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 Regression


Monocular Person Localization under Camera Ego-motion

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Localizing a person from a moving monocular camera is critical for Human-Robot Interaction (HRI). To estimate the 3D human position from a 2D image, existing methods either depend on the geometric assumption of a fixed camera or use a position regression model trained on datasets containing little camera ego-motion. These methods are vulnerable to fierce camera ego-motion, resulting in inaccurate person localization. We consider person localization as a part of a pose estimation problem. By representing a human with a four-point model, our method jointly estimates the 2D camera attitude and the person's 3D location through optimization. Evaluations on both public datasets and real robot experiments demonstrate our method outperforms baselines in person localization accuracy. Our method is further implemented into a person-following system and deployed on an agile quadruped robot.


Computer-aided shape features extraction and regression models for predicting the ascending aortic aneurysm growth rate

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Objective: ascending aortic aneurysm growth prediction is still challenging in clinics. In this study, we evaluate and compare the ability of local and global shape features to predict ascending aortic aneurysm growth. Material and methods: 70 patients with aneurysm, for which two 3D acquisitions were available, are included. Following segmentation, three local shape features are computed: (1) the ratio between maximum diameter and length of the ascending aorta centerline, (2) the ratio between the length of external and internal lines on the ascending aorta and (3) the tortuosity of the ascending tract. By exploiting longitudinal data, the aneurysm growth rate is derived. Using radial basis function mesh morphing, iso-topological surface meshes are created. Statistical shape analysis is performed through unsupervised principal component analysis (PCA) and supervised partial least squares (PLS). Two types of global shape features are identified: three PCA-derived and three PLS-based shape modes. Three regression models are set for growth prediction: two based on gaussian support vector machine using local and PCA-derived global shape features; the third is a PLS linear regression model based on the related global shape features. The prediction results are assessed and the aortic shapes most prone to growth are identified. Results: the prediction root mean square error from leave-one-out cross-validation is: 0.112 mm/month, 0.083 mm/month and 0.066 mm/month for local, PCA-based and PLS-derived shape features, respectively. Aneurysms close to the root with a large initial diameter report faster growth. Conclusion: global shape features might provide an important contribution for predicting the aneurysm growth.


Interval Regression: A Comparative Study with Proposed Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to the development of Interval Regression models. In this study, we provide a comprehensive review of existing Interval Regression models and introduce alternative models for comparative analysis. Experiments are conducted on both real-world and synthetic datasets to offer a broad perspective on model performance. The results demonstrate that no single model is universally optimal, highlighting the importance of selecting the most suitable model for each specific scenario.


Twenty Years of Personality Computing: Threats, Challenges and Future Directions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Personality Computing is a field at the intersection of Personality Psychology and Computer Science. Started in 2005, research in the field utilizes computational methods to understand and predict human personality traits. The expansion of the field has been very rapid and, by analyzing digital footprints (text, images, social media, etc.), it helped to develop systems that recognize and even replicate human personality. While offering promising applications in talent recruiting, marketing and healthcare, the ethical implications of Personality Computing are significant. Concerns include data privacy, algorithmic bias, and the potential for manipulation by personality-aware Artificial Intelligence. This paper provides an overview of the field, explores key methodologies, discusses the challenges and threats, and outlines potential future directions for responsible development and deployment of Personality Computing technologies.


R2VF: A Two-Step Regularization Algorithm to Cluster Categories in GLMs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Over recent decades, extensive research has aimed to overcome the restrictive underlying assumptions required for a Generalized Linear Model to generate accurate and meaningful predictions. These efforts include regularizing coefficients, selecting features, and clustering ordinal categories, among other approaches. Despite these advances, efficiently clustering nominal categories in GLMs without incurring high computational costs remains a challenge. This paper introduces Ranking to Variable Fusion (R2VF), a two-step method designed to efficiently fuse nominal and ordinal categories in GLMs. By first transforming nominal features into an ordinal framework via regularized regression and then applying variable fusion, R2VF strikes a balance between model complexity and interpretability. We demonstrate the effectiveness of R2VF through comparisons with other methods, highlighting its performance in addressing overfitting and finding a proper set of covariates.


A Generalized Theory of Mixup for Structure-Preserving Synthetic Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A similar approach, SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique) (Chawla et al., 2002; He et al., 2008; Bunkhumpornpat et al., 2012; Douzas et al., 2018), also leverages interpolated synthetic instances to enhance model performance particularly for imbalanced or long-tail distributions, showcasing the effectiveness of mixup methods. In this paper we place special focus on data synthesis, an important constituent of data augmentation. While there is extensive research on how synthetic data generated by mixup can enhance model performance (Carratino et al., 2022; Zhang et al., 2021), less attention has been given to understanding the fundamental properties of the synthesized data itself; see Sec. 2.1. In fact most mixup methods generate linearly interpolated instances by taking a weighted average where the weights are randomly drawn from distributions within the range of [0, 1], such as the beta or the uniform distribution. However, this interpolation process reduces the variance, which inevitably distorts the statistical structure of the original dataset both marginally and jointly. The net effect is a less dispersed dataset with more emphasis on representative instances and suppressing the others. In this regard, mixup-based synthetic datasets achieve better performance in training machine learning models from sacrificing non-representative instances, such as the tail instances, in the dataset.


Improving the statistical efficiency of cross-conformal prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conformal prediction has emerged as a general and versatile framework for constructing prediction sets in regression and classification tasks (Shafer and Vovk, 2008). Unlike traditional methods, which often depend on rigid distributional assumptions, conformal prediction transforms point predictions from any prediction (or black-box) algorithm into prediction sets that guarantee valid finite-sample marginal coverage. Originally introduced by Vovk et al. (2005), it has become increasingly influential, with numerous methods and extensions being proposed since its introduction. In particular, full conformal prediction by Vovk et al. (2005), demonstrates favorable properties regarding the coverage and the size of the prediction set. However, these advantages are counterbalanced by a substantial computational cost, which limits its practical application.


Nonparametric Heterogeneous Long-term Causal Effect Estimation via Data Combination

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Long-term causal inference has drawn increasing attention in many scientific domains. Existing methods mainly focus on estimating average long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational data and short-term experimental data. However, it is still understudied how to robustly and effectively estimate heterogeneous long-term causal effects, significantly limiting practical applications. In this paper, we propose several two-stage style nonparametric estimators for heterogeneous long-term causal effect estimation, including propensity-based, regression-based, and multiple robust estimators. We conduct a comprehensive theoretical analysis of their asymptotic properties under mild assumptions, with the ultimate goal of building a better understanding of the conditions under which some estimators can be expected to perform better. Extensive experiments across several semi-synthetic and real-world datasets validate the theoretical results and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed estimators.


Heatwave increases nighttime light intensity in hyperdense cities of the Global South: A double machine learning study

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Heatwaves, intensified by climate change and rapid urbanisation, pose significant threats to urban systems, particularly in the Global South, where adaptive capacity is constrained. This study investigates the relationship between heatwaves and nighttime light (NTL) radiance, a proxy of nighttime economic activity, in four hyperdense cities: Delhi, Guangzhou, Cairo, and Sao Paulo. We hypothesised that heatwaves increase nighttime activity. Using a double machine learning (DML) framework, we analysed data from 2013 to 2019 to quantify the impact of heatwaves on NTL while controlling for local climatic confounders. Results revealed a statistically significant increase in NTL intensity during heatwaves, with Cairo, Delhi, and Guangzhou showing elevated NTL on the third day, while S\~ao Paulo exhibits a delayed response on the fourth day. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings, indicating that prolonged heat stress prompts urban populations to shift activities to night. Heterogeneous responses across cities highlight the possible influence of urban morphology and adaptive capacity to heatwave impacts. Our findings provide a foundation for policymakers to develop data-driven heat adaptation strategies, ensuring that cities remain liveable and economically resilient in an increasingly warming world.


Conditioning on Local Statistics for Scalable Heterogeneous Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated learning is a distributed machine learning approach where multiple clients collaboratively train a model without sharing their local data, which contributes to preserving privacy. A challenge in federated learning is managing heterogeneous data distributions across clients, which can hinder model convergence and performance due to the need for the global model to generalize well across diverse local datasets. We propose to use local characteristic statistics, by which we mean some statistical properties calculated independently by each client using only their local training dataset. These statistics, such as means, covariances, and higher moments, are used to capture the characteristics of the local data distribution. They are not shared with other clients or a central node. During training, these local statistics help the model learn how to condition on the local data distribution, and during inference, they guide the client's predictions. Our experiments show that this approach allows for efficient handling of heterogeneous data across the federation, has favorable scaling compared to approaches that directly try to identify peer nodes that share distribution characteristics, and maintains privacy as no additional information needs to be communicated.