Reinforcement learning in large-scale environments is challenging due to the many possible actions that can be taken in specific situations. We have previously developed a means of constraining, and hence speeding up, the search process through the use of motion primitives; motion primitives are sequences of pre-specified actions taken across a state series. As a byproduct of this work, we have found that if the motion primitives' motions and actions are labeled, then the search can be sped up further. Since motion primitives may initially lack such details, we propose a theoretically viewpoint-insensitive and speed-insensitive means of automatically annotating the underlying motions and actions. We do this through a differential-geometric, spatio-temporal kinematics descriptor, which analyzes how the poses of entities in two motion sequences change over time. We use this descriptor in conjunction with a weighted-nearest-neighbor classifier to label the primitives using a limited set of training examples. In our experiments, we achieve high motion and action annotation rates for human-action-derived primitives with as few as one training sample. We also demonstrate that reinforcement learning using accurately labeled trajectories leads to high-performing policies more quickly than standard reinforcement learning techniques. This is partly because motion primitives encode prior domain knowledge and preempt the need to re-discover that knowledge during training. It is also because agents can leverage the labels to systematically ignore action classes that do not facilitate task objectives, thereby reducing the action space.

Interpretability methods aim to help users build trust in and understand the capabilities of machine learning models. However, existing approaches often rely on abstract, complex visualizations that poorly map to the task at hand or require non-trivial ML expertise to interpret. Here, we present two interface modules to facilitate a more intuitive assessment of model reliability. To help users better characterize and reason about a model's uncertainty, we visualize raw and aggregate information about a given input's nearest neighbors in the training dataset. Using an interactive editor, users can manipulate this input in semantically-meaningful ways, determine the effect on the output, and compare against their prior expectations. We evaluate our interface using an electrocardiogram beat classification case study. Compared to a baseline feature importance interface, we find that 9 physicians are better able to align the model's uncertainty with clinically relevant factors and build intuition about its capabilities and limitations.

Increasingly large datasets are rapidly driving up the computational costs of machine learning. Prototype generation methods aim to create a small set of synthetic observations that accurately represent a training dataset but greatly reduce the computational cost of learning from it. Assigning soft labels to prototypes can allow increasingly small sets of prototypes to accurately represent the original training dataset. Although foundational work on `less than one'-shot learning has proven the theoretical plausibility of learning with fewer than one observation per class, developing practical algorithms for generating such prototypes remains an unexplored territory. We propose a novel, modular method for generating soft-label prototypical lines that still maintains representational accuracy even when there are fewer prototypes than the number of classes in the data. In addition, we propose the Hierarchical Soft-Label Prototype k-Nearest Neighbor classification algorithm based on these prototypical lines. We show that our method maintains high classification accuracy while greatly reducing the number of prototypes required to represent a dataset, even when working with severely imbalanced and difficult data. Our code is available at https://github.com/ilia10000/SLkNN.

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the cumulative incidence of COVID-19, statistical and outbreak prediction models including various machine learning (ML) models are being used by the research community to track and predict the trend of the epidemic, and also in developing appropriate strategies to combat and manage its spread. Methods. In this paper, we present a comparative analysis of various ML approaches including Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor and Artificial Neural Network in predicting the COVID-19 outbreak in the epidemiological domain. We first apply the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method to identify and model the short and long-run relationships of the time-series COVID-19 datasets. That is, we determine the lags between a response variable and its respective explanatory time series variables as independent variables. Then, the resulting significant variables concerning their lags are used in the regression model selected by the ARDL for predicting and forecasting the trend of the epidemic. Results. Statistical measures i.e., Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) are used for model accuracy. The values of MAPE for the best selected models for confirmed, recovered and deaths cases are 0.407, 0.094 and 0.124 respectively, which falls under the category of highly accurate forecasts. In addition, we computed fifteen days ahead forecast for the daily deaths, recover, and confirm patients and the cases fluctuated across time in all aspects. Besides, the results reveal the advantages of ML algorithms for supporting decision making of evolving short term policies.

The problem of finding K-nearest neighbors in the given dataset for a given query point has been worked upon since several years. In very high dimensional spaces the K-nearest neighbor search (KNNS) suffers in terms of complexity in computation of high dimensional distances. With the issue of curse of dimensionality, it gets quite tedious to reliably bank on the results of variety approximate nearest neighbor search approaches. In this paper, we survey some novel K-Nearest Neighbor Search approaches that tackles the problem of Search from the perspectives of computations, the accuracy of approximated results and leveraging parallelism to speed-up computations. We attempt to derive a relationship between the true positive and false points for a given KNNS approach. Finally, in order to evaluate the robustness of a KNNS approach against adversarial points, we propose a generic Reinforcement Learning based framework for the same.

The most common supervised task in machine learning is to learn a single-task, single-output prediction model. However, such a setting can be ill-adapted to some problems and applications. On the one hand, producing a single output can be undesirable when data is scarce and when producing reliable, possibly set-valued predictions is important (for instance in the medical domain where examples are very hard to collect for specific targets, and where predictions are used for critical decisions). Such an issue can be solved by using conformal prediction approaches [1]. It was initially proposed as a transductive online learning approach to provide set predictions (in the classification case) or interval predictions (in the case of regression) with a statistical guarantee depending on the probability of error tolerated by the user, but was then extended to handle inductive processes [2]. On the other hand, there are many situations where there are multiple, possibly correlated output variables to predict at once, and it is then natural to try to leverage such correlations to improve predictions. Such learning tasks are commonly called Multi-task in the literature [3]. Most research work on conformal prediction for multi-task learning focuses on the problem of multi-label prediction [4, 5], where each task is a binary classification one. Conformal prediction for multi-target regression has been less explored, with only a few studies dealing with it: Kuleshov et al. [6] provide a theoretical framework to use conformal predictors within manifold (e.g., to provide a mono-dimensional embedding of the multi-variate output), while Neeven and Smirnov [7] use a straightforward multi-target extension of a conformal single-output k-nearest neighbor regressor [8] to provide weather forecasts.

The increasing cost, energy demand, and environmental issues has led many researchers to find approaches for energy monitoring, and hence energy conservation. The emerging technologies of Internet of Things (IoT) and Machine Learning (ML) deliver techniques that have the potential to efficiently conserve energy and improve the utilization of energy consumption. Smart Home Energy Management Systems (SHEMSs) have the potential to contribute in energy conservation through the application of Demand Response (DR) in the residential sector. In this paper, we propose appliances Operation Modes Identification using Cycles Clustering (OMICC) which is SHEMS fundamental approach that utilizes the sensed residential disaggregated power consumption in supporting DR by providing consumers the opportunity to select lighter appliance operation modes. The cycles of the Single Usage Profile (SUP) of an appliance are extracted and reformed into features in terms of clusters of cycles. These features are then used to identify the operation mode used in every occurrence using K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN). Operation modes identification is considered a basis for many potential smart DR applications within SHEMS towards the consumers or the suppliers

Classification algorithms have recently found applications in computational physics for the selection of numerical methods or models adapted to the environment and the state of the physical system. For such classification tasks, labeled training data come from numerical simulations and generally correspond to physical fields discretized on a mesh. Three challenging difficulties arise: the lack of training data, their high dimensionality, and the non-applicability of common data augmentation techniques to physics data. This article introduces two algorithms to address these issues, one for dimensionality reduction via feature selection, and one for data augmentation. These algorithms are combined with a wide variety of classifiers for their evaluation. When combined with a stacking ensemble made of six multilayer perceptrons and a ridge logistic regression, they enable reaching an accuracy of 90% on our classification problem for nonlinear structural mechanics.

Influence functions approximate the 'influences' of training data-points for test predictions and have a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity, their computational cost does not scale well with model and training data size. We present FastIF, a set of simple modifications to influence functions that significantly improves their run-time. We use k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) to narrow the search space down to a subset of good candidate data points, identify the configurations that best balance the speed-quality trade-off in estimating the inverse Hessian-vector product, and introduce a fast parallel variant. Our proposed method achieves about 80x speedup while being highly correlated with the original influence values. With the availability of the fast influence functions, we demonstrate their usefulness in four applications. First, we examine whether influential data-points can 'explain' test time behavior using the framework of simulatability. Second, we visualize the influence interactions between training and test data-points. Third, we show that we can correct model errors by additional fine-tuning on certain influential data-points, improving the accuracy of a trained MNLI model by 2.6% on the HANS challenge set using a small number of gradient updates. Finally, we experiment with a data-augmentation setup where we use influence functions to search for new data-points unseen during training to improve model performance. Overall, our fast influence functions can be efficiently applied to large models and datasets, and our experiments demonstrate the potential of influence functions in model interpretation and correcting model errors. Code is available at https://github.com/salesforce/fast-influence-functions

The celebrated Monte Carlo method estimates an expensive-to-compute quantity by random sampling. Bandit-based Monte Carlo optimization is a general technique for computing the minimum of many such expensive-to-compute quantities by adaptive random sampling. The technique converts an optimization problem into a statistical estimation problem which is then solved via multi-armed bandits. We apply this technique to solve the problem of high-dimensional k-nearest neighbors, developing an algorithm which we prove is able to identify exact nearest neighbors with high probability. We show that under regularity assumptions on a dataset of n points in d-dimensional space, the complexity of our algorithm scales logarithmically with the dimension of the data as $O((n+d)\log^2 (\frac{nd}{\delta}))$ for error probability $\delta$, rather than linearly as in exact computation requiring O(nd). We corroborate our theoretical results with numerical simulations, showing that our algorithm outperforms both exact computation and state-of-the-art algorithms such as kGraph, NGT, and LSH on real datasets.