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 Performance Analysis


Iterative Connecting Probability Estimation for Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Estimating the probabilities of connections between vertices in a random network using an observed adjacency matrix is an important task for network data analysis. Many existing estimation methods are based on certain assumptions on network structure, which limit their applicability in practice. Without making strong assumptions, we develop an iterative connecting probability estimation method based on neighborhood averaging. Starting at a random initial point or an existing estimate, our method iteratively updates the pairwise vertex distances, the sets of similar vertices, and connecting probabilities to improve the precision of the estimate. We propose a two-stage neighborhood selection procedure to achieve the trade-off between smoothness of the estimate and the ability to discover local structure. The tuning parameters can be selected by cross-validation. We establish desirable theoretical properties for our method, and further justify its superior performance by comparing with existing methods in simulation and real data analysis.


Subgroup Generalization and Fairness of Graph Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Despite enormous successful applications of graph neural networks (GNNs), theoretical understanding of their generalization ability, especially for node-level tasks where data are not independent and identically-distributed (IID), has been sparse. The theoretical investigation of the generalization performance is beneficial for understanding fundamental issues (such as fairness) of GNN models and designing better learning methods. In this paper, we present a novel PAC-Bayesian analysis for GNNs under a non-IID semi-supervised learning setup. Moreover, we analyze the generalization performances on different subgroups of unlabeled nodes, which allows us to further study an accuracy-(dis)parity-style (un)fairness of GNNs from a theoretical perspective. Under reasonable assumptions, we demonstrate that the distance between a test subgroup and the training set can be a key factor affecting the GNN performance on that subgroup, which calls special attention to the training node selection for fair learning. Experiments across multiple GNN models and datasets support our theoretical results4.



On the Epistemic Limits of Personalized Prediction

Neural Information Processing Systems

Machine learning models are often personalized by using group attributes that encode personal characteristics (e.g., sex, age group, HIV status). In such settings, individuals expect to receive more accurate predictions in return for disclosing group attributes to the personalized model. We study when we can tell that a personalized model upholds this principle for every group who provides personal data. We introduce a metric called the benefit of personalization (BoP) to measure the smallest gain in accuracy that any group expects to receive from a personalized model. We describe how the BoP can be used to carry out basic routines to audit a personalized model, including: (i) hypothesis tests to check that a personalized model improves performance for every group; (ii) estimation procedures to bound the minimum gain in personalization. We characterize the reliability of these routines in a finite-sample regime and present minimax bounds on both the probability of error for BoP hypothesis tests and the mean-squared error of BoP estimates. Our results show that we can only claim that personalization improves performance for each group who provides data when we explicitly limit the number of group attributes used by a personalized model. In particular, we show that it is impossible to reliably verify that a personalized classifier with k 19 binary group attributes will benefit every group who provides personal data using a dataset of n = 8 109 samples - one for each person in the world.



InstanT: Semi-supervised Learning with Instance-dependent Thresholds

Neural Information Processing Systems

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has been a fundamental challenge in machine learning for decades. The primary family of SSL algorithms, known as pseudo-labeling, involves assigning pseudo-labels to confident unlabeled instances and incorporating them into the training set. Therefore, the selection criteria of confident instances are crucial to the success of SSL. Recently, there has been growing interest in the development of SSL methods that use dynamic or adaptive thresholds. Yet, these methods typically apply the same threshold to all samples, or use class-dependent thresholds for instances belonging to a certain class, while neglecting instance-level information. In this paper, we propose the study of instance-dependent thresholds, which has the highest degree of freedom compared with existing methods. Specifically, we devise a novel instance-dependent threshold function for all unlabeled instances by utilizing their instance-level ambiguity and the instance-dependent error rates of pseudo-labels, so instances that are more likely to have incorrect pseudo-labels will have higher thresholds. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our instance-dependent threshold function provides a bounded probabilistic guarantee for the correctness of the pseudo-labels it assigns.


License of the assets

Neural Information Processing Systems

Licence for the codes We use the code for MS-TCN [13], ASRF [24], LAS [9], all of which are under MITLicense according to https://opensource.org/licenses/MIT. For the Jigsaws [18] dataset, we follow the data use agreeement according to https://cs.jhu. Action classification: Action classification is the task of identifying a single action, as opposed to a sequence of actions. Several methods use 2DCNNs to extract frame-wise features from an input video, which are then combined to predict a coarse action taking place in the video [56, 39, 59]. There also exist several works that perform action classification from kinematic data [2, 12]. Action segmentation: Action segmentation is the problem of segmenting an input stream of data, labeling each frame according to the action that is being carried out. Earlier methods for action segmentation employed hidden Markov models [33, 22]. More recently, convolutional neural networks [58, 26] and recurrent neural networks [50] have been applied to this problem Inspired by the success of temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) in speech synthesis, [37] adapted these models to action segmentation. MS-TCN [13], which uses a multi-stage TCN architecture, has become one of the most widely used architecture for action segmentation. Although these methods achieve high frame-wise accuracy, they still produce a significant number of over-segmentation errors. In order to address this, several boundary-aware methods have been developed which perform temporal smoothing of the frame-wise predictions [57, 24]. These methods use ground-truth boundary information to train a binary classification network to perform boundary detection. The boundary estimates are then used to aggregate the frame-wise predictions either in a soft manner (boundary-aware pooling) or by setting a hard threshold. However, for elemental actions with a short duration, such as the functional primitives in the StrokeRehab dataset, the duration of each action is very short. As a result, the boundaries between actions can be hard to detect or even hard to define (see Figure 4). Sequence-to-sequence models: Our proposed method is based on sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) models. These models allow us to learn a mapping of a variable-length input sequence to a variablelength output sequence [53].


Towards Unbounded Machine Unlearning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Deep machine unlearning is the problem of'removing' from a trained neural network a subset of its training set. This problem is very timely and has many applications, including the key tasks of removing biases (RB), resolving confusion (RC) (caused by mislabelled data in trained models), as well as allowing users to exercise their'right to be forgotten' to protect User Privacy (UP). This paper is the first, to our knowledge, to study unlearning for different applications (RB, RC, UP), with the view that each has its own desiderata, definitions for'forgetting' and associated metrics for forget quality. For UP, we propose a novel adaptation of a strong Membership Inference Attack for unlearning. We also propose SCRUB, a novel unlearning algorithm, which is the only method that is consistently a top performer for forget quality across the different application-dependent metrics for RB, RC, and UP. At the same time, SCRUB is also consistently a top performer on metrics that measure model utility (i.e.


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Neural Information Processing Systems

Evaluating the performance of machine learning models on diverse and underrepresented subgroups is essential for ensuring fairness and reliability in real-world applications. However, accurately assessing model performance becomes challenging due to two main issues: (1) a scarcity of test data, especially for small subgroups, and (2) possible distributional shifts in the model's deployment setting, which may not align with the available test data. In this work, we introduce 3STesting, a deep generative modeling framework to facilitate model evaluation by generating synthetic test sets for small subgroups and simulating distributional shifts. Our experiments demonstrate that 3STesting outperforms traditional baselines--including real test data alone--in estimating model performance on minority subgroups and under plausible distributional shifts. In addition, 3S offers intervals around its performance estimates, exhibiting superior coverage of the ground truth compared to existing approaches. Overall, these results raise the question of whether we need a paradigm shift away from limited real test data towards synthetic test data.


What You See is What You Classify: Black Box Attributions

Neural Information Processing Systems

An important step towards explaining deep image classifiers lies in the identification of image regions that contribute to individual class scores in the model's output. However, doing this accurately is a difficult task due to the black-box nature of such networks. Most existing approaches find such attributions either using activations and gradients or by repeatedly perturbing the input. We instead address this challenge by training a second deep network, the Explainer, to predict attributions for a pre-trained black-box classifier, the Explanandum. These attributions are provided in the form of masks that only show the classifier-relevant parts of an image, masking out the rest. Our approach produces sharper and more boundaryprecise masks when compared to the saliency maps generated by other methods. Moreover, unlike most existing approaches, ours is capable of directly generating very distinct class-specific masks in a single forward pass. This makes the proposed method very efficient during inference. We show that our attributions are superior to established methods both visually and quantitatively with respect to the PASCAL VOC-2007 and Microsoft COCO-2014 datasets.