The generalization ability of a neural network can sometimes be improved dramatically by regularization. To analyze the improvement oneneeds more refined results than the asymptotic distribution ofthe weight vector. Here we study the simple case of one-dimensional linear regression under quadratic regularization, i.e., ridge regression. We study the random design, misspecified case, where we derive expansions for the optimal regularization parameter andthe ensuing improvement. It is possible to construct examples where it is best to use no regularization.

The generalization ability of a neural network can sometimes be improved dramatically by regularization. To analyze the improvement oneneeds more refined results than the asymptotic distribution ofthe weight vector. Here we study the simple case of one-dimensional linear regression under quadratic regularization, i.e., ridge regression. We study the random design, misspecified case, where we derive expansions for the optimal regularization parameter andthe ensuing improvement. It is possible to construct examples where it is best to use no regularization.

Now completing its first year, the High-Performance Knowledge Bases Project promotes technology for developing very large, flexible, and reusable knowledge bases. The project is supported by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency and includes more than 15 contractors in universities, research laboratories, and companies. The evaluation of the constituent technologies centers on two challenge problems, in crisis management and battlespace reasoning, each demanding powerful problem solving with very large knowledge bases. This article discusses the challenge problems, the constituent technologies, and their integration and evaluation.

A false negative means that fraud, bad credit, or intrusion passes unnoticed, with potential loss of revenue or security. This workshop focused primarily papers, 10 of which were selected for with the Fourteenth National on what might loosely be termed presentation at the workshop. These Conference on Artificial Intelligence "improper behavior," which includes 10 papers were grouped into 3 categories. However, Glasgow applying classification techniques to were over 50 attendees, with a balanced does discuss the estimation of "inherent fraud and risk problems, including the mix of university and industry risk," which is the bread and butter use of clustering techniques to generate researchers. We sought participants data, highly skewed distributions ("improper Columbia University, and Phillip Chan to discuss and explore common behavior" occurs far less frequently of Florida Institute of Technology).

We compare different methods to combine predictions from neural networks trained on different bootstrap samples of a regression problem. One of these methods, introduced in [6] and which we here call balancing, is based on the analysis of the ensemble generalization error into an ambiguity term and a term incorporating generalization performances of individual networks. We show how to estimate these individual errors from the residuals on validation patterns. Weighting factors for the different networks follow from a quadratic programming problem. On a real-world problem concerning the prediction of sales figures and on the well-known Boston housing data set, balancing clearly outperforms other recently proposed alternatives as bagging [1] and bumping [8]. 1 EARLY STOPPING AND BOOTSTRAPPING Stopped training is a popular strategy to prevent overfitting in neural networks.

Predictions oflifetimes of dynamically allocated objects can be used to improve time and space efficiency of dynamic memory management in computer programs. Barrett and Zorn [1993] used a simple lifetime predictor and demonstrated this improvement on a variety of computer programs. In this paper, we use decision trees to do lifetime prediction on the same programs and show significantly better prediction. Our method also has the advantage that during training we can use a large number of features and let the decision tree automatically choose the relevant subset.

The mortality related to cervical cancer can be substantially reduced through early detection and treatment. However, current detection techniques, such as Pap smear and colposcopy, fail to achieve a concurrently high sensitivity and specificity. In vivo fluorescence spectroscopy is a technique which quickly, noninvasively and quantitatively probes the biochemical and morphological changes that occur in precancerous tissue. RBF ensemble algorithms based on such spectra provide automated, and near realtime implementation of pre-cancer detection in the hands of nonexperts. The results are more reliable, direct and accurate than those achieved by either human experts or multivariate statistical algorithms. 1 Introduction Cervical carcinoma is the second most common cancer in women worldwide, exceeded only by breast cancer (Ramanujam et al., 1996). The mortality related to cervical cancer can be reduced if this disease is detected at the precancerous state, known as squamous intraepitheliallesion (SIL). Currently, a Pap smear is used to 982 K. Turner, N. Ramanujam, R. Richards-Kortum and J. Ghosh screen for cervical cancer {Kurman et al., 1994}. In a Pap test, a large number of cells obtained by scraping the cervical epithelium are smeared onto a slide which is then fixed and stained for cytologic examination.

We compare different methods to combine predictions from neural networks trained on different bootstrap samples of a regression problem. One of these methods, introduced in [6] and which we here call balancing, is based on the analysis of the ensemble generalization error into an ambiguity term and a term incorporating generalization performances of individual networks. We show how to estimate these individual errors from the residuals on validation patterns. Weighting factors for the different networks follow from a quadratic programming problem. On a real-world problem concerning the prediction of sales figures and on the well-known Boston housing data set, balancing clearly outperforms other recently proposed alternatives as bagging [1] and bumping [8]. 1 EARLY STOPPING AND BOOTSTRAPPING Stopped training is a popular strategy to prevent overfitting in neural networks.

I describe a querying criterion that attempts to minimize the error of a learner by minimizing its estimated squared bias. I describe experiments with locally-weighted regression on two simple problems, and observe that this "bias-only" approach outperforms the more common "variance-only" exploration approach, even in the presence of noise.

The mortality related to cervical cancer can be substantially reduced through early detection and treatment. However, current detection techniques, such as Pap smear and colposcopy, fail to achieve a concurrently high sensitivity and specificity. In vivo fluorescence spectroscopy is a technique which quickly, noninvasively and quantitatively probes the biochemical and morphological changes that occur in precancerous tissue. RBF ensemble algorithms based on such spectra provide automated, and near realtime implementation of pre-cancer detection in the hands of nonexperts. The results are more reliable, direct and accurate than those achieved by either human experts or multivariate statistical algorithms. 1 Introduction Cervical carcinoma is the second most common cancer in women worldwide, exceeded only by breast cancer (Ramanujam et al., 1996). The mortality related to cervical cancer can be reduced if this disease is detected at the precancerous state, known as squamous intraepitheliallesion (SIL). Currently, a Pap smear is used to 982 K. Turner, N. Ramanujam, R. Richards-Kortum and J. Ghosh screen for cervical cancer {Kurman et al., 1994}. In a Pap test, a large number of cells obtained by scraping the cervical epithelium are smeared onto a slide which is then fixed and stained for cytologic examination.