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Tractable Function-Space Variational Inference in Bayesian Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a prior distribution over the network parameters, infer an approximate posterior distribution, and use it to make stochastic predictions. However, explicit inference over neural network parameters makes it difficult to incorporate meaningful prior information about the data-generating process into the model. In this paper, we pursue an alternative approach. Recognizing that the primary object of interest in most settings is the distribution over functions induced by the posterior distribution over neural network parameters, we frame Bayesian inference in neural networks explicitly as inferring a posterior distribution over functions and propose a scalable function-space variational inference method that allows incorporating prior information and results in reliable predictive uncertainty estimates. We show that the proposed method leads to state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation and predictive performance on a range of prediction tasks and demonstrate that it performs well on a challenging safety-critical medical diagnosis task in which reliable uncertainty estimation is essential.


Exploring Nature: Datasets and Models for Analyzing Nature-Related Disclosures

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Nature is an amorphous concept. Yet, it is essential for the planet's well-being to understand how the economy interacts with it. To address the growing demand for information on corporate nature disclosure, we provide datasets and classifiers to detect nature communication by companies. We ground our approach in the guidelines of the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD). Particularly, we focus on the specific dimensions of water, forest, and biodiversity. For each dimension, we create an expert-annotated dataset with 2,200 text samples and train classifier models. Furthermore, we show that nature communication is more prevalent in hotspot areas and directly effected industries like agriculture and utilities. Our approach is the first to respond to calls to assess corporate nature communication on a large scale.


Towards Bloodless Potassium Measurement from ECG using Neuro-Fuzzy Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Potassium disorders are generally asymptomatic, potentially lethal, and common in patients with renal or cardiac disease. The morphology of the electrocardiogram (ECG) signal is very sensitive to the changes in potassium ions, so ECG has a high potential for detecting dyskalemias before laboratory results. In this regard, this paper introduces a new system for ECG-based potassium measurement. The proposed system consists of three main steps. First, cohort selection & data labeling were carried out by using a 5- minute interval between ECGs and potassium measurements and defining three labels: hypokalemia, normal, and hyperkalemia. After that, feature extraction & selection were performed. The extracted features are RR interval, PR interval, QRS duration, QT interval, QTc interval, P axis, QRS axis, T axis, and ACCI. Kruskal-Wallis technique was also used to assess the importance of the features and to select discriminative ones. Finally, an ANFIS model based on FCM clustering (FCM-ANFIS) was designed based on the selected features. The used database is ECG-ViEW II. Results showed that T axis compared with other features has a significant relationship with potassium levels (P<0.01, r=0.62). The absolute error of FCM-ANFIS is 0.4+-0.3 mM, its mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 9.99%, and its r-squared value is 0.74. Its classification accuracy is 85.71%. In detecting hypokalemia and hyperkalemia, the sensitivities are 60% and 80%, respectively, and the specificities are 100% and 97.3%, respectively. This research has shed light on the design of noninvasive instruments to measure potassium concentration and to detect dyskalemias, thereby reducing cardiac events.


METER: A Dynamic Concept Adaptation Framework for Online Anomaly Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Real-time analytics and decision-making require online anomaly detection (OAD) to handle drifts in data streams efficiently and effectively. Unfortunately, existing approaches are often constrained by their limited detection capacity and slow adaptation to evolving data streams, inhibiting their efficacy and efficiency in handling concept drift, which is a major challenge in evolving data streams. In this paper, we introduce METER, a novel dynamic concept adaptation framework that introduces a new paradigm for OAD. METER addresses concept drift by first training a base detection model on historical data to capture recurring central concepts, and then learning to dynamically adapt to new concepts in data streams upon detecting concept drift. Particularly, METER employs a novel dynamic concept adaptation technique that leverages a hypernetwork to dynamically generate the parameter shift of the base detection model, providing a more effective and efficient solution than conventional retraining or fine-tuning approaches. Further, METER incorporates a lightweight drift detection controller, underpinned by evidential deep learning, to support robust and interpretable concept drift detection. We conduct an extensive experimental evaluation, and the results show that METER significantly outperforms existing OAD approaches in various application scenarios.


An integrated framework for developing and evaluating an automated lecture style assessment system

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The aim of the work presented in this paper is to develop and evaluate an integrated system that provides automated lecture style evaluation, allowing teachers to get instant feedback related to the goodness of their lecturing style. The proposed system aims to promote improvement of lecture quality, that could upgrade the overall student learning experience. The proposed application utilizes specific measurable biometric characteristics, such as facial expressions, body activity, speech rate and intonation, hand movement, and facial pose, extracted from a video showing the lecturer from the audience point of view. Measurable biometric features extracted during a lecture are combined to provide teachers with a score reflecting lecture style quality both at frame rate and by providing lecture quality metrics for the whole lecture. The acceptance of the proposed lecture style evaluation system was evaluated by chief education officers, teachers and students regarding the functionality, usefulness of the application, and possible improvements. The results indicate that participants found the application novel and useful in providing automated feedback regarding lecture quality. Furthermore, the performance evaluation of the proposed system was compared with the performance of humans in the task of lecture style evaluation. Results indicate that the proposed system not only achieves similar performance to human observers, but in some cases, it outperforms them.


An Evaluation of Machine Learning Approaches for Early Diagnosis of Autism Spectrum Disorder

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autistic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurological disease characterized by difficulties with social interaction, communication, and repetitive activities. While its primary origin lies in genetics, early detection is crucial, and leveraging machine learning offers a promising avenue for a faster and more cost-effective diagnosis. This study employs diverse machine learning methods to identify crucial ASD traits, aiming to enhance and automate the diagnostic process. We study eight state-of-the-art classification models to determine their effectiveness in ASD detection. We evaluate the models using accuracy, precision, recall, specificity, F1-score, area under the curve (AUC), kappa, and log loss metrics to find the best classifier for these binary datasets. Among all the classification models, for the children dataset, the SVM and LR models achieve the highest accuracy of 100% and for the adult dataset, the LR model produces the highest accuracy of 97.14%. Our proposed ANN model provides the highest accuracy of 94.24% for the new combined dataset when hyperparameters are precisely tuned for each model. As almost all classification models achieve high accuracy which utilize true labels, we become interested in delving into five popular clustering algorithms to understand model behavior in scenarios without true labels. We calculate Normalized Mutual Information (NMI), Adjusted Rand Index (ARI), and Silhouette Coefficient (SC) metrics to select the best clustering models. Our evaluation finds that spectral clustering outperforms all other benchmarking clustering models in terms of NMI and ARI metrics while demonstrating comparability to the optimal SC achieved by k-means. The implemented code is available at GitHub.


Sparse PCA with Oracle Property

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study the estimation of the $k$-dimensional sparse principal subspace of covariance matrix $\Sigma$ in the high-dimensional setting. We aim to recover the oracle principal subspace solution, i.e., the principal subspace estimator obtained assuming the true support is known a priori. To this end, we propose a family of estimators based on the semidefinite relaxation of sparse PCA with novel regularizations. In particular, under a weak assumption on the magnitude of the population projection matrix, one estimator within this family exactly recovers the true support with high probability, has exact rank-$k$, and attains a $\sqrt{s/n}$ statistical rate of convergence with $s$ being the subspace sparsity level and $n$ the sample size. Compared to existing support recovery results for sparse PCA, our approach does not hinge on the spiked covariance model or the limited correlation condition. As a complement to the first estimator that enjoys the oracle property, we prove that, another estimator within the family achieves a sharper statistical rate of convergence than the standard semidefinite relaxation of sparse PCA, even when the previous assumption on the magnitude of the projection matrix is violated. We validate the theoretical results by numerical experiments on synthetic datasets.


A Polarization and Radiomics Feature Fusion Network for the Classification of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Classifying hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a critical step in treatment selection and prognosis evaluation for patients with liver diseases. Traditional histopathological diagnosis poses challenges in this context. In this study, we introduce a novel polarization and radiomics feature fusion network, which combines polarization features obtained from Mueller matrix images of liver pathological samples with radiomics features derived from corresponding pathological images to classify HCC and ICC. Our fusion network integrates a two-tier fusion approach, comprising early feature-level fusion and late classification-level fusion. By harnessing the strengths of polarization imaging techniques and image feature-based machine learning, our proposed fusion network significantly enhances classification accuracy. Notably, even at reduced imaging resolutions, the fusion network maintains robust performance due to the additional information provided by polarization features, which may not align with human visual perception. Our experimental results underscore the potential of this fusion network as a powerful tool for computer-aided diagnosis of HCC and ICC, showcasing the benefits and prospects of integrating polarization imaging techniques into the current image-intensive digital pathological diagnosis. We aim to contribute this innovative approach to top-tier journals, offering fresh insights and valuable tools in the fields of medical imaging and cancer diagnosis. By introducing polarization imaging into liver cancer classification, we demonstrate its interdisciplinary potential in addressing challenges in medical image analysis, promising advancements in medical imaging and cancer diagnosis.


Source Code is a Graph, Not a Sequence: A Cross-Lingual Perspective on Code Clone Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Source code clone detection is the task of finding code fragments that have the same or similar functionality, but may differ in syntax or structure. This task is important for software maintenance, reuse, and quality assurance (Roy et al. 2009). However, code clone detection is challenging, as source code can be written in different languages, domains, and styles. In this paper, we argue that source code is inherently a graph, not a sequence, and that graph-based methods are more suitable for code clone detection than sequence-based methods. We compare the performance of two state-of-the-art models: CodeBERT (Feng et al. 2020), a sequence-based model, and CodeGraph (Yu et al. 2023), a graph-based model, on two benchmark data-sets: BCB (Svajlenko et al. 2014) and PoolC (PoolC no date). We show that CodeGraph outperforms CodeBERT on both data-sets, especially on cross-lingual code clones. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to demonstrate the superiority of graph-based methods over sequence-based methods on cross-lingual code clone detection.


A Survey on Out-of-Distribution Detection in NLP

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for the reliable and safe deployment of machine learning systems in the real world. Great progress has been made over the past years. This paper presents the first review of recent advances in OOD detection with a particular focus on natural language processing approaches. First, we provide a formal definition of OOD detection and discuss several related fields. We then categorize recent algorithms into three classes according to the data they used: (1) OOD data available, (2) OOD data unavailable + in-distribution (ID) label available, and (3) OOD data unavailable + ID label unavailable. Third, we introduce datasets, applications, and metrics. Finally, we summarize existing work and present potential future research topics.