A method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect under condition of censored time-to-event data called BENK (the Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels) is proposed. The main idea behind the method is to apply the Beran estimator for estimating the survival functions of controls and treatments. Instead of typical kernel functions in the Beran estimator, it is proposed to implement kernels in the form of neural networks of a specific form called the neural kernels. The conditional average treatment effect is estimated by using the survival functions as outcomes of the control and treatment neural networks which consists of a set of neural kernels with shared parameters. The neural kernels are more flexible and can accurately model a complex location structure of feature vectors. Various numerical simulation experiments illustrate BENK and compare it with the well-known T-learner, S-learner and X-learner for several types of the control and treatment outcome functions based on the Cox models, the random survival forest and the Nadaraya-Watson regression with Gaussian kernels. The code of proposed algorithms implementing BENK is available in https://github.com/Stasychbr/BENK.

Machine Learning Techniques (like Regression, Classification, Clustering, Anomaly detection, etc.) are used to build the training data or a mathematical model using certain algorithms based upon the computations statistic to make prediction without the need of programming, as these techniques are influential in making the system futuristic, models and promotes automation of things with reduced cost and manpower. There are a few methods that are influential in promoting the systems to automatically learn and improve as per the experience. But they fall under various categories or types like Supervised Learning, Unsupervised Learning, Reinforcement Learning, Representation Learning, etc. Below are the techniques which fall under Machine Learning: Regression algorithms are mostly used to make predictions on numbers i.e when the output is a real or continuous value. As it falls under Supervised Learning, it works with trained data to predict new test data. For example, age can be a continuous value as it increases with time.

Hip fracture risk assessment is an important but challenging task. Quantitative CT-based patient specific finite element analysis (FEA) computes the force (fracture load) to break the proximal femur in a particular loading condition. It provides different structural information about the proximal femur that can influence a subject overall fracture risk. To obtain a more robust measure of fracture risk, we used principal component analysis (PCA) to develop a global FEA computed fracture risk index that incorporates the FEA-computed yield and ultimate failure loads and energies to failure in four loading conditions (single-limb stance and impact from a fall onto the posterior, posterolateral, and lateral aspects of the greater trochanter) of 110 hip fracture subjects and 235 age and sex matched control subjects from the AGES-Reykjavik study. We found that the first PC (PC1) of the FE parameters was the only significant predictor of hip fracture. Using a logistic regression model, we determined if prediction performance for hip fracture using PC1 differed from that using FE parameters combined by stratified random resampling with respect to hip fracture status. The results showed that the average of the area under the receive operating characteristic curve (AUC) using PC1 was always higher than that using all FE parameters combined in the male subjects. The AUC of PC1 and AUC of the FE parameters combined were not significantly different than that in the female subjects or in all subjects

Machine learning models are incorporated in different fields and disciplines in which some of them require a high level of accountability and transparency, for example, the healthcare sector. With the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), the importance for plausibility and verifiability of the predictions made by machine learning models has become essential. A widely used category of explanation techniques attempts to explain models’ predictions by quantifying the importance score of each input feature. However, summarizing such scores to provide human-interpretable explanations is challenging. Another category of explanation techniques focuses on learning a domain representation in terms of high-level human-understandable concepts and then utilizing them to explain predictions. These explanations are hampered by how concepts are constructed, which is not intrinsically interpretable. To this end, we propose Concept-based Local Explanations with Feedback (CLEF), a novel local model agnostic explanation framework for learning a set of high-level transparent concept definitions in high-dimensional tabular data that uses clinician-labeled concepts rather than raw features. CLEF maps the raw input features to high-level intuitive concepts and then decompose the evidence of prediction of the instance being explained into concepts. In addition, the proposed framework generates counterfactual explanations, suggesting the minimum changes in the instance’s concept based explanation that will lead to a different prediction. We demonstrate with simulated user feedback on predicting the risk of mortality. Such direct feedback is more effective than other techniques, that rely on hand-labelled or automatically extracted concepts, in learning concepts that align with ground truth concept definitions.

With the development of machine learning, it is difficult for a single server to process all the data. So machine learning tasks need to be spread across multiple servers, turning centralized machine learning into a distributed one. However, privacy remains an unsolved problem in distributed machine learning. Multi-key homomorphic encryption over torus (MKTFHE) is one of the suitable candidates to solve the problem. However, there may be security risks in the decryption of MKTFHE and the most recent result about MKFHE only supports the Boolean operation and linear operation. So, MKTFHE cannot compute the non-linear function like Sigmoid directly and it is still hard to perform common machine learning such as logistic regression and neural networks in high performance. This paper first introduces secret sharing to propose a new distributed decryption protocol for MKTFHE, then designs an MKTFHE-friendly activation function, and finally utilizes them to implement logistic regression and neural network training in MKTFHE. We prove the correctness and security of our decryption protocol and compare the efficiency and accuracy between using Taylor polynomials of Sigmoid and our proposed function as an activation function. The experiments show that the efficiency of our function is 10 times higher than using 7-order Taylor polynomials straightly and the accuracy of the training model is similar to that of using a high-order polynomial as an activation function scheme.

Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms form a class of surrogate-based heuristics, aimed at efficiently computing high-quality solutions for numerical black-box optimization problems. The BO pipeline is highly modular, with different design choices for the initial sampling strategy, the surrogate model, the acquisition function (AF), the solver used to optimize the AF, etc. We demonstrate in this work that a dynamic selection of the AF can benefit the BO design. More precisely, we show that already a na\"ive random forest regression model, built on top of exploratory landscape analysis features that are computed from the initial design points, suffices to recommend AFs that outperform any static choice, when considering performance over the classic BBOB benchmark suite for derivative-free numerical optimization methods on the COCO platform. Our work hence paves a way towards AutoML-assisted, on-the-fly BO designs that adjust their behavior on a run-by-run basis.

This paper studies the confounding effects from the unmeasured confounders and the imbalance of observed confounders in IV regression and aims at unbiased causal effect estimation. Recently, nonlinear IV estimators were proposed to allow for nonlinear model in both stages. However, the observed confounders may be imbalanced in stage 2, which could still lead to biased treatment effect estimation in certain cases. To this end, we propose a Confounder Balanced IV Regression (CB-IV) algorithm to jointly remove the bias from the unmeasured confounders and the imbalance of observed confounders. Theoretically, by redefining and solving an inverse problem for potential outcome function, we show that our CB-IV algorithm can unbiasedly estimate treatment effects and achieve lower variance. The IV methods have a major disadvantage in that little prior or theory is currently available to pre-define a valid IV in real-world scenarios. Thus, we study two more challenging settings without pre-defined valid IVs: (1) indistinguishable IVs implicitly present in observations, i.e., mixed-variable challenge, and (2) latent IVs don't appear in observations, i.e., latent-variable challenge. To address these two challenges, we extend our CB-IV by a latent-variable module, namely CB-IV-L algorithm. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our CB-IV(-L) outperforms the existing approaches.

Abstract-- A wide variety of robotic hands have been designed to date. Yet, we do not know how users perceive these hands and feel about interacting with them. To inform hand design for social robots, we compiled a dataset of 73 robot hands and ran an online study, in which 160 users rated their impressions of the hands using 17 rating scales. Next, we developed 17 regression models that can predict user ratings (e.g., humanlike) from the design features of the hands (e.g., number of fingers). The models have less than a 10-point error in predicting the user ratings on a 0-100 scale. The shape of the fingertips, color scheme, and size of the hands influence the user ratings the most. We present simple guidelines to improve user impression of robot hands and outline remaining questions for future work. Figure 1: A collage of the 73 existing robotic hands that we evaluated in an online study.

While physical phenomena are stated in terms of physical laws that are homogeneous in all dimensions, the mechanisms and patterns of the physical phenomena are independent of the form of the units describing the physical process. Accordingly, across different conditions, the similarity of a process may be captured through a dimensionless reformulation of the physical problem with Buckingham $\Pi$ theorem. Here, we apply Buckingham $\Pi$ theorem for creating dimensionless indices for capturing the similarity of the flood process, and in turn, these indices allow machine learning to map the likelihood of pluvial (flash) flooding over a landscape. In particular, we use these dimensionless predictors with a logistic regression machine learning (ML) model for a probabilistic determination of flood risk. The logistic regression derived flood maps compare well to 2D hydraulic model results that are the basis of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) maps. As a result, the indices and logistic regression also provide the potential to expand existing FEMA maps to new (unmapped) areas and a wider spectrum of flood flows and precipitation events. Our results demonstrate that the new dimensionless indices capture the similarity of the flood process across different topographies and climate regions. Consequently, these dimensionless indices may expand observations of flooding (e.g., satellite) to the risk of flooding in new areas, as well as provide a basis for the rapid, real-time estimation of flood risk on a worldwide scale.

Early diagnosis of dementia, particularly in the prodromal stage (i.e., mild cognitive impairment, or MCI), has become a research and clinical priority but remains challenging. Automated analysis of the drawing process has been studied as a promising means for screening prodromal and clinical dementia, providing multifaceted information encompassing features, such as drawing speed, pen posture, writing pressure, and pauses. We examined the feasibility of using these features not only for detecting prodromal and clinical dementia but also for predicting the severity of cognitive impairments assessed using Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) as well as the severity of neuropathological changes assessed by medial temporal lobe (MTL) atrophy. We collected drawing data with a digitizing tablet and pen from 145 older adults of cognitively normal (CN), MCI, and dementia. The nested cross-validation results indicate that the combination of drawing features could be used to classify CN, MCI, and dementia with an AUC of 0.909 and 75.1% accuracy (CN vs. MCI: 82.4% accuracy; CN vs. dementia: 92.2% accuracy; MCI vs. dementia: 80.3% accuracy) and predict MMSE scores with an $R^2$ of 0.491 and severity of MTL atrophy with an $R^2$ of 0.293. Our findings suggest that automated analysis of the drawing process can provide information about cognitive impairments and neuropathological changes due to dementia, which can help identify prodromal and clinical dementia as a digital biomarker.