best fits the linear line between the independent and dependent variables. A Linear Regression model main aims to find the best fit linear line and minimize the error by finding the optimal values of intercept and coefficient. Error is the difference between the actual value and the predicted value. Error is the difference between the actual value and the predicted value.


Supervised Homogeneity Fusion: a Combinatorial Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Fusing regression coefficients into homogenous groups can unveil those coefficients that share a common value within each group. Such groupwise homogeneity reduces the intrinsic dimension of the parameter space and unleashes sharper statistical accuracy. We propose and investigate a new combinatorial grouping approach called $L_0$-Fusion that is amenable to mixed integer optimization (MIO). On the statistical aspect, we identify a fundamental quantity called grouping sensitivity that underpins the difficulty of recovering the true groups. We show that $L_0$-Fusion achieves grouping consistency under the weakest possible requirement of the grouping sensitivity: if this requirement is violated, then the minimax risk of group misspecification will fail to converge to zero. Moreover, we show that in the high-dimensional regime, one can apply $L_0$-Fusion coupled with a sure screening set of features without any essential loss of statistical efficiency, while reducing the computational cost substantially. On the algorithmic aspect, we provide a MIO formulation for $L_0$-Fusion along with a warm start strategy. Simulation and real data analysis demonstrate that $L_0$-Fusion exhibits superiority over its competitors in terms of grouping accuracy.


Fair Data Representation for Machine Learning at the Pareto Frontier

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As machine learning powered decision making is playing an increasingly important role in our daily lives, it is imperative to strive for fairness of the underlying data processing and algorithms. We propose a pre-processing algorithm for fair data representation via which L2- objective supervised learning algorithms result in an estimation of the Pareto frontier between prediction error and statistical disparity. In particular, the present work applies the optimal positive definite affine transport maps to approach the post-processing Wasserstein barycenter characterization of the optimal fair L2-objective supervised learning via a pre-processing data deformation. We call the resulting data Wasserstein pseudo-barycenter. Furthermore, we show that the Wasserstein geodesics from the learning outcome marginals to the barycenter characterizes the Pareto frontier between L2-loss and total Wasserstein distance among learning outcome marginals. Thereby, an application of McCann interpolation generalizes the pseudo-barycenter to a family of data representations via which L2-objective supervised learning algorithms result in the Pareto frontier. Numerical simulations underscore the advantages of the proposed data representation: (1) the pre-processing step is compositive with arbitrary L2-objective supervised learning methods and unseen data; (2) the fair representation protects data privacy by preventing the training machine from direct or indirect access to the sensitive information of the data; (3) the optimal affine map results in efficient computation of fair supervised learning on high-dimensional data; (4) experimental results shed light on the fairness of L2-objective unsupervised learning via the proposed fair data representation.


A General Framework for Treatment Effect Estimation in Semi-Supervised and High Dimensional Settings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this article, we aim to provide a general and complete understanding of semi-supervised (SS) causal inference for treatment effects. Specifically, we consider two such estimands: (a) the average treatment effect and (b) the quantile treatment effect, as prototype cases, in an SS setting, characterized by two available data sets: (i) a labeled data set of size $n$, providing observations for a response and a set of high dimensional covariates, as well as a binary treatment indicator; and (ii) an unlabeled data set of size $N$, much larger than $n$, but without the response observed. Using these two data sets, we develop a family of SS estimators which are ensured to be: (1) more robust and (2) more efficient than their supervised counterparts based on the labeled data set only. Beyond the 'standard' double robustness results (in terms of consistency) that can be achieved by supervised methods as well, we further establish root-n consistency and asymptotic normality of our SS estimators whenever the propensity score in the model is correctly specified, without requiring specific forms of the nuisance functions involved. Such an improvement of robustness arises from the use of the massive unlabeled data, so it is generally not attainable in a purely supervised setting. In addition, our estimators are shown to be semi-parametrically efficient as long as all the nuisance functions are correctly specified. Moreover, as an illustration of the nuisance estimators, we consider inverse-probability-weighting type kernel smoothing estimators involving unknown covariate transformation mechanisms, and establish in high dimensional scenarios novel results on their uniform convergence rates, which should be of independent interest. Numerical results on both simulated and real data validate the advantage of our methods over their supervised counterparts with respect to both robustness and efficiency.


Mismatch-first Farthest-search in Active Learning

#artificialintelligence

Active Learning is one of the teaching strategies which engage learners (e.g. Compared to the traditional learning process, learners do not just sit and listen but work together with teachers interactively. Progress of learning can be adjusted according to the feedback from learners. Therefore, the cycle of active learning is very important. If you are not familiar with active learning, you may visit this post.


4 Reasons Why You Shouldn't Use Machine Learning - KDnuggets

#artificialintelligence

When machine learning initially emerged, many speculated that it would spark another industrial revolution. Fast forward to today and many would say that it's nothing more than a buzzword. Machine learning is a useful tool, but it's nothing more than that. And it's a stretch to say that it's anything like a swiss army knife -- I'd think of it more like a water jet (something rather niche). From my experiences, there are certainly a number of applications where machine learning shines.


Mismatch-first Farthest-search in Active Learning

#artificialintelligence

Originally published on Towards AI the World's Leading AI and Technology News and Media Company. If you are building an AI-related product or service, we invite you to consider becoming an AI sponsor. At Towards AI, we help scale AI and technology startups. Let us help you unleash your technology to the masses. Active Learning is one of the teaching strategies which engage learners (e.g.


Two Instances of Interpretable Neural Network for Universal Approximations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes two bottom-up interpretable neural network (NN) constructions for universal approximation, namely Triangularly-constructed NN (TNN) and Semi-Quantized Activation NN (SQANN). The notable properties are (1) resistance to catastrophic forgetting (2) existence of proof for arbitrarily high accuracies on training dataset (3) for an input \(x\), users can identify specific samples of training data whose activation ``fingerprints" are similar to that of \(x\)'s activations. Users can also identify samples that are out of distribution.


Artificial Intelligence and Statistical Techniques in Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Electrical utilities depend on short-term demand forecasting to proactively adjust production and distribution in anticipation of major variations. This systematic review analyzes 240 works published in scholarly journals between 2000 and 2019 that focus on applying Artificial Intelligence (AI), statistical, and hybrid models to short-term load forecasting (STLF). This work represents the most comprehensive review of works on this subject to date. A complete analysis of the literature is conducted to identify the most popular and accurate techniques as well as existing gaps. The findings show that although Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) continue to be the most commonly used standalone technique, researchers have been exceedingly opting for hybrid combinations of different techniques to leverage the combined advantages of individual methods. The review demonstrates that it is commonly possible with these hybrid combinations to achieve prediction accuracy exceeding 99%. The most successful duration for short-term forecasting has been identified as prediction for a duration of one day at an hourly interval. The review has identified a deficiency in access to datasets needed for training of the models. A significant gap has been identified in researching regions other than Asia, Europe, North America, and Australia.


Time varying regression with hidden linear dynamics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The distribution of labels given the covariates changes over time in a variety of applications of regression. Some example domains where such problems arise include economics, marketing, fashion, and supply chain optimization, where market properties evolve over time. Motivated by such problems, we revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. One way to account for distribution change in linear regression is to assume that the unknown model parameters change slowly with time [2, 15, 37]. While this assumption simplifies the problem and makes it tractable, it misses on exploiting additional structure available and it also fails to model periodicity (e.g., due to seasonality) present in some problems. As an alternative, we are interested in a dynamic model previously studied by Chow [7], Carraro [5], and Shumway et al. [26].