Performance Analysis
Fairness Behind a Veil of Ignorance: A Welfare Analysis for Automated Decision Making
Heidari, Hoda, Ferrari, Claudio, Gummadi, Krishna, Krause, Andreas
We draw attention to an important, yet largely overlooked aspect of evaluating fairness for automated decision making systems---namely risk and welfare considerations. Our proposed family of measures corresponds to the long-established formulations of cardinal social welfare in economics, and is justified by the Rawlsian conception of fairness behind a veil of ignorance. The convex formulation of our welfare-based measures of fairness allows us to integrate them as a constraint into any convex loss minimization pipeline. Our empirical analysis reveals interesting trade-offs between our proposal and (a) prediction accuracy, (b) group discrimination, and (c) Dwork et al's notion of individual fairness. Furthermore and perhaps most importantly, our work provides both heuristic justification and empirical evidence suggesting that a lower-bound on our measures often leads to bounded inequality in algorithmic outcomes; hence presenting the first computationally feasible mechanism for bounding individual-level inequality.
Are GANs Created Equal? A Large-Scale Study
Lucic, Mario, Kurach, Karol, Michalski, Marcin, Gelly, Sylvain, Bousquet, Olivier
Generative adversarial networks (GAN) are a powerful subclass of generative models. Despite a very rich research activity leading to numerous interesting GAN algorithms, it is still very hard to assess which algorithm(s) perform better than others. We conduct a neutral, multi-faceted large-scale empirical study on state-of-the art models and evaluation measures. We find that most models can reach similar scores with enough hyperparameter optimization and random restarts. This suggests that improvements can arise from a higher computational budget and tuning more than fundamental algorithmic changes. To overcome some limitations of the current metrics, we also propose several data sets on which precision and recall can be computed. Our experimental results suggest that future GAN research should be based on more systematic and objective evaluation procedures. Finally, we did not find evidence that any of the tested algorithms consistently outperforms the non-saturating GAN introduced in \cite{goodfellow2014generative}.
A Model for Learned Bloom Filters and Optimizing by Sandwiching
Recent work has suggested enhancing Bloom filters by using a pre-filter, based on applying machine learning to determine a function that models the data set the Bloom filter is meant to represent. Here we model such learned Bloom filters, with the following outcomes: (1) we clarify what guarantees can and cannot be associated with such a structure; (2) we show how to estimate what size the learning function must obtain in order to obtain improved performance; (3) we provide a simple method, sandwiching, for optimizing learned Bloom filters; and (4) we propose a design and analysis approach for a learned Bloomier filter, based on our modeling approach.
Space Expansion of Feature Selection for Designing more Accurate Error Predictors
Nikkhah, Shayan Tabatabaei, Kamal, Mehdi, Afzali-Kusha, Ali, Pedram, Massoud
Approximate computing is being considered as a promising design paradigm to overcome the energy and performance challenges in computationally demanding applications. If the case where the accuracy can be configured, the quality level versus energy efficiency or delay also may be traded-off. For this technique to be used, one needs to make sure a satisfactory user experience. This requires employing error predictors to detect unacceptable approximation errors. In this work, we propose a scheduling-aware feature selection method which leverages the intermediate results of the hardware accelerator to improve the prediction accuracy. Additionally, it configures the error predictors according to the energy consumption and latency of the system. The approach enjoys the flexibility of the prediction time for a higher accuracy. The results on various benchmarks demonstrate significant improvements in the prediction accuracy compared to the prior works which used only the accelerator inputs for the prediction.
On Cross-validation for Sparse Reduced Rank Regression
In high-dimensional data analysis, regularization methods pursuing sparsity and/or low rank have received a lot of attention recently. To provide a proper amount of shrinkage, it is typical to use a grid search and a model comparison criterion to find the optimal regularization parameters. However, we show that fixing the parameters across all folds may result in an inconsistency issue, and it is more appropriate to cross-validate projection-selection patterns to obtain the best coefficient estimate. Our in-sample error studies in jointly sparse and rank-deficient models lead to a new class of information criteria with four scale-free forms to bypass the estimation of the noise level. By use of an identity, we propose a novel scale-free calibration to help cross-validation achieve the minimax optimal error rate non-asymptotically. Experiments support the efficacy of the proposed methods.
Throwing everything - including the kitchen sink - at a machine learning problem
It seems the more I read, the more confused I get - models, algorithms, surrogates; my head is spinning. Assume the dataset is in perfect condition - pure as the driven snow, no correlated features, no null in sight, nothing; and it has "enough" observations. To simplify, let's say we are looking at binary classification. Let's also say that we want to try four different algorithms: for example - logistic regression, naive Bayes, gradient boosted tree and multilayer perceptron. And, finally, let's assume that (since all this is for educational purposes), we have no issues with time, efficiency, computing power, computing budget and whatnot; we don't care if this is an overkill or if we're going after a fly with an elephant gun: we want to throw everything, including the kitchen sink, at the problem so we can extract every last ounce of performance when it's time to make predictions on totally unseen data.
Machine Learning -- Multiclass Classification with Imbalanced Data-set
Classification problems having multiple classes with imbalanced dataset present a different challenge than a binary classification problem. The skewed distribution makes many conventional machine learning algorithms less effective, especially in predicting minority class examples. In order to do so, let us first understand the problem at hand and then discuss the ways to overcome those. The data set we will be using for this example is the famous "20 News groups" data set. The 20 Newsgroups data set is a collection of approximately 20,000 newsgroup documents, partitioned (nearly) evenly across 20 different newsgroups.
Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health: ICF-CY Self Care (SCADI Dataset) Using Predictive Analytics
The International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health for Children and Youth (ICF-CY) is a scaffold for designating and systematizing data on functioning and disability. It offers a standard semantic and a theoretical foundation for the demarcation and extent of wellbeing and infirmity. The multidimensional layout of ICF-CY comprehends a plethora of information with about 1400 categories making it difficult to analyze. Our research proposes a predictive model that classify self-care problems on Self-Care Activities Dataset based on the ICF- CY. The data used in this study resides 206 attributes of 70 children with motor and physical disability. Our study implements, compare and analyze Random Forest, Support vector machine, Naive Bayes, Hoeffding tree, and Lazy locally weighted learning using two-tailed T-test at 95% confidence interval. Boruta algorithm involved in the study minimizes the data dimensionality to advocate the minimal-optimal set of predictors. Random forest gave the best classification accuracy of 84.75%; root mean squared error of 0.18 and receiver operating characteristic of 0.99. Predictive analytics can simplify the usage of ICF-CY by automating the classification process of disability, functioning, and health.
Reproducible evaluation of diffusion MRI features for automatic classification of patients with Alzheimers disease
Wen, Junhao, Samper-Gonzalez, Jorge, Bottani, Simona, Routier, Alexandre, Burgos, Ninon, Jacquemont, Thomas, Fontanella, Sabrina, Durrleman, Stanley, Epelbaum, Stephane, Bertrand, Anne, Colliot, Olivier
Diffusion MRI is the modality of choice to study alterations of white matter. In the past years, various works have used diffusion MRI for automatic classification of Alzheimers disease. However, the performances obtained with different approaches are difficult to compare because of variations in components such as input data, participant selection, image preprocessing, feature extraction, feature selection (FS) and cross-validation (CV) procedure. Moreover, these studies are also difficult to reproduce because these different components are not readily available. In a previous work (Samper-Gonzalez et al. 2018), we proposed an open-source framework for the reproducible evaluation of AD classification from T1-weighted (T1w) MRI and PET data. In the present paper, we extend this framework to diffusion MRI data. The framework comprises: tools to automatically convert ADNI data into the BIDS standard, pipelines for image preprocessing and feature extraction, baseline classifiers and a rigorous CV procedure. We demonstrate the use of the framework through assessing the influence of diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) metrics (fractional anisotropy - FA, mean diffusivity - MD), feature types, imaging modalities (diffusion MRI or T1w MRI), data imbalance and FS bias. First, voxel-wise features generally gave better performances than regional features. Secondly, FA and MD provided comparable results for voxel-wise features. Thirdly, T1w MRI performed better than diffusion MRI. Fourthly, we demonstrated that using non-nested validation of FS leads to unreliable and over-optimistic results. All the code is publicly available: general-purpose tools have been integrated into the Clinica software (www.clinica.run) and the paper-specific code is available at: https://gitlab.icm-institute.org/aramislab/AD-ML.
Predicting with Proxies
Predictive analytics is increasingly used to guide decision-making in many applications. However, in practice, we often have limited data on the true predictive task of interest, but copious data on a closely-related proxy predictive task. Practitioners often train predictive models on proxies since it achieves more accurate predictions. For example, e-commerce platforms use abundant customer click data (proxy) to make product recommendations rather than the relatively sparse customer purchase data (true outcome of interest); alternatively, hospitals often rely on medical risk scores trained on a different patient population (proxy) rather than their own patient population (true cohort of interest) to assign interventions. However, not accounting for the bias in the proxy can lead to sub-optimal decisions. Using real datasets, we find that this bias can often be captured by a sparse function of the features. Thus, we propose a novel two-step estimator that uses techniques from high-dimensional statistics to efficiently combine a large amount of proxy data and a small amount of true data. We prove upper bounds on the error of our proposed estimator and lower bounds on several heuristics commonly used by data scientists; in particular, our proposed estimator can achieve the same accuracy with exponentially less true data (in the number of features $d$). Our proof relies on a new tail inequality on the convergence of LASSO for approximately sparse vectors. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on e-commerce and healthcare datasets; in both cases, we achieve significantly better predictive accuracy as well as managerial insights into the nature of the bias in the proxy data.