Performance Analysis
Bootstrapping Multilingual AMR with Contextual Word Alignments
Sheth, Janaki, Lee, Young-Suk, Astudillo, Ramon Fernandez, Naseem, Tahira, Florian, Radu, Roukos, Salim, Ward, Todd
We develop high performance multilingualAbstract Meaning Representation (AMR) sys-tems by projecting English AMR annotationsto other languages with weak supervision. Weachieve this goal by bootstrapping transformer-based multilingual word embeddings, in partic-ular those from cross-lingual RoBERTa (XLM-R large). We develop a novel technique forforeign-text-to-English AMR alignment, usingthe contextual word alignment between En-glish and foreign language tokens. This wordalignment is weakly supervised and relies onthe contextualized XLM-R word embeddings.We achieve a highly competitive performancethat surpasses the best published results forGerman, Italian, Spanish and Chinese.
TAD: Trigger Approximation based Black-box Trojan Detection for AI
Zhang, Xinqiao, Chen, Huili, Koushanfar, Farinaz
An emerging amount of intelligent applications have been developed with the surge of Machine Learning (ML). Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated unprecedented performance across various fields such as medical diagnosis and autonomous driving. While DNNs are widely employed in security-sensitive fields, they are identified to be vulnerable to Neural Trojan (NT) attacks that are controlled and activated by the stealthy trigger. We call this vulnerable model adversarial artificial intelligence (AI). In this paper, we target to design a robust Trojan detection scheme that inspects whether a pre-trained AI model has been Trojaned before its deployment. Prior works are oblivious of the intrinsic property of trigger distribution and try to reconstruct the trigger pattern using simple heuristics, i.e., stimulating the given model to incorrect outputs. As a result, their detection time and effectiveness are limited. We leverage the observation that the pixel trigger typically features spatial dependency and propose TAD, the first trigger approximation based Trojan detection framework that enables fast and scalable search of the trigger in the input space. Furthermore, TAD can also detect Trojans embedded in the feature space where certain filter transformations are used to activate the Trojan. We perform extensive experiments to investigate the performance of the TAD across various datasets and ML models. Empirical results show that TAD achieves a ROC-AUC score of 0:91 on the public TrojAI dataset 1 and the average detection time per model is 7:1 minutes.
Individual dynamic prediction of clinical endpoint from large dimensional longitudinal biomarker history: a landmark approach
Devaux, Anthony, Genuer, Robin, Pérès, Karine, Proust-Lima, Cécile
The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to compute individual dynamic predictions from repeated measures to one or two markers. However, they hardly extend to the case where the complete patient history includes much more repeated markers possibly. Our objective was thus to propose a solution for the dynamic prediction of a health event that may exploit repeated measures of a possibly large number of markers. We combined a landmark approach extended to endogenous markers history with machine learning methods adapted to survival data. Each marker trajectory is modeled using the information collected up to landmark time, and summary variables that best capture the individual trajectories are derived. These summaries and additional covariates are then included in different prediction methods. To handle a possibly large dimensional history, we rely on machine learning methods adapted to survival data, namely regularized regressions and random survival forests, to predict the event from the landmark time, and we show how they can be combined into a superlearner. Then, the performances are evaluated by cross-validation using estimators of Brier Score and the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve adapted to censored data. We demonstrate in a simulation study the benefits of machine learning survival methods over standard survival models, especially in the case of numerous and/or nonlinear relationships between the predictors and the event. We then applied the methodology in two prediction contexts: a clinical context with the prediction of death for patients with primary biliary cholangitis, and a public health context with the prediction of death in the general elderly population at different ages. Our methodology, implemented in R, enables the prediction of an event using the entire longitudinal patient history, even when the number of repeated markers is large. Although introduced with mixed models for the repeated markers and methods for a single right censored time-to-event, our method can be used with any other appropriate modeling technique for the markers and can be easily extended to competing risks setting.
Robust data-driven discovery of partial differential equations with time-dependent coefficients
In this work, we propose a robust Bayesian sparse learning algorithm based on Bayesian group Lasso with spike and slab priors for the discovery of partial differential equations with variable coefficients. Using the samples draw from the posterior distribution with a Gibbs sampler, we are able to estimate the values of coefficients, together with their standard errors and confidence intervals. Apart from constructing the error bars, uncertainty quantification can also be employed for designing new criteria of model selection and threshold setting. This enables our method more adjustable and robust in learning equations with time-dependent coefficients. Three criteria are introduced for model selection and threshold setting to identify the correct terms: the root mean square, total error bar, and group error bar. Moreover, three noise filters are integrated with the robust Bayesian sparse learning algorithm for better results with larger noise. Numerical results demonstrate that our method is more robust than sequential grouped threshold ridge regression and group Lasso in noisy situations through three examples.
Guidance on the Assurance of Machine Learning in Autonomous Systems (AMLAS)
Hawkins, Richard, Paterson, Colin, Picardi, Chiara, Jia, Yan, Calinescu, Radu, Habli, Ibrahim
Machine Learning (ML) is now used in a range of systems with results that are reported to exceed, under certain conditions, human performance. Many of these systems, in domains such as healthcare, automotive and manufacturing, exhibit high degrees of autonomy and are safety critical. Establishing justified confidence in ML forms a core part of the safety case for these systems. In this document we introduce a methodology for the Assurance of Machine Learning for use in Autonomous Systems (AMLAS). AMLAS comprises a set of safety case patterns and a process for (1) systematically integrating safety assurance into the development of ML components and (2) for generating the evidence base for explicitly justifying the acceptable safety of these components when integrated into autonomous system applications. The material in this document is provided as guidance only. No responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of this material or any comments made can be accepted by the authors or The University of York.
pseudo-Bayesian Neural Networks for detecting Out of Distribution Inputs
Singh, Gagandeep, Mishra, Deepak
Conventional Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) are known to be capable of providing multiple outputs for a single input, the variations in which can be utilised to detect Out of Distribution (OOD) inputs. BNNs are difficult to train due to their sensitivity towards the choice of priors. To alleviate this issue, we propose pseudo-BNNs where instead of learning distributions over weights, we use point estimates and perturb weights at the time of inference. We modify the cost function of conventional BNNs and use it to learn parameters for the purpose of injecting right amount of random perturbations to each of the weights of a neural network with point estimate. In order to effectively segregate OOD inputs from In Distribution (ID) inputs using multiple outputs, we further propose two measures, derived from the index of dispersion and entropy of probability distributions, and combine them with the proposed pseudo-BNNs. Overall, this combination results in a principled technique to detect OOD samples at the time of inference. We evaluate our technique on a wide variety of neural network architectures and image classification datasets. We observe that our method achieves state of the art results and beats the related previous work on various metrics such as FPR at 95% TPR, AUROC, AUPR and Detection Error by just using 2 to 5 samples of weights per input.
Anomaly Detection of Time Series with Smoothness-Inducing Sequential Variational Auto-Encoder
Li, Longyuan, Yan, Junchi, Wang, Haiyang, Jin, Yaohui
Deep generative models have demonstrated their effectiveness in learning latent representation and modeling complex dependencies of time series. In this paper, we present a Smoothness-Inducing Sequential Variational Auto-Encoder (SISVAE) model for robust estimation and anomaly detection of multi-dimensional time series. Our model is based on Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE), and its backbone is fulfilled by a Recurrent Neural Network to capture latent temporal structures of time series for both generative model and inference model. Specifically, our model parameterizes mean and variance for each time-stamp with flexible neural networks, resulting in a non-stationary model that can work without the assumption of constant noise as commonly made by existing Markov models. However, such a flexibility may cause the model fragile to anomalies. To achieve robust density estimation which can also benefit detection tasks, we propose a smoothness-inducing prior over possible estimations. The proposed prior works as a regularizer that places penalty at non-smooth reconstructions. Our model is learned efficiently with a novel stochastic gradient variational Bayes estimator. In particular, we study two decision criteria for anomaly detection: reconstruction probability and reconstruction error. We show the effectiveness of our model on both synthetic datasets and public real-world benchmarks.
A Novel Approach for Classification and Forecasting of Time Series in Particle Accelerators
Li, Sichen, Zacharias, Mélissa, Snuverink, Jochem, de Portugal, Jaime Coello, Perez-Cruz, Fernando, Reggiani, Davide, Adelmann, Andreas
The beam interruptions (interlocks) of particle accelerators, despite being necessary safety measures, lead to abrupt operational changes and a substantial loss of beam time. A novel time series classification approach is applied to decrease beam time loss in the High Intensity Proton Accelerator complex by forecasting interlock events. The forecasting is performed through binary classification of windows of multivariate time series. The time series are transformed into Recurrence Plots which are then classified by a Convolutional Neural Network, which not only captures the inner structure of the time series but also utilizes the advances of image classification techniques. Our best performing interlock-to-stable classifier reaches an Area under the ROC Curve value of $0.71 \pm 0.01$ compared to $0.65 \pm 0.01$ of a Random Forest model, and it can potentially reduce the beam time loss by $0.5 \pm 0.2$ seconds per interlock.
Student sentiment Analysis Using Classification With Feature Extraction Techniques
Tamrakar, Latika, Shrivastava, Dr. Padmavati, Ghosh, Dr. S. M.
Technical growths have empowered, numerous revolutions in the educational system by acquainting with technology into the classroom and by elevating the learning experience. Nowadays Web-based learning is getting much popularity. This paper describes the web-based learning and their effectiveness towards students. One of the prime factors in education or learning system is feedback; it is beneficial to learning if it must be used effectively. In this paper, we worked on how machine learning techniques like Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naive Bayes (NB), Decision Tree (DT) can be applied over Web-based learning, emphasis given on sentiment present in the feedback students. We also work on two types of Feature Extraction Technique (FETs) namely Count Vector (CVr) or Bag of Words) (BoW) and Term Frequency and Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) Vector. In the research study, it is our goal for our proposed LR, SVM, NB, and DT models to classify the presence of Student Feedback Dataset (SFB) with improved accuracy with cleaned dataset and feature extraction techniques. The SFB is one of the significant concerns among the student sentimental analysis.
MultiRocket: Effective summary statistics for convolutional outputs in time series classification
Tan, Chang Wei, Dempster, Angus, Bergmeir, Christoph, Webb, Geoffrey I.
Rocket and MiniRocket, while two of the fastest methods for time series classification, are both somewhat less accurate than the current most accurate methods (namely, HIVE-COTE and its variants). We show that it is possible to significantly improve the accuracy of MiniRocket (and Rocket), with some additional computational expense, by expanding the set of features produced by the transform, making MultiRocket (for MiniRocket with Multiple Features) overall the single most accurate method on the datasets in the UCR archive, while still being orders of magnitude faster than any algorithm of comparable accuracy other than its precursors.