The aim of ordinal classification is to predict the ordered labels of the output from a set of observed inputs. Interval-valued data refers to data in the form of intervals. For the first time, interval-valued data and interval-valued functional data are considered as inputs in an ordinal classification problem. Six ordinal classifiers for interval data and interval-valued functional data are proposed. Three of them are parametric, one of them is based on ordinal binary decompositions and the other two are based on ordered logistic regression. The other three methods are based on the use of distances between interval data and kernels on interval data. One of the methods uses the weighted $k$-nearest-neighbor technique for ordinal classification. Another method considers kernel principal component analysis plus an ordinal classifier. And the sixth method, which is the method that performs best, uses a kernel-induced ordinal random forest. They are compared with na\"ive approaches in an extensive experimental study with synthetic and original real data sets, about human global development, and weather data. The results show that considering ordering and interval-valued information improves the accuracy. The source code and data sets are available at https://github.com/aleixalcacer/OCFIVD.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved remarkable success in various applications, but their performance can be sensitive to specific data properties of the graph datasets they operate on. Current literature on understanding the limitations of GNNs has primarily employed a $\textit{model-driven}$ approach that leverage heuristics and domain knowledge from network science or graph theory to model the GNN behaviors, which is time-consuming and highly subjective. In this work, we propose a $\textit{metadata-driven}$ approach to analyze the sensitivity of GNNs to graph data properties, motivated by the increasing availability of graph learning benchmarks. We perform a multivariate sparse regression analysis on the metadata derived from benchmarking GNN performance across diverse datasets, yielding a set of salient data properties. To validate the effectiveness of our data-driven approach, we focus on one identified data property, the degree distribution, and investigate how this property influences GNN performance through theoretical analysis and controlled experiments. Our theoretical findings reveal that datasets with more balanced degree distribution exhibit better linear separability of node representations, thus leading to better GNN performance. We also conduct controlled experiments using synthetic datasets with varying degree distributions, and the results align well with our theoretical findings. Collectively, both the theoretical analysis and controlled experiments verify that the proposed metadata-driven approach is effective in identifying critical data properties for GNNs.

To the best of our knowledge, there are no methods today for training differentially private regression models on sparse input data. To remedy this, we adapt the Frank-Wolfe algorithm for $L_1$ penalized linear regression to be aware of sparse inputs and to use them effectively. In doing so, we reduce the training time of the algorithm from $\mathcal{O}( T D S + T N S)$ to $\mathcal{O}(N S + T \sqrt{D} \log{D} + T S^2)$, where $T$ is the number of iterations and a sparsity rate $S$ of a dataset with $N$ rows and $D$ features. Our results demonstrate that this procedure can reduce runtime by a factor of up to $2,200\times$, depending on the value of the privacy parameter $\epsilon$ and the sparsity of the dataset.

Cut-generating linear programs (CGLPs) play a key role as a separation oracle to produce valid inequalities for the feasible region of mixed-integer programs. When incorporated inside branch-and-bound, the cutting planes obtained from CGLPs help to tighten relaxations and improve dual bounds. However, running the CGLPs at the nodes of the branch-and-bound tree is computationally cumbersome due to the large number of node candidates and the lack of a priori knowledge on which nodes admit useful cutting planes. As a result, CGLPs are often avoided at default settings of branch-and-cut algorithms despite their potential impact on improving dual bounds. In this paper, we propose a novel framework based on machine learning to approximate the optimal value of a CGLP class that determines whether a cutting plane can be generated at a node of the branch-and-bound tree. Translating the CGLP as an indicator function of the objective function vector, we show that it can be approximated through conventional data classification techniques. We provide a systematic procedure to efficiently generate training data sets for the corresponding classification problem based on the CGLP structure. We conduct computational experiments on benchmark instances using classification methods such as logistic regression. These results suggest that the approximate CGLP obtained from classification can improve the solution time compared to that of conventional cutting plane methods. Our proposed framework can be efficiently applied to a large number of nodes in the branch-and-bound tree to identify the best candidates for adding a cut.

Abstract reasoning is a key ability for an intelligent system. Large language models (LMs) achieve above-chance performance on abstract reasoning tasks, but exhibit many imperfections. However, human abstract reasoning is also imperfect. For example, human reasoning is affected by our real-world knowledge and beliefs, and shows notable "content effects"; humans reason more reliably when the semantic content of a problem supports the correct logical inferences. These content-entangled reasoning patterns play a central role in debates about the fundamental nature of human intelligence. Here, we investigate whether language models $\unicode{x2014}$ whose prior expectations capture some aspects of human knowledge $\unicode{x2014}$ similarly mix content into their answers to logical problems. We explored this question across three logical reasoning tasks: natural language inference, judging the logical validity of syllogisms, and the Wason selection task. We evaluate state of the art large language models, as well as humans, and find that the language models reflect many of the same patterns observed in humans across these tasks $\unicode{x2014}$ like humans, models answer more accurately when the semantic content of a task supports the logical inferences. These parallels are reflected both in answer patterns, and in lower-level features like the relationship between model answer distributions and human response times. Our findings have implications for understanding both these cognitive effects in humans, and the factors that contribute to language model performance.

In computational social science (CSS), researchers analyze documents to explain social and political phenomena. In most scenarios, CSS researchers first obtain labels for documents and then explain labels using interpretable regression analyses in the second step. One increasingly common way to annotate documents cheaply at scale is through large language models (LLMs). However, like other scalable ways of producing annotations, such surrogate labels are often imperfect and biased. We present a new algorithm for using imperfect annotation surrogates for downstream statistical analyses while guaranteeing statistical properties -- like asymptotic unbiasedness and proper uncertainty quantification -- which are fundamental to CSS research. We show that direct use of surrogate labels in downstream statistical analyses leads to substantial bias and invalid confidence intervals, even with high surrogate accuracy of 80--90\%. To address this, we build on debiased machine learning to propose the design-based supervised learning (DSL) estimator. DSL employs a doubly-robust procedure to combine surrogate labels with a smaller number of high-quality, gold-standard labels. Our approach guarantees valid inference for downstream statistical analyses, even when surrogates are arbitrarily biased and without requiring stringent assumptions, by controlling the probability of sampling documents for gold-standard labeling. Both our theoretical analysis and experimental results show that DSL provides valid statistical inference while achieving root mean squared errors comparable to existing alternatives that focus only on prediction without inferential guarantees.

Conventional statistical wisdom established a well-understood relationship between model complexity and prediction error, typically presented as a U-shaped curve reflecting a transition between under-and overfitting regimes. However, motivated by the success of overparametrized neural networks, recent influential work has suggested this theory to be generally incomplete, introducing an additional regime that exhibits a second descent in test error as the parameter count p grows past sample size n - a phenomenon dubbed double descent. While most attention has naturally been given to the deep-learning setting, double descent was shown to emerge more generally across non-neural models: known cases include linear regression, trees, and boosting. In this work, we take a closer look at the evidence surrounding these more classical statistical machine learning methods and challenge the claim that observed cases of double descent truly extend the limits of a traditional U-shaped complexity-generalization curve therein. We show that once careful consideration is given to what is being plotted on the x-axes of their double descent plots, it becomes apparent that there are implicitly multiple, distinct complexity axes along which the parameter count grows. We demonstrate that the second descent appears exactly (and only) when and where the transition between these underlying axes occurs, and that its location is thus not inherently tied to the interpolation threshold p=n. We then gain further insight by adopting a classical nonparametric statistics perspective. We interpret the investigated methods as smoothers and propose a generalized measure for the effective number of parameters they use on unseen examples, using which we find that their apparent double descent curves do indeed fold back into more traditional convex shapes - providing a resolution to the ostensible tension between double descent and traditional statistical intuition.

The objectives of this research are as follows. First, we employ a suite of regression models, including linear regression, support vector regression, This paper conducts an intricate analysis of random forest regression, and ridge regression, to musical emotions and trends using Spotify music predict valence scores based on the extracted audio data, encompassing audio features and valence attributes. By evaluating the performance of each scores extracted through the Spotipi API. Employing model, we discern their effectiveness in capturing the regression modeling, temporal analysis, mood intricate emotional nuances embedded within the transitions, and genre investigation, the study audio data.

Data quality is crucial for robust machine learning algorithms, with the recent interest in data-centric AI emphasizing the importance of training data characterization. However, current data characterization methods are largely focused on classification settings, with regression settings largely understudied. To address this, we introduce TRIAGE, a novel data characterization framework tailored to regression tasks and compatible with a broad class of regressors. TRIAGE utilizes conformal predictive distributions to provide a model-agnostic scoring method, the TRIAGE score. We operationalize the score to analyze individual samples' training dynamics and characterize samples as under-, over-, or well-estimated by the model. We show that TRIAGE's characterization is consistent and highlight its utility to improve performance via data sculpting/filtering, in multiple regression settings. Additionally, beyond sample level, we show TRIAGE enables new approaches to dataset selection and feature acquisition. Overall, TRIAGE highlights the value unlocked by data characterization in real-world regression applications.

Distributed online learning has been proven extremely effective in solving large-scale machine learning problems over streaming data. However, information sharing between learners in distributed learning also raises concerns about the potential leakage of individual learners' sensitive data. To mitigate this risk, differential privacy, which is widely regarded as the "gold standard" for privacy protection, has been widely employed in many existing results on distributed online learning. However, these results often face a fundamental tradeoff between learning accuracy and privacy. In this paper, we propose a locally differentially private gradient tracking based distributed online learning algorithm that successfully circumvents this tradeoff. We prove that the proposed algorithm converges in mean square to the exact optimal solution while ensuring rigorous local differential privacy, with the cumulative privacy budget guaranteed to be finite even when the number of iterations tends to infinity. The algorithm is applicable even when the communication graph among learners is directed. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first result that simultaneously ensures learning accuracy and rigorous local differential privacy in distributed online learning over directed graphs. We evaluate our algorithm's performance by using multiple benchmark machine-learning applications, including logistic regression of the "Mushrooms" dataset and CNN-based image classification of the "MNIST" and "CIFAR-10" datasets, respectively. The experimental results confirm that the proposed algorithm outperforms existing counterparts in both training and testing accuracies.