Performance Analysis
Becoming More Robust to Label Noise with Classifier Diversity
Smith, Michael R., Martinez, Tony
It is widely known in the machine learning community that class noise can be (and often is) detrimental to inducing a model of the data. Many current approaches use a single, often biased, measurement to determine if an instance is noisy. A biased measure may work well on certain data sets, but it can also be less effective on a broader set of data sets. In this paper, we present noise identification using classifier diversity (NICD) -- a method for deriving a less biased noise measurement and integrating it into the learning process. To lessen the bias of the noise measure, NICD selects a diverse set of classifiers (based on their predictions of novel instances) to determine which instances are noisy. We examine NICD as a technique for filtering, instance weighting, and selecting the base classifiers of a voting ensemble. We compare NICD with several other noise handling techniques that do not consider classifier diversity on a set of 54 data sets and 5 learning algorithms. NICD significantly increases the classification accuracy over the other considered approaches and is effective across a broad set of data sets and learning algorithms.
Machine Learning at Scale
Izrailev, Sergei, Stanley, Jeremy M.
It takes skill to build a meaningful predictive model even with the abundance of implementations of modern machine learning algorithms and readily available computing resources. Building a model becomes challenging if hundreds of terabytes of data need to be processed to produce the training data set. In a digital advertising technology setting, we are faced with the need to build thousands of such models that predict user behavior and power advertising campaigns in a 24/7 chaotic real-time production environment. As data scientists, we also have to convince other internal departments critical to implementation success, our management, and our customers that our machine learning system works. In this paper, we present the details of the design and implementation of an automated, robust machine learning platform that impacts billions of advertising impressions monthly. This platform enables us to continuously optimize thousands of campaigns over hundreds of millions of users, on multiple continents, against varying performance objectives.
Sparse Quantile Huber Regression for Efficient and Robust Estimation
Aravkin, Aleksandr Y., Kambadur, Anju, Lozano, Aurelie C., Luss, Ronny
We consider new formulations and methods for sparse quantile regression in the high-dimensional setting. Quantile regression plays an important role in many applications, including outlier-robust exploratory analysis in gene selection. In addition, the sparsity consideration in quantile regression enables the exploration of the entire conditional distribution of the response variable given the predictors and therefore yields a more comprehensive view of the important predictors. We propose a generalized OMP algorithm for variable selection, taking the misfit loss to be either the traditional quantile loss or a smooth version we call quantile Huber, and compare the resulting greedy approaches with convex sparsity-regularized formulations. We apply a recently proposed interior point methodology to efficiently solve all convex formulations as well as convex subproblems in the generalized OMP setting, pro- vide theoretical guarantees of consistent estimation, and demonstrate the performance of our approach using empirical studies of simulated and genomic datasets.
High Dimensional Semiparametric Scale-Invariant Principal Component Analysis
We propose a new high dimensional semiparametric principal component analysis (PCA) method, named Copula Component Analysis (COCA). The semiparametric model assumes that, after unspecified marginally monotone transformations, the distributions are multivariate Gaussian. COCA improves upon PCA and sparse PCA in three aspects: (i) It is robust to modeling assumptions; (ii) It is robust to outliers and data contamination; (iii) It is scale-invariant and yields more interpretable results. We prove that the COCA estimators obtain fast estimation rates and are feature selection consistent when the dimension is nearly exponentially large relative to the sample size. Careful experiments confirm that COCA outperforms sparse PCA on both synthetic and real-world datasets.
An Empirical Evaluation of Ranking Measures With Respect to Robustness to Noise
Ranking measures play an important role in model evaluation and selection. Using both synthetic and real-world data sets, we investigate how different types and levels of noise affect the area under the ROC curve (AUC), the area under the ROC convex hull, the scored AUC, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic, and the H-measure. In our experiments, the AUC was, overall, the most robust among these measures, thereby reinvigorating it as a reliable metric despite its well-known deficiencies. This paper also introduces a novel ranking measure, which is remarkably robust to noise yet conceptually simple.
Applying Supervised Learning Algorithms and a New Feature Selection Method to Predict Coronary Artery Disease
From a fresh data science perspective, this thesis discusses the prediction of coronary artery disease based on genetic variations at the DNA base pair level, called Single-Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs), collected from the Ontario Heart Genomics Study (OHGS). First, the thesis explains two commonly used supervised learning algorithms, the k-Nearest Neighbour (k-NN) and Random Forest classifiers, and includes a complete proof that the k-NN classifier is universally consistent in any finite dimensional normed vector space. Second, the thesis introduces two dimensionality reduction steps, Random Projections, a known feature extraction technique based on the Johnson-Lindenstrauss lemma, and a new method termed Mass Transportation Distance (MTD) Feature Selection for discrete domains. Then, this thesis compares the performance of Random Projections with the k-NN classifier against MTD Feature Selection and Random Forest, for predicting artery disease based on accuracy, the F-Measure, and area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. The comparative results demonstrate that MTD Feature Selection with Random Forest is vastly superior to Random Projections and k-NN. The Random Forest classifier is able to obtain an accuracy of 0.6660 and an area under the ROC curve of 0.8562 on the OHGS genetic dataset, when 3335 SNPs are selected by MTD Feature Selection for classification. This area is considerably better than the previous high score of 0.608 obtained by Davies et al. in 2010 on the same dataset.
Principled Graph Matching Algorithms for Integrating Multiple Data Sources
Zhang, Duo, Rubinstein, Benjamin I. P., Gemmell, Jim
This paper explores combinatorial optimization for problems of max-weight graph matching on multi-partite graphs, which arise in integrating multiple data sources. Entity resolution-the data integration problem of performing noisy joins on structured data-typically proceeds by first hashing each record into zero or more blocks, scoring pairs of records that are co-blocked for similarity, and then matching pairs of sufficient similarity. In the most common case of matching two sources, it is often desirable for the final matching to be one-to-one (a record may be matched with at most one other); members of the database and statistical record linkage communities accomplish such matchings in the final stage by weighted bipartite graph matching on similarity scores. Such matchings are intuitively appealing: they leverage a natural global property of many real-world entity stores-that of being nearly deduped-and are known to provide significant improvements to precision and recall. Unfortunately unlike the bipartite case, exact max-weight matching on multi-partite graphs is known to be NP-hard. Our two-fold algorithmic contributions approximate multi-partite max-weight matching: our first algorithm borrows optimization techniques common to Bayesian probabilistic inference; our second is a greedy approximation algorithm. In addition to a theoretical guarantee on the latter, we present comparisons on a real-world ER problem from Bing significantly larger than typically found in the literature, publication data, and on a series of synthetic problems. Our results quantify significant improvements due to exploiting multiple sources, which are made possible by global one-to-one constraints linking otherwise independent matching sub-problems. We also discover that our algorithms are complementary: one being much more robust under noise, and the other being simple to implement and very fast to run.
SKYNET: an efficient and robust neural network training tool for machine learning in astronomy
Graff, Philip, Feroz, Farhan, Hobson, Michael P., Lasenby, Anthony N.
We present the first public release of our generic neural network training algorithm, called SkyNet. This efficient and robust machine learning tool is able to train large and deep feed-forward neural networks, including autoencoders, for use in a wide range of supervised and unsupervised learning applications, such as regression, classification, density estimation, clustering and dimensionality reduction. SkyNet uses a `pre-training' method to obtain a set of network parameters that has empirically been shown to be close to a good solution, followed by further optimisation using a regularised variant of Newton's method, where the level of regularisation is determined and adjusted automatically; the latter uses second-order derivative information to improve convergence, but without the need to evaluate or store the full Hessian matrix, by using a fast approximate method to calculate Hessian-vector products. This combination of methods allows for the training of complicated networks that are difficult to optimise using standard backpropagation techniques. SkyNet employs convergence criteria that naturally prevent overfitting, and also includes a fast algorithm for estimating the accuracy of network outputs. The utility and flexibility of SkyNet are demonstrated by application to a number of toy problems, and to astronomical problems focusing on the recovery of structure from blurred and noisy images, the identification of gamma-ray bursters, and the compression and denoising of galaxy images. The SkyNet software, which is implemented in standard ANSI C and fully parallelised using MPI, is available at http://www.mrao.cam.ac.uk/software/skynet/.
Ensembled Correlation Between Liver Analysis Outputs
Seker, Sadi Evren, Unal, Y., Erdem, Z., Kocer, H. Erdinc
Data mining techniques on the biological analysis are spreading for most of the areas including the health care and medical information. We have applied the data mining techniques, such as KNN, SVM, MLP or decision trees over a unique dataset, which is collected from 16,380 analysis results for a year. Furthermore we have also used meta-classifiers to question the increased correlation rate between the liver disorder and the liver analysis outputs. The results show that there is a correlation among ALT, AST, Billirubin Direct and Billirubin Total down to 15% of error rate. Also the correlation coefficient is up to 94%. This makes possible to predict the analysis results from each other or disease patterns can be applied over the linear correlation of the parameters.
Finding the True Frequent Itemsets
Riondato, Matteo, Vandin, Fabio
Frequent Itemsets (FIs) mining is a fundamental primitive in data mining. It requires to identify all itemsets appearing in at least a fraction $\theta$ of a transactional dataset $\mathcal{D}$. Often though, the ultimate goal of mining $\mathcal{D}$ is not an analysis of the dataset \emph{per se}, but the understanding of the underlying process that generated it. Specifically, in many applications $\mathcal{D}$ is a collection of samples obtained from an unknown probability distribution $\pi$ on transactions, and by extracting the FIs in $\mathcal{D}$ one attempts to infer itemsets that are frequently (i.e., with probability at least $\theta$) generated by $\pi$, which we call the True Frequent Itemsets (TFIs). Due to the inherently stochastic nature of the generative process, the set of FIs is only a rough approximation of the set of TFIs, as it often contains a huge number of \emph{false positives}, i.e., spurious itemsets that are not among the TFIs. In this work we design and analyze an algorithm to identify a threshold $\hat{\theta}$ such that the collection of itemsets with frequency at least $\hat{\theta}$ in $\mathcal{D}$ contains only TFIs with probability at least $1-\delta$, for some user-specified $\delta$. Our method uses results from statistical learning theory involving the (empirical) VC-dimension of the problem at hand. This allows us to identify almost all the TFIs without including any false positive. We also experimentally compare our method with the direct mining of $\mathcal{D}$ at frequency $\theta$ and with techniques based on widely-used standard bounds (i.e., the Chernoff bounds) of the binomial distribution, and show that our algorithm outperforms these methods and achieves even better results than what is guaranteed by the theoretical analysis.