Cohort Shapley value is a model-free method of variable importance grounded in game theory that does not use any unobserved and potentially impossible feature combinations. We use it to evaluate algorithmic fairness, using the well known COMPAS recidivism data as our example. This approach allows one to identify for each individual in a data set the extent to which they were adversely or beneficially affected by their value of a protected attribute such as their race. The method can do this even if race was not one of the original predictors and even if it does not have access to a proprietary algorithm that has made the predictions. The grounding in game theory lets us define aggregate variable importance for a data set consistently with its per subject definitions. We can investigate variable importance for multiple quantities of interest in the fairness literature including false positive predictions.

Anomaly detection presents a unique challenge in machine learning, due to the scarcity of labeled anomaly data. Recent work attempts to mitigate such problems by augmenting training of deep anomaly detection models with additional labeled anomaly samples. However, the labeled data often does not align with the target distribution and introduces harmful bias to the trained model. In this paper, we aim to understand the effect of a biased anomaly set on anomaly detection. Concretely, we view anomaly detection as a supervised learning task where the objective is to optimize the recall at a given false positive rate. We formally study the relative scoring bias of an anomaly detector, defined as the difference in performance with respect to a baseline anomaly detector. We establish the first finite sample rates for estimating the relative scoring bias for deep anomaly detection, and empirically validate our theoretical results on both synthetic and real-world datasets. We also provide an extensive empirical study on how a biased training anomaly set affects the anomaly score function and therefore the detection performance on different anomaly classes. Our study demonstrates scenarios in which the biased anomaly set can be useful or problematic, and provides a solid benchmark for future research.

We consider the task of linking social media accounts that belong to the same author in an automated fashion on the basis of the content and metadata of their corresponding document streams. We focus on learning an embedding that maps variable-sized samples of user activity -- ranging from single posts to entire months of activity -- to a vector space, where samples by the same author map to nearby points. The approach does not require human-annotated data for training purposes, which allows us to leverage large amounts of social media content. The proposed model outperforms several competitive baselines under a novel evaluation framework modeled after established recognition benchmarks in other domains. Our method achieves high linking accuracy, even with small samples from accounts not seen at training time, a prerequisite for practical applications of the proposed linking framework.

We present a workflow for clinical data analysis that relies on Bayesian Structure Learning (BSL), an unsupervised learning approach, robust to noise and biases, that allows to incorporate prior medical knowledge into the learning process and that provides explainable results in the form of a graph showing the causal connections among the analyzed features. The workflow consists in a multi-step approach that goes from identifying the main causes of patient's outcome through BSL, to the realization of a tool suitable for clinical practice, based on a Binary Decision Tree (BDT), to recognize patients at high-risk with information available already at hospital admission time. We evaluate our approach on a feature-rich COVID-19 dataset, showing that the proposed framework provides a schematic overview of the multi-factorial processes that jointly contribute to the outcome. We discuss how these computational findings are confirmed by current understanding of the COVID-19 pathogenesis. Further, our approach yields to a highly interpretable tool correctly predicting the outcome of 85% of subjects based exclusively on 3 features: age, a previous history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and the PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the time of arrival to the hospital.

This paper proposes Characteristic Examples for effectively fingerprinting deep neural networks, featuring high-robustness to the base model against model pruning as well as low-transferability to unassociated models. This is the first work taking both robustness and transferability into consideration for generating realistic fingerprints, whereas current methods lack practical assumptions and may incur large false positive rates. To achieve better trade-off between robustness and transferability, we propose three kinds of characteristic examples: vanilla C-examples, RC-examples, and LTRC-example, to derive fingerprints from the original base model. To fairly characterize the trade-off between robustness and transferability, we propose Uniqueness Score, a comprehensive metric that measures the difference between robustness and transferability, which also serves as an indicator to the false alarm problem.

Machine learning for anomaly detection has become a widely researched field in cybersecurity. Inherent to today's operating environment is the practice of adversarial machine learning, which attempts to circumvent machine learning models. In this work, we examine the feasibility of unsupervised learning and graph-based methods for anomaly detection in the network intrusion detection system setting, as well as leverage an ensemble approach to supervised learning of the anomaly detection problem. We incorporate a realistic adversarial training mechanism when training our supervised models to enable strong classification performance in adversarial environments. Our results indicate that the unsupervised and graph-based methods were outperformed in detecting anomalies (malicious activity) by the supervised stacking ensemble method with two levels. This model consists of three different classifiers in the first level, followed by either a Naive Bayes or Decision Tree classifier for the second level. We see that our model maintains an F1-score above 0.97 for malicious samples across all tested level two classifiers. Notably, Naive Bayes is the fastest level two classifier averaging 1.12 seconds while Decision Tree maintains the highest AUC score of 0.98.

Machine learning is hot right now, and for good reason. We're going to break down what you need to know about what goes into a model and give you four machine learning models your business should have in production right now. The Lead/Opportunity Conversions Model The lifeblood of every business is new leads and opportunities. Having a machine learning model in place to predict where you're more likely to convert those leads can be an effective guide to growth. The Attrition/Customer Retention Model Once you have a customer in your ecosystem, it's in your best interest to keep that customer for the long haul. The attrition/customer retention model can tell you who has a high propensity to churn, so you can market to your existing base effectively. The Lifetime Value Model Increasing the lifetime value of your customers or clients is critical. Having a model in place that offers behavior-driven insight will help you keep your customers in your pipeline longer.

The group testing problem asks for efficient pooling schemes and algorithms that allow to screen moderately large numbers of samples for rare infections. The goal is to accurately identify the infected samples while conducting the least possible number of tests. Exploring the use of techniques centred around the Belief Propagation message passing algorithm, we suggest a new test design that significantly increases the accuracy of the results. The new design comes with Belief Propagation as an efficient inference algorithm. Aiming for results on practical rather than asymptotic problem sizes, we conduct an experimental study.

Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques are used increasingly in many areas of applications, including banking and finance. They have several advantages over traditional statistical methods: i) ability to handle new data types such as text, audio, and images; ii) flexible models that yield excellent predictive performance; and iii) ability to automate many of the routine, and time-consuming, tasks in model development. However, the use of these algorithms also raise several challenges. A well-known problem is the opaqueness of ML models and the difficulties in understanding and interpreting the model results. In this paper, we focus on a related and equally important challenge: potential for bias and lack of fairness when using AI/ML techniques.

Equity of educational outcome and fairness of AI with respect to race have been topics of increasing importance in education. In this work, we address both with empirical evaluations of grade prediction in higher education, an important task to improve curriculum design, plan interventions for academic support, and offer course guidance to students. With fairness as the aim, we trial several strategies for both label and instance balancing to attempt to minimize differences in algorithm performance with respect to race. We find that an adversarial learning approach, combined with grade label balancing, achieved by far the fairest results. With equity of educational outcome as the aim, we trial strategies for boosting predictive performance on historically underserved groups and find success in sampling those groups in inverse proportion to their historic outcomes. With AI-infused technology supports increasingly prevalent on campuses, our methodologies fill a need for frameworks to consider performance trade-offs with respect to sensitive student attributes and allow institutions to instrument their AI resources in ways that are attentive to equity and fairness.