Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Regression


The 6 Steps of Predictive Analytics - Analytics Vidhya

#artificialintelligence

This article was published as a part of the Data Science Blogathon. With technological evolution, data dependence is increasing much faster. Gone are the days when business decisions were primarily based on gut feeling or intuition. Organizations are now employing data-driven approaches all over the world. One of the most widely used data applications is'Predictive Analytics'.


Quantifying the Online Long-Term Interest in Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Research articles are being shared in increasing numbers on multiple online platforms. Although the scholarly impact of these articles has been widely studied, the online interest determined by how long the research articles are shared online remains unclear. Being cognizant of how long a research article is mentioned online could be valuable information to the researchers. In this paper, we analyzed multiple social media platforms on which users share and/or discuss scholarly articles. We built three clusters for papers, based on the number of yearly online mentions having publication dates ranging from the year 1920 to 2016. Using the online social media metrics for each of these three clusters, we built machine learning models to predict the long-term online interest in research articles. We addressed the prediction task with two different approaches: regression and classification. For the regression approach, the Multi-Layer Perceptron model performed best, and for the classification approach, the tree-based models performed better than other models. We found that old articles are most evident in the contexts of economics and industry (i.e., patents). In contrast, recently published articles are most evident in research platforms (i.e., Mendeley) followed by social media platforms (i.e., Twitter).


Socially Enhanced Situation Awareness from Microblogs using Artificial Intelligence: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The rise of social media platforms provides an unbounded, infinitely rich source of aggregate knowledge of the world around us, both historic and real-time, from a human perspective. The greatest challenge we face is how to process and understand this raw and unstructured data, go beyond individual observations and see the "big picture"--the domain of Situation Awareness. We provide an extensive survey of Artificial Intelligence research, focusing on microblog social media data with applications to Situation Awareness, that gives the seminal work and state-of-the-art approaches across six thematic areas: Crime, Disasters, Finance, Physical Environment, Politics, and Health and Population. We provide a novel, unified methodological perspective, identify key results and challenges, and present ongoing research directions.


Design of Negative Sampling Strategies for Distantly Supervised Skill Extraction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Skills play a central role in the job market and many human resources (HR) processes. In the wake of other digital experiences, today's online job market has candidates expecting to see the right opportunities based on their skill set. Similarly, enterprises increasingly need to use data to guarantee that the skills within their workforce remain future-proof. However, structured information about skills is often missing, and processes building on self- or manager-assessment have shown to struggle with issues around adoption, completeness, and freshness of the resulting data. Extracting skills is a highly challenging task, given the many thousands of possible skill labels mentioned either explicitly or merely described implicitly and the lack of finely annotated training corpora. Previous work on skill extraction overly simplifies the task to an explicit entity detection task or builds on manually annotated training data that would be infeasible if applied to a complete vocabulary of skills. We propose an end-to-end system for skill extraction, based on distant supervision through literal matching. We propose and evaluate several negative sampling strategies, tuned on a small validation dataset, to improve the generalization of skill extraction towards implicitly mentioned skills, despite the lack of such implicit skills in the distantly supervised data. We observe that using the ESCO taxonomy to select negative examples from related skills yields the biggest improvements, and combining three different strategies in one model further increases the performance, up to 8 percentage points in RP@5. We introduce a manually annotated evaluation benchmark for skill extraction based on the ESCO taxonomy, on which we validate our models. We release the benchmark dataset for research purposes to stimulate further research on the task.


Acoustic-Linguistic Features for Modeling Neurological Task Score in Alzheimer's

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The average life expectancy is increasing globally due to advancements in medical technology, preventive health care, and a growing emphasis on gerontological health. Therefore, developing technologies that detect and track aging-associated disease in cognitive function among older adult populations is imperative. In particular, research related to automatic detection and evaluation of Alzheimer's disease (AD) is critical given the disease's prevalence and the cost of current methods. As AD impacts the acoustics of speech and vocabulary, natural language processing and machine learning provide promising techniques for reliably detecting AD. We compare and contrast the performance of ten linear regression models for predicting Mini-Mental Status Exam scores on the ADReSS challenge dataset. We extracted 13000+ handcrafted and learned features that capture linguistic and acoustic phenomena. Using a subset of 54 top features selected by two methods: (1) recursive elimination and (2) correlation scores, we outperform a state-of-the-art baseline for the same task. Upon scoring and evaluating the statistical significance of each of the selected subset of features for each model, we find that, for the given task, handcrafted linguistic features are more significant than acoustic and learned features.


TruVR: Trustworthy Cybersickness Detection using Explainable Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cybersickness can be characterized by nausea, vertigo, headache, eye strain, and other discomforts when using virtual reality (VR) systems. The previously reported machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms for detecting (classification) and predicting (regression) VR cybersickness use black-box models; thus, they lack explainability. Moreover, VR sensors generate a massive amount of data, resulting in complex and large models. Therefore, having inherent explainability in cybersickness detection models can significantly improve the model's trustworthiness and provide insight into why and how the ML/DL model arrived at a specific decision. To address this issue, we present three explainable machine learning (xML) models to detect and predict cybersickness: 1) explainable boosting machine (EBM), 2) decision tree (DT), and 3) logistic regression (LR). We evaluate xML-based models with publicly available physiological and gameplay datasets for cybersickness. The results show that the EBM can detect cybersickness with an accuracy of 99.75% and 94.10% for the physiological and gameplay datasets, respectively. On the other hand, while predicting the cybersickness, EBM resulted in a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.071 for the physiological dataset and 0.27 for the gameplay dataset. Furthermore, the EBM-based global explanation reveals exposure length, rotation, and acceleration as key features causing cybersickness in the gameplay dataset. In contrast, galvanic skin responses and heart rate are most significant in the physiological dataset. Our results also suggest that EBM-based local explanation can identify cybersickness-causing factors for individual samples. We believe the proposed xML-based cybersickness detection method can help future researchers understand, analyze, and design simpler cybersickness detection and reduction models.


Predicting students' learning styles using regression techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traditional learning systems have responded quickly to the COVID pandemic and moved to online or distance learning. Online learning requires a personalization method because the interaction between learners and instructors is minimal, and learners have a specific learning method that works best for them. One of the personalization methods is detecting the learners' learning style. To detect learning styles, several works have been proposed using classification techniques. However, the current detection models become ineffective when learners have no dominant style or a mix of learning styles. Thus, the objective of this study is twofold. Firstly, constructing a prediction model based on regression analysis provides a probabilistic approach for inferring the preferred learning style. Secondly, comparing regression models and classification models for detecting learning style. To ground our conceptual model, a set of machine learning algorithms have been implemented based on a dataset collected from a sample of 72 students using visual, auditory, reading/writing, and kinesthetic (VARK's) inventory questionnaire. Results show that regression techniques are more accurate and representative for real-world scenarios than classification algorithms, where students might have multiple learning styles but with different probabilities. We believe that this research will help educational institutes to engage learning styles in the teaching process.


Probing for Understanding of English Verb Classes and Alternations in Large Pre-trained Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We investigate the extent to which verb alternation classes, as described by Levin (1993), are encoded in the embeddings of Large Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs) such as BERT, RoBERTa, ELECTRA, and DeBERTa using selectively constructed diagnostic classifiers for word and sentence-level prediction tasks. We follow and expand upon the experiments of Kann et al. (2019), which aim to probe whether static embeddings encode frame-selectional properties of verbs. At both the word and sentence level, we find that contextual embeddings from PLMs not only outperform non-contextual embeddings, but achieve astonishingly high accuracies on tasks across most alternation classes. Additionally, we find evidence that the middle-to-upper layers of PLMs achieve better performance on average than the lower layers across all probing tasks.


Wasserstein Distributional Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a comprehensive investigation. Recently, there have been developments on functional regression methods to model density curves as functional outcomes. A major challenge for developing such models lies in the inherent constraint of non-negativity and unit integral for the functional space of density outcomes. To overcome this fundamental issue, we propose Wasserstein Distributional Learning (WDL), a flexible density-on-scalar regression modeling framework that starts with the Wasserstein distance $W_2$ as a proper metric for the space of density outcomes. We then introduce a heterogeneous and flexible class of Semi-parametric Conditional Gaussian Mixture Models (SCGMM) as the model class $\mathfrak{F} \otimes \mathcal{T}$. The resulting metric space $(\mathfrak{F} \otimes \mathcal{T}, W_2)$ satisfies the required constraints and offers a dense and closed functional subspace. For fitting the proposed model, we further develop an efficient algorithm based on Majorization-Minimization optimization with boosted trees. Compared with methods in the previous literature, WDL better characterizes and uncovers the nonlinear dependence of the conditional densities, and their derived summary statistics. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the WDL framework through simulations and real-world applications.


Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

Machine learning is the technique that enables a machine to learn from data, improve performance from experiences and predict things without being explicitly programmed. Machine learning is a specialized technology that comes under Artificial Intelligence and it also includes self-driving cars, image recognition, and speech recognition. It is different from traditional programming, In machine learning when we pass data and output as the input it creates the model and gives the desired algorithm. Supervised Learning is a machine learning technique that can only process the labeled data. The model can be created by labeled data to know the datasets and to know about each data while training the model.