We study the use of binary activated neural networks as interpretable and explainable predictors in the context of regression tasks on tabular data; more specifically, we provide guarantees on their expressiveness, present an approach based on the efficient computation of SHAP values for quantifying the relative importance of the features, hidden neurons and even weights. As the model's simplicity is instrumental in achieving interpretability, we propose a greedy algorithm for building compact binary activated networks. This approach doesn't need to fix an architecture for the network in advance: it is built one layer at a time, one neuron at a time, leading to predictors that aren't needlessly complex for a given task.

This paper develops a new vascular respiratory motion compensation algorithm, Motion-Related Compensation (MRC), to conduct vascular respiratory motion compensation by extrapolating the correlation between invisible vascular and visible non-vascular. Robot-assisted vascular intervention can significantly reduce the radiation exposure of surgeons. In robot-assisted image-guided intervention, blood vessels are constantly moving/deforming due to respiration, and they are invisible in the X-ray images unless contrast agents are injected. The vascular respiratory motion compensation technique predicts 2D vascular roadmaps in live X-ray images. When blood vessels are visible after contrast agents injection, vascular respiratory motion compensation is conducted based on the sparse Lucas-Kanade feature tracker. An MRC model is trained to learn the correlation between vascular and non-vascular motions. During the intervention, the invisible blood vessels are predicted with visible tissues and the trained MRC model. Moreover, a Gaussian-based outlier filter is adopted for refinement. Experiments on in-vivo data sets show that the proposed method can yield vascular respiratory motion compensation in 0.032 sec, with an average error 1.086 mm. Our real-time and accurate vascular respiratory motion compensation approach contributes to modern vascular intervention and surgical robots.

Underwater imagery often exhibits distorted coloration as a result of light-water interactions, which complicates the study of benthic environments in marine biology and geography. In this research, we propose an algorithm to restore the true color (albedo) in underwater imagery by jointly learning the effects of the medium and neural scene representations. Our approach models water effects as a combination of light attenuation with distance and backscattered light. The proposed neural scene representation is based on a neural reflectance field model, which learns albedos, normals, and volume densities of the underwater environment. We introduce a logistic regression model to separate water from the scene and apply distinct light physics during training. Our method avoids the need to estimate complex backscatter effects in water by employing several approximations, enhancing sampling efficiency and numerical stability during training. The proposed technique integrates underwater light effects into a volume rendering framework with end-to-end differentiability. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that our method effectively restores true color from underwater imagery, outperforming existing approaches in terms of color consistency.

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic errors. Addressing these shortcomings, the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HeGP) regression seeks to introduce flexibility by acknowledging the variability of residual variances across covariates in the regression model. In this work, we extend the HeGP concept, expanding its scope beyond regression tasks to encompass classification and state-space models. To achieve this, we propose a novel framework where the Gaussian process is coupled with a covariate-induced precision matrix process, adopting a mixture formulation. This approach enables the modeling of heteroscedastic covariance functions across covariates. To mitigate the computational challenges posed by sampling, we employ variational inference to approximate the posterior and facilitate posterior predictive modeling. Additionally, our training process leverages an EM algorithm featuring closed-form M-step updates to efficiently evaluate the heteroscedastic covariance function. A notable feature of our model is its consistent performance on multivariate responses, accommodating various types (continuous or categorical) seamlessly. Through a combination of simulations and real-world applications in climatology, we illustrate the model's prowess and advantages. By overcoming the limitations of traditional Gaussian process models, our proposed framework offers a robust and versatile tool for a wide array of applications.

While academic metrics such as transcripts and GPA are commonly used to evaluate students' knowledge acquisition, there is a lack of comprehensive metrics to measure their preparedness for the challenges of post-graduation life. This research paper explores the impact of various factors on university students' readiness for change and transition, with a focus on their preparedness for careers. The methodology employed in this study involves designing a survey based on Paul J. Mayer's "The Balance Wheel" to capture students' sentiments on various life aspects, including satisfaction with the educational process and expectations of salary. The collected data from a KBTU student survey (n=47) were processed through machine learning models: Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest Regression. Subsequently, an intelligent system was built using these models and fuzzy sets. The system is capable of evaluating graduates' readiness for their future careers and demonstrates a high predictive power. The findings of this research have practical implications for educational institutions. Such an intelligent system can serve as a valuable tool for universities to assess and enhance students' preparedness for post-graduation challenges. By recognizing the factors contributing to students' readiness for change, universities can refine curricula and processes to better prepare students for their career journeys.

We consider random forests and LASSO methods for model-based small area estimation when the number of areas with sampled data is a small fraction of the total areas for which estimates are required. Abundant auxiliary information is available for the sampled areas, from the survey, and for all areas, from an exterior source, and the goal is to use auxiliary variables to predict the outcome of interest. We compare areallevel random forests and LASSO approaches to a frequentist forward variable selection approach and a Bayesian shrinkage method. This work is motivated by Ghanaian data available from the sixth Living Standard Survey (GLSS) and the 2010 Population and Housing Census. We estimate the areal mean household log consumption using both datasets. The outcome variable is measured only in the GLSS for 3% of all the areas (136 out of 5019) and more than 170 potential covariates are available from both datasets. Among the four modelling methods considered, the Bayesian shrinkage performed the best in terms of bias, MSE and prediction interval coverages and scores, as assessed through a cross-validation study. We find substantial between-area variation, the log consumption areal point estimates showing a 1.3-fold variation across the GAMA region. The western areas are the poorest while the Accra Metropolitan Area district gathers the richest areas. In 2015, the United Nations (UN) released their 2030 agenda for sustainable development goals (SDGs) consisting of 17 goals, the first of which was to end poverty worldwide (Resolution, General Assembly and others, 2015). For their first SDG, the UN made seven guidelines explicit, including the implementation of "poverty eradication policies" at a disaggregated level. To that end, producing reliable and fine-grained pictures of socioeconomic status and income inequality is fundamental to help decision makers prioritise and target certain areas. These detailed maps help local communities understand their situation compared to their neighbours, which also helps when planning interventions (Bedi et al., 2007). In Ghana, household surveys are collected every few years to measure the living conditions of households across Ghanaian regions and districts and to monitor poverty.

AI powered code-recommendation systems, such as Copilot and CodeWhisperer, provide code suggestions inside a programmer's environment (e.g., an IDE) with the aim to improve their productivity. Since, in these scenarios, programmers accept and reject suggestions, ideally, such a system should use this feedback in furtherance of this goal. In this work, we leverage prior data of programmers interacting with GitHub Copilot, a system used by millions of programmers, to develop interventions that can save programmer time. We propose a utility theory framework, which models this interaction with programmers and decides which suggestions to display. Our framework Conditional suggestion Display from Human Feedback (CDHF), relies on a cascade of models that predict suggestion acceptance to selectively hide suggestions reducing both latency and programmer verification time. Using data from 535 programmers, we perform a retrospective evaluation of CDHF and show that we can avoid displaying a significant fraction of suggestions that would have been rejected doing so without total knowledge of the suggestions themselves. We further demonstrate the importance of incorporating the programmer's latent unobserved state in deciding when to display suggestions through ablations on user study data. Finally, we showcase that using suggestion acceptance as a reward signal to know which suggestions to display leads to reduced quality suggestions indicating an unexpected pitfall.

The growing number of exoplanet discoveries and advances in machine learning techniques have opened new avenues for exploring and understanding the characteristics of worlds beyond our Solar System. In this study, we employ efficient machine learning approaches to analyze a dataset comprising 762 confirmed exoplanets and eight Solar System planets, aiming to characterize their fundamental quantities. By applying different unsupervised clustering algorithms, we classify the data into two main classes: 'small' and 'giant' planets, with cut-off values at $R_{p}=8.13R_{\oplus}$ and $M_{p}=52.48M_{\oplus}$. This classification reveals an intriguing distinction: giant planets have lower densities, suggesting higher H-He mass fractions, while small planets are denser, composed mainly of heavier elements. We apply various regression models to uncover correlations between physical parameters and their predictive power for exoplanet radius. Our analysis highlights that planetary mass, orbital period, and stellar mass play crucial roles in predicting exoplanet radius. Among the models evaluated, the Support Vector Regression consistently outperforms others, demonstrating its promise for obtaining accurate planetary radius estimates. Furthermore, we derive parametric equations using the M5P and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Notably, our study reveals a noteworthy result: small planets exhibit a positive linear mass-radius relation, aligning with previous findings. Conversely, for giant planets, we observe a strong correlation between planetary radius and the mass of their host stars, which might provide intriguing insights into the relationship between giant planet formation and stellar characteristics.

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional dependent data which is relevant to covariance matrix structures as well as to dependent time series sequences. Second, we present main aspects of the asymptotic theory related to time series regression models with many covariates. Third, we discuss various applications of statistical learning methodologies for time series analysis purposes.

The sparse modeling is an evident manifestation capturing the parsimony principle just described, and sparse models are widespread in statistics, physics, information sciences, neuroscience, computational mathematics, and so on. In statistics the many applications of sparse modeling span regression, classification tasks, graphical model selection, sparse M-estimators and sparse dimensionality reduction. It is also particularly effective in many statistical and machine learning areas where the primary goal is to discover predictive patterns from data which would enhance our understanding and control of underlying physical, biological, and other natural processes, beyond just building accurate outcome black-box predictors. Common examples include selecting biomarkers in biological procedures, finding relevant brain activity locations which are predictive about brain states and processes based on fMRI data, and identifying network bottlenecks best explaining end-to-end performance. Moreover, the research and applications of efficient recovery of high-dimensional sparse signals from a relatively small number of observations, which is the main focus of compressed sensing or compressive sensing, have rapidly grown and became an extremely intense area of study beyond classical signal processing. Likewise interestingly, sparse modeling is directly related to various artificial vision tasks, such as image denoising, segmentation, restoration and superresolution, object or face detection and recognition in visual scenes, and action recognition. In this manuscript, we provide a brief introduction of the basic theory underlying sparse representation and compressive sensing, and then discuss some methods for recovering sparse solutions to optimization problems in effective way, together with some applications of sparse recovery in a machine learning problem known as sparse dictionary learning.