Recent work has proposed artificial intelligence (AI) models that can learn to decide whether to make a prediction for an instance of a task or to delegate it to a human by considering both parties' capabilities. In simulations with synthetically generated or context-independent human predictions, delegation can help improve the performance of human-AI teams -- compared to humans or the AI model completing the task alone. However, so far, it remains unclear how humans perform and how they perceive the task when they are aware that an AI model delegated task instances to them. In an experimental study with 196 participants, we show that task performance and task satisfaction improve through AI delegation, regardless of whether humans are aware of the delegation. Additionally, we identify humans' increased levels of self-efficacy as the underlying mechanism for these improvements in performance and satisfaction. Our findings provide initial evidence that allowing AI models to take over more management responsibilities can be an effective form of human-AI collaboration in workplaces.

For the multivariate linear regression model with unknown covariance, the corrected Akaike information criterion is the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. In this study, based on the loss estimation framework, we show its inadmissibility as an estimator of the Kullback--Leibler discrepancy itself, instead of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. We provide improved estimators of the Kullback--Leibler discrepancy that work well in reduced-rank situations and examine their performance numerically.

Unforeseen particle accelerator interruptions, also known as interlocks, lead to abrupt operational changes despite being necessary safety measures. These may result in substantial loss of beam time and perhaps even equipment damage. We propose a simple yet powerful binary classification model aiming to forecast such interruptions, in the case of the High Intensity Proton Accelerator complex at the Paul Scherrer Institut. The model is formulated as logistic regression penalized by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, based on a statistical two sample test to distinguish between unstable and stable states of the accelerator. The primary objective for receiving alarms prior to interlocks is to allow for countermeasures and reduce beam time loss. Hence, a continuous evaluation metric is developed to measure the saved beam time in any period, given the assumption that interlocks could be circumvented by reducing the beam current. The best-performing interlock-to-stable classifier can potentially increase the beam time by around 5 min in a day. Possible instrumentation for fast adjustment of the beam current is also listed and discussed.

The Internet of Things (IoT) system generates massive high-speed temporally correlated streaming data and is often connected with online inference tasks under computational or energy constraints. Online analysis of these streaming time series data often faces a trade-off between statistical efficiency and computational cost. One important approach to balance this trade-off is sampling, where only a small portion of the sample is selected for the model fitting and update. Motivated by the demands of dynamic relationship analysis of IoT system, we study the data-dependent sample selection and online inference problem for a multi-dimensional streaming time series, aiming to provide low-cost real-time analysis of high-speed power grid electricity consumption data. Inspired by D-optimality criterion in design of experiments, we propose a class of online data reduction methods that achieve an optimal sampling criterion and improve the computational efficiency of the online analysis. We show that the optimal solution amounts to a strategy that is a mixture of Bernoulli sampling and leverage score sampling. The leverage score sampling involves auxiliary estimations that have a computational advantage over recursive least squares updates. Theoretical properties of the auxiliary estimations involved are also discussed. When applied to European power grid consumption data, the proposed leverage score based sampling methods outperform the benchmark sampling method in online estimation and prediction. The general applicability of the sampling-assisted online estimation method is assessed via simulation studies.

Over-parameterized models estimated with some form of gradient descent come in various forms, such as linear regression with potentially non-linear features, neural networks, or kernel methods. The double descent phenomenon can be seen empirically in several of these models [6, 15]: Given a fixed prediction problem, when the number of parameters of the model is increasing from zero to the number of observations, the generalization performance traditionally goes down and then up, due to overfitting. Once the number of parameters exceeds the number of observations, the generalization error decreases again, as illustrated in Figure 1. The phenomenon has been theoretically analyzed in several settings, such as random features based on neural networks [27], random Fourier features [24], or linear regression [7, 17]. While the analysis of [27, 24] for random features corresponds to a single prediction problem with a sequence of increasingly larger prediction models, most of the analysis of [17] for linear regression does not consider a single problem, but varying problems, which does not actually lead to a double descent curve. Random subsampling on a single prediction problem was analyzed with a simpler model with isotropic covariance matrices in [7] and [17, Section 5.2], but without a proper double descent as the model is too simple to account for a U-shaped curve in the under-parameterized regime. In work related to ours, principal component regression was analyzed by [37] with a double descent curve but with less general assumptions regarding the spectrum of the covariance matrix and the optimal predictor.

Human communication is increasingly intermixed with language generated by AI. Across chat, email, and social media, AI systems suggest words, complete sentences, or produce entire conversations. AI-generated language is often not identified as such but presented as language written by humans, raising concerns about novel forms of deception and manipulation. Here, we study how humans discern whether verbal self-presentations, one of the most personal and consequential forms of language, were generated by AI. In six experiments, participants (N = 4,600) were unable to detect self-presentations generated by state-of-the-art AI language models in professional, hospitality, and dating contexts. A computational analysis of language features shows that human judgments of AI-generated language are hindered by intuitive but flawed heuristics such as associating first-person pronouns, use of contractions, or family topics with human-written language. We experimentally demonstrate that these heuristics make human judgment of AI-generated language predictable and manipulable, allowing AI systems to produce text perceived as "more human than human." We discuss solutions, such as AI accents, to reduce the deceptive potential of language generated by AI, limiting the subversion of human intuition.

Compression and efficient storage of neural network (NN) parameters is critical for applications that run on resource-constrained devices. Despite the significant progress in NN model compression, there has been considerably less investigation in the actual \textit{physical} storage of NN parameters. Conventionally, model compression and physical storage are decoupled, as digital storage media with error-correcting codes (ECCs) provide robust error-free storage. However, this decoupled approach is inefficient as it ignores the overparameterization present in most NNs and forces the memory device to allocate the same amount of resources to every bit of information regardless of its importance. In this work, we investigate analog memory devices as an alternative to digital media -- one that naturally provides a way to add more protection for significant bits unlike its counterpart, but is noisy and may compromise the stored model's performance if used naively. We develop a variety of robust coding strategies for NN weight storage on analog devices, and propose an approach to jointly optimize model compression and memory resource allocation. We then demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on models trained on MNIST, CIFAR-10 and ImageNet datasets for existing compression techniques. Compared to conventional error-free digital storage, our method reduces the memory footprint by up to one order of magnitude, without significantly compromising the stored model's accuracy.

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has emerged as a promising method in recent years. The use of neural networks, especially recurrent neural networks, is abundant in the literature. In most studies, the impact of different users was considered equal or ignored, whereas users can have other effects. In the current study, we will introduce TM-vector and then use this vector to train an IndRNN and ultimately model the market users' behaviour. In the proposed model, TM-vector is simultaneously trained with both the extracted Twitter features and market information. Various factors have been used for the effectiveness of the proposed forecasting approach, including the characteristics of each individual user, their impact on each other, and their impact on the market, to predict market direction more accurately. Dow Jones 30 index has been used in current work. The accuracy obtained for predicting daily stock changes of Apple is based on various models, closed to over 95\% and for the other stocks is significant. Our results indicate the effectiveness of TM-vector in predicting stock market direction.

Introduction: The Oncotype DX (ODX) test is a commercially available molecular test for breast cancer assay that provides prognostic and predictive breast cancer recurrence information for hormone positive, HER2-negative patients. The aim of this study is to propose a novel methodology to assist physicians in their decision-making. Methods: A retrospective study between 2012 and 2020 with 333 cases that underwent an ODX assay from three hospitals in Bourgogne Franche-Comt{\'e} was conducted. Clinical and pathological reports were used to collect the data. A methodology based on distributional random forest was developed using 9 clinico-pathological characteristics. This methodology can be used particularly to identify the patients of the training cohort that share similarities with the new patient and to predict an estimate of the distribution of the ODX score. Results: The mean age of participants id 56.9 years old. We have correctly classified 92% of patients in low risk and 40.2% of patients in high risk. The overall accuracy is 79.3%. The proportion of low risk correct predicted value (PPV) is 82%. The percentage of high risk correct predicted value (NPV) is approximately 62.3%. The F1-score and the Area Under Curve (AUC) are of 0.87 and 0.759, respectively. Conclusion: The proposed methodology makes it possible to predict the distribution of the ODX score for a patient and provides an explanation of the predicted score. The use of the methodology with the pathologist's expertise on the different histological and immunohistochemical characteristics has a clinical impact to help oncologist in decision-making regarding breast cancer therapy.

It is important to predict how the Global Mean Temperature (GMT) will evolve in the next few decades. The ability to predict historical data is a necessary first step toward the actual goal of making long-range forecasts. This paper examines the advantage of statistical and simpler Machine Learning (ML) methods instead of directly using complex ML algorithms and Deep Learning Neural Networks (DNN). Often neglected data transformation methods prior to applying different algorithms have been used as a means of improving predictive accuracy. The GMT time series is treated both as a univariate time series and also cast as a regression problem. Some steps of data transformations were found to be effective. Various simple ML methods did as well or better than the more well-known ones showing merit in trying a large bouquet of algorithms as a first step. Fifty-six algorithms were subject to Box-Cox, Yeo-Johnson, and first-order differencing and compared with the absence of them. Predictions for the annual GMT testing data were better than that published so far, with the lowest RMSE value of 0.02 $^\circ$C. RMSE for five-year mean GMT values for the test data ranged from 0.00002 to 0.00036 $^\circ$C.