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 Regression


Beyond the Benchmark: Detecting Diverse Anomalies in Videos

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Video Anomaly Detection (VAD) plays a crucial role in modern surveillance systems, aiming to identify various anomalies in real-world situations. However, current benchmark datasets predominantly emphasize simple, single-frame anomalies such as novel object detection. This narrow focus restricts the advancement of VAD models. In this research, we advocate for an expansion of VAD investigations to encompass intricate anomalies that extend beyond conventional benchmark boundaries. To facilitate this, we introduce two datasets, HMDB-AD and HMDB-Violence, to challenge models with diverse action-based anomalies. These datasets are derived from the HMDB51 action recognition dataset. We further present Multi-Frame Anomaly Detection (MFAD), a novel method built upon the AI-VAD framework. AI-VAD utilizes single-frame features such as pose estimation and deep image encoding, and two-frame features such as object velocity. They then apply a density estimation algorithm to compute anomaly scores. To address complex multi-frame anomalies, we add a deep video encoding features capturing long-range temporal dependencies, and logistic regression to enhance final score calculation. Experimental results confirm our assumptions, highlighting existing models limitations with new anomaly types. MFAD excels in both simple and complex anomaly detection scenarios.


Conditional Instrumental Variable Regression with Representation Learning for Causal Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper studies the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from observational data, in the presence of unobserved confounders. The two-stage least square (TSLS) method and its variants with a standard instrumental variable (IV) are commonly used to eliminate confounding bias, including the bias caused by unobserved confounders, but they rely on the linearity assumption. Besides, the strict condition of unconfounded instruments posed on a standard IV is too strong to be practical. To address these challenging and practical problems of the standard IV method (linearity assumption and the strict condition), in this paper, we use a conditional IV (CIV) to relax the unconfounded instrument condition of standard IV and propose a non-linear CIV regression with Confounding Balancing Representation Learning, CBRL.CIV, for jointly eliminating the confounding bias from unobserved confounders and balancing the observed confounders, without the linearity assumption. We theoretically demonstrate the soundness of CBRL.CIV. Extensive experiments on synthetic and two real-world datasets show the competitive performance of CBRL.CIV against state-of-the-art IV-based estimators and superiority in dealing with the non-linear situation.


Unified Transfer Learning Models for High-Dimensional Linear Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Transfer learning plays a key role in modern data analysis when: (1) the target data are scarce but the source data are sufficient; (2) the distributions of the source and target data are heterogeneous. This paper develops an interpretable unified transfer learning model, termed as UTrans, which can detect both transferable variables and source data. More specifically, we establish the estimation error bounds and prove that our bounds are lower than those with target data only. Besides, we propose a source detection algorithm based on hypothesis testing to exclude the nontransferable data. We evaluate and compare UTrans to the existing algorithms in multiple experiments. It is shown that UTrans attains much lower estimation and prediction errors than the existing methods, while preserving interpretability. We finally apply it to the US intergenerational mobility data and compare our proposed algorithms to the classical machine learning algorithms.


5G Network Slicing: Analysis of Multiple Machine Learning Classifiers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The division of one physical 5G communications infrastructure into several virtual network slices with distinct characteristics such as bandwidth, latency, reliability, security, and service quality is known as 5G network slicing. Each slice is a separate logical network that meets the requirements of specific services or use cases, such as virtual reality, gaming, autonomous vehicles, or industrial automation. The network slice can be adjusted dynamically to meet the changing demands of the service, resulting in a more cost-effective and efficient approach to delivering diverse services and applications over a shared infrastructure. This paper assesses various machine learning techniques, including the logistic regression model, linear discriminant model, k-nearest neighbor's model, decision tree model, random forest model, SVC BernoulliNB model, and GaussianNB model, to investigate the accuracy and precision of each model on detecting network slices. The report also gives an overview of 5G network slicing.


A Machine Learning Approach to Solving Large Bilevel and Stochastic Programs: Application to Cycling Network Design

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a novel machine learning-based approach to solving bilevel programs that involve a large number of independent followers, which as a special case include two-stage stochastic programming. We propose an optimization model that explicitly considers a sampled subset of followers and exploits a machine learning model to estimate the objective values of unsampled followers. Unlike existing approaches, we embed machine learning model training into the optimization problem, which allows us to employ general follower features that can not be represented using leader decisions. We prove bounds on the optimality gap of the generated leader decision as measured by the original objective function that considers the full follower set. We then develop follower sampling algorithms to tighten the bounds and a representation learning approach to learn follower features, which can be used as inputs to the embedded machine learning model. Using synthetic instances of a cycling network design problem, we compare the computational performance of our approach versus baseline methods. Our approach provides more accurate predictions for follower objective values, and more importantly, generates leader decisions of higher quality. Finally, we perform a real-world case study on cycling infrastructure planning, where we apply our approach to solve a network design problem with over one million followers. Our approach presents favorable performance compared to the current cycling network expansion practices.


Optimal Estimator for Linear Regression with Shuffled Labels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper considers the task of linear regression with shuffled labels, i.e., $\mathbf Y = \mathbf \Pi \mathbf X \mathbf B + \mathbf W$, where $\mathbf Y \in \mathbb R^{n\times m}, \mathbf Pi \in \mathbb R^{n\times n}, \mathbf X\in \mathbb R^{n\times p}, \mathbf B \in \mathbb R^{p\times m}$, and $\mathbf W\in \mathbb R^{n\times m}$, respectively, represent the sensing results, (unknown or missing) corresponding information, sensing matrix, signal of interest, and additive sensing noise. Given the observation $\mathbf Y$ and sensing matrix $\mathbf X$, we propose a one-step estimator to reconstruct $(\mathbf \Pi, \mathbf B)$. From the computational perspective, our estimator's complexity is $O(n^3 + np^2m)$, which is no greater than the maximum complexity of a linear assignment algorithm (e.g., $O(n^3)$) and a least square algorithm (e.g., $O(np^2 m)$). From the statistical perspective, we divide the minimum $snr$ requirement into four regimes, e.g., unknown, hard, medium, and easy regimes; and present sufficient conditions for the correct permutation recovery under each regime: $(i)$ $snr \geq \Omega(1)$ in the easy regime; $(ii)$ $snr \geq \Omega(\log n)$ in the medium regime; and $(iii)$ $snr \geq \Omega((\log n)^{c_0}\cdot n^{{c_1}/{srank(\mathbf B)}})$ in the hard regime ($c_0, c_1$ are some positive constants and $srank(\mathbf B)$ denotes the stable rank of $\mathbf B$). In the end, we also provide numerical experiments to confirm the above claims.


Understanding Transferable Representation Learning and Zero-shot Transfer in CLIP

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multi-modal learning (Ngiam et al., 2011) integrates information from a variety of data types, resulting in AI systems that are both robust and precise. Recently, CLIP (Radford et al., 2021) emerged as a milestone work that leverages vision-language contrastive pretraining to jointly learn image and text embeddings, using the vast amounts of image-text data available on the web. During the training process, CLIP considers image-text data that appear together as positive pairs and other combinations as negative pairs. The goal is to maximize the embedding similarity for the positive pairs while minimizing it for the negative pairs. Remarkably, this approach has achieved significant success in zero-shot transfer (Lei Ba et al., 2015), indicating the model's ability to handle a great variety of tasks without prior exposure to any of their training data. Inspired by CLIP's groundbreaking zero-shot capabilities, subsequent studies (Yao et al., 2022; Li et al., 2022; Mu et al., 2022; Goel et al., 2022; Zhai et al., 2022; Alayrac et al., 2022) emerged with the primary objective of further enhancing CLIP's zero-shot performance. Despite the empirical success of CLIP in zero-shot transfer, the theoretical understanding of how it works remains elusive. An intriguing inquiry is thus: How does CLIP learn representations that are transferable to the various downstream tasks?


Heteroscedastic sparse high-dimensional linear regression with a partitioned empirical Bayes ECM algorithm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sparse linear regression methods for high-dimensional data often assume that residuals have constant variance. When this assumption is violated, it can lead to bias in estimated coefficients, prediction intervals (PI) with improper length, and increased type I errors. We propose a heteroscedastic high-dimensional linear regression model through a partitioned empirical Bayes Expectation Conditional Maximization (H-PROBE) algorithm. H-PROBE is a computationally efficient maximum a posteriori estimation approach based on a Parameter-Expanded Expectation-Conditional-Maximization algorithm. It requires minimal prior assumptions on the regression parameters through plug-in empirical Bayes estimates of hyperparameters. The variance model uses a multivariate log-Gamma prior on coefficients that can incorporate covariates hypothesized to impact heterogeneity. The motivation of our approach is a study relating Aphasia Quotient (AQ) to high-resolution T2 neuroimages of brain damage in stroke patients. AQ is a vital measure of language impairment and informs treatment decisions, but it is challenging to measure and subject to heteroscedastic errors. It is, therefore, of clinical importance -- and the goal of this paper -- to use high-dimensional neuroimages to predict and provide PIs for AQ that accurately reflect the heterogeneity in residual variance. Our analysis demonstrates that H-PROBE can use markers of heterogeneity to provide narrower PI widths than standard methods without sacrificing coverage. Through extensive simulation studies, we exhibit that H-PROBE results in superior prediction, variable selection, and predictive inference than competing methods.


Asymptotically Efficient Online Learning for Censored Regression Models Under Non-I.I.D Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The asymptotically efficient online learning problem is investigated for stochastic censored regression models, which arise from various fields of learning and statistics but up to now still lacks comprehensive theoretical studies on the efficiency of the learning algorithms. For this, we propose a two-step online algorithm, where the first step focuses on achieving algorithm convergence, and the second step is dedicated to improving the estimation performance. Under a general excitation condition on the data, we show that our algorithm is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal by employing the stochastic Lyapunov function method and limit theories for martingales. Moreover, we show that the covariances of the estimates can achieve the Cramér-Rao(C-R) bound asymptotically, indicating that the performance of the proposed algorithm is the best possible that one can expect in general. Unlike most of the existing works, our results are obtained without resorting to the traditionally used but stringent conditions such as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) assumption on the data, and thus our results do not exclude applications to stochastic dynamical systems with feedback. A numerical example is also provided to illustrate the superiority of the proposed online algorithm over the existing related ones in the literature. Keywords: stochastic dynamical systems, censored regression models, online learning, non-i.i.d data, cramér-Rao bound.


A Decision Making Framework for Recommended Maintenance of Road Segments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to limited budgets allocated for road maintenance projects in various countries, road management departments face difficulties in making scientific maintenance decisions. This paper aims to provide road management departments with more scientific decision tools and evidence. The framework proposed in this paper mainly has the following four innovative points: 1) Predicting pavement performance deterioration levels of road sections as decision basis rather than accurately predicting specific indicator values; 2) Determining maintenance route priorities based on multiple factors; 3) Making maintenance plan decisions by establishing deep reinforcement learning models to formulate predictive strategies based on past maintenance performance evaluations, while considering both technical and management indicators; 4) Determining repair section priorities according to actual and suggested repair effects. By resolving these four issues, the framework can make intelligent decisions regarding optimal maintenance plans and sections, taking into account limited funds and historical maintenance management experiences.