We propose DefogGAN, a generative approach to the problem of inferring state information hidden in the fog of war for real-time strategy (RTS) games. Given a partially observed state, DefogGAN generates defogged images of a game as predictive information. Such information can lead to create a strategic agent for the game. DefogGAN is a conditional GAN variant featuring pyramidal reconstruction loss to optimize on multiple feature resolution scales. We have validated DefogGAN empirically using a large dataset of professional StarCraft replays. Our results indicate that DefogGAN can predict the enemy buildings and combat units as accurately as professional players do and achieves a superior performance among state-of-the-art defoggers. Figure 1: Comparison of DefogGAN prediction to ground truth.

The continued improvements in the predictive accuracy of machine learning models have allowed for their widespread practical application. Yet, many decisions made with seemingly accurate models still require verification by domain experts. In addition, end-users of a model also want to understand the reasons behind specific decisions. Thus, the need for interpretability is increasingly paramount. In this paper we present an interactive visual analytics tool, ViCE, that generates counterfactual explanations to contextualize and evaluate model decisions. Each sample is assessed to identify the minimal set of changes needed to flip the model's output. These explanations aim to provide end-users with personalized actionable insights with which to understand, and possibly contest or improve, automated decisions. The results are effectively displayed in a visual interface where counterfactual explanations are highlighted and interactive methods are provided for users to explore the data and model. The functionality of the tool is demonstrated by its application to a home equity line of credit dataset.

Crowdsourcing is a popular methodology to collect manual labels at scale. Such labels are often used to train AI models and, thus, quality control is a key aspect in the process. One of the most popular quality assurance mechanisms in paid micro-task crowdsourcing is based on gold questions: the use of a small set of tasks of which the requester knows the correct answer and, thus, is able to directly assess crowd work quality. In this paper, we show that such mechanism is prone to an attack carried out by a group of colluding crowd workers that is easy to implement and deploy: the inherent size limit of the gold set can be exploited by building an inferential system to detect which parts of the job are more likely to be gold questions. The described attack is robust to various forms of randomisation and programmatic generation of gold questions. We present the architecture of the proposed system, composed of a browser plug-in and an external server used to share information, and briefly introduce its potential evolution to a decentralised implementation. We implement and experimentally validate the gold detection system, using real-world data from a popular crowdsourcing platform.  Our experimental results show that crowdworkers using the proposed system spend more time on signalled gold questions but do not neglect the others thus achieving an increased overall work quality. Finally, we discuss the economic and sociological implications of this kind of attack.

In recent decades, attention has been directed at anemia classification for various medical purposes, such as thalassemia screening and predicting iron deficiency anemia (IDA). In this study, a new method has been successfully tested for discrimination between IDA and \b{eta}-thalassemia trait (\b{eta}-TT). The method is based on a Dynamic Harmony Search (DHS). Complete blood count (CBC), a fast and inexpensive laboratory test, is used as the input of the system. Other models, such as a genetic programming method called structured representation on genetic algorithm in non-linear function fitting (STROGANOFF), an artificial neural network (ANN), an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), a support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), and certain traditional methods, are compared with the proposed method.

We study the problem of out-of-sample risk estimation in the high dimensional regime where both the sample size $n$ and number of features $p$ are large, and $n/p$ can be less than one. Extensive empirical evidence confirms the accuracy of leave-one-out cross validation (LO) for out-of-sample risk estimation. Yet, a unifying theoretical evaluation of the accuracy of LO in high-dimensional problems has remained an open problem. This paper aims to fill this gap for penalized regression in the generalized linear family. With minor assumptions about the data generating process, and without any sparsity assumptions on the regression coefficients, our theoretical analysis obtains finite sample upper bounds on the expected squared error of LO in estimating the out-of-sample error. Our bounds show that the error goes to zero as $n,p \rightarrow \infty$, even when the dimension $p$ of the feature vectors is comparable with or greater than the sample size $n$. One technical advantage of the theory is that it can be used to clarify and connect some results from the recent literature on scalable approximate LO.

Despite fluorescent cell-labelling being widely employed in biomedical studies, some of its drawbacks are inevitable, with unsuitable fluorescent probes or probes inducing a functional change being the main limitations. Consequently, the demand for and development of label-free methodologies to classify cells is strong and its impact on precision medicine is relevant. Towards this end, high-throughput techniques for cell mechanical phenotyping have been proposed to get a multidimensional biophysical characterization of single cells. With this motivation, our goal here is to investigate the extent to which an unsupervised machine learning methodology, which is applied exclusively on morpho-rheological markers obtained by real-time deformability and fluorescence cytometry (RT-FDC), can address the difficult task of providing label-free discrimination of reticulocytes from mature red blood cells. We focused on this problem, since the characterization of reticulocytes (their percentage and cellular features) in the blood is vital in multiple human disease conditions, especially bone-marrow disorders such as anemia and leukemia. Our approach reports promising label-free results in the classification of reticulocytes from mature red blood cells, and it represents a step forward in the development of high-throughput morpho-rheological-based methodologies for the computational categorization of single cells. Besides, our methodology can be an alternative but also a complementary method to integrate with existing cell-labelling techniques.

The fragility of modern machine learning models has drawn a considerable amount of attention from both academia and the public. While immense interests were in either crafting adversarial attacks as a way to measure the robustness of neural networks or devising worst-case analytical robustness verification with guarantees, few methods could enjoy both scalability and robustness guarantees at the same time. As an alternative to these attempts, randomized smoothing adopts a different prediction rule that enables statistical robustness arguments and can scale to large networks. However, in this paper, we point out for the first time the side effects of current randomized smoothing workflows. Specifically, we articulate and prove two major points: 1) the decision boundaries shrink with the adoption of randomized smoothing prediction rule; 2) noise augmentation does not necessarily resolve the shrinking issue and can even create additional issues.

In binary classification, Learning from Positive and Unlabeled data (LePU) is semi-supervised learning but with labeled elements from only one class. Most of the research on LePU relies on some form of independence between the selection process of annotated examples and the features of the annotated class, known as the Selected Completely At Random (SCAR) assumption. Yet the annotation process is an important part of the data collection, and in many cases it naturally depends on certain features of the data (e.g., the intensity of an image and the size of the object to be detected in the image). Without any constraints on the model for the annotation process, classification results in the LePU problem will be highly non-unique. So proper, flexible constraints are needed. In this work we incorporate more flexible and realistic models for the annotation process than SCAR, and more importantly, offer a solution for the challenging LePU problem. On the theory side, we establish the identifiability of the properties of the annotation process and the classification function, in light of the considered constraints on the data-generating process. We also propose an inference algorithm to learn the parameters of the model, with successful experimental results on both simulated and real data. We also propose a novel real-world dataset forLePU, as a benchmark dataset for future studies.

Misclassification errors on the minority class are more important than other types of prediction errors for some imbalanced classification tasks. One example is the problem of classifying bank customers as to whether they should receive a loan or not. Giving a loan to a bad customer marked as a good customer results in a greater cost to the bank than denying a loan to a good customer marked as a bad customer. This requires careful selection of a performance metric that both promotes minimizing misclassification errors in general, and favors minimizing one type of misclassification error over another. The German credit dataset is a standard imbalanced classification dataset that has this property of differing costs to misclassification errors. Models evaluated on this dataset can be evaluated using the Fbeta-Measure that provides a way of both quantifying model performance generally, and captures the requirement that one type of misclassification error is more costly than another. In this tutorial, you will discover how to develop and evaluate a model for the imbalanced German credit classification dataset. Develop an Imbalanced Classification Model to Predict Good and Bad Credit Photo by AL Nieves, some rights reserved. In this project, we will use a standard imbalanced machine learning dataset referred to as the "German Credit" dataset or simply "German."

UASs form a large part of the fighting ability of the advanced military forces. In particular, these systems that carry confidential information are subject to security attacks. Accordingly, an Intrusion Detection System (IDS) has been proposed in the proposed design to protect against the security problems using the human immune system (HIS). The IDSs are used to detect and respond to attempts to compromise the target system. Since the UASs operate in the real world, the testing and validation of these systems with a variety of sensors is confronted with problems. This design is inspired by HIS. In the mapping, insecure signals are equivalent to an antigen that are detected by antibody-based training patterns and removed from the operation cycle. Among the main uses of the proposed design are the quick detection of intrusive signals and quarantining their activity. Moreover, SUAS-HIS method is evaluated here via extensive simulations carried out in NS-3 environment. The simulation results indicate that the UAS network performance metrics are improved in terms of false positive rate, false negative rate, detection rate, and packet delivery rate.