Performance Analysis
Contrastive Training for Improved Out-of-Distribution Detection
Winkens, Jim, Bunel, Rudy, Roy, Abhijit Guha, Stanforth, Robert, Natarajan, Vivek, Ledsam, Joseph R., MacWilliams, Patricia, Kohli, Pushmeet, Karthikesalingam, Alan, Kohl, Simon, Cemgil, Taylan, Eslami, S. M. Ali, Ronneberger, Olaf
Reliable detection of out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs is increasingly understood to be a precondition for deployment of machine learning systems. This paper proposes and investigates the use of contrastive training to boost OOD detection performance. Unlike leading methods for OOD detection, our approach does not require access to examples labeled explicitly as OOD, which can be difficult to collect in practice. We show in extensive experiments that contrastive training significantly helps OOD detection performance on a number of common benchmarks. By introducing and employing the Confusion Log Probability (CLP) score, which quantifies the difficulty of the OOD detection task by capturing the similarity of inlier and outlier datasets, we show that our method especially improves performance in the `near OOD' classes -- a particularly challenging setting for previous methods.
Predicting Illegal Fishing on the Patagonia Shelf from Oceanographic Seascapes
Woodill, A. John, Kavanaugh, Maria, Harte, Michael, Watson, James R.
Many of the world's most important fisheries are experiencing increases in illegal fishing, undermining efforts to sustainably conserve and manage fish stocks. A major challenge to ending illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing is improving our ability to identify whether a vessel is fishing illegally and where illegal fishing is likely to occur in the ocean. However, monitoring the oceans is costly, time-consuming, and logistically challenging for maritime authorities to patrol. To address this problem, we use vessel tracking data and machine learning to predict illegal fishing on the Patagonian Shelf, one of the world's most productive regions for fisheries. Specifically, we focus on Chinese fishing vessels, which have consistently fished illegally in this region. We combine vessel location data with oceanographic seascapes -- classes of oceanic areas based on oceanographic variables -- as well as other remotely sensed oceanographic variables to train a series of machine learning models of varying levels of complexity. These models are able to predict whether a Chinese vessel is operating illegally with 69-96% confidence, depending on the year and predictor variables used. These results offer a promising step towards preempting illegal activities, rather than reacting to them forensically.
Reactive Soft Prototype Computing for Concept Drift Streams
Raab, Christoph, Heusinger, Moritz, Schleif, Frank-Michael
The amount of real-time communication between agents in an information system has increased rapidly since the beginning of the decade. This is because the use of these systems, e. g. social media, has become commonplace in today's society. This requires analytical algorithms to learn and predict this stream of information in real-time. The nature of these systems is non-static and can be explained, among other things, by the fast pace of trends. This creates an environment in which algorithms must recognize changes and adapt. Recent work shows vital research in the field, but mainly lack stable performance during model adaptation. In this work, a concept drift detection strategy followed by a prototype-based adaptation strategy is proposed. Validated through experimental results on a variety of typical non-static data, our solution provides stable and quick adjustments in times of change.
Solving Constrained CASH Problems with ADMM
Ram, Parikshit, Liu, Sijia, Vijaykeerthi, Deepak, Wang, Dakuo, Bouneffouf, Djallel, Bramble, Greg, Samulowitz, Horst, Gray, Alexander G.
The CASH problem has been widely studied in the context of automated configurations of machine learning (ML) pipelines and various solvers and toolkits are available. However, CASH solvers do not directly handle black-box constraints such as fairness, robustness or other domain-specific custom constraints. We present our recent approach [Liu, et al., 2020] that leverages the ADMM optimization framework to decompose CASH into multiple small problems and demonstrate how ADMM facilitates incorporation of black-box constraints.
AUC-ROC Curve in Machine Learning Clearly Explained - Analytics Vidhya
You've built your machine learning model – so what's next? You need to evaluate it and validate how good (or bad) it is, so you can then decide on whether to implement it. That's where the AUC-ROC curve comes in. The name might be a mouthful, but it is just saying that we are calculating the "Area Under the Curve" (AUC) of "Receiver Characteristic Operator" (ROC). I have been in your shoes.
Automatic Personality Prediction; an Enhanced Method Using Ensemble Modeling
Ramezani, Majid, Feizi-Derakhshi, Mohammad-Reza, Balafar, Mohammad-Ali, Asgari-Chenaghlu, Meysam, Feizi-Derakhshi, Ali-Reza, Nikzad-Khasmakhi, Narjes, Ranjbar-Khadivi, Mehrdad, Jahanbakhsh-Nagadeh, Zoleikha, Zafarani-Moattar, Elnaz, Rahkar-Farshi, Taymaz
Human personality is significantly represented by those words which he/she uses in his/her speech or writing. As a consequence of spreading the information infrastructures (specifically the Internet and social media), human communications have reformed notably from face to face communication. Generally, Automatic Personality Prediction (or Perception) (APP) is the automated forecasting of the personality on different types of human generated/exchanged contents (like text, speech, image, video, etc.). The major objective of this study is to enhance the accuracy of APP from the text. To this end, we suggest five new APP methods including term frequency vector-based, ontology-based, enriched ontology-based, latent semantic analysis (LSA)-based, and deep learning-based (BiLSTM) methods. These methods as the base ones, contribute to each other to enhance the APP accuracy through ensemble modeling (stacking) based on a hierarchical attention network (HAN) as the meta-model. The results show that ensemble modeling enhances the accuracy of APP.
Predictive Value Generalization Bounds
Vemuri, Keshav, Srebro, Nathan
In this paper, we study a bi-criterion framework for assessing scoring functions in the context of binary classification. The positive and negative predictive values (ppv and npv, respectively) are conditional probabilities of the true label matching a classifier's predicted label. The usual classification error rate is a linear combination of these probabilities, and therefore, concentration inequalities for the error rate do not yield confidence intervals for the two separate predictive values. We study generalization properties of scoring functions with respect to predictive values by deriving new distribution-free large deviation and uniform convergence bounds. The latter bound is stated in terms of a measure of function class complexity that we call the order coefficient; we relate this combinatorial quantity to the VC-subgraph dimension.
Inferring proximity from Bluetooth Low Energy RSSI with Unscented Kalman Smoothers
Lovett, Tom, Briers, Mark, Charalambides, Marcos, Jersakova, Radka, Lomax, James, Holmes, Chris
The Covid-19 pandemic has resulted in a variety of approaches for managing infection outbreaks in international populations. One example is mobile phone applications, which attempt to alert infected individuals and their contacts by automatically inferring two key components of infection risk: the proximity to an individual who may be infected, and the duration of proximity. The former component, proximity, relies on Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) Received Signal Strength Indicator(RSSI) as a distance sensor, and this has been shown to be problematic; not least because of unpredictable variations caused by different device types, device location on-body, device orientation, the local environment and the general noise associated with radio frequency propagation. In this paper, we present an approach that infers posterior probabilities over distance given sequences of RSSI values. Using a single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) for non-linear state space modelling, we outline several Gaussian process observation transforms, including: a generative model that directly captures sources of variation; and a discriminative model that learns a suitable observation function from training data using both distance and infection risk as optimisation objective functions. Our results show that good risk prediction can be achieved in $\mathcal{O}(n)$ time on real-world data sets, with the UKS outperforming more traditional classification methods learned from the same training data.
Federated Learning of User Authentication Models
Hosseini, Hossein, Yun, Sungrack, Park, Hyunsin, Louizos, Christos, Soriaga, Joseph, Welling, Max
Machine learning-based User Authentication (UA) models have been widely deployed in smart devices. UA models are trained to map input data of different users to highly separable embedding vectors, which are then used to accept or reject new inputs at test time. Training UA models requires having direct access to the raw inputs and embedding vectors of users, both of which are privacy-sensitive information. In this paper, we propose Federated User Authentication (FedUA), a framework for privacy-preserving training of UA models. FedUA adopts federated learning framework to enable a group of users to jointly train a model without sharing the raw inputs. It also allows users to generate their embeddings as random binary vectors, so that, unlike the existing approach of constructing the spread out embeddings by the server, the embedding vectors are kept private as well. We show our method is privacy-preserving, scalable with number of users, and allows new users to be added to training without changing the output layer. Our experimental results on the VoxCeleb dataset for speaker verification shows our method reliably rejects data of unseen users at very high true positive rates.
The Data Science ABCs: A Whirlwind Tour of the Field
Batch Normalization is a layer commonly used in state-of-the-art neural networks. It takes inputs from the previous layer and normalizes it by ... The Area Under Curve metric represents the probability that a classifier will be more confident that a randomly chosen positive than a randomly chosen negative example is positive, in the case of binary classification. It is found on a ROC (Receiving Operator Characteristic) Curve, which plots the true positive rate against the false positive rate. Batch Normalization is a layer commonly used in state-of-the-art neural networks. It takes inputs from the previous layer and normalizes it by removing the mean and rescaling the standard deviation.