Performance Analysis
Utilizing Human Behavior Modeling to Manipulate Explanations in AI-Assisted Decision Making: The Good, the Bad, and the Scary
Recent advances in AI models have increased the integration of AI-based decision aids into the human decision making process. To fully unlock the potential of AI-assisted decision making, researchers have computationally modeled how humans incorporate AI recommendations into their final decisions, and utilized these models to improve human-AI team performance. Meanwhile, due to the ``black-box'' nature of AI models, providing AI explanations to human decision makers to help them rely on AI recommendations more appropriately has become a common practice. In this paper, we explore whether we can quantitatively model how humans integrate both AI recommendations and explanations into their decision process, and whether this quantitative understanding of human behavior from the learned model can be utilized to manipulate AI explanations, thereby nudging individuals towards making targeted decisions. Our extensive human experiments across various tasks demonstrate that human behavior can be easily influenced by these manipulated explanations towards targeted outcomes, regardless of the intent being adversarial or benign. Furthermore, individuals often fail to detect any anomalies in these explanations, despite their decisions being affected by them.
Explainable Spatio-Temporal GCNNs for Irregular Multivariate Time Series: Architecture and Application to ICU Patient Data
Escudero-Arnanz, รscar, Soguero-Ruiz, Cristina, Marques, Antonio G.
In this paper, we present XST-GCNN (eXplainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network), a novel architecture for processing heterogeneous and irregular Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data. Our approach captures temporal and feature dependencies within a unified spatio-temporal pipeline by leveraging a GCNN that uses a spatio-temporal graph aimed at optimizing predictive accuracy and interoperability. For graph estimation, we introduce techniques, including one based on the (heterogeneous) Gower distance. Once estimated, we propose two methods for graph construction: one based on the Cartesian product, treating temporal instants homogeneously, and another spatio-temporal approach with distinct graphs per time step. We also propose two GCNN architectures: a standard GCNN with a normalized adjacency matrix and a higher-order polynomial GCNN. In addition to accuracy, we emphasize explainability by designing an inherently interpretable model and performing a thorough interpretability analysis, identifying key feature-time combinations that drive predictions. We evaluate XST-GCNN using real-world Electronic Health Record data from University Hospital of Fuenlabrada to predict Multidrug Resistance (MDR) in ICU patients, a critical healthcare challenge linked to high mortality and complex treatments. Our architecture outperforms traditional models, achieving a mean ROC-AUC score of 81.03 +- 2.43. Furthermore, the interpretability analysis provides actionable insights into clinical factors driving MDR predictions, enhancing model transparency. This work sets a benchmark for tackling complex inference tasks with heterogeneous MTS, offering a versatile, interpretable solution for real-world applications.
Identify Backdoored Model in Federated Learning via Individual Unlearning
Xu, Jiahao, Zhang, Zikai, Hu, Rui
Backdoor attacks present a significant threat to the robustness of Federated Learning (FL) due to their stealth and effectiveness. They maintain both the main task of the FL system and the backdoor task simultaneously, causing malicious models to appear statistically similar to benign ones, which enables them to evade detection by existing defense methods. We find that malicious parameters in backdoored models are inactive on the main task, resulting in a significantly large empirical loss during the machine unlearning process on clean inputs. Inspired by this, we propose MASA, a method that utilizes individual unlearning on local models to identify malicious models in FL. To improve the performance of MASA in challenging non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) settings, we design pre-unlearning model fusion that integrates local models with knowledge learned from other datasets to mitigate the divergence in their unlearning behaviors caused by the non-IID data distributions of clients. Additionally, we propose a new anomaly detection metric with minimal hyperparameters to filter out malicious models efficiently. Extensive experiments on IID and non-IID datasets across six different attacks validate the effectiveness of MASA. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to leverage machine unlearning to identify malicious models in FL. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/JiiahaoXU/MASA}.
Integrating Fuzzy Logic into Deep Symbolic Regression
Credit card fraud detection is a critical concern for financial institutions, intensified by the rise of contactless payment technologies. While deep learning models offer high accuracy, their lack of explainability poses significant challenges in financial settings. This paper explores the integration of fuzzy logic into Deep Symbolic Regression (DSR) to enhance both performance and explainability in fraud detection. We investigate the effectiveness of different fuzzy logic implications, specifically {\L}ukasiewicz, G\"odel, and Product, in handling the complexity and uncertainty of fraud detection datasets. Our analysis suggest that the {\L}ukasiewicz implication achieves the highest F1-score and overall accuracy, while the Product implication offers a favorable balance between performance and explainability. Despite having a performance lower than state-of-the-art (SOTA) models due to information loss in data transformation, our approach provides novelty and insights into into integrating fuzzy logic into DSR for fraud detection, providing a comprehensive comparison between different implications and methods.
Embodied Agent Interface: Benchmarking LLMs for Embodied Decision Making
Li, Manling, Zhao, Shiyu, Wang, Qineng, Wang, Kangrui, Zhou, Yu, Srivastava, Sanjana, Gokmen, Cem, Lee, Tony, Li, Li Erran, Zhang, Ruohan, Liu, Weiyu, Liang, Percy, Fei-Fei, Li, Mao, Jiayuan, Wu, Jiajun
We aim to evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) for embodied decision making. While a significant body of work has been leveraging LLMs for decision making in embodied environments, we still lack a systematic understanding of their performance because they are usually applied in different domains, for different purposes, and built based on different inputs and outputs. Furthermore, existing evaluations tend to rely solely on a final success rate, making it difficult to pinpoint what ability is missing in LLMs and where the problem lies, which in turn blocks embodied agents from leveraging LLMs effectively and selectively. To address these limitations, we propose a generalized interface (Embodied Agent Interface) that supports the formalization of various types of tasks and input-output specifications of LLM-based modules. Specifically, it allows us to unify 1) a broad set of embodied decision-making tasks involving both state and temporally extended goals, 2) four commonly-used LLM-based modules for decision making: goal interpretation, subgoal decomposition, action sequencing, and transition modeling, and 3) a collection of fine-grained metrics which break down evaluation into various types of errors, such as hallucination errors, affordance errors, various types of planning errors, etc. Overall, our benchmark offers a comprehensive assessment of LLMs' performance for different subtasks, pinpointing the strengths and weaknesses in LLM-powered embodied AI systems, and providing insights for effective and selective use of LLMs in embodied decision making.
Ratio law: mathematical descriptions for a universal relationship between AI performance and input samples
Artificial intelligence based on machine learning and deep learning has made significant advances in various fields such as protein structure prediction and climate modeling. However, a central challenge remains: the "black box" nature of AI, where precise quantitative relationships between inputs and outputs are often lacking. Here, by analyzing 323 AI models trained to predict human essential proteins, we uncovered a ratio law showing that model performance and the ratio of minority to majority samples can be closely linked by two concise equations. Moreover, we mathematically proved that an AI model achieves its optimal performance on a balanced dataset. More importantly, we next explore whether this finding can further guide us to enhance AI models' performance. Therefore, we divided the imbalanced dataset into several balanced subsets to train base classifiers, and then applied a bagging-based ensemble learning strategy to combine these base models. As a result, the equation-guided strategy substantially improved model performance, with increases of 4.06% and 5.28%, respectively, outperforming traditional dataset balancing techniques. Finally, we confirmed the broad applicability and generalization of these equations using different types of classifiers and 10 additional, diverse binary classification tasks. In summary, this study reveals two equations precisely linking AI's input and output, which could be helpful for unboxing the mysterious "black box" of AI.
How to Bridge Spatial and Temporal Heterogeneity in Link Prediction? A Contrastive Method
Tai, Yu, Wu, Xinglong, Yang, Hongwei, He, Hui, Chen, Duanjing, Shao, Yuanming, Zhang, Weizhe
Temporal Heterogeneous Networks play a crucial role in capturing the dynamics and heterogeneity inherent in various real-world complex systems, rendering them a noteworthy research avenue for link prediction. However, existing methods fail to capture the fine-grained differential distribution patterns and temporal dynamic characteristics, which we refer to as spatial heterogeneity and temporal heterogeneity. To overcome such limitations, we propose a novel \textbf{C}ontrastive Learning-based \textbf{L}ink \textbf{P}rediction model, \textbf{CLP}, which employs a multi-view hierarchical self-supervised architecture to encode spatial and temporal heterogeneity. Specifically, aiming at spatial heterogeneity, we develop a spatial feature modeling layer to capture the fine-grained topological distribution patterns from node- and edge-level representations, respectively. Furthermore, aiming at temporal heterogeneity, we devise a temporal information modeling layer to perceive the evolutionary dependencies of dynamic graph topologies from time-level representations. Finally, we encode the spatial and temporal distribution heterogeneity from a contrastive learning perspective, enabling a comprehensive self-supervised hierarchical relation modeling for the link prediction task. Extensive experiments conducted on four real-world dynamic heterogeneous network datasets verify that our \mymodel consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art models, demonstrating an average improvement of 10.10\%, 13.44\% in terms of AUC and AP, respectively.
Enhancing Authorship Attribution through Embedding Fusion: A Novel Approach with Masked and Encoder-Decoder Language Models
Kaushik, Arjun Ramesh, P, Sunil Rufus R, Ratha, Nalini
The increasing prevalence of AI-generated content alongside human-written text underscores the need for reliable discrimination methods. To address this challenge, we propose a novel framework with textual embeddings from Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs) to distinguish AI-generated and human-authored text. Our approach utilizes Embedding Fusion to integrate semantic information from multiple Language Models, harnessing their complementary strengths to enhance performance. Through extensive evaluation across publicly available diverse datasets, our proposed approach demonstrates strong performance, achieving classification accuracy greater than 96% and a Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) greater than 0.93. This evaluation is conducted on a balanced dataset of texts generated from five well-known Large Language Models (LLMs), highlighting the effectiveness and robustness of our novel methodology.
Dhoroni: Exploring Bengali Climate Change and Environmental Views with a Multi-Perspective News Dataset and Natural Language Processing
Wasi, Azmine Toushik, Faisal, Wahid, Ahmad, Taj, Rahman, Abdur, Islam, Mst Rafia
Climate change poses critical challenges globally, disproportionately affecting low-income countries that often lack resources and linguistic representation on the international stage. Despite Bangladesh's status as one of the most vulnerable nations to climate impacts, research gaps persist in Bengali-language studies related to climate change and NLP. To address this disparity, we introduce Dhoroni, a novel Bengali (Bangla) climate change and environmental news dataset, comprising a 2300 annotated Bangla news articles, offering multiple perspectives such as political influence, scientific/statistical data, authenticity, stance detection, and stakeholder involvement. Furthermore, we present an in-depth exploratory analysis of Dhoroni and introduce BanglaBERT-Dhoroni family, a novel baseline model family for climate and environmental opinion detection in Bangla, fine-tuned on our dataset. This research contributes significantly to enhancing accessibility and analysis of climate discourse in Bengali (Bangla), addressing crucial communication and research gaps in climate-impacted regions like Bangladesh with 180 million people.
Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations
Evaluations are critical for understanding the capabilities of large language models (LLMs). Fundamentally, evaluations are experiments; but the literature on evaluations has largely ignored the literature from other sciences on experiment analysis and planning. This article shows researchers with some training in statistics how to think about and analyze data from language model evaluations. Conceptualizing evaluation questions as having been drawn from an unseen super-population, we present formulas for analyzing evaluation data, measuring differences between two models, and planning an evaluation experiment. We make a number of specific recommendations for running language model evaluations and reporting experiment results in a way that minimizes statistical noise and maximizes informativeness.