The pricing of housing properties is determined by a variety of factors. However, post-pandemic markets have experienced volatility in the Chicago suburb area, which have affected house prices greatly. In this study, analysis was done on the Naperville/Bolingbrook real estate market to predict property prices based on these housing attributes through machine learning models, and to evaluate the effectiveness of such models in a volatile market space. Gathering data from Redfin, a real estate website, sales data from 2018 up until the summer season of 2022 were collected for research. By analyzing these sales in this range of time, we can also look at the state of the housing market and identify trends in price. For modeling the data, the models used were linear regression, support vector regression, decision tree regression, random forest regression, and XGBoost regression. To analyze results, comparison was made on the MAE, RMSE, and R-squared values for each model. It was found that the XGBoost model performs the best in predicting house prices despite the additional volatility sponsored by post-pandemic conditions. After modeling, Shapley Values (SHAP) were used to evaluate the weights of the variables in constructing models.

Optimization and generalization are two essential aspects of statistical machine learning. In this paper, we propose a framework to connect optimization with generalization by analyzing the generalization error based on the optimization trajectory under the gradient flow algorithm. The key ingredient of this framework is the Uniform-LGI, a property that is generally satisfied when training machine learning models. Leveraging the Uniform-LGI, we first derive convergence rates for gradient flow algorithm, then we give generalization bounds for a large class of machine learning models. We further apply our framework to three distinct machine learning models: linear regression, kernel regression, and two-layer neural networks. Through our approach, we obtain generalization estimates that match or extend previous results.

The old empathetic adage, ``Walk a mile in their shoes,'' asks that one imagine the difficulties others may face. This suggests a new ML counterfactual fairness criterion, based on a \textit{group} level: How would members of a nonprotected group fare if their group were subject to conditions in some protected group? Instead of asking what sentence would a particular Caucasian convict receive if he were Black, take that notion to entire groups; e.g. how would the average sentence for all White convicts change if they were Black, but with their same White characteristics, e.g. same number of prior convictions? We frame the problem and study it empirically, for different datasets. Our approach also is a solution to the problem of covariate correlation with sensitive attributes.

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) twin systems will be a fundamental enabler of zero-touch network and service management (ZSM) for sixth-generation (6G) wireless networks. A reliable XAI twin system for ZSM requires two composites: an extreme analytical ability for discretizing the physical behavior of the Internet of Everything (IoE) and rigorous methods for characterizing the reasoning of such behavior. In this paper, a novel neuro-symbolic explainable artificial intelligence twin framework is proposed to enable trustworthy ZSM for a wireless IoE. The physical space of the XAI twin executes a neural-network-driven multivariate regression to capture the time-dependent wireless IoE environment while determining unconscious decisions of IoE service aggregation. Subsequently, the virtual space of the XAI twin constructs a directed acyclic graph (DAG)-based Bayesian network that can infer a symbolic reasoning score over unconscious decisions through a first-order probabilistic language model. Furthermore, a Bayesian multi-arm bandits-based learning problem is proposed for reducing the gap between the expected explained score and the current obtained score of the proposed neuro-symbolic XAI twin. To address the challenges of extensible, modular, and stateless management functions in ZSM, the proposed neuro-symbolic XAI twin framework consists of two learning systems: 1) an implicit learner that acts as an unconscious learner in physical space, and 2) an explicit leaner that can exploit symbolic reasoning based on implicit learner decisions and prior evidence. Experimental results show that the proposed neuro-symbolic XAI twin can achieve around 96.26% accuracy while guaranteeing from 18% to 44% more trust score in terms of reasoning and closed-loop automation.

Avoiding overfitting is a central challenge in machine learning, yet many large neural networks readily achieve zero training loss. This puzzling contradiction necessitates new approaches to the study of overfitting. Here we quantify overfitting via residual information, defined as the bits in fitted models that encode noise in training data. Information efficient learning algorithms minimize residual information while maximizing the relevant bits, which are predictive of the unknown generative models. We solve this optimization to obtain the information content of optimal algorithms for a linear regression problem and compare it to that of randomized ridge regression. Our results demonstrate the fundamental trade-off between residual and relevant information and characterize the relative information efficiency of randomized regression with respect to optimal algorithms. Finally, using results from random matrix theory, we reveal the information complexity of learning a linear map in high dimensions and unveil information-theoretic analogs of double and multiple descent phenomena.

Over the last century, risk scores have been the most popular form of predictive model used in healthcare and criminal justice. Risk scores are sparse linear models with integer coefficients; often these models can be memorized or placed on an index card. Typically, risk scores have been created either without data or by rounding logistic regression coefficients, but these methods do not reliably produce high-quality risk scores. Recent work used mathematical programming, which is computationally slow. We introduce an approach for efficiently producing a collection of high-quality risk scores learned from data. Specifically, our approach produces a pool of almost-optimal sparse continuous solutions, each with a different support set, using a beam-search algorithm. Each of these continuous solutions is transformed into a separate risk score through a "star ray" search, where a range of multipliers are considered before rounding the coefficients sequentially to maintain low logistic loss. Our algorithm returns all of these high-quality risk scores for the user to consider. This method completes within minutes and can be valuable in a broad variety of applications.

You're looking for a complete Classification modeling course that teaches you everything you need to create a Classification model in Python, right? You've found the right Classification modeling course! How this course will help you? A Verifiable Certificate of Completion is presented to all students who undertake this Machine learning basics course. Why should you choose this course?

You're looking for a complete Linear Regression course that teaches you everything you need to create a Linear Regression model in Python, right? You've found the right Linear Regression course! A Verifiable Certificate of Completion is presented to all students who undertake this Machine learning basics course. How this course will help you? Why should you choose this course?

Pollutant exposure during gestation is a known and adverse factor for birth and health outcomes. However, the links between prenatal air pollution exposures and educational outcomes are less clear, in particular the critical windows of susceptibility during pregnancy. Using a large cohort of students in North Carolina, we study the link between prenatal daily $\mbox{PM}_{2.5}$ exposure and 4th end-of-grade reading scores. We develop and apply a locally adaptive and highly scalable Bayesian regression model for scalar responses with functional and scalar predictors. The proposed model pairs a B-spline basis expansion with dynamic shrinkage priors to capture both smooth and rapidly-changing features in the regression surface. The model is accompanied by a new decision analysis approach for functional regression that extracts the critical windows of susceptibility and guides the model interpretations. These tools help to identify and address broad limitations with the interpretability of functional regression models. Simulation studies demonstrate more accurate point estimation, more precise uncertainty quantification, and far superior window selection than existing approaches. Leveraging the proposed modeling, computational, and decision analysis framework, we conclude that prenatal $\mbox{PM}_{2.5}$ exposure during early and late pregnancy is most adverse for 4th end-of-grade reading scores.

Fog manufacturing can greatly enhance traditional manufacturing systems through distributed Fog computation units, which are governed by predictive computational workload offloading methods under different Industrial Internet architectures. It is known that the predictive offloading methods highly depend on accurate prediction and uncertainty quantification of runtime performance metrics, containing multivariate mixed-type responses (i.e., continuous, counting, binary). In this work, we propose a Bayesian sparse regression for multivariate mixed responses to enhance the prediction of runtime performance metrics and to enable the statistical inferences. The proposed method considers both group and individual variable selection to jointly model the mixed types of runtime performance metrics. The conditional dependency among multiple responses is described by a graphical model using the precision matrix, where a spike-and-slab prior is used to enable the sparse estimation of the graph. The proposed method not only achieves accurate prediction, but also makes the predictive model more interpretable with statistical inferences on model parameters and prediction in the Fog manufacturing. A simulation study and a real case example in a Fog manufacturing are conducted to demonstrate the merits of the proposed model.