Confusion matrix (also called Error matrix) is used to analyze how well the Classification Models (like Logistic Regression, Decision Tree Classifier, etc.) performs. Why do we analyze the performance of the models? Analyzing the performance of the models helps us to find and eliminate the bias and variance problem if exist and it also helps us to fine-tune the model so that the model produces more accurate results. Confusion Matrix is usually applied to Binary classification problems but can be extended to Multi-class classification problems as well. Concepts are comprehended better when illustrated with examples so let us consider an example.

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have made a paradigm shift in health care which, eventually can be used for decision support and forecasting by exploring the medical data. Recent studies showed that AI and ML can be used to fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, the objective of this review study is to summarize the recent AI and ML based studies that have focused to fight against COVID-19 pandemic. From an initial set of 634 articles, a total of 35 articles were finally selected through an extensive inclusion-exclusion process. In our review, we have explored the objectives/aims of the existing studies (i.e., the role of AI/ML in fighting COVID-19 pandemic); context of the study (i.e., study focused to a specific country-context or with a global perspective); type and volume of dataset; methodology, algorithms or techniques adopted in the prediction or diagnosis processes; and mapping the algorithms/techniques with the data type highlighting their prediction/classification accuracy. We particularly focused on the uses of AI/ML in analyzing the pandemic data in order to depict the most recent progress of AI for fighting against COVID-19 and pointed out the potential scope of further research.

We present a review and taxonomy of 200 models from the literature on driver behavior modeling. We begin by introducing a mathematical formulation based on the partially observable stochastic game, which serves as a common framework for comparing and contrasting different driver models. Our taxonomy is constructed around the core modeling tasks of state estimation, intention estimation, trait estimation, and motion prediction, and also discusses the auxiliary tasks of risk estimation, anomaly detection, behavior imitation and microscopic traffic simulation. Existing driver models are categorized based on the specific tasks they address and key attributes of their approach.

In the application of machine learning to real-life decision-making systems, e.g., credit scoring and criminal justice, the prediction outcomes might discriminate against people with sensitive attributes, leading to unfairness. The commonly used strategy in fair machine learning is to include fairness as a constraint or a penalization term in the minimization of the prediction loss, which ultimately limits the information given to decision-makers. In this paper, we introduce a new approach to handle fairness by formulating a stochastic multi-objective optimization problem for which the corresponding Pareto fronts uniquely and comprehensively define the accuracy-fairness trade-offs. We have then applied a stochastic approximation-type method to efficiently obtain well-spread and accurate Pareto fronts, and by doing so we can handle training data arriving in a streaming way.

Although deep networks have been widely adopted, one of their shortcomings has been their blackbox nature. One particularly difficult problem in machine learning is multivariate time series (MVTS) classification. MVTS data arise in many applications and are becoming ever more pervasive due to explosive growth of sensors and IoT devices. Here, we propose a novel network (IETNet) that identifies the important channels in the classification decision for each instance of inference. This feature also enables identification and removal of non-predictive variables which would otherwise lead to overfit and/or inaccurate model. IETNet is an end-to-end network that combines temporal feature extraction, variable selection, and joint variable interaction into a single learning framework. IETNet utilizes an 1D convolutions for temporal features, a novel channel gate layer for variable-class assignment using an attention layer to perform cross channel reasoning and perform classification objective. To gain insight into the learned temporal features and channels, we extract region of interest attention map along both time and channels. The viability of this network is demonstrated through a multivariate time series data from N body simulations and spacecraft sensor data.

The F-measure is widely used to assess the performance of classification algorithms. However, some researchers find it lacking in intuitive interpretation, questioning the appropriateness of combining two aspects of performance as conceptually distinct as precision and recall, and also questioning whether the harmonic mean is the best way to combine them. To ease this concern, we describe a simple transformation of the F-measure, which we call F* (F-star), which has an immediate practical interpretation.

The problem of MPI programs execution time prediction on a certain set of computer installations is considered. This problem emerges with orchestration and provisioning a virtual infrastructure in a cloud computing environment over a heterogeneous network of computer installations: supercomputers or clusters of servers (e.g. mini data centers). One of the key criteria for the effectiveness of the cloud computing environment is the time staying by the program inside the environment. This time consists of the waiting time in the queue and the execution time on the selected physical computer installation, to which the computational resource of the virtual infrastructure is dynamically mapped. One of the components of this problem is the estimation of the MPI programs execution time on a certain set of computer installations. This is necessary to determine a proper choice of order and place for program execution. The article proposes two new approaches to the program execution time prediction problem. The first one is based on computer installations grouping based on the Pearson correlation coefficient. The second one is based on vector representations of computer installations and MPI programs, so-called embeddings. The embedding technique is actively used in recommendation systems, such as for goods (Amazon), for articles (Arxiv.org), for videos (YouTube, Netflix). The article shows how the embeddings technique helps to predict the execution time of a MPI program on a certain set of computer installations.

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling time series consisting of real values or vectors of real values, we model time series of probability distributions over real values (or vectors). This extension to time series of probability distributions allows the technique to be applied to the common scenario where the data is generated by requests coming in to a service, which is then aggregated at a fixed temporal frequency. Our method is amenable to streaming anomaly detection and scales to monitoring for anomalies on millions of time series. We show the superior accuracy of our method on synthetic and public real-world data. On the Yahoo Webscope data set, we outperform the state of the art in 3 out of 4 data sets and we show that we outperform popular open-source anomaly detection tools by up to 17% average improvement for a real-world data set.

We establish a general upper bound for $K$-fold cross-validation ($K$-CV) errors that can be adapted to many $K$-CV-based estimators and learning algorithms. Based on Rademacher complexity of the model and the Orlicz-$\Psi_{\nu}$ norm of the error process, the CV error upper bound applies to both light-tail and heavy-tail error distributions. We also extend the CV error upper bound to $\beta$-mixing data using the technique of independent blocking. We provide a Python package (\texttt{CVbound}, \url{https://github.com/isaac2math}) for computing the CV error upper bound in $K$-CV-based algorithms. Using the lasso as an example, we demonstrate in simulations that the upper bounds are tight and stable across different parameter settings and random seeds. As well as accurately bounding the CV errors for the lasso, the minimizer of the new upper bounds can be used as a criterion for variable selection. Compared with the CV-error minimizer, simulations show that tuning the lasso penalty parameter according to the minimizer of the upper bound yields a more sparse and more stable model that retains all of the relevant variables.

When the training data are maliciously tampered, the predictions of the acquired deep neural network (DNN) can be manipulated by an adversary known as the Trojan attack (or poisoning backdoor attack). The lack of robustness of DNNs against Trojan attacks could significantly harm real-life machine learning (ML) systems in downstream applications, therefore posing widespread concern to their trustworthiness. In this paper, we study the problem of the Trojan network (TrojanNet) detection in the data-scarce regime, where only the weights of a trained DNN are accessed by the detector. We first propose a data-limited TrojanNet detector (TND), when only a few data samples are available for TrojanNet detection. We show that an effective data-limited TND can be established by exploring connections between Trojan attack and prediction-evasion adversarial attacks including per-sample attack as well as all-sample universal attack. In addition, we propose a data-free TND, which can detect a TrojanNet without accessing any data samples. We show that such a TND can be built by leveraging the internal response of hidden neurons, which exhibits the Trojan behavior even at random noise inputs. The effectiveness of our proposals is evaluated by extensive experiments under different model architectures and datasets including CIFAR-10, GTSRB, and ImageNet.