Performance Analysis
Smaller, Weaker, Yet Better: Training LLM Reasoners via Compute-Optimal Sampling
Bansal, Hritik, Hosseini, Arian, Agarwal, Rishabh, Tran, Vinh Q., Kazemi, Mehran
Training on high-quality synthetic data from strong language models (LMs) is a common strategy to improve the reasoning performance of LMs. In this work, we revisit whether this strategy is compute-optimal under a fixed inference budget (e.g., FLOPs). To do so, we investigate the trade-offs between generating synthetic data using a stronger but more expensive (SE) model versus a weaker but cheaper (WC) model. We evaluate the generated data across three key metrics: coverage, diversity, and false positive rate, and show that the data from WC models may have higher coverage and diversity, but also exhibit higher false positive rates. We then finetune LMs on data from SE and WC models in different settings: knowledge distillation, self-improvement, and a novel weak-to-strong improvement setup where a weaker LM teaches reasoning to a stronger LM. Our findings reveal that models finetuned on WC-generated data consistently outperform those trained on SE-generated data across multiple benchmarks and multiple choices of WC and SE models. These results challenge the prevailing practice of relying on SE models for synthetic data generation, suggesting that WC may be the compute-optimal approach for training advanced LM reasoners.
Passenger hazard perception based on EEG signals for highly automated driving vehicles
Tan, Ashton Yu Xuan, Yang, Yingkai, Zhang, Xiaofei, Li, Bowen, Gao, Xiaorong, Zheng, Sifa, Wang, Jianqiang, Gu, Xinyu, Li, Jun, Zhao, Yang, Zhang, Yuxin, Stathaki, Tania
Enhancing the safety of autonomous vehicles is crucial, especially given recent accidents involving automated systems. As passengers in these vehicles, humans' sensory perception and decision-making can be integrated with autonomous systems to improve safety. This study explores neural mechanisms in passenger-vehicle interactions, leading to the development of a Passenger Cognitive Model (PCM) and the Passenger EEG Decoding Strategy (PEDS). Central to PEDS is a novel Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (CRNN) that captures spatial and temporal EEG data patterns. The CRNN, combined with stacking algorithms, achieves an accuracy of 85.0% 3.18%. Our findings highlight the predictive power of pre-event EEG data, enhancing the detection of hazardous scenarios and offering a network-driven framework for safer autonomous vehicles.
A Comparative Study of Hyperparameter Tuning Methods
Dasgupta, Subhasis, Sen, Jaydip
The study emphasizes the challenge of finding the optimal trade-off between bias and variance, especially as hyperparameter optimization increases in complexity. Through empirical analysis, three hyperparameter tuning algorithms Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE), Genetic Search, and Random Search are evaluated across regression and classification tasks. The results show that nonlinear models, with properly tuned hyperparameters, significantly outperform linear models. Interestingly, Random Search excelled in regression tasks, while TPE was more effective for classification tasks. This suggests that there is no one-size-fits-all solution, as different algorithms perform better depending on the task and model type. The findings underscore the importance of selecting the appropriate tuning method and highlight the computational challenges involved in optimizing machine learning models, particularly as search spaces expand.
Identification of Prognostic Biomarkers for Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma in Female Nonsmokers Using Machine Learning
Zheng, Huili, Zhang, Qimin, Gong, Yiru, Liu, Zheyan, Chen, Shaohan
Lung cancer remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally, with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) being the most common subtype. This study aimed to identify key biomarkers associated with stage III NSCLC in non-smoking females using gene expression profiling from the GDS3837 dataset. Utilizing XGBoost, a machine learning algorithm, the analysis achieved a strong predictive performance with an AUC score of 0.835. The top biomarkers identified - CCAAT enhancer binding protein alpha (C/EBP-alpha), lactate dehydrogenase A4 (LDHA), UNC-45 myosin chaperone B (UNC-45B), checkpoint kinase 1 (CHK1), and hypoxia-inducible factor 1 subunit alpha (HIF-1-alpha) - have been validated in the literature as being significantly linked to lung cancer. These findings highlight the potential of these biomarkers for early diagnosis and personalized therapy, emphasizing the value of integrating machine learning with molecular profiling in cancer research.
Coalitions of AI-based Methods Predict 15-Year Risks of Breast Cancer Metastasis Using Real-World Clinical Data with AUC up to 0.9
Jiang, Xia, Zhou, Yijun, Wells, Alan, Brufsky, Adam
Breast cancer is one of the two cancers responsible for the most deaths in women, with about 42,000 deaths each year in the US. That there are over 300,000 breast cancers newly diagnosed each year suggests that only a fraction of the cancers result in mortality. Thus, most of the women undergo seemingly curative treatment for localized cancers, but a significant later succumb to metastatic disease for which current treatments are only temporizing for the vast majority. The current prognostic metrics are of little actionable value for 4 of the 5 women seemingly cured after local treatment, and many women are exposed to morbid and even mortal adjuvant therapies unnecessarily, with these adjuvant therapies reducing metastatic recurrence by only a third. Thus, there is a need for better prognostics to target aggressive treatment at those who are likely to relapse and spare those who were actually cured. While there is a plethora of molecular and tumor-marker assays in use and under-development to detect recurrence early, these are time consuming, expensive and still often un-validated as to actionable prognostic utility. A different approach would use large data techniques to determine clinical and histopathological parameters that would provide accurate prognostics using existing data. Herein, we report on machine learning, together with grid search and Bayesian Networks to develop algorithms that present a AUC of up to 0.9 in ROC analyses, using only extant data. Such algorithms could be rapidly translated to clinical management as they do not require testing beyond routine tumor evaluations.
UAV-Based Human Body Detector Selection and Fusion for Geolocated Saliency Map Generation
Rudol, Piotr, Doherty, Patrick, Wzorek, Mariusz, Sombattheera, Chattrakul
The problem of reliably detecting and geolocating objects of different classes in soft real-time is essential in many application areas, such as Search and Rescue performed using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). This research addresses the complementary problems of system contextual vision-based detector selection, allocation, and execution, in addition to the fusion of detection results from teams of UAVs for the purpose of accurately and reliably geolocating objects of interest in a timely manner. In an offline step, an application-independent evaluation of vision-based detectors from a system perspective is first performed. Based on this evaluation, the most appropriate algorithms for online object detection for each platform are selected automatically before a mission, taking into account a number of practical system considerations, such as the available communication links, video compression used, and the available computational resources. The detection results are fused using a method for building maps of salient locations which takes advantage of a novel sensor model for vision-based detections for both positive and negative observations. A number of simulated and real flight experiments are also presented, validating the proposed method.
OpenFGL: A Comprehensive Benchmarks for Federated Graph Learning
Li, Xunkai, Zhu, Yinlin, Pang, Boyang, Yan, Guochen, Yan, Yeyu, Li, Zening, Wu, Zhengyu, Zhang, Wentao, Li, Rong-Hua, Wang, Guoren
Federated graph learning (FGL) has emerged as a promising distributed training paradigm for graph neural networks across multiple local systems without direct data sharing. This approach is particularly beneficial in privacy-sensitive scenarios and offers a new perspective on addressing scalability challenges in large-scale graph learning. Despite the proliferation of FGL, the diverse motivations from practical applications, spanning various research backgrounds and experimental settings, pose a significant challenge to fair evaluation. To fill this gap, we propose OpenFGL, a unified benchmark designed for the primary FGL scenarios: Graph-FL and Subgraph-FL. Specifically, OpenFGL includes 38 graph datasets from 16 application domains, 8 federated data simulation strategies that emphasize graph properties, and 5 graph-based downstream tasks. Additionally, it offers 18 recently proposed SOTA FGL algorithms through a user-friendly API, enabling a thorough comparison and comprehensive evaluation of their effectiveness, robustness, and efficiency. Empirical results demonstrate the ability of FGL while also revealing its potential limitations, offering valuable insights for future exploration in this thriving field.
Ionospheric Scintillation Forecasting Using Machine Learning
Halawa, Sultan, Alansaari, Maryam, Sharif, Maryam, Alhammadi, Amel, Fernini, Ilias
This study explores the use of historical data from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) scintillation monitoring receivers to predict the severity of amplitude scintillation, a phenomenon where electron density irregularities in the ionosphere cause fluctuations in GNSS signal power. These fluctuations can be measured using the S4 index, but real-time data is not always available. The research focuses on developing a machine learning (ML) model that can forecast the intensity of amplitude scintillation, categorizing it into low, medium, or high severity levels based on various time and space-related factors. Among six different ML models tested, the XGBoost model emerged as the most effective, demonstrating a remarkable 77% prediction accuracy when trained with a balanced dataset. This work underscores the effectiveness of machine learning in enhancing the reliability and performance of GNSS signals and navigation systems by accurately predicting amplitude scintillation severity.
BELT-2: Bootstrapping EEG-to-Language representation alignment for multi-task brain decoding
Zhou, Jinzhao, Duan, Yiqun, Chang, Fred, Do, Thomas, Wang, Yu-Kai, Lin, Chin-Teng
The remarkable success of large language models (LLMs) across various multi-modality applications is well established. However, integrating large language models with humans, or brain dynamics, remains relatively unexplored. In this paper, we introduce BELT-2, a pioneering multi-task model designed to enhance both encoding and decoding performance from EEG signals. To bolster the quality of the EEG encoder, BELT-2 is the first work to innovatively 1) adopt byte-pair encoding (BPE)-level EEG-language alignment and 2) integrate multi-task training and decoding in the EEG domain. Inspired by the idea of \textbf{\textit{Bridging the Brain with GPT}}, we further connect the multi-task EEG encoder with LLMs by utilizing prefix-tuning on intermediary output from the EEG encoder. These innovative efforts make BELT-2 a pioneering breakthrough, making it the first work in the field capable of decoding coherent and readable sentences from non-invasive brain signals. Our experiments highlight significant advancements over prior techniques in both quantitative and qualitative measures, achieving a decoding performance with a BLEU-1 score of 52.2\% on the ZuCo dataset. Furthermore, BELT-2 shows a remarkable improvement ranging from 31\% to 162\% on other translation benchmarks. Codes can be accessed via the provided anonymous link~\footnote{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/BELT-2-0048}.
Advanced POD-Based Performance Evaluation of Classifiers Applied to Human Driver Lane Changing Prediction
Machine learning (ML) classifiers serve as essential tools facilitating classification and prediction across various domains. The performance of these algorithms should be known to ensure their reliable application. In certain fields, receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curves are frequently employed to assess machine learning algorithms without accounting for the impact of process parameters. However, it may be essential to evaluate the performance of these algorithms in relation to such parameters. As a performance evaluation metric capable of considering the effects of process parameters, this paper uses a modified probability of detection (POD) approach to assess the reliability of ML-based algorithms. As an example, the POD-based approach is employed to assess ML models used for predicting the lane changing behavior of a vehicle driver. The time remaining to the predicted (and therefore unknown) lane changing event is considered as process parameter. The hit/miss approach to POD is taken here and modified by considering the probability of lane changing derived from ML algorithms at each time step, and obtaining the final result of the analysis accordingly. This improves the reliability of results compared to the standard hit/miss approach, which considers the outcome of the classifiers as either 0 or 1, while also simplifying evaluation compared to the \^a versus a approach. Performance evaluation results of the proposed approach are compared with those obtained with the standard hit/miss approach and a pre-developed \^a versus a approach to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The comparison shows that this method provides an averaging conservative behavior with the advantage of enhancing the reliability of the hit/miss approach to POD while retaining its simplicity.