Performance Analysis
Robust Statistical Ranking: Theory and Algorithms
Xu, Qianqian, Xiong, Jiechao, Huang, Qingming, Yao, Yuan
Deeply rooted in classical social choice and voting theory, statistical ranking with paired comparison data experienced its renaissance with the wide spread of crowdsourcing technique. As the data quality might be significantly damaged in an uncontrolled crowdsourcing environment, outlier detection and robust ranking have become a hot topic in such data analysis. In this paper, we propose a robust ranking framework based on the principle of Huber's robust statistics, which formulates outlier detection as a LASSO problem to find sparse approximations of the cyclic ranking projection in Hodge decomposition. Moreover, simple yet scalable algorithms are developed based on Linearized Bregman Iteration to achieve an even less biased estimator than LASSO. Statistical consistency of outlier detection is established in both cases which states that when the outliers are strong enough and in Erdos-Renyi random graph sampling settings, outliers can be faithfully detected. Our studies are supported by experiments with both simulated examples and real-world data. The proposed framework provides us a promising tool for robust ranking with large scale crowdsourcing data arising from computer vision, multimedia, machine learning, sociology, etc.
A convex pseudo-likelihood framework for high dimensional partial correlation estimation with convergence guarantees
Khare, Kshitij, Oh, Sang-Yun, Rajaratnam, Bala
Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a topic of much interest in modern day statistics. A popular approach is to apply l1-penalties to either (1) parametric likelihoods, or, (2) regularized regression/pseudo-likelihoods, with the latter having the distinct advantage that they do not explicitly assume Gaussianity. As none of the popular methods proposed for solving pseudo-likelihood based objective functions have provable convergence guarantees, it is not clear if corresponding estimators exist or are even computable, or if they actually yield correct partial correlation graphs. This paper proposes a new pseudo-likelihood based graphical model selection method that aims to overcome some of the shortcomings of current methods, but at the same time retain all their respective strengths. In particular, we introduce a novel framework that leads to a convex formulation of the partial covariance regression graph problem, resulting in an objective function comprised of quadratic forms. The objective is then optimized via a coordinate-wise approach. The specific functional form of the objective function facilitates rigorous convergence analysis leading to convergence guarantees; an important property that cannot be established using standard results, when the dimension is larger than the sample size, as is often the case in high dimensional applications. These convergence guarantees ensure that estimators are well-defined under very general conditions, and are always computable. In addition, the approach yields estimators that have good large sample properties and also respect symmetry. Furthermore, application to simulated/real data, timing comparisons and numerical convergence is demonstrated. We also present a novel unifying framework that places all graphical pseudo-likelihood methods as special cases of a more general formulation, leading to important insights.
One-Class Support Measure Machines for Group Anomaly Detection
Muandet, Krikamol, Schoelkopf, Bernhard
We propose one-class support measure machines (OCSMMs) for group anomaly detection which aims at recognizing anomalous aggregate behaviors of data points. The OCSMMs generalize well-known one-class support vector machines (OCSVMs) to a space of probability measures. By formulating the problem as quantile estimation on distributions, we can establish an interesting connection to the OCSVMs and variable kernel density estimators (VKDEs) over the input space on which the distributions are defined, bridging the gap between large-margin methods and kernel density estimators. In particular, we show that various types of VKDEs can be considered as solutions to a class of regularization problems studied in this paper. Experiments on Sloan Digital Sky Survey dataset and High Energy Particle Physics dataset demonstrate the benefits of the proposed framework in real-world applications.
Algorithms for Approximate Minimization of the Difference Between Submodular Functions, with Applications
Iyer, Rishabh, Bilmes, Jeff A.
We extend the work of Narasimhan and Bilmes [30] for minimizing set functions representable as a dierence between submodular functions. Similar to [30], our new algorithms are guaranteed to monotonically reduce the objective function at every step. We empirically and theoretically show that the per-iteration cost of our algorithms is much less than [30], and our algorithms can be used to efficiently minimize a dierence between submodular functions under various combinatorial constraints, a problem not previously addressed. We provide computational bounds and a hardness result on the multiplicative inapproximability of minimizing the dierence between submodular functions. We show, however, that it is possible to give worst-case additive bounds by providing a polynomial time computable lower-bound on the minima. Finally we show how a number of machine learning problems can be modeled as minimizing the dierence between submodular functions. We experimentally show the validity of our algorithms by testing them on the problem of feature selection with submodular cost features.
Robust Graphical Modeling with t-Distributions
Finegold, Michael A., Drton, Mathias
Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent progress includes the development of fitting methodology involving penalization of the likelihood function. In this paper we advocate the use of the multivariate t and related distributions for more robust inference of graphs. In particular, we demonstrate that penalized likelihood inference combined with an application of the EM algorithm provides a simple and computationally efficient approach to model selection in the t-distribution case.
An Evasion and Counter-Evasion Study in Malicious Websites Detection
Xu, Li, Zhan, Zhenxin, Xu, Shouhuai, Ye, Keyin
Malicious websites are a major cyber attack vector, and effective detection of them is an important cyber defense task. The main defense paradigm in this regard is that the defender uses some kind of machine learning algorithms to train a detection model, which is then used to classify websites in question. Unlike other settings, the following issue is inherent to the problem of malicious websites detection: the attacker essentially has access to the same data that the defender uses to train its detection models. This 'symmetry' can be exploited by the attacker, at least in principle, to evade the defender's detection models. In this paper, we present a framework for characterizing the evasion and counter-evasion interactions between the attacker and the defender, where the attacker attempts to evade the defender's detection models by taking advantage of this symmetry. Within this framework, we show that an adaptive attacker can make malicious websites evade powerful detection models, but proactive training can be an effective counter-evasion defense mechanism. The framework is geared toward the popular detection model of decision tree, but can be adapted to accommodate other classifiers.
Sparse and Low-Rank Covariance Matrices Estimation
Zhou, Shenglong, Xiu, Naihua, Luo, Ziyan, Kong, Lingchen
This paper aims at achieving a simultaneously sparse and low-rank estimator from the semidefinite population covariance matrices. We first benefit from a convex optimization which develops $l_1$-norm penalty to encourage the sparsity and nuclear norm to favor the low-rank property. For the proposed estimator, we then prove that with large probability, the Frobenious norm of the estimation rate can be of order $O(\sqrt{s(\log{r})/n})$ under a mild case, where $s$ and $r$ denote the number of sparse entries and the rank of the population covariance respectively, $n$ notes the sample capacity. Finally an efficient alternating direction method of multipliers with global convergence is proposed to tackle this problem, and meantime merits of the approach are also illustrated by practicing numerical simulations.
Sure Screening for Gaussian Graphical Models
Luo, Shikai, Song, Rui, Witten, Daniela
We propose {graphical sure screening}, or GRASS, a very simple and computationally-efficient screening procedure for recovering the structure of a Gaussian graphical model in the high-dimensional setting. The GRASS estimate of the conditional dependence graph is obtained by thresholding the elements of the sample covariance matrix. The proposed approach possesses the sure screening property: with very high probability, the GRASS estimated edge set contains the true edge set. Furthermore, with high probability, the size of the estimated edge set is controlled. We provide a choice of threshold for GRASS that can control the expected false positive rate. We illustrate the performance of GRASS in a simulation study and on a gene expression data set, and show that in practice it performs quite competitively with more complex and computationally-demanding techniques for graph estimation.
Efficient Regularized Regression for Variable Selection with L0 Penalty
Variable (feature, gene, model, which we use interchangeably) selections for regression with high-dimensional BIGDATA have found many applications in bioinformatics, computational biology, image processing, and engineering. One appealing approach is the L0 regularized regression which penalizes the number of nonzero features in the model directly. L0 is known as the most essential sparsity measure and has nice theoretical properties, while the popular L1 regularization is only a best convex relaxation of L0. Therefore, it is natural to expect that L0 regularized regression performs better than LASSO. However, it is well-known that L0 optimization is NP-hard and computationally challenging. Instead of solving the L0 problems directly, most publications so far have tried to solve an approximation problem that closely resembles L0 regularization. In this paper, we propose an efficient EM algorithm (L0EM) that directly solves the L0 optimization problem. $L_0$EM is efficient with high dimensional data. It also provides a natural solution to all Lp p in [0,2] problems. The regularized parameter can be either determined through cross-validation or AIC and BIC. Theoretical properties of the L0-regularized estimator are given under mild conditions that permit the number of variables to be much larger than the sample size. We demonstrate our methods through simulation and high-dimensional genomic data. The results indicate that L0 has better performance than LASSO and L0 with AIC or BIC has similar performance as computationally intensive cross-validation. The proposed algorithms are efficient in identifying the non-zero variables with less-bias and selecting biologically important genes and pathways with high dimensional BIGDATA.
Classification of Online Health Discussions with Text and Health Feature Sets
Zhang, Mi (Drexel University) | Yang, Christopher C (Drexel University)
Nowadays, many health groups and forums are established on the Internet, where health consumers discuss health issues and interact with each other. Although there is a large amount of user generated content about healthcare on different social media sites, few studies have applied data mining or artificial intelligence techniques for knowledge discovery on a large scale of data in this particular emerging area. In online health forums, it is difficult for users to find relevant topics or peers due to the large amount of information. Traditional recommendation systems may not work well for health online forums, because health consumers have different intentions of participation or may be interest in different types of supports even if the content matches their interest. To help solving this problem, we apply Naïve Bayes methods in this study to classify posts and comments on QuitStop forum, which is an online community for smoking cessation intervention. Classifiers are built on different text features and health features of user quit status. Two different classification tasks are investigated: (1) classification of user intentions, and (2) classification of types of social support exchanged in interactions. We developed classifiers for posts and comments separately, and conducted experiments to compare classifiers with different text and health feature sets. It is found that using thread title or post content can achieve the highest classification accuracy on both posts and comments for user intention classification with text features. On the other hand, using the content of post or comment itself performs the best for the classification of social support types. In particular for the post, integrating health features of the post author can boost the text classifications of user intention and support type. However, user health features cannot help in improving text classifiers for the comments.