Performance Analysis
Towards certification: A complete statistical validation pipeline for supervised learning in industry
Lacasa, Lucas, Pardo, Abel, Arbelo, Pablo, Sánchez, Miguel, Yeste, Pablo, Bascones, Noelia, Martínez-Cava, Alejandro, Rubio, Gonzalo, Gómez, Ignacio, Valero, Eusebio, de Vicente, Javier
The field of Machine Learning (ML) [1, 2] and its broad spectrum of applications has revolutionized a plethora of technological industries in recent years ranging from the energy sector or material sciences to telecommunications, finance or consumer goods, to cite some [3]. In the context of aeronautical engineering and aerospace technologies, the field has embraced ML tools only in recent years, and impact is growing at a rapid pace, ranging from generalpurpose ML-based fluid mechanics [4-6], aeroacoustics [7], wind turbines [8] or aerostructures [9] (including prediction of landing gear loads [10]) to flight trajectories optimization [11] or enhancing predictive maintenance [12, 13]: see the recent and illuminating reviews [14, 15] and references therein. Interestingly, the integration of ML-related tools and ideas in the aeronautical and aerospace industries is still in its infancy. Part of the reason is that any new technology has a necessary adoption curve [16, 17], and the fact that ML-solutions require expert knowledge at the crossroads of computer science and statistics -and a sophisticated operationalization infrastructure (MLOps) [18] - does not facilitate this adoption. However, a deeper reason is probably impeding faster adoption: while ML-technologies promise high performance and reduction in development and operating costs [19] (e.g. by reducing costs related to expensive and lengthy wind tunnel experiments and numerical simulations), ensuring adequate safety remains paramount in aeronautical industries, and ML-based tools are often seen as sophisticated black-boxes that suffer from low degree of trustability, and thus difficult to validate their safety. Therefore, air safety authorities demand rigorous validation and verification processes for these models, and industry leaders have started to propose guidelines and a roadmap on concepts of design assurance for neural network-related technologies [20-22]. However, only very recently industry has started to embrace the complexities of certifying ML models [23-27], prompting the initiation of discussions around the development of guidelines and a roadmap for design assurance, especially concerning network-related technologies. This pressing need underscores the imperative for collaborative efforts within the industry to establish robust validation frameworks that not only meet regulatory standards but also address the evolving challenges posed by ML integration. This has indeed been well understood and undertaken by Airbus who has established an internal working group on verification and validation of surrogate models in the frame of loads and stress domains.
MeToken: Uniform Micro-environment Token Boosts Post-Translational Modification Prediction
Tan, Cheng, Cao, Zhenxiao, Gao, Zhangyang, Wu, Lirong, Li, Siyuan, Huang, Yufei, Xia, Jun, Hu, Bozhen, Li, Stan Z.
Post-translational modifications (PTMs) profoundly expand the complexity and functionality of the proteome, regulating protein attributes and interactions that are crucial for biological processes. Accurately predicting PTM sites and their specific types is therefore essential for elucidating protein function and understanding disease mechanisms. Existing computational approaches predominantly focus on protein sequences to predict PTM sites, driven by the recognition of sequence-dependent motifs. However, these approaches often overlook protein structural contexts. In this work, we first compile a large-scale sequence-structure PTM dataset, which serves as the foundation for fair comparison. We introduce the MeToken model, which tokenizes the micro-environment of each amino acid, integrating both sequence and structural information into unified discrete tokens. This model not only captures the typical sequence motifs associated with PTMs but also leverages the spatial arrangements dictated by protein tertiary structures, thus providing a holistic view of the factors influencing PTM sites. Designed to address the long-tail distribution of PTM types, MeToken employs uniform sub-codebooks that ensure even the rarest PTMs are adequately represented and distinguished. We validate the effectiveness and generalizability of MeToken across multiple datasets, demonstrating its superior performance in accurately identifying PTM types. The results underscore the importance of incorporating structural data and highlight MeToken's potential in facilitating accurate and comprehensive PTM predictions, which could significantly impact proteomics research. The code and datasets are available at https://github.com/A4Bio/MeToken.
So You Think You Can Scale Up Autonomous Robot Data Collection?
Mirchandani, Suvir, Belkhale, Suneel, Hejna, Joey, Choi, Evelyn, Islam, Md Sazzad, Sadigh, Dorsa
A long-standing goal in robot learning is to develop methods for robots to acquire new skills autonomously. While reinforcement learning (RL) comes with the promise of enabling autonomous data collection, it remains challenging to scale in the real-world partly due to the significant effort required for environment design and instrumentation, including the need for designing reset functions or accurate success detectors. On the other hand, imitation learning (IL) methods require little to no environment design effort, but instead require significant human supervision in the form of collected demonstrations. To address these shortcomings, recent works in autonomous IL start with an initial seed dataset of human demonstrations that an autonomous policy can bootstrap from. While autonomous IL approaches come with the promise of addressing the challenges of autonomous RL as well as pure IL strategies, in this work, we posit that such techniques do not deliver on this promise and are still unable to scale up autonomous data collection in the real world. Through a series of real-world experiments, we demonstrate that these approaches, when scaled up to realistic settings, face much of the same scaling challenges as prior attempts in RL in terms of environment design. Further, we perform a rigorous study of autonomous IL methods across different data scales and 7 simulation and real-world tasks, and demonstrate that while autonomous data collection can modestly improve performance, simply collecting more human data often provides significantly more improvement. Our work suggests a negative result: that scaling up autonomous data collection for learning robot policies for real-world tasks is more challenging and impractical than what is suggested in prior work. We hope these insights about the core challenges of scaling up data collection help inform future efforts in autonomous learning.
Residual Random Neural Networks
The single-layer feedforward neural network with random weights is a recurring motif in the neural networks literature. The advantage of these networks is their simplified training, which reduces to solving a ridge-regression problem. A general assumption is that these networks require a large number of hidden neurons relative to the dimensionality of the data samples, in order to achieve good classification accuracy. Contrary to this assumption, here we show that one can obtain good classification results even if the number of hidden neurons has the same order of magnitude as the dimensionality of the data samples, if this dimensionality is reasonably high. Inspired by this result, we also develop an efficient iterative residual training method for such random neural networks, and we extend the algorithm to the least-squares kernel version of the neural network model. Moreover, we also describe an encryption (obfuscation) method which can be used to protect both the data and the resulted network model.
Point processes with event time uncertainty
Cheng, Xiuyuan, Gong, Tingnan, Xie, Yao
Point processes are widely used statistical models for uncovering the temporal patterns in dependent event data. In many applications, the event time cannot be observed exactly, calling for the incorporation of time uncertainty into the modeling of point process data. In this work, we introduce a framework to model time-uncertain point processes possibly on a network. We start by deriving the formulation in the continuous-time setting under a few assumptions motivated by application scenarios. After imposing a time grid, we obtain a discrete-time model that facilitates inference and can be computed by first-order optimization methods such as Gradient Descent or Variation inequality (VI) using batch-based Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). The parameter recovery guarantee is proved for VI inference at an $O(1/k)$ convergence rate using $k$ SGD steps. Our framework handles non-stationary processes by modeling the inference kernel as a matrix (or tensor on a network) and it covers the stationary process, such as the classical Hawkes process, as a special case. We experimentally show that the proposed approach outperforms previous General Linear model (GLM) baselines on simulated and real data and reveals meaningful causal relations on a Sepsis-associated Derangements dataset.
OwMatch: Conditional Self-Labeling with Consistency for Open-World Semi-Supervised Learning
Niu, Shengjie, Lin, Lifan, Huang, Jian, Wang, Chao
Semi-supervised learning (SSL) offers a robust framework for harnessing the potential of unannotated data. Traditionally, SSL mandates that all classes possess labeled instances. However, the emergence of open-world SSL (OwSSL) introduces a more practical challenge, wherein unlabeled data may encompass samples from unseen classes. This scenario leads to misclassification of unseen classes as known ones, consequently undermining classification accuracy. To overcome this challenge, this study revisits two methodologies from self-supervised and semi-supervised learning, self-labeling and consistency, tailoring them to address the OwSSL problem. Specifically, we propose an effective framework called OwMatch, combining conditional self-labeling and open-world hierarchical thresholding. Theoretically, we analyze the estimation of class distribution on unlabeled data through rigorous statistical analysis, thus demonstrating that OwMatch can ensure the unbiasedness of the self-label assignment estimator with reliability. Comprehensive empirical analyses demonstrate that our method yields substantial performance enhancements across both known and unknown classes in comparison to previous studies. Code is available at https://github.com/niusj03/OwMatch.
Online Graph Learning via Time-Vertex Adaptive Filters: From Theory to Cardiac Fibrillation
Jenkins, Alexander, Variddhisai, Thiernithi, El-Medany, Ahmed, Ng, Fu Siong, Mandic, Danilo
Graph Signal Processing (GSP) provides a powerful framework for analysing complex, interconnected systems by modelling data as signals on graphs. Recent advances in GSP have enabled the learning of graph structures from observed signals, but these methods often struggle with time-varying systems and real-time applications. Adaptive filtering techniques, while effective for online learning, have seen limited application in graph topology estimation from a GSP perspective. To this end, we introduce AdaCGP, an online algorithm for adaptive estimation of the Graph Shift Operator (GSO) from multivariate time series. The GSO is estimated from an adaptive time-vertex autoregressive model through recursive update formulae designed to address sparsity, shift-invariance and bias. Through simulations, we show that AdaCGP performs consistently well across various graph topologies, and achieves improvements in excess of 82% for GSO estimation compared to baseline adaptive vector autoregressive models. In addition, our online variable splitting approach for enforcing sparsity enables near-perfect precision in identifying causal connections while maintaining low false positive rates upon optimisation of the forecast error. Finally, AdaCGP's ability to track changes in graph structure is demonstrated on recordings of ventricular fibrillation dynamics in response to an anti-arrhythmic drug. AdaCGP is shown to be able to identify the stability of critical conduction patterns that may be maintaining the arrhythmia in an intuitive way, together with its potential to support diagnosis and treatment strategies.
Optimizing Gastrointestinal Diagnostics: A CNN-Based Model for VCE Image Classification
Ahlawat, Vaneeta, Sharma, Rohit, Urush, null
In recent years, the diagnosis of gastrointestinal (GI) diseases has advanced greatly with the advent of high-tech video capsule endoscopy (VCE) technology, which allows for non-invasive observation of the digestive system. The MisaHub Capsule Vision Challenge encourages the development of vendor-independent artificial intelligence models that can autonomously classify GI anomalies from VCE images. This paper presents CNN architecture designed specifically for multiclass classification of ten gut pathologies, including angioectasia, bleeding, erosion, erythema, foreign bodies, lymphangiectasia, polyps, ulcers, and worms as well as their normal state.
Mitigating Matching Biases Through Score Calibration
Moslemi, Mohammad Hossein, Milani, Mostafa
Record matching, the task of identifying records that correspond to the same real-world entities across databases, is critical for data integration in domains like healthcare, finance, and e-commerce. While traditional record matching models focus on optimizing accuracy, fairness issues, such as demographic disparities in model performance, have attracted increasing attention. Biased outcomes in record matching can result in unequal error rates across demographic groups, raising ethical and legal concerns. Existing research primarily addresses fairness at specific decision thresholds, using bias metrics like Demographic Parity (DP), Equal Opportunity (EO), and Equalized Odds (EOD) differences. However, threshold-specific metrics may overlook cumulative biases across varying thresholds. In this paper, we adapt fairness metrics traditionally applied in regression models to evaluate cumulative bias across all thresholds in record matching. We propose a novel post-processing calibration method, leveraging optimal transport theory and Wasserstein barycenters, to balance matching scores across demographic groups. This approach treats any matching model as a black box, making it applicable to a wide range of models without access to their training data. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the calibration method in reducing demographic parity difference in matching scores. To address limitations in reducing EOD and EO differences, we introduce a conditional calibration method, which empirically achieves fairness across widely used benchmarks and state-of-the-art matching methods. This work provides a comprehensive framework for fairness-aware record matching, setting the foundation for more equitable data integration processes.
Privacy-Preserving Customer Churn Prediction Model in the Context of Telecommunication Industry
Sana, Joydeb Kumar, Rahman, M Sohel, Rahman, M Saifur
Data is the main fuel of a successful machine learning model. A dataset may contain sensitive individual records e.g. personal health records, financial data, industrial information, etc. Training a model using this sensitive data has become a new privacy concern when someone uses third-party cloud computing. Trained models also suffer privacy attacks which leads to the leaking of sensitive information of the training data. This study is conducted to preserve the privacy of training data in the context of customer churn prediction modeling for the telecommunications industry (TCI). In this work, we propose a framework for privacy-preserving customer churn prediction (PPCCP) model in the cloud environment. We have proposed a novel approach which is a combination of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and adaptive Weight-of-Evidence (aWOE). Synthetic data is generated from GANs, and aWOE is applied on the synthetic training dataset before feeding the data to the classification algorithms. Our experiments were carried out using eight different machine learning (ML) classifiers on three openly accessible datasets from the telecommunication sector. We then evaluated the performance using six commonly employed evaluation metrics. In addition to presenting a data privacy analysis, we also performed a statistical significance test. The training and prediction processes achieve data privacy and the prediction classifiers achieve high prediction performance (87.1\% in terms of F-Measure for GANs-aWOE based Na\"{\i}ve Bayes model). In contrast to earlier studies, our suggested approach demonstrates a prediction enhancement of up to 28.9\% and 27.9\% in terms of accuracy and F-measure, respectively.