Regression
Traffic Congestion Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques
Yasir, Rafed Muhammad, Nower, Dr. Naushin, Shoyaib, Dr. Mohammad
The prediction of traffic congestion can serve a crucial role in making future decisions. Although many studies have been conducted regarding congestion, most of these could not cover all the important factors (e.g., weather conditions). We proposed a prediction model for traffic congestion that can predict congestion based on day, time and several weather data (e.g., temperature, humidity). To evaluate our model, it has been tested against the traffic data of New Delhi. With this model, congestion of a road can be predicted one week ahead with an average RMSE of 1.12. Therefore, this model can be used to take preventive measure beforehand.
An introduction to ML.NET and the functions it performs
No longer must solutions to mathematical problems be written in'X' (insert Python/C /R here). With the increasing uptake of integrating AI and optimisation tools in software, it has never been easier for developers to learn more about these topics without having to completely abandon their tech stack. What's more is that this upskilling can be done from the comfort of a .NET application. ML.NET was first released in 2018. It does exactly what the name implies: Machine Learning in .NET.
Change Detection for Local Explainability in Evolving Data Streams
Haug, Johannes, Braun, Alexander, Zรผrn, Stefan, Kasneci, Gjergji
As complex machine learning models are increasingly used in sensitive applications like banking, trading or credit scoring, there is a growing demand for reliable explanation mechanisms. Local feature attribution methods have become a popular technique for post-hoc and model-agnostic explanations. However, attribution methods typically assume a stationary environment in which the predictive model has been trained and remains stable. As a result, it is often unclear how local attributions behave in realistic, constantly evolving settings such as streaming and online applications. In this paper, we discuss the impact of temporal change on local feature attributions. In particular, we show that local attributions can become obsolete each time the predictive model is updated or concept drift alters the data generating distribution. Consequently, local feature attributions in data streams provide high explanatory power only when combined with a mechanism that allows us to detect and respond to local changes over time. To this end, we present CDLEEDS, a flexible and model-agnostic framework for detecting local change and concept drift. CDLEEDS serves as an intuitive extension of attribution-based explanation techniques to identify outdated local attributions and enable more targeted recalculations. In experiments, we also show that the proposed framework can reliably detect both local and global concept drift. Accordingly, our work contributes to a more meaningful and robust explainability in online machine learning.
Orchestrating Collaborative Cybersecurity: A Secure Framework for Distributed Privacy-Preserving Threat Intelligence Sharing
Trocoso-Pastoriza, Juan R., Mermoud, Alain, Bouyรฉ, Romain, Marino, Francesco, Bossuat, Jean-Philippe, Lenders, Vincent, Hubaux, Jean-Pierre
Cyber Threat Intelligence (CTI) sharing is an important activity to reduce information asymmetries between attackers and defenders. However, this activity presents challenges due to the tension between data sharing and confidentiality, that result in information retention often leading to a free-rider problem. Therefore, the information that is shared represents only the tip of the iceberg. Current literature assumes access to centralized databases containing all the information, but this is not always feasible, due to the aforementioned tension. This results in unbalanced or incomplete datasets, requiring the use of techniques to expand them; we show how these techniques lead to biased results and misleading performance expectations. We propose a novel framework for extracting CTI from distributed data on incidents, vulnerabilities and indicators of compromise, and demonstrate its use in several practical scenarios, in conjunction with the Malware Information Sharing Platforms (MISP). Policy implications for CTI sharing are presented and discussed. The proposed system relies on an efficient combination of privacy enhancing technologies and federated processing. This lets organizations stay in control of their CTI and minimize the risks of exposure or leakage, while enabling the benefits of sharing, more accurate and representative results, and more effective predictive and preventive defenses.
Advancing Reacting Flow Simulations with Data-Driven Models
Zdybaล, Kamila, D'Alessio, Giuseppe, Aversano, Gianmarco, Malik, Mohammad Rafi, Coussement, Axel, Sutherland, James C., Parente, Alessandro
The use of machine learning algorithms to predict behaviors of complex systems is booming. However, the key to an effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems, including combustion, is to couple them to physical and computer models. The performance of these tools is enhanced if all the prior knowledge and the physical constraints are embodied. In other words, the scientific method must be adapted to bring machine learning into the picture, and make the best use of the massive amount of data we have produced, thanks to the advances in numerical computing. The present chapter reviews some of the open opportunities for the application of data-driven reduced-order modeling of combustion systems. Examples of feature extraction in turbulent combustion data, empirical low-dimensional manifold (ELDM) identification, classification, regression, and reduced-order modeling are provided.
Artificial Intelligence-Based Analytics for Impacts of COVID-19 and Online Learning on College Students' Mental Health
Rezapour, Mostafa, Elmshaeuser, Scott K.
COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), first emerged in Wuhan, China late in December 2019. Not long after, the virus spread worldwide and was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020. This caused many changes around the world and in the United States, including an educational shift towards online learning. In this paper, we seek to understand how the COVID-19 pandemic and increase in online learning impact college students' emotional wellbeing. We use several machine learning and statistical models to analyze data collected by the Faculty of Public Administration at the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia in conjunction with an international consortium of universities, other higher education institutions, and students' associations. Our results indicate that features related to students' academic life have the largest impact on their emotional wellbeing. Other important factors include students' satisfaction with their university's and government's handling of the pandemic as well as students' financial security.
Representation Learning for Non-Melanoma Skin Cancer using a Latent Autoencoder
Generative learning is a powerful tool for representation learning, and shows particular promise for problems in biomedical imaging. However, in this context, sampling from the distribution is secondary to finding representations of real images, which often come with labels and explicitly represent the content and quality of the target distribution. It remains difficult to faithfully reconstruct images from generative models, particularly those as complex as histological images. In this work, two existing methods (autoencoders and adversarial latent autoencoders) are combined in attempt to improve our ability to encode and decode real images of non-melanoma skin cancer, specifically intra-epidermal carcinoma (IEC). Utilising a dataset of high-quality images of IEC (256 x 256), this work assesses the result of both image reconstruction quality and representation learning. It is shown that adversarial training can improve baseline FID scores from 76 to 50, and that benchmarks on representation learning can be improved by up to 3%. Smooth and realistic interpolations of the variation in the morphological structure are also presented for the first time, positioning representation learning as a promising direction in the context of computational pathology.
A Study on Representation Transfer for Few-Shot Learning
Few-shot classification aims to learn to classify new object categories well using only a few labeled examples. Transferring feature representations from other models is a popular approach for solving few-shot classification problems. In this work we perform a systematic study of various feature representations for few-shot classification, including representations learned from MAML, supervised classification, and several common self-supervised tasks. We find that learning from more complex tasks tend to give better representations for few-shot classification, and thus we propose the use of representations learned from multiple tasks for few-shot classification. Coupled with new tricks on feature selection and voting to handle the issue of small sample size, our direct transfer learning method offers performance comparable to state-of-art on several benchmark datasets.
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Quantitative Stopword Generation for Sentiment Analysis via Recursive and Iterative Deletion
Stopwords carry little semantic information and are often removed from text data to reduce dataset size and improve machine learning model performance. Consequently, researchers have sought to develop techniques for generating effective stopword sets. Previous approaches have ranged from qualitative techniques relying upon linguistic experts, to statistical approaches that extract word importance using correlations or frequency-dependent metrics computed on a corpus. We present a novel quantitative approach that employs iterative and recursive feature deletion algorithms to see which words can be deleted from a pre-trained transformer's vocabulary with the least degradation to its performance, specifically for the task of sentiment analysis. Empirically, stopword lists generated via this approach drastically reduce dataset size while negligibly impacting model performance, in one such example shrinking the corpus by 28.4% while improving the accuracy of a trained logistic regression model by 0.25%. In another instance, the corpus was shrunk by 63.7% with a 2.8% decrease in accuracy. These promising results indicate that our approach can generate highly effective stopword sets for specific NLP tasks.