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 Performance Analysis


A Distance Measure for the Analysis of Polar Opinion Dynamics in Social Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Analysis of opinion dynamics in social networks plays an important role in today's life. For applications such as predicting users' political preference, it is particularly important to be able to analyze the dynamics of competing opinions. While observing the evolution of polar opinions of a social network's users over time, can we tell when the network "behaved" abnormally? Furthermore, can we predict how the opinions of the users will change in the future? Do opinions evolve according to existing network opinion dynamics models? To answer such questions, it is not sufficient to study individual user behavior, since opinions can spread far beyond users' egonets. We need a method to analyze opinion dynamics of all network users simultaneously and capture the effect of individuals' behavior on the global evolution pattern of the social network. In this work, we introduce Social Network Distance (SND) - a distance measure that quantifies the "cost" of evolution of one snapshot of a social network into another snapshot under various models of polar opinion propagation. SND has a rich semantics of a transportation problem, yet, is computable in time linear in the number of users, which makes SND applicable to the analysis of large-scale online social networks. In our experiments with synthetic and real-world Twitter data, we demonstrate the utility of our distance measure for anomalous event detection. It achieves a true positive rate of 0.83, twice as high as that of alternatives. When employed for opinion prediction in Twitter, our method's accuracy is 75.63%, which is 7.5% higher than that of the next best method. Source Code: https://cs.ucsb.edu/~victor/pub/ucsb/dbl/snd/


On Wasserstein Two Sample Testing and Related Families of Nonparametric Tests

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Nonparametric two sample or homogeneity testing is a decision theoretic problem that involves identifying differences between two random variables without making parametric assumptions about their underlying distributions. The literature is old and rich, with a wide variety of statistics having being intelligently designed and analyzed, both for the unidimensional and the multivariate setting. Our contribution is to tie together many of these tests, drawing connections between seemingly very different statistics. In this work, our central object is the Wasserstein distance, as we form a chain of connections from univariate methods like the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, PP/QQ plots and ROC/ODC curves, to multivariate tests involving energy statistics and kernel based maximum mean discrepancy. Some connections proceed through the construction of a \textit{smoothed} Wasserstein distance, and others through the pursuit of a "distribution-free" Wasserstein test. Some observations in this chain are implicit in the literature, while others seem to have not been noticed thus far. Given nonparametric two sample testing's classical and continued importance, we aim to provide useful connections for theorists and practitioners familiar with one subset of methods but not others.


Improved Estimation of Class Prior Probabilities through Unlabeled Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Work in the classification literature has shown that in computing a classification function, one need not know the class membership of all observations in the training set; the unlabeled observations still provide information on the marginal distribution of the feature set, and can thus contribute to increased classification accuracy for future observations. The present paper will show that this scheme can also be used for the estimation of class prior probabilities, which would be very useful in applications in which it is difficult or expensive to determine class membership. Both parametric and nonparametric estimators are developed. Asymptotic distributions of the estimators are derived, and it is proven that the use of the unlabeled observations does reduce asymptotic variance. This methodology is also extended to the estimation of subclass probabilities.


Learning in Unlabeled Networks - An Active Learning and Inference Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The task of determining labels of all network nodes based on the knowledge about network structure and labels of some training subset of nodes is called the within-network classification. It may happen that none of the labels of the nodes is known and additionally there is no information about number of classes to which nodes can be assigned. In such a case a subset of nodes has to be selected for initial label acquisition. The question that arises is: "labels of which nodes should be collected and used for learning in order to provide the best classification accuracy for the whole network?". Active learning and inference is a practical framework to study this problem. A set of methods for active learning and inference for within network classification is proposed and validated. The utility score calculation for each node based on network structure is the first step in the process. The scores enable to rank the nodes. Based on the ranking, a set of nodes, for which the labels are acquired, is selected (e.g. by taking top or bottom N from the ranking). The new measure-neighbour methods proposed in the paper suggest not obtaining labels of nodes from the ranking but rather acquiring labels of their neighbours. The paper examines 29 distinct formulations of utility score and selection methods reporting their impact on the results of two collective classification algorithms: Iterative Classification Algorithm and Loopy Belief Propagation. We advocate that the accuracy of presented methods depends on the structural properties of the examined network. We claim that measure-neighbour methods will work better than the regular methods for networks with higher clustering coefficient and worse than regular methods for networks with low clustering coefficient. According to our hypothesis, based on clustering coefficient we are able to recommend appropriate active learning and inference method.


Enhanced Bilingual Evaluation Understudy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Our research extends the Bilingual Evaluation Understudy (BLEU) evaluation technique for statistical machine translation to make it more adjustable and robust. We intend to adapt it to resemble human evaluation more. We perform experiments to evaluate the performance of our technique against the primary existing evaluation methods. We describe and show the improvements it makes over existing methods as well as correlation to them. When human translators translate a text, they often use synonyms, different word orders or style, and other similar variations. We propose an SMT evaluation technique that enhances the BLEU metric to consider variations such as those.


Leveraging Online User Feedback to Improve Statistical Machine Translation

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

In this article we present a three-step methodology for dynamically improving a statistical machine translation (SMT) system by incorporating human feedback in the form of free edits on the system translations. We target at feedback provided by casual users, which is typically error-prone. Thus, we first propose a filtering step to automatically identify the better user-edited translations and discard the useless ones. A second step produces a pivot-based alignment between source and user-edited sentences, focusing on the errors made by the system. Finally, a third step produces a new translation model and combines it linearly with the one from the original system. We perform a thorough evaluation on a real-world dataset collected from the Reverso.net translation service and show that every step in our methodology contributes significantly to improve a general purpose SMT system. Interestingly, the quality improvement is not only due to the increase of lexical coverage, but to a better lexical selection, reordering, and morphology. Finally, we show the robustness of the methodology by applying it to a different scenario, in which the new examples come from an automatically Web-crawled parallel corpus. Using exactly the same architecture and models provides again a significant improvement of the translation quality of a general purpose baseline SMT system.


CiteSeerX: AI in a Digital Library Search Engine

AI Magazine

Since then, the project has been directed by C. Lee Giles. While it is challenging to rebuild a system like Cite-SeerX from scratch, many of these AI technologies are transferable to other digital libraries and search engines. This is different from arXiv, Harvard ADS, and machine cluster to a private cloud using virtualization PubMed, where papers are submitted by authors or techniques (Wu et al. 2014). CiteSeerX extensively pushed by publishers. Unlike Google Scholar and leverages open source software, which significantly Microsoft Academic Search, where a significant portion reduces development effort. Red Hat of documents have only metadata (such as titles, Enterprise Linux (RHEL) 5 and 6 are the operating authors, and abstracts) available, users have full-text systems for all servers. Tomcat 7 is CiteSeerX keeps its own repository, which used for web service deployment on web and indexing serves cached versions of papers even if their previous servers. MySQL is used as the database management links are not alive any more. In additional to system to store metadata. Apache Solr is used paper downloads, CiteSeerX provides automatically for the index, and the Spring framework is used in extracted metadata and citation context, which the web application. In this section, we highlight four AI solutions that are Document metadata download service is not available leveraged by CiteSeerX and that tackle different challenges from Google Scholar and only recently available in metadata extraction and ingestion modules from Microsoft Academic Search. Finally, CiteSeerX (tagged by C, E, D, and A in figure 1).


THink: Inferring Cognitive Status from Subtle Behaviors

AI Magazine

The digital clock drawing test is a fielded application that provides a major advance over existing neuropsychological testing technology. It captures and analyzes high precision information about both outcome and process, opening up the possibility of detecting subtle cognitive impairment even when test results appear superficially normal. We describe the design and development of the test, document the role of AI in its capabilities, and report on its use over the past seven years. We outline its potential implications for earlier detection and treatment of neurological disorders. We set the work in the larger context of the THink project, which is exploring multiple approaches to determining cognitive status through the detection and analysis of subtle behaviors.


A Large-Scale Car Dataset for Fine-Grained Categorization and Verification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Updated on 24/09/2015: This update provides preliminary experiment results for fine-grained classification on the surveillance data of CompCars. The train/test splits are provided in the updated dataset. See details in Section 6.


Characterization of graphs for protein structure modeling and recognition of solubility

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper deals with the relations among structural, topological, and chemical properties of the E.Coli proteome from the vantage point of the solubility/aggregation propensity of proteins. Each E.Coli protein is initially represented according to its known folded 3D shape. This step consists in representing the available E.Coli proteins in terms of graphs. We first analyze those graphs by considering pure topological characterizations, i.e., by analyzing the mass fractal dimension and the distribution underlying both shortest paths and vertex degrees. Results confirm the general architectural principles of proteins. Successively, we focus on the statistical properties of a representation of such graphs in terms of vectors composed of several numerical features, which we extracted from their structural representation. We found that protein size is the main discriminator for the solubility, while however there are other factors that help explaining the solubility degree. We finally analyze such data through a novel one-class classifier, with the aim of discriminating among very and poorly soluble proteins. Results are encouraging and consolidate the potential of pattern recognition techniques when employed to describe complex biological systems.