Performance Analysis
A Statistical Test for Probabilistic Fairness
Taskesen, Bahar, Blanchet, Jose, Kuhn, Daniel, Nguyen, Viet Anh
Algorithms are now routinely used to make consequential decisions that affect human lives. Examples include college admissions, medical interventions or law enforcement. While algorithms empower us to harness all information hidden in vast amounts of data, they may inadvertently amplify existing biases in the available datasets. This concern has sparked increasing interest in fair machine learning, which aims to quantify and mitigate algorithmic discrimination. Indeed, machine learning models should undergo intensive tests to detect algorithmic biases before being deployed at scale. In this paper, we use ideas from the theory of optimal transport to propose a statistical hypothesis test for detecting unfair classifiers. Leveraging the geometry of the feature space, the test statistic quantifies the distance of the empirical distribution supported on the test samples to the manifold of distributions that render a pre-trained classifier fair. We develop a rigorous hypothesis testing mechanism for assessing the probabilistic fairness of any pre-trained logistic classifier, and we show both theoretically as well as empirically that the proposed test is asymptotically correct. In addition, the proposed framework offers interpretability by identifying the most favorable perturbation of the data so that the given classifier becomes fair.
Detecting Insincere Questions from Text: A Transfer Learning Approach
Rachha, Ashwin, Vanmane, Gaurav
The internet today has become an unrivalled source of information where people converse on content based websites such as Quora, Reddit, StackOverflow and Twitter asking doubts and sharing knowledge with the world. A major arising problem with such websites is the proliferation of toxic comments or instances of insincerity wherein the users instead of maintaining a sincere motive indulge in spreading toxic and divisive content. The straightforward course of action in confronting this situation is detecting such content beforehand and preventing it from subsisting online. In recent times Transfer Learning in Natural Language Processing has seen an unprecedented growth. Today with the existence of transformers and various state of the art innovations, a tremendous growth has been made in various NLP domains. The introduction of BERT has caused quite a stir in the NLP community. As mentioned, when published, BERT dominated performance benchmarks and thereby inspired many other authors to experiment with it and publish similar models. This led to the development of a whole BERT-family, each member being specialized on a different task. In this paper we solve the Insincere Questions Classification problem by fine tuning four cutting age models viz BERT, RoBERTa, DistilBERT and ALBERT.
Improving Fairness and Privacy in Selection Problems
Khalili, Mohammad Mahdi, Zhang, Xueru, Abroshan, Mahed, Sojoudi, Somayeh
Supervised learning models have been increasingly used for making decisions about individuals in applications such as hiring, lending, and college admission. These models may inherit pre-existing biases from training datasets and discriminate against protected attributes (e.g., race or gender). In addition to unfairness, privacy concerns also arise when the use of models reveals sensitive personal information. Among various privacy notions, differential privacy has become popular in recent years. In this work, we study the possibility of using a differentially private exponential mechanism as a post-processing step to improve both fairness and privacy of supervised learning models. Unlike many existing works, we consider a scenario where a supervised model is used to select a limited number of applicants as the number of available positions is limited. This assumption is well-suited for various scenarios, such as job application and college admission. We use ``equal opportunity'' as the fairness notion and show that the exponential mechanisms can make the decision-making process perfectly fair. Moreover, the experiments on real-world datasets show that the exponential mechanism can improve both privacy and fairness, with a slight decrease in accuracy compared to the model without post-processing.
AI-enabled Prediction of eSports Player Performance Using the Data from Heterogeneous Sensors
Smerdov, Anton, Burnaev, Evgeny, Somov, Andrey
The emerging progress of eSports lacks the tools for ensuring high-quality analytics and training in Pro and amateur eSports teams. We report on an Artificial Intelligence (AI) enabled solution for predicting the eSports player in-game performance using exclusively the data from sensors. For this reason, we collected the physiological, environmental, and the game chair data from Pro and amateur players. The player performance is assessed from the game logs in a multiplayer game for each moment of time using a recurrent neural network. We have investigated that attention mechanism improves the generalization of the network and provides the straightforward feature importance as well. The best model achieves ROC AUC score 0.73. The prediction of the performance of particular player is realized although his data are not utilized in the training set. The proposed solution has a number of promising applications for Pro eSports teams as well as a learning tool for amateur players.
Learning to Separate Clusters of Adversarial Representations for Robust Adversarial Detection
Joe, Byunggill, Hamm, Jihun, Hwang, Sung Ju, Son, Sooel, Shin, Insik
Although deep neural networks have shown promising performances on various tasks, they are susceptible to incorrect predictions induced by imperceptibly small perturbations in inputs. A large number of previous works proposed to detect adversarial attacks. Yet, most of them cannot effectively detect them against adaptive whitebox attacks where an adversary has the knowledge of the model and the defense method. In this paper, we propose a new probabilistic adversarial detector motivated by a recently introduced non-robust feature. We consider the non-robust features as a common property of adversarial examples, and we deduce it is possible to find a cluster in representation space corresponding to the property. This idea leads us to probability estimate distribution of adversarial representations in a separate cluster, and leverage the distribution for a likelihood based adversarial detector.
Machine-Learning Arithmetic Curves
He, Yang-Hui, Lee, Kyu-Hwan, Oliver, Thomas
We show that standard machine-learning algorithms may be trained to predict certain invariants of low genus arithmetic curves. Using datasets of size around one hundred thousand, we demonstrate the utility of machine-learning in classification problems pertaining to the BSD invariants of an elliptic curve (including its rank and torsion subgroup), and the analogous invariants of a genus 2 curve. Our results show that a trained machine can efficiently classify curves according to these invariants with high accuracies (>0.97). For problems such as distinguishing between torsion orders, and the recognition of integral points, the accuracies can reach 0.998.
A predictive model for kidney transplant graft survival using machine learning
Pahl, Eric S., Street, W. Nick, Johnson, Hans J., Reed, Alan I.
Kidney transplantation is the best treatment for end-stage renal failure patients. The predominant method used for kidney quality assessment is the Cox regression-based, kidney donor risk index. A machine learning method may provide improved prediction of transplant outcomes and help decision-making. A popular tree-based machine learning method, random forest, was trained and evaluated with the same data originally used to develop the risk index (70,242 observations from 1995-2005). The random forest successfully predicted an additional 2,148 transplants than the risk index with equal type II error rates of 10%. Predicted results were analyzed with follow-up survival outcomes up to 240 months after transplant using Kaplan-Meier analysis and confirmed that the random forest performed significantly better than the risk index (p<0.05). The random forest predicted significantly more successful and longer-surviving transplants than the risk index. Random forests and other machine learning models may improve transplant decisions.
Machine Learning and Credit Risk Modelling
Machine Learning (ML) algorithms leverage large datasets to determine patterns and construct meaningful recommendations. Likewise, credit risk modelling is a field with access to a large amount of diverse data where ML can be deployed to add analytical value. In the following analysis, we explore how various ML techniques can be used for assessing probability of default (PD) and compare their performance in a real-world setting. A recent publication by the Bank of England (BoE) and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) reports the results of a survey on the use of ML in United Kingdom (UK) financial services.[1] Results show that two-thirds of respondents use ML in some form.
Brain Co-Processors: Using AI to Restore and Augment Brain Function
Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) use decoding algorithms to control prosthetic devices based on brain signals for restoration of lost function. Computer-brain interfaces (CBIs), on the other hand, use encoding algorithms to transform external sensory signals into neural stimulation patterns for restoring sensation or providing sensory feedback for closed-loop prosthetic control. In this article, we introduce brain co-processors, devices that combine decoding and encoding in a unified framework using artificial intelligence (AI) to supplement or augment brain function. Brain co-processors can be used for a range of applications, from inducing Hebbian plasticity for rehabilitation after brain injury to reanimating paralyzed limbs and enhancing memory. A key challenge is simultaneous multi-channel neural decoding and encoding for optimization of external behavioral or task-related goals. We describe a new framework for developing brain co-processors based on artificial neural networks, deep learning and reinforcement learning. These "neural co-processors" allow joint optimization of cost functions with the nervous system to achieve desired behaviors. By coupling artificial neural networks with their biological counterparts, neural co-processors offer a new way of restoring and augmenting the brain, as well as a new scientific tool for brain research. We conclude by discussing the potential applications and ethical implications of brain co-processors.
Over a Decade of Social Opinion Mining
Social media popularity and importance is on the increase, due to people using it for various types of social interaction across multiple channels. This social interaction by online users includes submission of feedback, opinions and recommendations about various individuals, entities, topics, and events. This systematic review focuses on the evolving research area of Social Opinion Mining, tasked with the identification of multiple opinion dimensions, such as subjectivity, sentiment polarity, emotion, affect, sarcasm and irony, from user-generated content represented across multiple social media platforms and in various media formats, like text, image, video and audio. Therefore, through Social Opinion Mining, natural language can be understood in terms of the different opinion dimensions, as expressed by humans. This contributes towards the evolution of Artificial Intelligence, which in turn helps the advancement of several real-world use cases, such as customer service and decision making. A thorough systematic review was carried out on Social Opinion Mining research which totals 485 studies and spans a period of twelve years between 2007 and 2018. The in-depth analysis focuses on the social media platforms, techniques, social datasets, language, modality, tools and technologies, natural language processing tasks and other aspects derived from the published studies. Such multi-source information fusion plays a fundamental role in mining of people's social opinions from social media platforms. These can be utilised in many application areas, ranging from marketing, advertising and sales for product/service management, and in multiple domains and industries, such as politics, technology, finance, healthcare, sports and government. Future research directions are presented, whereas further research and development has the potential of leaving a wider academic and societal impact.