WrestleMania 34 is WWE's biggest show of 2018 in more ways than one. Wrestling's Super Bowl should feature an attendance of around 75,000, lasting somewhere between six and seven hours long. Every single WWE championship will be on the line Sunday night in New Orleans, and 14 matches are expected to be on the card. Below are predictions for every WrestleMania 34 match. A lot has changed since Lesnar and Reigns fought for the world title in the WrestleMania main event three years ago.

Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have low detection power for subtle, emerging irregularities. Additionally, recent detection techniques based on subset scanning make strong independence assumptions and suffer degraded performance in correlated data. We introduce methods for identifying anomalous patterns in non-iid data by combining Gaussian processes with novel log-likelihood ratio statistic and subset scanning techniques. Our approaches are powerful, interpretable, and can integrate information across multiple data streams. We illustrate their performance on numeric simulations and three open source spatiotemporal datasets of opioid overdose deaths, 311 calls, and storm reports.

This master's thesis discusses an important issue regarding how algorithmic decision making (ADM) is used in crime forecasting. In America forecasting tools are widely used by judiciary systems for making decisions about risk offenders based on criminal justice for risk offenders. By making use of such tools, the judiciary relies on ADM in order to make error free judgement on offenders. For this purpose, one of the quality measures for machine learning techniques which is widly used, the $AUC$ (area under curve), is compared to and contrasted for results with the $PPV_k$ (positive predictive value). Keeping in view the criticality of judgement along with a high dependency on tools offering ADM, it is necessary to evaluate risk tools that aid in decision making based on algorithms. In this methodology, such an evaluation is conducted by implementing a common machine learning approach called binary classifier, as it determines the binary outcome of the underlying juristic question. This thesis showed that the $PPV_k$ (positive predictive value) technique models the decision of judges much better than the $AUC$. Therefore, this research has investigated whether there exists a classifier for which the $PPV_k$ deviates from $AUC$ by a large proportion. It could be shown that the deviation can rise up to 0.75. In order to test this deviation on an already in used Classifier, data from the fourth generation risk assement tool COMPAS was used. The result were were quite alarming as the two measures derivate from each other by 0.48. In this study, the risk assessment evaluation of the forecasting tools was successfully conducted, carefully reviewed and examined. Additionally, it is also discussed whether such systems used for the purpose of making decisions should be socially accepted or not.

Popular direct-to-consumer DNA kits that promise to reveal a person's heritage and details about their health provide false information to two in five users, a new study published in the journal Genetics in Medicine suggests. The troubling data comes from research conducted by medical diagnostics company Ambry Genetics. The researchers found that consumer DNA tests can often fall victim to false-positives that result in producing incorrect information. Consumer DNA tests like 23andMe, pictured, produce false-positives for two-in-five people. Consumer DNA tests often do not look at the entirety of an individual's genome. Instead, they use a technique that looks specifically for specific SNP arrays, which can determine certain pieces of information about an individual like a predisposition to a disease.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) trained on large-scale datasets have exhibited significant performance in image classification. Many large-scale datasets are collected from websites, however they tend to contain inaccurate labels that are termed as noisy labels. Training on such noisy labeled datasets causes performance degradation because DNNs easily overfit to noisy labels. To overcome this problem, we propose a joint optimization framework of learning DNN parameters and estimating true labels. Our framework can correct labels during training by alternating update of network parameters and labels. We conduct experiments on the noisy CIFAR-10 datasets and the Clothing1M dataset. The results indicate that our approach significantly outperforms other state-of-the-art methods.

Machine-learning algorithms have gained popularity in recent years in the field of ecological modeling due to their promising results in predictive performance of classification problems. While the application of such algorithms has been highly simplified in the last years due to their well-documented integration in commonly used statistical programming languages such as R, there are several practical challenges in the field of ecological modeling related to unbiased performance estimation, optimization of algorithms using hyperparameter tuning and spatial autocorrelation. We address these issues in the comparison of several widely used machine-learning algorithms such as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT), k-Nearest Neighbor (WKNN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) to traditional parametric algorithms such as logistic regression (GLM) and semi-parametric ones like generalized additive models (GAM). Different nested cross-validation methods including hyperparameter tuning methods are used to evaluate model performances with the aim to receive bias-reduced performance estimates. As a case study the spatial distribution of forest disease Diplodia sapinea in the Basque Country in Spain is investigated using common environmental variables such as temperature, precipitation, soil or lithology as predictors. Results show that GAM and RF (mean AUROC estimates 0.708 and 0.699) outperform all other methods in predictive accuracy. The effect of hyperparameter tuning saturates at around 50 iterations for this data set. The AUROC differences between the bias-reduced (spatial cross-validation) and overoptimistic (non-spatial cross-validation) performance estimates of the GAM and RF are 0.167 (24%) and 0.213 (30%), respectively. It is recommended to also use spatial partitioning for cross-validation hyperparameter tuning of spatial data.

SMOTE is one of the oversampling techniques for balancing the datasets and it is considered as a pre-processing step in learning algorithms. In this paper, four new enhanced SMOTE are proposed that include an improved version of KNN in which the attribute weights are defined by mutual information firstly and then they are replaced by maximum entropy, Renyi entropy and Tsallis entropy. These four pre-processing methods are combined with 1NN and J48 classifiers and their performance are compared with the previous methods on 11 imbalanced datasets from KEEL repository. The results show that these pre-processing methods improves the accuracy compared with the previous stablished works. In addition, as a case study, the first pre-processing method is applied on transportation data of Tehran-Bazargan Highway in Iran with IR equal to 36.

Graphs are a fundamental abstraction for modeling relational data. However, graphs are discrete and combinatorial in nature, and learning representations suitable for machine learning tasks poses statistical and computational challenges. In this work, we propose Graphite an algorithmic framework for unsupervised learning of representations over nodes in a graph using deep latent variable generative models. Our model is based on variational autoencoders (VAE), and differs from existing VAE frameworks for data modalities such as images, speech, and text in the use of graph neural networks for parameterizing both the generative model (i.e., decoder) and inference model (i.e., encoder). The use of graph neural networks directly incorporates inductive biases due to the spatial, local structure of graphs directly in the generative model. Moreover, we draw novel connections between graph neural networks and approximate inference via kernel embeddings of distributions. We demonstrate empirically that Graphite outperforms state-of-the-art approaches for the tasks of density estimation, link prediction, and node classification on synthetic and benchmark datasets.

Determining the best method for training a machine learning algorithm is critical to maximizing its ability to classify data. In this paper, we compare the standard "fully supervised" approach (that relies on knowledge of event-by-event truth-level labels) with a recent proposal that instead utilizes class ratios as the only discriminating information provided during training. This so-called "weakly supervised" technique has access to less information than the fully supervised method and yet is still able to yield impressive discriminating power. In addition, weak supervision seems particularly well suited to particle physics since quantum mechanics is incompatible with the notion of mapping an individual event onto any single Feynman diagram. We examine the technique in detail -- both analytically and numerically -- with a focus on the robustness to issues of mischaracterizing the training samples. Weakly supervised networks turn out to be remarkably insensitive to systematic mismodeling. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the event level outputs for weakly versus fully supervised networks are probing different kinematics, even though the numerical quality metrics are essentially identical. This implies that it should be possible to improve the overall classification ability by combining the output from the two types of networks. For concreteness, we apply this technology to a signature of beyond the Standard Model physics to demonstrate that all these impressive features continue to hold in a scenario of relevance to the LHC.

Job openings often go unfulfilled despite a surfeit of unemployed or underemployed workers. One of the main reasons for this is a mismatch between the skills required by employers and the skills that workers possess. This mismatch, also known as the skills gap, can pose socioeconomic challenges for an economy. A first step in alleviating the skills gap is to accurately detect skills in human capital data such as resumes and job ads. Comprehensive and accurate detection of skills facilitates analysis of labor market dynamics. It also helps bridge the divide between supply and demand of labor by facilitating reskilling and workforce training programs. In this paper, we describe SKILL, a Named Entity Normalization (NEN) system for occupational skills. SKILL is composed of 1) A skills tagger which uses properties of semantic word vectors to recognize and normalize relevant skills, and 2) A skill entity sense disambiguation component which infers the correct meaning of an identified skill. We discuss the technical design and the synergy between data science and engineering that was required to transform the system from a research prototype to a production service that serves customers from across the organization. We also discuss establishing customer feedback loops, and it led to improvements to the system over time. SKILL is currently used by various internal teams at CareerBuilder for big data workforce analytics, semantic search, job matching, and recommendations.