Performance Analysis
Interlacing Personal and Reference Genomes for Machine Learning Disease-Variant Detection
Harries, Luke R, Zhang, Suyi, Dubourg-Felonneau, Geoffroy, Farmery, James H R, Sinai, Jonathan, Taylor, Belle, Patel, Nirmesh, Cassidy, John W, Shawe-Taylor, John, Clifford, Harry W
DNA sequencing to identify genetic variants is becoming increasingly valuable in clinical settings. Assessment of variants in such sequencing data is commonly implemented through Bayesian heuristic algorithms. Machine learning has shown great promise in improving on these variant calls, but the input for these is still a standardized "pile-up" image, which is not always best suited. In this paper, we present a novel method for generating images from DNA sequencing data, which interlaces the human reference genome with personalized sequencing output, to maximize usage of sequencing reads and improve machine learning algorithm performance. We demonstrate the success of this in improving standard germline variant calling. We also furthered this approach to include somatic variant calling across tumor/normal data with Siamese networks. These approaches can be used in machine learning applications on sequencing data with the hope of improving clinical outcomes, and are freely available for noncommercial use at www.ccg.ai.
Accurate, Data-Efficient Learning from Noisy, Choice-Based Labels for Inherent Risk Scoring
Huang, W. Ronny, Perez, Miguel A.
Inherent risk scoring is an important function in anti-money laundering, used for determining the riskiness of an individual during onboarding $\textit{before}$ fraudulent transactions occur. It is, however, often fraught with two challenges: (1) inconsistent notions of what constitutes as high or low risk by experts and (2) the lack of labeled data. This paper explores a new paradigm of data labeling and data collection to tackle these issues. The data labeling is choice-based; the expert does not provide an absolute risk score but merely chooses the most/least risky example out of a small choice set, which reduces inconsistency because experts make only relative judgments of risk. The data collection is synthetic; examples are crafted using optimal experimental design methods, obviating the need for real data which is often difficult to obtain due to regulatory concerns. We present the methodology of an end-to-end inherent risk scoring algorithm that we built for a large financial institution. The system was trained on a small set of synthetic data (188 examples, 24 features) whose labels are obtained via the choice-based paradigm using an efficient number of expert labelers. The system achieves 89% accuracy on a test set of 52 examples, with an area under the ROC curve of 93%.
What Should I Learn First: Introducing LectureBank for NLP Education and Prerequisite Chain Learning
Li, Irene, Fabbri, Alexander R., Tung, Robert R., Radev, Dragomir R.
Recent years have witnessed the rising popularity of Natural Language Processing (NLP) and related fields such as Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML). Many online courses and resources are available even for those without a strong background in the field. Often the student is curious about a specific topic but does not quite know where to begin studying. To answer the question of "what should one learn first," we apply an embedding-based method to learn prerequisite relations for course concepts in the domain of NLP. We introduce LectureBank, a dataset containing 1,352 English lecture files collected from university courses which are each classified according to an existing taxonomy as well as 208 manually-labeled prerequisite relation topics, which is publicly available. The dataset will be useful for educational purposes such as lecture preparation and organization as well as applications such as reading list generation. Additionally, we experiment with neural graph-based networks and non-neural classifiers to learn these prerequisite relations from our dataset.
InstaNAS: Instance-aware Neural Architecture Search
Cheng, An-Chieh, Lin, Chieh Hubert, Juan, Da-Cheng, Wei, Wei, Sun, Min
Neural Architecture Search (NAS) aims at finding one "single" architecture that achieves the best accuracy for a given task such as image recognition.In this paper, we study the instance-level variation,and demonstrate that instance-awareness is an important yet currently missing component of NAS. Based on this observation, we propose InstaNAS for searching toward instance-level architectures;the controller is trained to search and form a "distribution of architectures" instead of a single final architecture. Then during the inference phase, the controller selects an architecture from the distribution, tailored for each unseen image to achieve both high accuracy and short latency. The experimental results show that InstaNAS reduces the inference latency without compromising classification accuracy. On average, InstaNAS achieves 48.9% latency reduction on CIFAR-10 and 40.2% latency reduction on CIFAR-100 with respect to MobileNetV2 architecture.
A Framework for Implementing Machine Learning on Omics Data
Dubourg-Felonneau, Geoffroy, Cannings, Timothy, Cotter, Fergal, Thompson, Hannah, Patel, Nirmesh, Cassidy, John W, Clifford, Harry W
The potential benefits of applying machine learning methods to -omics data are becoming increasingly apparent, especially in clinical settings. However, the unique characteristics of these data are not always well suited to machine learning techniques. These data are often generated across different technologies in different labs, and frequently with high dimensionality. In this paper we present a framework for combining -omics data sets, and for handling high dimensional data, making -omics research more accessible to machine learning applications. We demonstrate the success of this framework through integration and analysis of multi-analyte data for a set of 3,533 breast cancers. We then use this data-set to predict breast cancer patient survival for individuals at risk of an impending event, with higher accuracy and lower variance than methods trained on individual data-sets. We hope that our pipelines for data-set generation and transformation will open up -omics data to machine learning researchers. We have made these freely available for noncommercial use at www.ccg.ai.
Understanding AUC - ROC Curve โ Towards Data Science
In Machine Learning, performance measurement is an essential task. So when it comes to a classification problem, we can count on an AUC - ROC Curve. When we need to check or visualize the performance of the multi - class classification problem, we use AUC (Area Under The Curve) ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curve. It is one of the most important evaluation metrics for checking any classification model's performance. Note: For better understanding, I suggest you to read my article about Confusion Matrix.
Forecasting market states
Procacci, Pier Francesco, Aste, Tomaso
In common terminology, there are periods of'bull' market in which prices are more likely to rise and periods of'bear' market in which prices are more likely to fall. These different'states' of markets are commonly attributed in literature to unobservable, orlatent, regimes representing a set of macroeconomic, market and sentiment variables. Many time series models presented in literature tried to capture this phenomenon. Among the most popular methods, it is worth mentioning the TAR models (Tong 1978), trying to estimate'structural breaks' in the time series process, and the Markov Switching models (Hamilton 1989), where the change in regimes are parametrized by means of an unobserved state variable typically modelledas Markov chain. However, the application of TAR models in finance is frequently criticized since it cannot be established with certainty when a structural break has occurred in economic time series and the prior knowledge of major economic events could lead to bias in inference (Campbellet al. 1997). Markov switching models, on the other hand, are highly affected by the curse of dimensionality. In particular, for slightly more complex dynamics than the original proposal (Hamilton 1989), we need to rely on variational inference techniques or MCMC methods (Tsay 2005, Kim and Nelson 1999). This implies that, in a multivariate context and particularly if November 27, 2018 ForecastingMarketStates v2.1
Sentiment Analysis of Financial News Articles using Performance Indicators
Mining financial text documents and understanding the sentiments of individual investors, institutions and markets is an important and challenging problem in the literature. Current approaches to mine sentiments from financial texts largely rely on domain specific dictionaries. However, dictionary based methods often fail to accurately predict the polarity of financial texts. This paper aims to improve the state-of-the-art and introduces a novel sentiment analysis approach that employs the concept of financial and non-financial performance indicators. It presents an association rule mining based hierarchical sentiment classifier model to predict the polarity of financial texts as positive, neutral or negative. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated on a benchmark financial dataset. The model is also compared against other state-of-the-art dictionary and machine learning based approaches and the results are found to be quite promising. The novel use of performance indicators for financial sentiment analysis offers interesting and useful insights.
5 Key Terms You Should Know About Machine Learning MarkTechPost
Machine learning as a whole is changing the way that we are assessing various algorithmic approaches for problem-solving in our world. Many developers are using this concept to generate improvements with complex decisions and tasks worldwide. Machine learning does represent the future in algorithmic approaches, and it's a model that can help us to the advanced technology of a whole. If you're interested in getting into machine learning, it's very important that you understand some of the basic concepts involved with the machine learning process and development in machine learning. This term has to do with the varying levels of sensitivity and specificity that is directly represented in the curve with ROC.
Predicting Diabetes Disease Evolution Using Financial Records and Recurrent Neural Networks
Sousa, Rafael T., Pereira, Lucas A., Soares, Anderson S.
Managing patients with chronic diseases is a major and growing healthcare challenge in several countries. A chronic condition, such as diabetes, is an illness that lasts a long time and does not go away, and often leads to the patient's health gradually getting worse. While recent works involve raw electronic health record (EHR) from hospitals, this work uses only financial records from health plan providers to predict diabetes disease evolution with a self-attentive recurrent neural network. The use of financial data is due to the possibility of being an interface to international standards, as the records standard encodes medical procedures. The main goal was to assess high risk diabetics, so we predict records related to diabetes acute complications such as amputations and debridements, revascularization and hemodialysis. Our work succeeds to anticipate complications between 60 to 240 days with an area under ROC curve ranging from 0.81 to 0.94. In this paper we describe the first half of a work-in-progress developed within a health plan provider with ROC curve ranging from 0.81 to 0.83. This assessment will give healthcare providers the chance to intervene earlier and head off hospitalizations. We are aiming to deliver personalized predictions and personalized recommendations to individual patients, with the goal of improving outcomes and reducing costs