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 Performance Analysis


Metrics for Multi-Class Classification: an Overview

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Classification tasks in machine learning involving more than two classes are known by the name of "multi-class classification". Performance indicators are very useful when the aim is to evaluate and compare different classification models or machine learning techniques. Many metrics come in handy to test the ability of a multi-class classifier. Those metrics turn out to be useful at different stage of the development process, e.g. comparing the performance of two different models or analysing the behaviour of the same model by tuning different parameters. In this white paper we review a list of the most promising multi-class metrics, we highlight their advantages and disadvantages and show their possible usages during the development of a classification model.


Null-sampling for Interpretable and Fair Representations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose to learn invariant representations, in the data domain, to achieve interpretability in algorithmic fairness. Invariance implies a selectivity for high level, relevant correlations w.r.t. class label annotations, and a robustness to irrelevant correlations with protected characteristics such as race or gender. We introduce a non-trivial setup in which the training set exhibits a strong bias such that class label annotations are irrelevant and spurious correlations cannot be distinguished. To address this problem, we introduce an adversarially trained model with a null-sampling procedure to produce invariant representations in the data domain. To enable disentanglement, a partially-labelled representative set is used. By placing the representations into the data domain, the changes made by the model are easily examinable by human auditors. We show the effectiveness of our method on both image and tabular datasets: Coloured MNIST, the CelebA and the Adult dataset.


Treatment Policy Learning in Multiobjective Settings with Fully Observed Outcomes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In several medical decision-making problems, such as antibiotic prescription, laboratory testing can provide precise indications for how a patient will respond to different treatment options. This enables us to "fully observe" all potential treatment outcomes, but while present in historical data, these results are infeasible to produce in real-time at the point of the initial treatment decision. Moreover, treatment policies in these settings often need to trade off between multiple competing objectives, such as effectiveness of treatment and harmful side effects. We present, compare, and evaluate three approaches for learning individualized treatment policies in this setting: First, we consider two indirect approaches, which use predictive models of treatment response to construct policies optimal for different trade-offs between objectives. Second, we consider a direct approach that constructs such a set of policies without intermediate models of outcomes. Using a medical dataset of Urinary Tract Infection (UTI) patients, we show that all approaches learn policies that achieve strictly better performance on all outcomes than clinicians, while also trading off between different objectives. We demonstrate additional benefits of the direct approach, including flexibly incorporating other goals such as deferral to physicians on simple cases.


Coming to grips with actual false positive and false negative rates - Ai

#artificialintelligence

While $12.7 billion of this figure goes to another merchant when a customer is turned away, it must to be noticed that false declines "are also making for a less efficient digital economy". This is because "$7.6 billion of potential spending never came about as the shopper lost interest. In the same report, a senior industry executive pointed out that re-visiting risk appetite is vital. Also, a "lot of sins can be hidden in the name of #fraud prevention, because fraud teams aren't always incentivised to have a very rigorous statistical measure of false positives and false negatives". "Many companies just don't want to get on the MasterCard and Visa chargeback programmes, and that's the guiding principle.


Semantic Clone Detection via Probabilistic Software Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Semantic clone detection is the process of finding program elements with similar or equal runtime behavior. For example, detecting the semantic equality between the recursive and iterative implementation of the factorial computation. Semantic clone detection is the de facto technical boundary of clone detectors. This boundary was tested over the last years with interesting new approaches. This work contributes a semantic clone detection approach that detects clones with 0% syntactic similarity. We present Semantic Clone Detection via Probabilistic Software Modeling (SCD-PSM) as a stable and precise solution to semantic clone detection. PSM builds a probabilistic model of a program that is capable of evaluating and generating runtime data. SCD-PSM leverages this model and its model elements to finding behaviorally equal model elements. This behavioral equality is then generalized to semantic equality of the original program elements. It uses the likelihood between model elements as a distance metric. Then, it employs the likelihood ratio significance test to decide whether this distance is significant, given a pre-specified and controllable false-positive rate. The output of SCD-PSM are pairs of program elements (i.e., methods), their distance, and a decision whether they are clones or not. SCD-PSM yields excellent results with a Matthews Correlation Coefficient greater 0.9. These results are obtained on classical semantic clone detection problems such as detecting recursive and iterative versions of an algorithm, but also on complex problems used in coding competitions.


Measles Rash Identification Using Residual Deep Convolutional Neural Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Measles is extremely contagious and is one of the leading causes of vaccine-preventable illness and death in developing countries, claiming more than 100,000 lives each year. Measles was declared eliminated in the US in 2000 due to decades of successful vaccination for the measles. As a result, an increasing number of US healthcare professionals and the public have never seen the disease. Unfortunately, the Measles resurged in the US in 2019 with 1,282 confirmed cases. To assist in diagnosing measles, we collected more than 1300 images of a variety of skin conditions, with which we employed residual deep convolutional neural network to distinguish measles rash from other skin conditions, in an aim to create a phone application in the future. On our image dataset, our model reaches a classification accuracy of 95.2%, sensitivity of 81.7%, and specificity of 97.1%, indicating the model is effective in facilitating an accurate detection of measles to help contain measles outbreaks.


Feature Ranking for Semi-supervised Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The data made available for analysis are becoming more and more complex along several directions: high dimensionality, number of examples and the amount of labels per example. This poses a variety of challenges for the existing machine learning methods: coping with dataset with a large number of examples that are described in a high-dimensional space and not all examples have labels provided. For example, when investigating the toxicity of chemical compounds there are a lot of compounds available, that can be described with information rich high-dimensional representations, but not all of the compounds have information on their toxicity. To address these challenges, we propose semi-supervised learning of feature ranking. The feature rankings are learned in the context of classification and regression as well as in the context of structured output prediction (multi-label classification, hierarchical multi-label classification and multi-target regression). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that treats the task of feature ranking within the semi-supervised structured output prediction context. More specifically, we propose two approaches that are based on tree ensembles and the Relief family of algorithms. The extensive evaluation across 38 benchmark datasets reveals the following: Random Forests perform the best for the classification-like tasks, while for the regression-like tasks Extra-PCTs perform the best, Random Forests are the most efficient method considering induction times across all tasks, and semi-supervised feature rankings outperform their supervised counterpart across a majority of the datasets from the different tasks.


Hybrid Discriminative-Generative Training via Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Contrastive learning and supervised learning have both seen significant progress and success. However, thus far they have largely been treated as two separate objectives, brought together only by having a shared neural network. In this paper we show that through the perspective of hybrid discriminative-generative training of energy-based models we can make a direct connection between contrastive learning and supervised learning. Beyond presenting this unified view, we show our specific choice of approximation of the energy-based loss outperforms the existing practice in terms of classification accuracy of WideResNet on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100. It also leads to improved performance on robustness, out-of-distribution detection, and calibration.


Generalized and Scalable Optimal Sparse Decision Trees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Decision tree optimization is notoriously difficult from a computational perspective but essential for the field of interpretable machine learning. Despite efforts over the past 40 years, only recently have optimization breakthroughs been made that have allowed practical algorithms to find optimal decision trees. These new techniques have the potential to trigger a paradigm shift where it is possible to construct sparse decision trees to efficiently optimize a variety of objective functions without relying on greedy splitting and pruning heuristics that often lead to suboptimal solutions. The contribution in this work is to provide a general framework for decision tree optimization that addresses the two significant open problems in the area: treatment of imbalanced data and fully optimizing over continuous variables. We present techniques that produce optimal decision trees over a variety of objectives including F-score, AUC, and partial area under the ROC convex hull. We also introduce a scalable algorithm that produces provably optimal results in the presence of continuous variables and speeds up decision tree construction by several orders of magnitude relative to the state-of-the art.


How to Evaluate the Performance of Your Machine Learning Model

#artificialintelligence

Let me start with a very simple example. Robin and Sam both started preparing for an entrance exam for engineering college. They both shared a room and put equal amount of hard work while solving numerical problems. They both studied almost the same hours for the entire year and appeared in the final exam. Surprisingly, Robin cleared but Sam did not.