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 Regression


Differentially Private $\ell_1$-norm Linear Regression with Heavy-tailed Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of Differentially Private Stochastic Convex Optimization (DP-SCO) with heavy-tailed data. Specifically, we focus on the $\ell_1$-norm linear regression in the $\epsilon$-DP model. While most of the previous work focuses on the case where the loss function is Lipschitz, here we only need to assume the variates has bounded moments. Firstly, we study the case where the $\ell_2$ norm of data has bounded second order moment. We propose an algorithm which is based on the exponential mechanism and show that it is possible to achieve an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\frac{d}{n\epsilon}})$ (with high probability). Next, we relax the assumption to bounded $\theta$-th order moment with some $\theta\in (1, 2)$ and show that it is possible to achieve an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(({\frac{d}{n\epsilon}})^\frac{\theta-1}{\theta})$. Our algorithms can also be extended to more relaxed cases where only each coordinate of the data has bounded moments, and we can get an upper bound of $\tilde{O}({\frac{d}{\sqrt{n\epsilon}}})$ and $\tilde{O}({\frac{d}{({n\epsilon})^\frac{\theta-1}{\theta}}})$ in the second and $\theta$-th moment case respectively.


Non-Asymptotic Guarantees for Robust Statistical Learning under $(1+\varepsilon)$-th Moment Assumption

arXiv.org Machine Learning

There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed data in statistics and machine learning. This paper proposes a log-truncated M-estimator for a large family of statistical regressions and establishes its excess risk bound under the condition that the data have $(1+\varepsilon)$-th moment with $\varepsilon \in (0,1]$. With an additional assumption on the associated risk function, we obtain an $\ell_2$-error bound for the estimation. Our theorems are applied to establish robust M-estimators for concrete regressions. Besides convex regressions such as quantile regression and generalized linear models, many non-convex regressions can also be fit into our theorems, we focus on robust deep neural network regressions, which can be solved by the stochastic gradient descent algorithms. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the superiority of log-truncated estimations over standard estimations.


Attention-based Random Forest and Contamination Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A new approach called ABRF (the attention-based random forest) and its modifications for applying the attention mechanism to the random forest (RF) for regression and classification are proposed. The main idea behind the proposed ABRF models is to assign attention weights with trainable parameters to decision trees in a specific way. The weights depend on the distance between an instance, which falls into a corresponding leaf of a tree, and instances, which fall in the same leaf. This idea stems from representation of the Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression in the form of a RF. Three modifications of the general approach are proposed. The first one is based on applying the Huber's contamination model and on computing the attention weights by solving quadratic or linear optimization problems. The second and the third modifications use the gradient-based algorithms for computing trainable parameters. Numerical experiments with various regression and classification datasets illustrate the proposed method.


Scikit learn for linear regression

#artificialintelligence

Are you a data scientist looking to develop a machine learning model? Use scikit learn to start creating your design today! Machine learning (ML), an application of Artificial Intelligence (AI), is rapidly growing at a faster rate. Almost every sector in today's world is adopting machine learning models as it brings value and improved customer experience resulting in higher Return on Investments (ROI). While many programming languages can help you get started with machine and deep learning, it is imperative to choose a programming language that is flexible and user-friendly.


Robust Linear Predictions: Analyses of Uniform Concentration, Fast Rates and Model Misspecification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Linear prediction is the cornerstone of a significant group of statistical learning algorithms including linear regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM), regularized regressions (such as ridge, elastic net, lasso, and its variants), logistic regression, Poisson regression, probit models, single-layer perceptrons, and tensor regression, just to name a few. Thus, developing a deeper understanding of the pertinent linear prediction models and generalizing the methods to provide unified theoretical bounds is of critical importance to the machine learning community. For the past few decades, researchers have unveiled different aspects of these linear models. Bartlett and Shawe-Taylor (1999) obtained high confidence generalization error bounds for SVMs and other learning algorithms such as boosting and Bayesian posterior classifier. Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) theory (Vapnik, 2013) and Rademacher complexity (Bartlett and Mendelson, 2001, 2002) have been instrumental in the machine learning literature to provide generalization bounds (Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, 2014). Theoretical properties of the multiple-instance extensions of SVM were analyzed by Doran and Ray (2014). Joint first authors contributed equally to this work.


Forming Predictive Features of Tweets for Decision-Making Support

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The article describes the approaches for forming different predictive features of tweet data sets and using them in the predictive analysis for decision-making support. The graph theory as well as frequent itemsets and association rules theory is used for forming and retrieving different features from these datasests. The use of these approaches makes it possible to reveal a semantic structure in tweets related to a specified entity. It is shown that quantitative characteristics of semantic frequent itemsets can be used in predictive regression models with specified target variables.


Bayesian Regression Approach for Building and Stacking Predictive Models in Time Series Analytics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach makes it possible to estimate an uncertainty of time series prediction and calculate value at risk characteristics. A hierarchical model for time series using Bayesian regression has been considered. In this approach, one set of parameters is the same for all data samples, other parameters can be different for different groups of data samples. Such an approach allows using this model in the case of short historical data for specified time series, e.g. in the case of new stores or new products in the sales prediction problem. In the study of predictive models stacking, the models ARIMA, Neural Network, Random Forest, Extra Tree were used for the prediction on the first level of model ensemble. On the second level, time series predictions of these models on the validation set were used for stacking by Bayesian regression. This approach gives distributions for regression coefficients of these models. It makes it possible to estimate the uncertainty contributed by each model to stacking result. The information about these distributions allows us to select an optimal set of stacking models, taking into account the domain knowledge. The probabilistic approach for stacking predictive models allows us to make risk assessment for the predictions that are important in a decision-making process.


Group structure estimation for panel data -- a general approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Panel data models are a standard empirical tool in statistics, economics, marketing, and financial research. The conventional modeling approach is to assume that all individual heterogeneity can be summarized by an individual specific intercept, often known as the fixed effects, while assuming all covariates have a common effect among all the individuals, such that information can be pooled across individuals to gain efficiency of these common parameters. However, heterogeneous responses towards observed control variables are often better supported by empirical evidence, especially as detailed individual level data becomes more available. An increasingly popular approach to model unobserved heterogeneity in the effects of covariates on individual responses is to assume the existence of a finite number of homogeneous groups.


Rethinking Depth Estimation for Multi-View Stereo: A Unified Representation and Focal Loss

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Depth estimation is solved as a regression or classification problem in existing learning-based multi-view stereo methods. Although these two representations have recently demonstrated their excellent performance, they still have apparent shortcomings, e.g., regression methods tend to overfit due to the indirect learning cost volume, and classification methods cannot directly infer the exact depth due to its discrete prediction. In this paper, we propose a novel representation, termed Unification, to unify the advantages of regression and classification. It can directly constrain the cost volume like classification methods, but also realize the sub-pixel depth prediction like regression methods. To excavate the potential of unification, we design a new loss function named Unified Focal Loss, which is more uniform and reasonable to combat the challenge of sample imbalance. Combining these two unburdened modules, we present a coarse-to-fine framework, that we call UniMVSNet. The results of ranking first on both DTU and Tanks and Temples benchmarks verify that our model not only performs the best but also has the best generalization ability.


Challenges of Artificial Intelligence -- From Machine Learning and Computer Vision to Emotional Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a part of everyday conversation and our lives. It is considered as the new electricity that is revolutionizing the world. AI is heavily invested in both industry and academy. However, there is also a lot of hype in the current AI debate. AI based on so-called deep learning has achieved impressive results in many problems, but its limits are already visible. AI has been under research since the 1940s, and the industry has seen many ups and downs due to over-expectations and related disappointments that have followed. The purpose of this book is to give a realistic picture of AI, its history, its potential and limitations. We believe that AI is a helper, not a ruler of humans. We begin by describing what AI is and how it has evolved over the decades. After fundamentals, we explain the importance of massive data for the current mainstream of artificial intelligence. The most common representations for AI, methods, and machine learning are covered. In addition, the main application areas are introduced. Computer vision has been central to the development of AI. The book provides a general introduction to computer vision, and includes an exposure to the results and applications of our own research. Emotions are central to human intelligence, but little use has been made in AI. We present the basics of emotional intelligence and our own research on the topic. We discuss super-intelligence that transcends human understanding, explaining why such achievement seems impossible on the basis of present knowledge,and how AI could be improved. Finally, a summary is made of the current state of AI and what to do in the future. In the appendix, we look at the development of AI education, especially from the perspective of contents at our own university.