It's not a matter of surprise that the world is moving ahead with fast pace due to marvels of artificial intelligence. The technology has added new values and innovation to our personal and professional lives. The sudden change can be daunting at times but on an optimistic edge the AI technology has complemented humankind with certain new aspects. It has given some new terms to our daily vocab which we haven't heard of before. Artificial Intelligence has also given new meanings to prevailing terms altogether.

This author's solar punk novel involves the team from Clean Coalition using their power grid maps, guiding business areas with strategic solar storage placement on a city level, taking into account Tesla's 1,600 superchargers, and everyone having solar storage in their homes. At some percentage, within this super distributed network we will gain resiliency. To get there will take patience, and smart tools. Researchers at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst campus, have built a software tool, called DeepRoof, which they say has achieved a "true positive rate" of 91.1% in identifying a roof's solar power potential, while using widely available (and cheap) satellite data from tools like Google Earth. Their goal in Deep Roof: a Data-Driven Approach For Solar Potential Estimation Using Rooftop Imagery, is to take a list of address (or GPS coordinates) from a contractor and hand back the solar power potential of those sites.

Preterm birth is the most common cause of neonatal death. Current diagnostic methods that assess the risk of preterm birth involve the collection of maternal characteristics and transvaginal ultrasound imaging conducted in the first and second trimester of pregnancy. Analysis of the ultrasound data is based on visual inspection of images by gynaecologist, sometimes supported by hand-designed image features such as cervical length. Due to the complexity of this process and its subjective component, approximately 30% of spontaneous preterm deliveries are not correctly predicted. Moreover, 10% of the predicted preterm deliveries are false-positives. In this paper, we address the problem of predicting spontaneous preterm delivery using machine learning. To achieve this goal, we propose to first use a deep neural network architecture for segmenting prenatal ultrasound images and then automatically extract two biophysical ultrasound markers, cervical length (CL) and anterior cervical angle (ACA), from the resulting images. Our method allows to estimate ultrasound markers without human oversight. Furthermore, we show that CL and ACA markers, when combined, allow us to decrease false-negative ratio from 30% to 18%. Finally, contrary to the current approaches to diagnostics methods that rely only on gynaecologist's expertise, our method introduce objectively obtained results.

This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates a path from the IV estimator to a prior. The optimal tuning parameter is the value along this path that minimizes the IV objective function for the test sample. The empirically selected regularization tuning parameter becomes an estimated parameter that jointly converges with the parameters of interest. The asymptotic distribution of the tuning parameter is a nonstandard mixture distribution. Monte Carlo simulations show the asymptotic distribution captures the characteristics of the sampling distributions and when this ridge estimator performs better than two-stage least squares.

The most important part of model selection and hyperparameter tuning is the evaluation of model performance. The most popular measures, such as AUC, F1, ACC for binary classification, or RMSE, MAD for regression, or cross-entropy for multilabel classification share two common weaknesses. First is, that they are not on an interval scale. It means that the difference in performance for the two models has no direct interpretation. It makes no sense to compare such differences between datasets. Second is, that for k-fold cross-validation, the model performance is in most cases calculated as an average performance from particular folds, which neglects the information how stable is the performance for different folds. In this talk, we introduce a new EPP rating system for predictive models. We also demonstrate numerous advantages for this system, First, differences in EPP scores have probabilistic interpretation. Based on it we can assess the probability that one model will achieve better performance than another. Second, EPP scores can be directly compared between datasets. Third, they can be used for navigated hyperparameter tuning and model selection. Forth, we can create embeddings for datasets based on EPP scores.

In this paper, we advocate for the study of fairness techniques in low data situations. We propose two algorithms Fairness Warnings and Fair-MAML. The first is a model-agnostic algorithm that provides interpretable boundary conditions for when a fairly trained model may not behave fairly on similar but slightly different tasks within a given domain. The second is a fair meta-learning approach to train models that can be trained through gradient descent with the objective of "learning how to learn fairly". This method encodes more general notions of fairness and accuracy into the model so that it can learn new tasks within a domain both quickly and fairly from only a few training points. We demonstrate experimentally the individual utility of each model using relevant baselines for comparison and provide the first experiment to our knowledge of K-shot fairness, i.e. training a fair model on a new task with only K data points. Then, we illustrate the usefulness of both algorithms as a combined method for training models from a few data points on new tasks while using Fairness Warnings as interpretable boundary conditions under which the newly trained model may not be fair.

Background: While machine learning (ML) models are rapidly emerging as promising screening tools in critical care medicine, the identification of homogeneous subphenotypes within populations with heterogeneous conditions such as pediatric sepsis may facilitate attainment of high-predictive performance of these prognostic algorithms. This study is aimed to identify subphenotypes of pediatric sepsis and demonstrate the potential value of partitioned data/subtyping-based training. Methods: This was a retrospective study of clinical data extracted from medical records of 6,446 pediatric patients that were admitted at a major hospital system in the DC area. Vitals and labs associated with patients meeting the diagnostic criteria for sepsis were used to perform latent profile analysis. Modern ML algorithms were used to explore the predictive performance benefits of reduced training data heterogeneity via label profiling. Results: In total 134 (2.1%) patients met the diagnostic criteria for sepsis in this cohort and latent profile analysis identified four profiles/subphenotypes of pediatric sepsis. Profiles 1 and 3 had the lowest mortality and included pediatric patients from different age groups. Profile 2 were characterized by respiratory dysfunction; profile 4 by neurological dysfunction and highest mortality rate (22.2%). Machine learning experiments comparing the predictive performance of models derived without training data profiling against profile targeted models suggest statistically significant improved performance of prediction can be obtained. For example, area under ROC curve (AUC) obtained to predict profile 4 with 24-hour data (AUC = .998, p < .0001) compared favorably with the AUC obtained from the model considering all profiles as a single homogeneous group (AUC = .918) with 24-hour data.

We propose a novel classifier accuracy metric: the Bayesian Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (CBAUC). The method estimates the area under the ROC curve and is related to the recently proposed Bayesian Error Estimator. The metric can assess the quality of a classifier using only the training dataset without the need for computationally expensive cross-validation. We derive a closed-form solution of the proposed accuracy metric for any linear binary classifier under the Gaussianity assumption, and study the accuracy of the proposed estimator using simulated and real-world data. These experiments confirm that the closed-form CBAUC is both faster and more accurate than conventional AUC estimators.

The Synthetic Minority Oversampling TEchnique (SMOTE) is widely-used for the analysis of imbalanced datasets. It is known that SMOTE frequently over-generalizes the minority class, leading to misclassifications for the majority class, and effecting the overall balance of the model. In this article, we present an approach that overcomes this limitation of SMOTE, employing Localized Random Affine Shadowsampling (LoRAS) to oversample from an approximated data manifold of the minority class. We benchmarked our LoRAS algorithm with 28 publicly available datasets and show that that drawing samples from an approximated data manifold of the minority class is the key to successful oversampling. We compared the performance of LoRAS, SMOTE, and several SMOTE extensions and observed that for imbalanced datasets LoRAS, on average generates better Machine Learning (ML) models in terms of F1-score and Balanced Accuracy. Moreover, to explain the success of the algorithm, we have constructed a mathematical framework to prove that LoRAS is a more effective oversampling technique since it provides a better estimate to mean of the underlying local data distribution of the minority class data space.

[Context:] Model-based testing is an instrument for automated generation of test cases. It requires identifying requirements in documents, understanding them syntactically and semantically, and then translating them into a test model. One light-weight language for these test models are Cause-Effect-Graphs (CEG) that can be used to derive test cases. [Problem:] The creation of test models is laborious and we lack an automated solution that covers the entire process from requirement detection to test model creation. In addition, the majority of requirements is expressed in natural language (NL), which is hard to translate to test models automatically. [Principal Idea:] We build on the fact that not all NL requirements are equally unstructured. We found that 14 % of the lines in requirements documents of our industry partner contain "pseudo-code"-like descriptions of business rules. We apply Machine Learning to identify such semi-structured requirements descriptions and propose a rule-based approach for their translation into CEGs. [Contribution:] We make three contributions: (1) an algorithm for the automatic detection of semi-structured requirements descriptions in documents, (2) an algorithm for the automatic translation of the identified requirements into a CEG and (3) a study demonstrating that our proposed solution leads to 86 % time savings for test model creation without loss of quality.