Performance Analysis
Recursive Compressed Sensing
Freris, Nikolaos M., Öçal, Orhan, Vetterli, Martin
We introduce a recursive algorithm for performing compressed sensing on streaming data. The approach consists of a) recursive encoding, where we sample the input stream via overlapping windowing and make use of the previous measurement in obtaining the next one, and b) recursive decoding, where the signal estimate from the previous window is utilized in order to achieve faster convergence in an iterative optimization scheme applied to decode the new one. To remove estimation bias, a two-step estimation procedure is proposed comprising support set detection and signal amplitude estimation. Estimation accuracy is enhanced by a non-linear voting method and averaging estimates over multiple windows. We analyze the computational complexity and estimation error, and show that the normalized error variance asymptotically goes to zero for sublinear sparsity. Our simulation results show speed up of an order of magnitude over traditional CS, while obtaining significantly lower reconstruction error under mild conditions on the signal magnitudes and the noise level.
An Extensive Evaluation of Filtering Misclassified Instances in Supervised Classification Tasks
Smith, Michael R., Martinez, Tony
Removing or filtering outliers and mislabeled instances prior to training a learning algorithm has been shown to increase classification accuracy. A popular approach for handling outliers and mislabeled instances is to remove any instance that is misclassified by a learning algorithm. However, an examination of which learning algorithms to use for filtering as well as their effects on multiple learning algorithms over a large set of data sets has not been done. Previous work has generally been limited due to the large computational requirements to run such an experiment, and, thus, the examination has generally been limited to learning algorithms that are computationally inexpensive and using a small number of data sets. In this paper, we examine 9 learning algorithms as filtering algorithms as well as examining the effects of filtering in the 9 chosen learning algorithms on a set of 54 data sets. In addition to using each learning algorithm individually as a filter, we also use the set of learning algorithms as an ensemble filter and use an adaptive algorithm that selects a subset of the learning algorithms for filtering for a specific task and learning algorithm. We find that for most cases, using an ensemble of learning algorithms for filtering produces the greatest increase in classification accuracy. We also compare filtering with a majority voting ensemble. The voting ensemble significantly outperforms filtering unless there are high amounts of noise present in the data set. Additionally, we find that a majority voting ensemble is robust to noise as filtering with a voting ensemble does not increase the classification accuracy of the voting ensemble.
A Latent Source Model for Nonparametric Time Series Classification
Chen, George H., Nikolov, Stanislav, Shah, Devavrat
For classifying time series, a nearest-neighbor approach is widely used in practice with performance often competitive with or better than more elaborate methods such as neural networks, decision trees, and support vector machines. We develop theoretical justification for the effectiveness of nearest-neighbor-like classification of time series. Our guiding hypothesis is that in many applications, such as forecasting which topics will become trends on Twitter, there aren't actually that many prototypical time series to begin with, relative to the number of time series we have access to, e.g., topics become trends on Twitter only in a few distinct manners whereas we can collect massive amounts of Twitter data. To operationalize this hypothesis, we propose a latent source model for time series, which naturally leads to a "weighted majority voting" classification rule that can be approximated by a nearest-neighbor classifier. We establish nonasymptotic performance guarantees of both weighted majority voting and nearest-neighbor classification under our model accounting for how much of the time series we observe and the model complexity. Experimental results on synthetic data show weighted majority voting achieving the same misclassification rate as nearest-neighbor classification while observing less of the time series. We then use weighted majority to forecast which news topics on Twitter become trends, where we are able to detect such "trending topics" in advance of Twitter 79% of the time, with a mean early advantage of 1 hour and 26 minutes, a true positive rate of 95%, and a false positive rate of 4%.
Near-optimal Anomaly Detection in Graphs using Lovasz Extended Scan Statistic
Sharpnack, James, Krishnamurthy, Akshay, Singh, Aarti
The detection of anomalous activity in graphs is a statistical problem that arises in many applications, such as network surveillance, disease outbreak detection, and activity monitoring in social networks. Beyond its wide applicability, graph structured anomaly detection serves as a case study in the difficulty of balancing computational complexity with statistical power. In this work, we develop from first principles the generalized likelihood ratio test for determining if there is a well connected region of activation over the vertices in the graph in Gaussian noise. Because this test is computationally infeasible, we provide a relaxation, called the Lovasz extended scan statistic (LESS) that uses submodularity to approximate the intractable generalized likelihood ratio. We demonstrate a connection between LESS and maximum a-posteriori inference in Markov random fields, which provides us with a poly-time algorithm for LESS. Using electrical network theory, we are able to control type 1 error for LESS and prove conditions under which LESS is risk consistent. Finally, we consider specific graph models, the torus, k-nearest neighbor graphs, and epsilon-random graphs. We show that on these graphs our results provide near-optimal performance by matching our results to known lower bounds.
A Component Lasso
Hussami, Nadine, Tibshirani, Robert
We propose a new sparse regression method called the component lasso, based on a simple idea. The method uses the connected-components structure of the sample covariance matrix to split the problem into smaller ones. It then solves the subproblems separately, obtaining a coefficient vector for each one. Then, it uses non-negative least squares to recombine the different vectors into a single solution. This step is useful in selecting and reweighting components that are correlated with the response. Simulated and real data examples show that the component lasso can outperform standard regression methods such as the lasso and elastic net, achieving a lower mean squared error as well as better support recovery.
One-Class Classification: Taxonomy of Study and Review of Techniques
Khan, Shehroz S., Madden, Michael G.
One-class classification (OCC) algorithms aim to build classification models when the negative class is either absent, poorly sampled or not well defined. This unique situation constrains the learning of efficient classifiers by defining class boundary just with the knowledge of positive class. The OCC problem has been considered and applied under many research themes, such as outlier/novelty detection and concept learning. In this paper we present a unified view of the general problem of OCC by presenting a taxonomy of study for OCC problems, which is based on the availability of training data, algorithms used and the application domains applied. We further delve into each of the categories of the proposed taxonomy and present a comprehensive literature review of the OCC algorithms, techniques and methodologies with a focus on their significance, limitations and applications. We conclude our paper by discussing some open research problems in the field of OCC and present our vision for future research.
Gradient Hard Thresholding Pursuit for Sparsity-Constrained Optimization
Yuan, Xiao-Tong, Li, Ping, Zhang, Tong
In the past decade, high-dimensional data analysis has received broad research interests in data mining and scientific discovery, with many significant results obtained in theory, algorithm and applications. The major driven force is the rapid development of data collection technologies in many applications domains such as social networks, natural language processing, bioinformatics and computer vision. In these applications it is not unusual that data samples are represented with millions or even billions of features using which an underlying statistical learning model must be fit. In many circumstances, however, the number of collected samples is substantially smaller than the dimensionality of the feature, implying that consistent estimators cannot be hoped for unless additional assumptions are imposed on the model. One of the widely acknowledged prior assumptions is that the data exhibit low-dimensional structure, which can often be captured by imposing sparsity constraint on the model parameter space. It is thus crucial to develop robust and efficient computational procedures for solving, even just approximately, these optimization problems with sparsity constraint.
When Does More Regularization Imply Fewer Degrees of Freedom? Sufficient Conditions and Counter Examples from Lasso and Ridge Regression
Kaufman, Shachar, Rosset, Saharon
Regularization aims to improve prediction performance of a given statistical modeling approach by moving to a second approach which achieves worse training error but is expected to have fewer degrees of freedom, i.e., better agreement between training and prediction error. We show here, however, that this expected behavior does not hold in general. In fact, counter examples are given that show regularization can increase the degrees of freedom in simple situations, including lasso and ridge regression, which are the most common regularization approaches in use. In such situations, the regularization increases both training error and degrees of freedom, and is thus inherently without merit. On the other hand, two important regularization scenarios are described where the expected reduction in degrees of freedom is indeed guaranteed: (a) all symmetric linear smoothers, and (b) linear regression versus convex constrained linear regression (as in the constrained variant of ridge regression and lasso).
Moments and Root-Mean-Square Error of the Bayesian MMSE Estimator of Classification Error in the Gaussian Model
Zollanvari, Amin, Dougherty, Edward R.
The most important aspect of any classifier is its error rate, because this quantifies its predictive capacity. Thus, the accuracy of error estimation is critical. Error estimation is problematic in small-sample classifier design because the error must be estimated using the same data from which the classifier has been designed. Use of prior knowledge, in the form of a prior distribution on an uncertainty class of feature-label distributions to which the true, but unknown, feature-distribution belongs, can facilitate accurate error estimation (in the mean-square sense) in circumstances where accurate completely model-free error estimation is impossible. This paper provides analytic asymptotically exact finite-sample approximations for various performance metrics of the resulting Bayesian Minimum Mean-Square-Error (MMSE) error estimator in the case of linear discriminant analysis (LDA) in the multivariate Gaussian model. These performance metrics include the first, second, and cross moments of the Bayesian MMSE error estimator with the true error of LDA, and therefore, the Root-Mean-Square (RMS) error of the estimator. We lay down the theoretical groundwork for Kolmogorov double-asymptotics in a Bayesian setting, which enables us to derive asymptotic expressions of the desired performance metrics. From these we produce analytic finite-sample approximations and demonstrate their accuracy via numerical examples. Various examples illustrate the behavior of these approximations and their use in determining the necessary sample size to achieve a desired RMS. The Supplementary Material contains derivations for some equations and added figures.
Online Ensemble Learning for Imbalanced Data Streams
While both cost-sensitive learning and online learning have been studied extensively, the effort in simultaneously dealing with these two issues is limited. Aiming at this challenge task, a novel learning framework is proposed in this paper. The key idea is based on the fusion of online ensemble algorithms and the state of the art batch mode cost-sensitive bagging/boosting algorithms. Within this framework, two separately developed research areas are bridged together, and a batch of theoretically sound online cost-sensitive bagging and online cost-sensitive boosting algorithms are first proposed. Unlike other online cost-sensitive learning algorithms lacking theoretical analysis of asymptotic properties, the convergence of the proposed algorithms is guaranteed under certain conditions, and the experimental evidence with benchmark data sets also validates the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methods.